GP South - Fall Fleet Sunday

HostGrosse Pointe South/GPYC
Date10/01/2017
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Grosse Pointe South High School	Varsity	30	19	49
2	Grosse Pointe South High School	Gold	37	50	87
3	Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranbrook Blue	31	66	97
4	Grosse IIe High School	Grosse Ile - Scarlet	22	79	101
5	Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue	79	22	101
6	West Bloomfield High School	WB Green	67	46	113
7	East Grand Rapids	EGR Varsity 1	77	44	121
8	Grosse Pointe South High School	Yellow (Mixed)	78	52	130
9	Grosse Pointe South High School	White	87	48	135
10	Grosse IIe High School	GI Grey - MIXED	66	79	145
11	Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRMS Orange-mixed	47	122	169
12	East Grand Rapids	EGR Varsity 2	48	128	176
13	Grosse Pointe North High School	Norsemen	96	97	193
14	Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranbrook Green	108	91	199
15	Grosse IIe High School	GI White - MIXED	127	98	225
16	West Bloomfield High School	MIXED	130	95	225
17	Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRMS Blue	128	110	238
18	Detroit Country Day School	Blue	122	142	264
19	Bloomfield Hills High School	MIXED	141	134	275

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Grosse IIe High School	Grosse Ile - Scarlet	2	3	5	4	2	2	1	3	22	Ian Reimel '19 Michael Kalata '18
Grosse Pointe South High School	Varsity	1	4	3	2	1	1	9	9	30	Blake Stackpoole '18 [1-8] Dominic Dulac '20 [1-2] Taft Peck '18 [3-8]
Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranbrook Blue	4	2	4	6	3	6	4	2	31	Henry Gonzalez '21 Minfei Shen '20
Grosse Pointe South High School	Gold	7	5	7	1	5	3	5	4	37	Christiana Scheibner '19 Carly Orhan '19
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRMS Orange-mixed	10	9	1	8	4	8	6	1	47	Owen Bannasch '22 Lauren Scolari '20
East Grand Rapids	EGR Varsity 2	9	1	6	7	6	4	3	12	48	Jc Lacerda '22 Mady Allen '21
Grosse IIe High School	GI Grey - MIXED	6	13	8	10	8	11	2	8	66	Molly Matthews '19 Faith Gaertner '20
West Bloomfield High School	WB Green	3	11	11	3	7	9	17	6	67	Jack Bull '19 Bryce Vandenavond '19
East Grand Rapids	EGR Varsity 1	11	6	9	5	13	12	11	10	77	Caroline Grin '21 Bella Kirchgessner '19
Grosse Pointe South High School	Yellow (Mixed)	14	14	2	11	12	10	8	7	78	Jacob Schaupeter '21 [1-2, 5-8] Max Klassen '22 [3-4] Cullen O'Brien '21 [1-2, 5-8] Jacob Schaupeter '21 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue	5	7	13	13	9	5	14	13	79	Emma Turner '19 [1-8] Luc Walz '20 [1-2] Zach Ferrell '21 [3-4] Reis Dempsey '19 [5-8]
Grosse Pointe South High School	White	8	8	10	14	19	16	7	5	87	Ashley Strong '20 [1-8] Eva Paschke '20 [1-2, 5-8] Christina Thomas '21 [3-4]
Grosse Pointe North High School	Norsemen	13	12	12	12	10	14	12	11	96	Adam Weinkauf '18 [1-8] John Godoshian '18 [1-2, 5-6] Mclellan '19 [3-4] Shay Gualdoni '21 [7-8]
Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranbrook Green	12	10	14	18	15	13	10	16	108	Adrian Stone '20 Lizzie Balsam '18
Detroit Country Day School	Blue	18	15	17	9	11	17	16	19	122	Lukas Denner '18 Jillian Campbell '18
Grosse IIe High School	GI White - MIXED	15	16	15	17	16	18	15	15	127	Alex White '20 [1-8] Jimmy Souilliere '23 [1-2, 5-8] Toby Pfeiffer '18 [3-4]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRMS Blue	17	17	16	19	14	15	13	17	128	Jon Crowe '18 Briana Licari '17
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED	16	18	18	16	18	7	19	18	130	Jake Elsen '21 [1-2, 5-6] Walter Paliga '22 [3-4, 7-8] Walter Paliga '22 [1-2, 5-6] Jake Elsen '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Bloomfield Hills High School	MIXED	19	DNF	19	15	17	19	18	14	141	Amy Phenjati '18 [1-3, 5, 7] Anthony Dziuba '21 [4, 6, 8] Madison Fan '21 [1-2] Anthony Dziuba '21 [3, 5, 7] Amy Phenjati '18 [4, 6, 8]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Grosse Pointe South High School	Varsity	8	2	1	1	1	1	4	1	19	Dominic Dulac '20 Drew Clutterbuck '19
Grosse Pointe South High School	Blue	3	6	4	2	2	2	1	2	22	Anna Carron '21 [1-8] Reis Dempsey '19 [1-2] Luc Walz '20 [3-8]
East Grand Rapids	EGR Varsity 1	10	1	3	10	6	4	2	8	44	Luke Diehm '19 Katherine Lykins '19
West Bloomfield High School	WB Green	2	3	6	11	3	6	11	4	46	Nicole Millerman '19 Nolan Beaty '19
Grosse Pointe South High School	White	4	4	7	6	8	8	6	5	48	Julia Hudson '20 Gwen Hudson '20
Grosse Pointe South High School	Gold	7	9	8	8	4	3	5	6	50	Billy Vogel '21 Matt Schulte '20
Grosse Pointe South High School	Yellow (Mixed)	1	7	2	7	5	10	13	7	52	Ryan Hexter '21 Fritz Woerner '20
Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranbrook Blue	5	5	14	13	7	7	12	3	66	Jimmy Chen '18 Mitchell Moulton '18
Grosse IIe High School	Grosse Ile - Scarlet	9	8	13	15	12	9	3	10	79	Meghan Dieball '20 Kyla Bugarin '20
Grosse IIe High School	GI Grey - MIXED	12	12	5	3	9	11	14	13	79	Maren Matthews '22 Reyn White '19
Cranbrook Kingswood	Cranbrook Green	11	13	10	9	10	14	7	17	91	Bill Fan '19 Natalie Simmons '18
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED	13	11	9	14	11	5	16	16	95	Isabel Dziuba '19 Frank Bachulis '23
Grosse Pointe North High School	Norsemen	6	14	DSQ	5	14	15	9	14	97	Teddy Prokop '19 [1-8] Shay Gualdoni '21 [1-4] Mclellan '19 [5-6] John Godoshian '18 [7-8]
Grosse IIe High School	GI White - MIXED	15	10	11	16	15	12	8	11	98	Rylan Van De Weting '20 [1-6] Toby Pfeiffer '18 [7-8] Danny Heilman '23 [1-4, 7-8] Toby Pfeiffer '18 [5-6]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRMS Blue	14	17	18	4	19	19	10	9	110	Madison Paulus '20 Emily Anschuetz '19
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRMS Orange-mixed	16	16	15	17	13	18	15	12	122	Jack Sielicki '18 Lilly Neill '18
East Grand Rapids	EGR Varsity 2	18	15	12	19	16	13	17	18	128	Simon Rockwell '20 Ella Donnelly '21
Bloomfield Hills High School	MIXED	19	18	17	12	17	17	19	15	134	Christopher Gilmer-Hill '18 [1-8] Ethan Neuvirth '18 [1-2, 5-6] Madison Fan '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Detroit Country Day School	Blue	17	DSQ	16	18	18	16	18	19	142	Michael Williams '20 Dwight Ellis '20

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.070+0.07

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Orange-mixed	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Blue	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Green	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
Detroit Country Day School Blue	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity 1	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity 2	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14
Grosse IIe High School GI Grey - MIXED	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16
Grosse IIe High School GI White - MIXED	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17
Grosse IIe High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18
Grosse Pointe South High School Blue	15	15	17	17	19	19	2	2
Grosse Pointe South High School Gold	14	14	16	16	18	18	1	1
Grosse Pointe South High School Varsity	13	13	15	15	17	17	19	19
Grosse Pointe South High School White	16	16	18	18	1	1	3	3
Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed)	17	17	19	19	2	2	4	4
West Bloomfield High School MIXED	19	19	2	2	4	4	6	6
West Bloomfield High School WB Green	18	18	1	1	3	3	5	5

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Orange-mixed	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Blue	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Green	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
Detroit Country Day School Blue	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity 1	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14
East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity 2	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
Grosse IIe High School GI Grey - MIXED	11	11	13	13	15	15	17	17
Grosse IIe High School GI White - MIXED	12	12	14	14	16	16	18	18
Grosse IIe High School Grosse Ile - Scarlet	10	10	12	12	14	14	16	16
Grosse Pointe North High School Norsemen	13	13	15	15	17	17	19	19
Grosse Pointe South High School Blue	16	16	18	18	1	1	3	3
Grosse Pointe South High School Gold	15	15	17	17	19	19	2	2
Grosse Pointe South High School Varsity	14	14	16	16	18	18	1	1
Grosse Pointe South High School White	17	17	19	19	2	2	4	4
Grosse Pointe South High School Yellow (Mixed)	18	18	1	1	3	3	5	5
West Bloomfield High School MIXED	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
West Bloomfield High School WB Green	19	19	2	2	4	4	6	6

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Bloomfield Hills High School	Amy Phenjati '18 [1-3, 5, 7] Anthony Dziuba '21 [4, 6, 8]	Madison Fan '21 [1-2] Anthony Dziuba '21 [3, 5, 7] Amy Phenjati '18 [4, 6, 8]
MIXED	Christopher Gilmer-Hill '18 [1-8]	Ethan Neuvirth '18 [1-2, 5-6] Madison Fan '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	Jon Crowe '18	Briana Licari '17
BRMS Blue	Madison Paulus '20	Emily Anschuetz '19
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	Owen Bannasch '22	Lauren Scolari '20
BRMS Orange-mixed	Jack Sielicki '18	Lilly Neill '18
Cranbrook Kingswood	Henry Gonzalez '21	Minfei Shen '20
Cranbrook Blue	Jimmy Chen '18	Mitchell Moulton '18
Cranbrook Kingswood	Adrian Stone '20	Lizzie Balsam '18
Cranbrook Green	Bill Fan '19	Natalie Simmons '18
Detroit Country Day School	Lukas Denner '18	Jillian Campbell '18
Blue	Michael Williams '20	Dwight Ellis '20
East Grand Rapids	Caroline Grin '21	Bella Kirchgessner '19
EGR Varsity 1	Luke Diehm '19	Katherine Lykins '19
East Grand Rapids	Jc Lacerda '22	Mady Allen '21
EGR Varsity 2	Simon Rockwell '20	Ella Donnelly '21
Grosse IIe High School	Molly Matthews '19	Faith Gaertner '20
GI Grey - MIXED	Maren Matthews '22	Reyn White '19
Grosse IIe High School	Alex White '20 [1-8]	Jimmy Souilliere '23 [1-2, 5-8] Toby Pfeiffer '18 [3-4]
GI White - MIXED	Rylan Van De Weting '20 [1-6] Toby Pfeiffer '18 [7-8]	Danny Heilman '23 [1-4, 7-8] Toby Pfeiffer '18 [5-6]
Grosse IIe High School	Ian Reimel '19	Michael Kalata '18
Grosse Ile - Scarlet	Meghan Dieball '20	Kyla Bugarin '20
Grosse Pointe North High School	Adam Weinkauf '18 [1-8]	John Godoshian '18 [1-2, 5-6] Mclellan '19 [3-4] Shay Gualdoni '21 [7-8]
Norsemen	Teddy Prokop '19 [1-8]	Shay Gualdoni '21 [1-4] Mclellan '19 [5-6] John Godoshian '18 [7-8]
Grosse Pointe South High School	Emma Turner '19 [1-8]	Luc Walz '20 [1-2] Zach Ferrell '21 [3-4] Reis Dempsey '19 [5-8]
Blue	Anna Carron '21 [1-8]	Reis Dempsey '19 [1-2] Luc Walz '20 [3-8]
Grosse Pointe South High School	Christiana Scheibner '19	Carly Orhan '19
Gold	Billy Vogel '21	Matt Schulte '20
Grosse Pointe South High School	Blake Stackpoole '18 [1-8]	Dominic Dulac '20 [1-2] Taft Peck '18 [3-8]
Varsity	Dominic Dulac '20	Drew Clutterbuck '19
Grosse Pointe South High School	Ashley Strong '20 [1-8]	Eva Paschke '20 [1-2, 5-8] Christina Thomas '21 [3-4]
White	Julia Hudson '20	Gwen Hudson '20
Grosse Pointe South High School	Jacob Schaupeter '21 [1-2, 5-8] Max Klassen '22 [3-4]	Cullen O'Brien '21 [1-2, 5-8] Jacob Schaupeter '21 [3-4]
Yellow (Mixed)	Ryan Hexter '21	Fritz Woerner '20
West Bloomfield High School	Jake Elsen '21 [1-2, 5-6] Walter Paliga '22 [3-4, 7-8]	Walter Paliga '22 [1-2, 5-6] Jake Elsen '21 [3-4, 7-8]
MIXED	Isabel Dziuba '19	Frank Bachulis '23
West Bloomfield High School	Jack Bull '19	Bryce Vandenavond '19
WB Green	Nicole Millerman '19	Nolan Beaty '19

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

GP South - Fall Fleet Sunday

Division A

Division B

From the notes