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SP 4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 43 33 76
2 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 45 38 83
3 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 39 48 87
4 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 36 52 88
5 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 51 43 94
6 Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 66 29 95
7 Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 41 66 107
8 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 45 63 108
9 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 73 35 108
10 Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 58 55 113
11 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 55 64 119
12 Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 27 92 119
13 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 62 82 144
14 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 89 83 172
15 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 101 73 174
16 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 117 72 189
17 Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 80 114 194
18 Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy 100 102 202
19 Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 106 97 203
20 Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 98 107 205
21 Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 114 103 217
22 Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 112 111 223
23 Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 125 100 225
24 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 134 142 276
25 Bishop Verot High School Bishop Verot High School Varsity 136 148 284
26 Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity 153 162 315
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 8 3 3 1 4 8 27 Austin Ando '17
Austin Googer '17
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 6 4 1 9 2 14 36 Shane Riera '17
Mariela Solorzano '19
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 9 2 4 7 1 16 39 Jack Johansson '17 [1-6]
Roberto Lugones '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Logan Katz '17 [3-4]
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 4 5 10 11 7 4 41 Sam Baker '17
Ella Marsden '20
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 2 7 7 5 11 11 43 Connor Nelson '19
Erica Brown '17
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 3 11 12 3 6 10 45 Chris Kiener '17
Jack Macdonald '18
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 13 12 2 2 9 7 45 Kathryn Bornarth '17 [1-2]
Trevor Bornarth '18 [3-6]
Emma Barska '19 [1-2]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 1 1 9 21 10 9 51 Conner Correll '18
Brian Buckley '17
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 5 6 18 6 17 3 55 Kyle Dochoda '17 [1-6]
Zachery Ofenloch '19 [1-4]
Karlei Kongsiri '19 [5-6]
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 10 17 8 15 3 5 58 Mark Brunsvold '19
Marcus Ball '19
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 16 18 6 4 16 2 62 Matthew King '20
Kailin Foster '20
Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 15 9 5 19 12 6 66 Natalie Hoffman '26 [1-6]
Matthew Mason '19 [1-4]
Lila Van Den Broek '18 [5-6]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 22 8 15 8 5 15 73 Max Karpanty '17 [1-4]
Hunter Sorensen '17 [5-6]
Chris Haner '17 [1-4]
Chloe Hudgins '20 [5-6]
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 7 13 16 13 13 18 80 Sam Meyer '19
Evan Occhino '20
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 18 16 17 12 25 1 89 Mikaela Munao '18
Noah Guntow '20
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 14 19 11 14 23 17 98 Alexandra Music '19
Carrie Marshall '17
Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy 20 24 13 10 14 19 100 Skye Ehrhart '18
Lucas Macleod '18
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 17 15 24 17 15 13 101 Phillip Peterson '17 [1-6]
Cole Madden '19 [1-4]
Tyler Rogers '20 [5-6]
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 12 10 20 18 22 24 106 Callista Hopkins '19 [1-6]
Alex Pearson '18 [1-4]
Kurban Ali '17 [5-6]
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 11 14 21 25 18 23 112 Lilly Capiola '19 [1-2]
Thomas Connell '20 [3-6]
Thomas Connell '20 [1-2]
Lilly Capiola '19 [3-4]
Maggie Walker '21 [5-6]
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 25 21 22 16 8 22 114 Corinne Graves '20
Dana Aljasir '20
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 19 20 25 22 19 12 117 Alex Commette '17 [1-6]
Reese Kelly '18 [1-4]
Trevor Honeycutt '19 [5-6]
Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 23 23 14 20 24 21 125 Katie Nelson '20
Margret Hicks '18
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 21 25 19 24 20 25 134 Lauren Sokolowski '18
Aine Porter '19
Bishop Verot High School Bishop Verot High School Varsity 24 22 26 23 21 20 136 Abigail Clinger '19
Alexa Dossantos '19
Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity 26 26 23 26 26 26 153 Carlos Riva '20
Carly Bosch '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 7 1 8 1 7 5 29 Lila Van Den Broek '18 [1-2]
Ciara Dorsay '17 [3-6]
Michael Grass '17 [1-2]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 10 6 4 5 2 6 33 Charlie Curtis '17 [1-6]
James Nichols '18 [1-2]
Olivia Mcintosh '18 [3-6]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 11 9 2 2 4 7 35 Dylan Brazee '17
Chandler Scott '19
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 1 3 13 7 12 2 38 Emily Bornarth '20 [1-6]
Griffin Pollis '19 [1-2]
Yazmeen Simpson '19 [3-6]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 4 5 10 6 14 4 43 Chase Sabadash '18 [1-6]
Caroline Dubois-Weber '19 [1-2]
Libby Redmond '20 [3-6]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 3 8 15 13 1 8 48 Clay Snyder '18 [1-4]
Sean Brennan '17 [5-6]
Mateo Puech '18 [1-4]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 8 7 11 4 5 17 52 Olivia De Olazarra '18
Natalia Gagliano '19
Riverview High School Riverview High School Varsity 9 12 1 3 16 14 55 Lillian Myers '19
Taylor Brunsvold '17
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 2 22 6 15 3 15 63 Kingsley Ehrich '19
Jackson Dusenberry '19
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 15 17 3 17 11 1 64 Elizabeth Shanahan '19
Lily Schneider '19
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 23 2 5 19 6 11 66 Alex Gonzalez '20
Ethan Osborne '19
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 5 15 18 23 8 3 72 Finn Kennedy '17
Jack Kaiser '19
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 19 10 12 8 15 9 73 Grant Boicheff '18
Jacob Warchola '18
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 18 4 22 11 17 10 82 Will Murray '20
Zeban Kaiser '20
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 13 13 16 14 9 18 83 Cameron Kuchar '17
Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 6 14 17 20 13 22 92 Lucas Sawin '20 [1-2, 5-6]
James Renneker '18 [3-4]
Jack Sutton '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 16 20 7 12 21 21 97 Daniel Denison '17 [1-6]
Ethan Myott '17 [1-2]
Charlie Langer '17 [3-6]
Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 14 11 9 22 20 24 100 Jonathan Joyner '19
Carolina Cassedy '18
Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy 17 18 14 18 19 16 102 Ryan Appleby '18
Courtney Hamilton '18
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 12 16 19 21 22 13 103 Colin Lawther '20
Noah Bardes '20
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 25 24 20 16 10 12 107 Dahlia Dry '19
Hailey See '19
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 20 21 23 10 18 19 111 Jack Breton '19 [1-4]
Chris Capiola '21 [5-6]
Bailey Gorman '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Chris Capiola '21 [3-4]
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Varsity 21 19 21 9 24 20 114 Landen Latchford '20
Aaron Williams '20
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 24 23 25 24 23 23 142 Grace Pfaelzer '21
Jacob Armitage '20
Bishop Verot High School Bishop Verot High School Varsity 22 DNS 24 25 25 25 148 Kaili Yap '19
Mckenna Wherry '20
Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 162 Chris Kosarzycki '17
Christopher Hastrup '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.360+0.36
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Admiral Farragut AcademyAdmiral Farragut Academy Varsity113344
Bishop Verot High SchoolBishop Verot High School Varsity33113636
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes445566
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Varsity554433
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave667788
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders776655
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons998877
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity111112121313
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers131314141515
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers1212111199
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity141413131212
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School Varsity151516161717
Out-of Door AcademyOut-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy161615151414
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves171718181919
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pine View Varsity181817171616
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers88991111
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity191920202121
Robinson High SchoolRobinson High School Knights202019191818
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders252526262727
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors212122222323
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers222221212020
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS232324242525
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils242423232222
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Varsity262625252424
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors2727363611
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors363627272626

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Admiral Farragut AcademyAdmiral Farragut Academy Varsity161617171818
Bishop Verot High SchoolBishop Verot High School Varsity171716161515
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes181819192020
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Varsity191918181717
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave202021212222
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders212120201919
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons232322222121
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity242425252626
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers262627273636
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers252524242323
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity272726262525
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School Varsity36361133
Out-of Door AcademyOut-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy1136362727
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves334455
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pine View Varsity443311
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers222223232424
Riverview High SchoolRiverview High School Varsity556677
Robinson High SchoolRobinson High School Knights665544
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders121213131414
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors778899
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers887766
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS9911111212
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils11119988
Venice High School (FL)Venice High School (FL) Varsity131312121111
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors141415151616
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors151514141313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Carlos Riva '20 Carly Bosch '18
Varsity Chris Kosarzycki '17 Christopher Hastrup '17
Bishop Verot High School Bishop Verot High School Abigail Clinger '19 Alexa Dossantos '19
Varsity Kaili Yap '19 Mckenna Wherry '20
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Sam Baker '17 Ella Marsden '20
Hurricanes Alex Gonzalez '20 Ethan Osborne '19
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Lauren Sokolowski '18 Aine Porter '19
Varsity Grace Pfaelzer '21 Jacob Armitage '20
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Alexandra Music '19 Carrie Marshall '17
Green Wave Dahlia Dry '19 Hailey See '19
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Jack Johansson '17 [1-6] Roberto Lugones '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Logan Katz '17 [3-4]
Raiders Clay Snyder '18 [1-4]
Sean Brennan '17 [5-6]		 Mateo Puech '18 [1-4]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Connor Nelson '19 Erica Brown '17
Panthers Charlie Curtis '17 [1-6] James Nichols '18 [1-2]
Olivia Mcintosh '18 [3-6]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Max Karpanty '17 [1-4]
Hunter Sorensen '17 [5-6]		 Chris Haner '17 [1-4]
Chloe Hudgins '20 [5-6]
Falcons Dylan Brazee '17 Chandler Scott '19
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Callista Hopkins '19 [1-6] Alex Pearson '18 [1-4]
Kurban Ali '17 [5-6]
Varsity Daniel Denison '17 [1-6] Ethan Myott '17 [1-2]
Charlie Langer '17 [3-6]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Mikaela Munao '18 Noah Guntow '20
Panthers Cameron Kuchar '17 Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20
Martin County High School Martin County High School Chris Kiener '17 Jack Macdonald '18
Tigers Kingsley Ehrich '19 Jackson Dusenberry '19
Naples High School Naples High School Lilly Capiola '19 [1-2]
Thomas Connell '20 [3-6]		 Thomas Connell '20 [1-2]
Lilly Capiola '19 [3-4]
Maggie Walker '21 [5-6]
Varsity Jack Breton '19 [1-4]
Chris Capiola '21 [5-6]		 Bailey Gorman '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Chris Capiola '21 [3-4]
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Corinne Graves '20 Dana Aljasir '20
Varsity Colin Lawther '20 Noah Bardes '20
Out-of Door Academy Out-of Door Academy Skye Ehrhart '18 Lucas Macleod '18
Out-of Door Academy Ryan Appleby '18 Courtney Hamilton '18
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Alex Commette '17 [1-6] Reese Kelly '18 [1-4]
Trevor Honeycutt '19 [5-6]
ThunderWolves Finn Kennedy '17 Jack Kaiser '19
Pine View School Pine View School Natalie Hoffman '26 [1-6] Matthew Mason '19 [1-4]
Lila Van Den Broek '18 [5-6]
Pine View Varsity Lila Van Den Broek '18 [1-2]
Ciara Dorsay '17 [3-6]		 Michael Grass '17 [1-2]
Riverview High School Riverview High School Mark Brunsvold '19 Marcus Ball '19
Varsity Lillian Myers '19 Taylor Brunsvold '17
Robinson High School Robinson High School Katie Nelson '20 Margret Hicks '18
Knights Jonathan Joyner '19 Carolina Cassedy '18
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Matthew King '20 Kailin Foster '20
Sailors Will Murray '20 Zeban Kaiser '20
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Kyle Dochoda '17 [1-6] Zachery Ofenloch '19 [1-4]
Karlei Kongsiri '19 [5-6]
Chargers Elizabeth Shanahan '19 Lily Schneider '19
South Fork High School South Fork High School Kathryn Bornarth '17 [1-2]
Trevor Bornarth '18 [3-6]		 Emma Barska '19 [1-2]
SF BULLDOGS Emily Bornarth '20 [1-6] Griffin Pollis '19 [1-2]
Yazmeen Simpson '19 [3-6]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Phillip Peterson '17 [1-6] Cole Madden '19 [1-4]
Tyler Rogers '20 [5-6]
Green Devils Grant Boicheff '18 Jacob Warchola '18
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Conner Correll '18 Brian Buckley '17
Raiders Chase Sabadash '18 [1-6] Caroline Dubois-Weber '19 [1-2]
Libby Redmond '20 [3-6]
Venice High School (FL) Venice High School (FL) Sam Meyer '19 Evan Occhino '20
Varsity Landen Latchford '20 Aaron Williams '20
Wando High School Wando High School Austin Ando '17 Austin Googer '17
Wando Warriors Lucas Sawin '20 [1-2, 5-6]
James Renneker '18 [3-4]		 Jack Sutton '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Shane Riera '17 Mariela Solorzano '19
Warriors Olivia De Olazarra '18 Natalia Gagliano '19

Conditions — 12/10/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1025.6 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.0 kn
avg  ·  max 11.5 kn
Gusts to 19.6 kn
From NE (36°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover21% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1025.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Manatee/Pine View/Riverview/Sarasota: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.44 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Manatee/Pine View/Riverview/Sarasota by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Manatee/Pine View/Riverview/Sarasota: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →