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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 23 19 42
2 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 1 51 11 62
3 Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 62 16 78
4 Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 35 55 90
5 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 67 33 100
6 Beaufort High School Beaufort High School JV 50 51 101
7 John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 83 20 103
8 Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 40 68 108
9 Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 67 42 109
10 Wando High School Wando High School Wando JV 29 81 110
11 Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Varsity 57 55 112
12 Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 55 66 121
13 Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School 20 107 127
14 Durham School of The Arts Durham School of The Arts Varsity 51 85 136
15 Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 74 83 157
16 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 89 69 158
17 Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 90 97 187
18 SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity 89 101 190
19 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 2 108 92 200
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School 2 1 1 2 7 7 20 Noah Benton '18
Ella Smith '20
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 1 4 12 1 2 3 23 Alex Mazzeo '18
Abbie Pollitzer '21
Wando High School Wando High School Wando JV 10 2 3 3 3 8 29 Ben Labarca '20
Laura Johnston '21
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 3 12 8 9 1 2 35 Ann Sheridan '18
Pearce Buxton '20
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 5 5 15 10 4 1 40 Peter Buyck '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Lewis Bragg '21 [3-4]
Kate Schiable '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Will Perrine '20 [3-4]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School JV 6 9 11 14 6 4 50 Jacob Lawson '18
Emily Potter '18
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 1 7 10 4 16 8 6 51 Reedy Monahan '20 [1-6]
Alexus Forshee '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Patrick Patangan '20 [3-4]
Durham School of The Arts Durham School of The Arts Varsity 8 6 5 4 15 13 51 Samuel Marcom '18
Elizabeth Plageman '19
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 13 13 2 13 9 5 55 Carter Beall '18 [1-6]
Erin O'Connor '20 [1-4]
Alissa Borkowski '22 [5-6]
Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Varsity 11 7 13 11 5 10 57 Levi Hencke '18
Henry Clark '21
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 16 14 7 5 11 9 62 Polk Baggett '22 [1-6]
Anika Pruim '18 [1-4]
Mairead Benson '22 [5-6]
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 4 15 9 7 14 18 67 Ethan Johnston '18
Emily Roudebush '18
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 15 3 14 6 12 17 67 Nathan Farmer '18 [1-6]
Mcgill Woodward '21 [1-2]
Luca Gruber '21 [3-4]
Camdyn Williams '21 [5-6]
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 18 17 6 12 10 11 74 Cohen Hughes '19 [1-6]
Elle Jacobsson '19 [1-4]
Ian Westerling '18 [5-6]
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 9 18 16 15 13 12 83 William Hussey '22
Sophie Stalnaker '21
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 12 8 19 19 16 15 89 Sarah Harrington '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Davis Leath '20 [3-4]
Cassie Brisbin '20 [1-4]
Caelan Paquette '20 [5-6]
SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity 17 16 10 8 19 19 89 Frances Hart '19 [1-6]
Ellen Emge '20 [1-4]
John White '20 [5-6]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 14 11 17 17 17 14 90 Alex Graiser '18
Zane Buchli '22
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 2 19 19 18 18 18 16 108 Nathaniel Schooling '19 [1-6]
Ben Heekin '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Avery Horn '20 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 1 5 2 1 1 1 1 11 William Weinbecker '21 [1-6]
Olivia Wallace '21 [1-4]
Patrick Patangan '20 [5-6]
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy CFA Varsity 2 3 2 3 3 3 16 Benjamin Smith '22 [1-6]
William Lewis '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Mairead Benson '22 [3-4]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 1 1 4 5 6 2 19 Chris Hoogenboom '18
Clay Myers '21
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) Varsity 4 5 3 2 2 4 20 Zack Carvajal '22
Jack Gigante '22
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 3 4 7 6 8 5 33 Mason Baird '22 [1-6]
Carson Shaw '22 [1-2]
Preston Smoak '21 [3-4]
Otto Demuth '20 [5-6]
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 11 6 8 4 5 8 42 Edward "Tad" Fleuren '19
Caroline Main '18
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School JV 12 16 5 8 4 6 51 Ian Hoogenboom '20 [1, 3-4]
Thomas Gnann '20 [2, 5-6]
Thomas Gnann '20 [1, 3-4]
Ian Hoogenboom '20 [2, 5-6]
Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Varsity 8 7 10 9 11 10 55 Parker Shook '22 [1-6]
Alyssa Wheeler '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Thomas Normand '22 [3-4]
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 10 10 12 7 7 9 55 Julianna Skoglund '19 [1-6]
Rachel Butz '19 [1-4]
Grayson Brewer '20 [5-6]
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 7 8 11 RAF 13 7 66 Sanders Linker '19 [1-6]
Caroline Dziamniski '18 [1-4]
Arianna Borkowski '20 [5-6]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 9 19 6 12 10 12 68 Alex Lopez Vara '18 [1-6]
Mia Maclean '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Lucas Hay '22 [3-4]
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 13 9 9 10 14 14 69 Manning Unger '21 [1-6]
Caelan Paquette '20 [1-2]
Alex Adragna '18 [3-6]
Wando High School Wando High School Wando JV 17 18 13 11 9 13 81 Clayton Register '18 [1-2]
Grant Matthews '19 [3-6]
Charlie Rohaley '21 [1-2]
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 14 13 16 13 16 11 83 Malone Tompkins '21
Regina Fusile '18
Durham School of The Arts Durham School of The Arts Varsity 6 12 17 RAF 15 15 85 Ryan Wheeler '19
Abby Blackwell '22
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 2 18 11 15 14 18 16 92 Joseph Bradley Iv '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Brandon Singleton '19 [3-4]
Brandon Singleton '19 [1-2]
Joseph Bradley Iv '19 [3-4]
Avery Horn '20 [5-6]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 15 14 14 RAF 17 17 97 Nikolas Mcgill '20
Christoph Tobler '20
SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity 16 15 RAF RAF 12 18 101 Mccormick Emge '18 [1-2]
Olivia Howe '20 [3-6]
Olivia Howe '20 [1-2]
Allie Combos '20 [3-6]
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School 19 17 18 15 19 19 107 Andrew Foley '21
Jeffery (Jd) Tucker '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A112233
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers22334040
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School JV40405566
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity33404055
Bishop England High SchoolBishop England High School Bishops556677
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 1667788
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 2778899
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity88991010
Carrboro High SchoolCarrboro High School Varsity9910101111
SOA Charleston School of the ArtsSOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity161617171818
Durham School of The ArtsDurham School of The Arts Varsity101011111212
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity111112121313
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity121213131414
John Paul II (SC)John Paul II (SC) Varsity131314141515
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity141415151616
Richmond Hill High SchoolRichmond Hill High School Varsity151516161717
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw High School1717181844
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando JV441122
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors18184411

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A101011111212
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers111112121313
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School JV131314141515
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity121213131414
Bishop England High SchoolBishop England High School Bishops141415151616
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 1151516161717
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 2161617171818
Cape Fear AcademyCape Fear Academy CFA Varsity1717181844
Carrboro High SchoolCarrboro High School Varsity18184411
SOA Charleston School of the ArtsSOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity667788
Durham School of The ArtsDurham School of The Arts Varsity441122
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity112233
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity22334040
John Paul II (SC)John Paul II (SC) Varsity33404055
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity40405566
Richmond Hill High SchoolRichmond Hill High School Varsity556677
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw High School778899
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando JV9910101111
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors88991010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Sarah Harrington '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Davis Leath '20 [3-4]		 Cassie Brisbin '20 [1-4]
Caelan Paquette '20 [5-6]
Raptors A Manning Unger '21 [1-6] Caelan Paquette '20 [1-2]
Alex Adragna '18 [3-6]
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Ann Sheridan '18 Pearce Buxton '20
Panthers Julianna Skoglund '19 [1-6] Rachel Butz '19 [1-4]
Grayson Brewer '20 [5-6]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Jacob Lawson '18 Emily Potter '18
JV Ian Hoogenboom '20 [1, 3-4]
Thomas Gnann '20 [2, 5-6]		 Thomas Gnann '20 [1, 3-4]
Ian Hoogenboom '20 [2, 5-6]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Alex Mazzeo '18 Abbie Pollitzer '21
Varsity Chris Hoogenboom '18 Clay Myers '21
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Carter Beall '18 [1-6] Erin O'Connor '20 [1-4]
Alissa Borkowski '22 [5-6]
Bishops Sanders Linker '19 [1-6] Caroline Dziamniski '18 [1-4]
Arianna Borkowski '20 [5-6]
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Reedy Monahan '20 [1-6] Alexus Forshee '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Patrick Patangan '20 [3-4]
Bishop Kenny 1 William Weinbecker '21 [1-6] Olivia Wallace '21 [1-4]
Patrick Patangan '20 [5-6]
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Nathaniel Schooling '19 [1-6] Ben Heekin '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Avery Horn '20 [3-4]
Bishop Kenny 2 Joseph Bradley Iv '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Brandon Singleton '19 [3-4]		 Brandon Singleton '19 [1-2]
Joseph Bradley Iv '19 [3-4]
Avery Horn '20 [5-6]
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy Polk Baggett '22 [1-6] Anika Pruim '18 [1-4]
Mairead Benson '22 [5-6]
CFA Varsity Benjamin Smith '22 [1-6] William Lewis '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Mairead Benson '22 [3-4]
Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Levi Hencke '18 Henry Clark '21
Varsity Parker Shook '22 [1-6] Alyssa Wheeler '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Thomas Normand '22 [3-4]
Durham School of The Arts Durham School of The Arts Samuel Marcom '18 Elizabeth Plageman '19
Varsity Ryan Wheeler '19 Abby Blackwell '22
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Alex Graiser '18 Zane Buchli '22
Varsity Nikolas Mcgill '20 Christoph Tobler '20
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Nathan Farmer '18 [1-6] Mcgill Woodward '21 [1-2]
Luca Gruber '21 [3-4]
Camdyn Williams '21 [5-6]
Varsity Mason Baird '22 [1-6] Carson Shaw '22 [1-2]
Preston Smoak '21 [3-4]
Otto Demuth '20 [5-6]
John Paul II (SC) John Paul II (SC) William Hussey '22 Sophie Stalnaker '21
Varsity Zack Carvajal '22 Jack Gigante '22
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Peter Buyck '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Lewis Bragg '21 [3-4]		 Kate Schiable '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Will Perrine '20 [3-4]
Varsity Alex Lopez Vara '18 [1-6] Mia Maclean '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Lucas Hay '22 [3-4]
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Cohen Hughes '19 [1-6] Elle Jacobsson '19 [1-4]
Ian Westerling '18 [5-6]
Varsity Malone Tompkins '21 Regina Fusile '18
SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Charleston School of the Arts Frances Hart '19 [1-6] Ellen Emge '20 [1-4]
John White '20 [5-6]
SOA Varsity Mccormick Emge '18 [1-2]
Olivia Howe '20 [3-6]		 Olivia Howe '20 [1-2]
Allie Combos '20 [3-6]
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Noah Benton '18 Ella Smith '20
Waccamaw High School Andrew Foley '21 Jeffery (Jd) Tucker '18
Wando High School Wando High School Ben Labarca '20 Laura Johnston '21
Wando JV Clayton Register '18 [1-2]
Grant Matthews '19 [3-6]		 Charlie Rohaley '21 [1-2]
Wando High School Wando High School Ethan Johnston '18 Emily Roudebush '18
Wando Warriors Edward "Tad" Fleuren '19 Caroline Main '18

Conditions — 10/14/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1022.8 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.1 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From NE (55°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1022.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Academic Magnet: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Academic Magnet by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Academic Magnet, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →