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AYC/SSA Varsity Fleet Race

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 3 2 5
2 Severn School Severn School Admirals 4 1 5
3 Key School Key School Zags 1 8 9
4 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 2 7 9
5 Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 5 4 9
6 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 6 3 9
7 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 9 6 15
8 Varsity Varsity Varsity 10 5 15
9 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 7 9 16
10 Pirates Pirates Pirates 8 11 19
11 Varsity Varsity Varsity 11 10 21
12 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 13 13 26
13 Gunston Gunston Herons 12 15 27
14 Knights Knights Knights 15 12 27
15 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 14 14 28
SchoolTeam R1 TOT Sailors
Key School Key School Zags 1 1 Will Cornell '21
Alexander Abbott '18
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 2 2 Daniel Unangst '20
Emily Williams '20
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 3 3 Michael Bisson '18
No Show
Severn School Severn School Admirals 4 4 Madeline Hawkins '20
Blair Reilly '18
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 5 5 George Kaye '18
Ava Walker '20
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 6 6 Ian Mathiesen '18
Kc Galloway '20
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 7 7 Emma Snead '19
Lucien Parker '20
Pirates Pirates Pirates 8 8
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 9 9 Olivia Sowa '20
Nico Funya '18
Varsity Varsity Varsity 10 10
Varsity Varsity Varsity 11 11
Gunston Gunston Herons 12 12 Phillip Ashley '19
Helen Boone '21
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 13 13 Dylan Saxman '21
Vaughan Hood '20
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 14 14 Brandon Westerfield '18
Caroline James '20
Knights Knights Knights 15 15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers1
VarsityVarsity Varsity2
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins3
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets4
Key SchoolKey School Zags5
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders6
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres7
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals8
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons9
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks10
KnightsKnights Knights12
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints11
GunstonGunston Herons13
PiratesPirates Pirates15
VarsityVarsity Varsity14

Division B

Team1B
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers1
VarsityVarsity Varsity2
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins3
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets4
Key SchoolKey School Zags5
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders6
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres7
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals8
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons9
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks10
KnightsKnights Knights12
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints11
GunstonGunston Herons13
PiratesPirates Pirates15
VarsityVarsity Varsity14

Conditions — 09/16/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1020.2 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 67°F
Feels like 83°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.6 kn
avg  ·  max 3.2 kn
Gusts to 10.5 kn
From NE (52°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover19% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1020.2 hPa

What this breeze does at Annapolis YC and SSA — from fleet racing

Breeze: NE about 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Annapolis YC and SSA in this breeze: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in this breeze favours either side in fleet racing here: results follow the ratings about as usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Annapolis YC and SSA by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Annapolis YC and SSA: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →