Sugar Bowl 2018

HostSouthern Yacht Club
Date12/01/2018
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Ft. Walton Beach High School	Vikings	18	10	28
2	Isidore Newman School	Greenies	26	18	44
3	St. Stanislaus	Rock-A-Chaws	31	17	48
4	Jesuit High School, NOLA	Blue Jays	13	63	76
5	Ursuline Academy	Lions 1	43	39	82
6	Ursuline Academy	Lions 2	45	46	91
7	Ben Franklin High School	Falcons	54	50	104
8	CUBS	CUBS	47 MRP	61 MRP	108 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Jesuit High School, NOLA	Blue Jays	2	2	1	2	3	1	2	13	Reed Menszer '20 Caleb Keister '22
Ft. Walton Beach High School	Vikings	1	3	2	3	2	4	3	18	Cameron Farrah '19 [1-7] Cody Amy '21 [1-2, 5-7] Cameron Mendoza '19 [3-4]
Isidore Newman School	Greenies	3	1	RAF	1	1	6	5	26	Nick Lovell '23 [1-7] Floris Kempler '19 [1-6] Ellie Menszer '22 [7]
St. Stanislaus	Rock-A-Chaws	5	6	3	4	4	3	6	31	William Diaz '20 [1-7] Hanna Dawley '19 [1-4] Wallace St. Paul '21 [5-7]
Ursuline Academy	Lions 1	DNF	8	5	6	6	5	4	43	Riley Reech '20 [1-7] Isabella White '22 [1-2] Sophie Chevis '21 [3-4] Sarah Poche '19 [5-7]
Ursuline Academy	Lions 2	6	5	4	7	8	8	7	45	Emily Threeton '22 [1-7] Kristina Rosch '22 [1-4, 7] Meghan Keen '22 [5-6]
CUBS	CUBS	4	4	6	5	5	2	1	47 MRP
Ben Franklin High School	Falcons	DNS	7	7	8	7	7	DSQ	54	Jack Hammett '22 [1-4] Sarah Marlar '20 [5-7] Rachel Bancroft '21 [1-7]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Ft. Walton Beach High School	Vikings	1	1	1	1	4	1	1	10	Dalton Edecker '19 [1-6] Zach Lambert '19 [7] Zach Lambert '19 [1-6] Dalton Edecker '19 [7]
St. Stanislaus	Rock-A-Chaws	2	3	4	3	1	2	2	17	Joshua Grumme '20 Joel Grumme '21
Isidore Newman School	Greenies	3	2	2	2	2	4	3	18	Ashley Alfortish '23 [1-2] Chris Hebert '19 [3-7] Chris Hebert '19 [1-2] Nicholas Combe '19 [3-4] Joshua Keegan '20 [5-7]
Ursuline Academy	Lions 1	5	4	5	4	RAF	6	6	39	Elsie Leblanc '20 [1-4, 7] Isabella White '22 [5-6] Karen Stiegler '21 [1-4, 7] Sophie Chevis '21 [5-6]
Ursuline Academy	Lions 2	4	DNS	6	DNF	6	7	5	46	Kennedy Cooper '20 [1-4, 7] Meghan Keen '22 [5-6] Christina Scavo '20 [1-2, 7] Christina Basara '22 [3-6]
Ben Franklin High School	Falcons	DNF	DNS	DNS	DNS	5	5	4	50	Sarah Bancroft '19 Sahana Jaligam '22
CUBS	CUBS	DNS	DNS	3	5	3	3	DNS	61 MRP
Jesuit High School, NOLA	Blue Jays	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	63	No Show No Show

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.060+0.06

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Ben Franklin High School Falcons	30	30	31	31	32	32	33
Ft. Walton Beach High School Vikings	31	31	32	32	33	33	34
Isidore Newman School Greenies	32	32	33	33	34	34	35
Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays	33	33	34	34	35	35	36
CUBS CUBS	34	34	35	35	36	36	37
St. Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws	35	35	36	36	37	37	30
Ursuline Academy Lions 1	36	36	37	37	30	30	31
Ursuline Academy Lions 2	37	37	30	30	31	31	32

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Ben Franklin High School Falcons	34	34	35	35	36	36	37
Ft. Walton Beach High School Vikings	35	35	36	36	37	37	30
Isidore Newman School Greenies	36	36	37	37	30	30	31
Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays	37	37	30	30	31	31	32
CUBS CUBS	30	30	31	31	32	32	33
St. Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws	31	31	32	32	33	33	34
Ursuline Academy Lions 1	32	32	33	33	34	34	35
Ursuline Academy Lions 2	33	33	34	34	35	35	36

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Ben Franklin High School	Jack Hammett '22 [1-4] Sarah Marlar '20 [5-7]	Rachel Bancroft '21 [1-7]
Falcons	Sarah Bancroft '19	Sahana Jaligam '22
Ft. Walton Beach High School	Cameron Farrah '19 [1-7]	Cody Amy '21 [1-2, 5-7] Cameron Mendoza '19 [3-4]
Vikings	Dalton Edecker '19 [1-6] Zach Lambert '19 [7]	Zach Lambert '19 [1-6] Dalton Edecker '19 [7]
Isidore Newman School	Nick Lovell '23 [1-7]	Floris Kempler '19 [1-6] Ellie Menszer '22 [7]
Greenies	Ashley Alfortish '23 [1-2] Chris Hebert '19 [3-7]	Chris Hebert '19 [1-2] Nicholas Combe '19 [3-4] Joshua Keegan '20 [5-7]
Jesuit High School, NOLA	Reed Menszer '20	Caleb Keister '22
Blue Jays	No Show	No Show
St. Stanislaus	William Diaz '20 [1-7]	Hanna Dawley '19 [1-4] Wallace St. Paul '21 [5-7]
Rock-A-Chaws	Joshua Grumme '20	Joel Grumme '21
Ursuline Academy	Riley Reech '20 [1-7]	Isabella White '22 [1-2] Sophie Chevis '21 [3-4] Sarah Poche '19 [5-7]
Lions 1	Elsie Leblanc '20 [1-4, 7] Isabella White '22 [5-6]	Karen Stiegler '21 [1-4, 7] Sophie Chevis '21 [5-6]
Ursuline Academy	Emily Threeton '22 [1-7]	Kristina Rosch '22 [1-4, 7] Meghan Keen '22 [5-6]
Lions 2	Kennedy Cooper '20 [1-4, 7] Meghan Keen '22 [5-6]	Christina Scavo '20 [1-2, 7] Christina Basara '22 [3-6]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

Sugar Bowl 2018

Division A

Division B

From the notes