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Thomas Worthington Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius 27 46 73
2 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mascots 25 60 85
3 Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Varsity 43 47 90
4 Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Warriors 23 74 97
5 Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Pioneers 67 37 104
6 New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 45 74 119
7 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 73 51 124
8 Hawken School Hawken School Hawks 64 67 131
9 Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 77 58 135
10 Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Wildcats 83 53 136
11 Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 63 75 138
12 Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Mixed 77 70 147
13 Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Mixed 74 76 150
14 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 108 65 173
15 Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Varsity 111 107 218
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Warriors 4 2 1 5 3 5 2 1 23 Nadia Reynolds '20
Bryce Fleshman '20
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mascots 5 1 2 1 2 6 1 7 25 Siri Schantz '19
Lena Olsen '21
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius 6 4 6 2 1 2 4 2 27 Spencer Barnes '20
Will Thorton '19
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Varsity 8 5 7 3 4 7 3 6 43 Clay Headlee '21
Nicolas Robertson '23
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 2 7 3 7 8 1 9 8 45 Collier Ellis '21
Jed Lory '23
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 1 3 4 9 12 10 13 11 63 Zoe Hoctor '21
Vivien Strange '21
Hawken School Hawken School Hawks 3 6 10 10 10 8 5 12 64 Fisher Allyn '21
Gordon Johnson '18
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Pioneers 9 8 9 8 6 14 8 5 67 Susannah Schroeder '18
Cameron Mcvey '20
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 11 11 11 6 5 13 6 10 73 Santiago Echevarria '22
Natalie Dugan '18
Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Mixed 7 12 8 4 11 12 11 9 74 Cora Mcvey-Steele '21
Lilli Malone '22
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Mixed 10 15 5 14 7 3 10 13 77 Sam Schwartz '20
Porter Martin '23
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 15 10 12 11 9 4 12 4 77 Ashlin N. Fegen '20
Natalie Dugan '18
Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Wildcats 12 9 13 15 13 11 7 3 83 Grace Yingling '18
Caroline Urbanic '18
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 14 14 14 13 15 9 14 15 108 Tom Oelkers '19
Raaghuv Vazirani '22
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Varsity 13 13 15 12 14 15 15 14 111 Kyle Burkey '23
Alec Kingsley '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Pioneers 1 3 8 6 1 14 3 1 37 Mason Shaw '22
Alex Butte '23
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius 6 2 2 12 2 6 4 12 46 Will Carroll '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Jp Starck '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Jp Starck '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Will Carroll '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Varsity 8 7 11 4 11 1 2 3 47 Katy Schroeder '19
Abby Headlee '19
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 4 9 10 11 5 2 5 5 51 Margot Dugan '20
Aiden Carter '22
Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Wildcats 2 1 5 13 6 12 10 4 53 Kent Howell '19
Molly Jones '23
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity 3 8 12 2 8 5 13 7 58 Grace Quasebarth '20
Ellen Petrigan '22
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Mascots 10 12 7 8 4 10 1 8 60 Cameron Friedauer '20
Emma Friedauer '23
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Patriots 14 15 4 10 3 9 8 2 65 Donovan Decoster '22
Hayden Henderson '22
Hawken School Hawken School Hawks 13 13 1 1 7 8 11 13 67 Mac Mcmillan '22
Fletcher Allyn '23
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Mixed 9 11 9 3 14 4 6 14 70 Emily Mcvey '23
Alex Tuma '22
New Albany High School New Albany High School Eagles 5 4 3 14 12 7 14 15 74 Mackenzie Derflinger '21
Chloe Delma '20
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Warriors 7 5 13 9 9 11 9 11 74 Brendon Smucker '21
Sam Heighway '21
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals 11 6 14 7 10 3 15 9 75 Marshall Wellejus '22
Gwenyth Miroslaw '22
Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Mixed 12 10 6 5 13 13 7 10 76 Nick Byerly '18
Kaleb Mccormick '23
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Varsity 15 14 15 15 15 15 12 6 107 Emmet Foley '23
Kyle Bruxe '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Hawken SchoolHawken School Hawks4466881010
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles5577991111
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mascots668810101212
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Patriots779911111313
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Varsity88101012121414
Olentangy Orange High SchoolOlentangy Orange High School Mixed1111131315151717
Olentangy Orange High SchoolOlentangy Orange High School Pioneers1010121214141616
Olentangy Orange High SchoolOlentangy Orange High School Varsity99111113131515
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates1212141416161818
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity13131515171744
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius14141616181855
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals151517174466
Westerville Central High SchoolWesterville Central High School Mixed161618185577
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Warriors1717446688
Westerville South High SchoolWesterville South High School Wildcats1818557799

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Hawken SchoolHawken School Hawks5577991111
New Albany High SchoolNew Albany High School Eagles668810101212
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Mascots779911111313
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Patriots88101012121414
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School Varsity99111113131515
Olentangy Orange High SchoolOlentangy Orange High School Mixed1212141416161818
Olentangy Orange High SchoolOlentangy Orange High School Pioneers1111131315151717
Olentangy Orange High SchoolOlentangy Orange High School Varsity1010121214141616
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates13131515171744
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Varsity14141616181855
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius151517174466
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School Cardinals161618185577
Westerville Central High SchoolWesterville Central High School Mixed1717446688
Westerville North High SchoolWesterville North High School Warriors1818557799
Westerville South High SchoolWesterville South High School Wildcats4466881010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Hawken School Hawken School Fisher Allyn '21 Gordon Johnson '18
Hawks Mac Mcmillan '22 Fletcher Allyn '23
New Albany High School New Albany High School Collier Ellis '21 Jed Lory '23
Eagles Mackenzie Derflinger '21 Chloe Delma '20
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Siri Schantz '19 Lena Olsen '21
Mascots Cameron Friedauer '20 Emma Friedauer '23
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Tom Oelkers '19 Raaghuv Vazirani '22
Patriots Donovan Decoster '22 Hayden Henderson '22
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School Kyle Burkey '23 Alec Kingsley '23
Varsity Emmet Foley '23 Kyle Bruxe '23
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Sam Schwartz '20 Porter Martin '23
Mixed Emily Mcvey '23 Alex Tuma '22
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Susannah Schroeder '18 Cameron Mcvey '20
Pioneers Mason Shaw '22 Alex Butte '23
Olentangy Orange High School Olentangy Orange High School Clay Headlee '21 Nicolas Robertson '23
Varsity Katy Schroeder '19 Abby Headlee '19
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Santiago Echevarria '22 Natalie Dugan '18
Pirates Margot Dugan '20 Aiden Carter '22
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Ashlin N. Fegen '20 Natalie Dugan '18
Varsity Grace Quasebarth '20 Ellen Petrigan '22
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Spencer Barnes '20 Will Thorton '19
St. Ignatius Will Carroll '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Jp Starck '18 [3-4, 7-8]		 Jp Starck '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Will Carroll '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School Zoe Hoctor '21 Vivien Strange '21
Cardinals Marshall Wellejus '22 Gwenyth Miroslaw '22
Westerville Central High School Westerville Central High School Cora Mcvey-Steele '21 Lilli Malone '22
Mixed Nick Byerly '18 Kaleb Mccormick '23
Westerville North High School Westerville North High School Nadia Reynolds '20 Bryce Fleshman '20
Warriors Brendon Smucker '21 Sam Heighway '21
Westerville South High School Westerville South High School Grace Yingling '18 Caroline Urbanic '18
Wildcats Kent Howell '19 Molly Jones '23

Conditions — 09/09/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1029.0 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 6.0 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From NNE (34°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1029.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn · E 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Thomas Worthington: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Thomas Worthington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Thomas Worthington, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →