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NJISA Wed Series Two

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 12 7 19
2 Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 2 9 10 19
3 Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 15 22 37
4 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 25 23 48
5 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 34 16 50
6 Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Varsity 39 30 69
7 Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 1 44 27 71
8 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 38 34 72
9 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 32 41 73
10 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 24 49 73
11 Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 1 42 32 74
12 Red Bank Catholic High School Red Bank Catholic High School Caseys 32 50 82
13 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 38 54 92
14 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 58 37 95
15 St. Augustine Prep School St. Augustine Prep School Hermits 46 66 112
16 Henry Hudson Regional School Henry Hudson Regional School Admirals 60 63 123
17 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 71 53 124
18 Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 2 65 70 135
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 2 5 1 1 2 9 Colleen O'Brien '20
Sophie Harrington '22
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 2 3 6 12 Cameron Giblin '19 [1-4]
Will Beyer '20 [1-2]
John Cocozza '20 [3]
Catherine Vucetic '19 [4]
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 2 3 7 3 15 Declan Botwinick '21
Evan Harrison '21
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 8 13 2 1 24 Taylor Warwick '20
Nate Ciak '20
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 3 5 6 11 25 Quinn Harrington '19
Walter Mehl '21
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 4 6 10 12 32 Zach Higham '19 [1-2]
Alexa Carles '19 [3-4]
Paige Zelenak '19 [1-2]
Garrett Johnston '22 [3-4]
Red Bank Catholic High School Red Bank Catholic High School Caseys 12 8 8 4 32 Molly Meehan '19
Caroline Fortier '19
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 11 7 9 7 34 Lauren Ehnot '20
Alex Chrystal '20
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 6 9 14 9 38 Bridget Green '21 [1-2]
Tom Green '19 [3-4]
Nate Ertle '20 [1-2]
Joe Mrazek '20 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 7 14 4 13 38 Ryan Ehnot '22 [1-4]
Justin Modin '19 [1-2]
Connor Feury '22 [3-4]
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Varsity 10 12 12 5 39 Patrick Modin '19
Harrison Quinn '20
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 1 17 10 5 10 42 Annabel Bornebusch '22 [1-2]
Peter Taboada '20 [3-4]
Dylan O'Leary '22 [1-2]
Griffin Petry '22 [3-4]
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 1 9 4 13 18 44 Harry Ricker '19
Danny Raphael '19
St. Augustine Prep School St. Augustine Prep School Hermits 16 11 11 8 46 Zachary York '20 [1-2]
Michael Pinto '19 [3-4]
Mason Medolla '22 [1-2]
Calvin Mcclain '22 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 13 15 15 15 58 Patrick Cashin '20 [1-2]
Michael Laguardia '21 [3-4]
Aedan Moran '20 [1-2]
Bradford Iturralde '20 [3-4]
Henry Hudson Regional School Henry Hudson Regional School Admirals 14 16 16 14 60 Benson Chiles '22 [1-4]
Tobin Mytnick '22 [1-2]
Jack Crowley '22 [3-4]
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 2 15 17 17 16 65 Arianna Weber '21 [1-2]
Aris Condos '20 [3-4]
Owen Desanto '23 [1-2]
Alexis Lugo '22 [3-4]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 18 18 18 17 71 Joseph Paccione '21
Gabriel Anama '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 1 1 3 2 7 Luke Arnone '19 [1-2]
Brooke Schmelz '21 [3-4]
Blake Epstein '19 [1-2]
Matthew Hamelsky '19 [3-4]
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 2 3 2 1 4 10 Michaela O'Brien '20
Amelia Buch '20
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 7 2 5 16 Julia Laforgia '19 [1-4]
Hope Maguire '19 [1-2]
Ella Bilow '22 [3-4]
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 5 5 11 1 22 Everett Botwinick '22
Connor Corbett '22
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 8 4 5 6 23 Ryan Mullins '19
Joseph David '20
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 1 11 9 4 3 27 Shaanti Choi-Bose '19
Taylor Rice '19
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Varsity 7 6 9 8 30 Topher Lucyk '20 [1-4]
Riley Plosica '19 [1-2]
Ryan Mcbride '20 [3-4]
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 1 6 8 6 12 32 Joey Laplaca '20
Danielle Petry '20
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 9 3 12 10 34 Brielle Willoughby '20 [1-2]
Christian Pagan '22 [3-4]
Alex Klinov '22 [1-2]
Brielle Willoughby '20 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 10 11 7 9 37 Matthew Bell '20 [1-2]
Duncan Hathaway '20 [3-4]
Rodney Wotton '20 [1-2]
John Ruane '21 [3-4]
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 4 10 14 13 41 Leo Krajewski '19 [1-2]
Jack Parks '21 [3-4]
Alexandria Carvhalo '21 [1-2]
Kyle Braden '21 [3-4]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 12 15 8 14 49 Luke Barlet '20
Thomas Glawson '19
Red Bank Catholic High School Red Bank Catholic High School Caseys 13 12 10 15 50 Hailey Hathaway '22
Steven Clagget '19
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 15 13 18 7 53 Alexander Plaskon '21
Danny Piazza '21
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 14 14 15 11 54 Colin Guerrera '22
Hunter Oleynik '22
Henry Hudson Regional School Henry Hudson Regional School Admirals 16 17 13 17 63 Conor Greene '22 [1-4]
Gavin Sapio '22 [1-2]
Jake Zydel '22 [3-4]
St. Augustine Prep School St. Augustine Prep School Hermits 18 16 16 16 66 Chris Medolla '20 [1-2]
Patrick York '20 [3-4]
Corbin Menzgentzow '22 [1-2]
Chase Davis '20 [3-4]
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Eagles 2 17 18 17 18 70 Erin Murphy '20
Maxwell Bonanno '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Central Regional High SchoolCentral Regional High School Eagles 118181818
Central Regional High SchoolCentral Regional High School Eagles 217171717
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 116161616
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 215151515
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 314141414
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 113131313
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 212121212
Henry Hudson Regional SchoolHenry Hudson Regional School Admirals11111111
Marine Academy of Science and TechnologyMarine Academy of Science and Technology Varsity10101010
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers9999
Red Bank Catholic High SchoolRed Bank Catholic High School Caseys8888
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 17777
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 26666
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams5555
St. Augustine Prep SchoolSt. Augustine Prep School Hermits4444
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners3333
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians2222
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs1111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Central Regional High SchoolCentral Regional High School Eagles 118181818
Central Regional High SchoolCentral Regional High School Eagles 217171717
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 116161616
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 215151515
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 314141414
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 113131313
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 212121212
Henry Hudson Regional SchoolHenry Hudson Regional School Admirals11111111
Marine Academy of Science and TechnologyMarine Academy of Science and Technology Varsity10101010
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers9999
Red Bank Catholic High SchoolRed Bank Catholic High School Caseys8888
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 17777
Rumson-Fair HavenRumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs 26666
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams5555
St. Augustine Prep SchoolSt. Augustine Prep School Hermits4444
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners3333
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians2222
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs1111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Annabel Bornebusch '22 [1-2]
Peter Taboada '20 [3-4]		 Dylan O'Leary '22 [1-2]
Griffin Petry '22 [3-4]
Eagles 1 Joey Laplaca '20 Danielle Petry '20
Central Regional High School Central Regional High School Arianna Weber '21 [1-2]
Aris Condos '20 [3-4]		 Owen Desanto '23 [1-2]
Alexis Lugo '22 [3-4]
Eagles 2 Erin Murphy '20 Maxwell Bonanno '19
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Quinn Harrington '19 Walter Mehl '21
Colts 1 Ryan Mullins '19 Joseph David '20
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Patrick Cashin '20 [1-2]
Michael Laguardia '21 [3-4]		 Aedan Moran '20 [1-2]
Bradford Iturralde '20 [3-4]
Colts 2 Matthew Bell '20 [1-2]
Duncan Hathaway '20 [3-4]		 Rodney Wotton '20 [1-2]
John Ruane '21 [3-4]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Ryan Ehnot '22 [1-4] Justin Modin '19 [1-2]
Connor Feury '22 [3-4]
Colts 3 Colin Guerrera '22 Hunter Oleynik '22
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Taylor Warwick '20 Nate Ciak '20
Griffins 1 Luke Barlet '20 Thomas Glawson '19
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Joseph Paccione '21 Gabriel Anama '21
Griffins 2 Alexander Plaskon '21 Danny Piazza '21
Henry Hudson Regional School Henry Hudson Regional School Benson Chiles '22 [1-4] Tobin Mytnick '22 [1-2]
Jack Crowley '22 [3-4]
Admirals Conor Greene '22 [1-4] Gavin Sapio '22 [1-2]
Jake Zydel '22 [3-4]
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Patrick Modin '19 Harrison Quinn '20
Varsity Topher Lucyk '20 [1-4] Riley Plosica '19 [1-2]
Ryan Mcbride '20 [3-4]
Ranney School Ranney School Cameron Giblin '19 [1-4] Will Beyer '20 [1-2]
John Cocozza '20 [3]
Catherine Vucetic '19 [4]
Panthers Luke Arnone '19 [1-2]
Brooke Schmelz '21 [3-4]		 Blake Epstein '19 [1-2]
Matthew Hamelsky '19 [3-4]
Red Bank Catholic High School Red Bank Catholic High School Molly Meehan '19 Caroline Fortier '19
Caseys Hailey Hathaway '22 Steven Clagget '19
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Harry Ricker '19 Danny Raphael '19
Bulldogs 1 Shaanti Choi-Bose '19 Taylor Rice '19
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Colleen O'Brien '20 Sophie Harrington '22
Bulldogs 2 Michaela O'Brien '20 Amelia Buch '20
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Bridget Green '21 [1-2]
Tom Green '19 [3-4]		 Nate Ertle '20 [1-2]
Joe Mrazek '20 [3-4]
Rams Brielle Willoughby '20 [1-2]
Christian Pagan '22 [3-4]		 Alex Klinov '22 [1-2]
Brielle Willoughby '20 [3-4]
St. Augustine Prep School St. Augustine Prep School Zachary York '20 [1-2]
Michael Pinto '19 [3-4]		 Mason Medolla '22 [1-2]
Calvin Mcclain '22 [3-4]
Hermits Chris Medolla '20 [1-2]
Patrick York '20 [3-4]		 Corbin Menzgentzow '22 [1-2]
Chase Davis '20 [3-4]
Toms River North Toms River North Declan Botwinick '21 Evan Harrison '21
Mariners Everett Botwinick '22 Connor Corbett '22
Toms River South Toms River South Zach Higham '19 [1-2]
Alexa Carles '19 [3-4]		 Paige Zelenak '19 [1-2]
Garrett Johnston '22 [3-4]
Indians Leo Krajewski '19 [1-2]
Jack Parks '21 [3-4]		 Alexandria Carvhalo '21 [1-2]
Kyle Braden '21 [3-4]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Lauren Ehnot '20 Alex Chrystal '20
Monarchs Julia Laforgia '19 [1-4] Hope Maguire '19 [1-2]
Ella Bilow '22 [3-4]

Conditions — 09/19/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1012.7 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.6 kn
avg  ·  max 8.1 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From NE (38°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover50% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1012.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christian Brothers: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.14 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christian Brothers by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Christian Brothers, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →