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MN Conference 1 - Fall 2019

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Washburn High School Washburn High School Mixed 2 45 12 57
2 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 29 62 91
3 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 69 23 92
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 70 28 98
5 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 49 53 102
6 Breck Breck Varsity 98 32 130
7 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 40 95 135
8 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 72 79 151
9 Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 125 33 158
10 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 39 123 162
11 Washburn High School Washburn High School Mixed 1 93 73 166
12 Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 70 99 169
13 Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 121 51 172
14 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 37 137 174
15 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 78 105 183
16 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 85 102 187
17 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 136 77 213
18 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 69 149 218
19 Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Mixed 79 140 219
20 River Falls High School River Falls High School Mixed 120 125 245
21 Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Varsity 157 91 248
22 Pequot Lakes High School Pequot Lakes High School Mixed 125 130 255
23 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 137 129 266
24 Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 158 152 310
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 9 1 1 7 5 3 3 29 Seamus Hendrickson '21
Hunter Wheaton '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 5 4 3 8 8 7 2 37 Jacob Zils '23
Sofia Sigel '24
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 10 6 8 2 1 8 4 39 Robbie Dresen '25 [1-7]
Lynzy Tran '21 [1-2, 5-7]
Jaeger Hosmer '24 [3-4]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 11 3 2 1 4 12 7 40 Hank Seum '23 [1-7]
Parker Ziegler '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Madeline Mcnerline '23 [3-4, 7]
Washburn High School Washburn High School Mixed 2 4 2 14 6 3 15 1 45 Sean Mcaneney '21
Gints Pelecis '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 1 7 7 18 10 1 5 49 James Jagielski '21
Helene Schroeder '22
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 2 14 11 13 11 10 8 69 Finn Tait '21
Tj Isberg '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 12 8 4 5 13 6 21 69 Tryg Van Wyk '22
Bryce Lesinski '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 8 10 9 3 7 19 14 70 Greg Bittle '21
Tristan Wischmeier '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 16 13 17 10 6 2 6 70 Finn Edevold '24
Timothy Chouinard '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 14 11 10 4 9 11 13 72 Max Sigel '22
Evy Engebretson '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 15 12 6 17 2 9 17 78 Marley Barrett '23
Macie Anundson '20
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Mixed 6 5 12 14 19 14 9 79 Madeline Netzer '22
Harriet Slaats '21
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 3 15 20 15 12 5 15 85 Luke Schmidt '26
Claire Brings '21
Washburn High School Washburn High School Mixed 1 7 16 5 OCS 16 4 20 93 Alexandre Cholat '22
Hazel Eiden '25
Breck Breck Varsity 18 9 19 9 17 16 10 98 William Sweeney '21 [1-7]
Wren Pellant '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Evan Lin '21 [3-4, 7]
River Falls High School River Falls High School Mixed 13 18 18 11 21 23 16 120 Logan Farner '20
Ruby Bancroft '25
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 21 20 15 16 18 13 18 121 Virginia Higgins '22
Tyler Utendorfer '22
Pequot Lakes High School Pequot Lakes High School Mixed 17 22 13 19 14 21 19 125 Jackson Holmes '21
Hailey Nameniuk '21
Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 19 17 22 12 22 22 11 125 Connor Shore '22 [1-7]
Ryan Boudreau '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Trey Brixius '23 [3-4]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 20 21 16 20 20 17 22 136 Stonewall Anderson '26
Andrew Sabin '26
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 24 24 21 21 15 20 12 137 Parker Abed '22 [1-2]
Louise Rosenbaum '20 [3-7]
Kenzie Germanson '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Parker Abed '22 [3-4, 7]
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Varsity 22 23 24 22 24 18 24 157 Aidan Lundgren '22
William Fleming '25
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 23 19 23 23 23 24 23 158 Wyatt Holst '24
Keaton Kearney '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Washburn High School Washburn High School Mixed 2 1 2 1 4 2 1 1 12 Patryk Stachowicz '24
Mark Kamenev '24
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 2 5 5 6 1 2 2 23 Wyatt Tait '23
Hayden Graff '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 6 1 6 3 3 4 5 28 Jack Callinan '23
Rory Cole '22
Breck Breck Varsity 4 6 3 5 5 5 4 32 Maeve Katics '22
Erin Mcdonagh '24
Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 3 4 2 7 11 3 3 33 Harper Gordon '26 [1-7]
Alyson Liu '24 [1-6]
Trey Brixius '23 [7]
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 17 10 4 1 4 9 6 51 Grady Van Ness '22
Alex Wicklund '23
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 10 3 7 11 6 8 8 53 Paul Wang '24
Sam Fider '22
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 9 14 12 2 7 11 7 62 Harrison Anderson '23
Morgan Reeves '22
Washburn High School Washburn High School Mixed 1 5 12 9 14 12 12 9 73 Leo Markus '23
Amelia Selstad '22
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 7 7 14 8 15 16 10 77 Paige Kurtenbach '23
William Barrett '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 13 13 11 10 14 7 11 79 Isabela Snow '23
Ana Stewart '23
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Varsity 11 8 13 19 16 6 18 91 Anneliese Farner '25
Logan Farner '20
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 12 9 18 13 13 18 12 95 Stephen Olk '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Samantha Forgosh '22 [3-4, 7]
Samantha Forgosh '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Stephen Olk '21 [3-4, 7]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Mixed 8 20 16 15 8 10 22 99 Griffin Sack '24
Michael Van Panhuys '22
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 14 11 21 12 9 22 13 102 Luke Larson '22
Stella Townshend '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 15 18 8 16 10 17 21 105 Jack Wherry '23
Jordi Malaret '23
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 21 17 10 20 22 13 20 123 Stella Townshend '22
Kate Hoffman '21
River Falls High School River Falls High School Mixed 18 22 15 9 20 24 17 125 Sophia Nelson '21
Emmanuel Hanson '20
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 23 21 17 21 18 14 15 129 Martin Weiss '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Rory Baker '24 [3-4]
Rory Baker '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Martin Weiss '22 [3-4]
Pequot Lakes High School Pequot Lakes High School Mixed 20 15 22 18 21 15 19 130 Ethan Stohr '23
Ella Kline '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 24 16 19 17 24 23 14 137 Caroline Van Neste '22
Addie Mcgrath '23
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Mixed 19 23 23 23 17 19 16 140 Lorenzo Good '25 [1-7]
Zoe Walters '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Paige Donnelly '21 [3-4, 7]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 16 24 20 22 23 21 23 149 Lucy Snow '24
Katherine Ahlquist '24
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 22 19 24 24 19 20 24 152 Ethan Nash '23
Maddie Holst '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bloomington JeffersonBloomington Jefferson Mixed29292929292929
Brainerd High SchoolBrainerd High School Warriors17171717171717
BreckBreck Varsity12121212121212
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets19191919191919
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed30303030303030
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed13131313131313
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 131313131313131
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 29999999
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 310101010101010
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 418181818181818
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers14141414141414
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed2222222
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans6666666
Pequot Lakes High SchoolPequot Lakes High School Mixed3333333
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Mixed16161616161616
River Falls High SchoolRiver Falls High School Mixed32323232323232
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers26262626262626
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Mixed28282828282828
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans21212121212121
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Varsity7777777
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Mixed 18888888
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Mixed 215151515151515
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy5555555
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears11111111111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Bloomington JeffersonBloomington Jefferson Mixed29292929292929
Brainerd High SchoolBrainerd High School Warriors17171717171717
BreckBreck Varsity12121212121212
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets19191919191919
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed30303030303030
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed13131313131313
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 131313131313131
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 29999999
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 310101010101010
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 418181818181818
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers14141414141414
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed2222222
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans6666666
Pequot Lakes High SchoolPequot Lakes High School Mixed3333333
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Mixed16161616161616
River Falls High SchoolRiver Falls High School Mixed32323232323232
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers26262626262626
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Mixed28282828282828
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans21212121212121
Stillwater High SchoolStillwater High School Varsity7777777
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Mixed 18888888
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Mixed 215151515151515
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy5555555
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears11111111111111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Madeline Netzer '22 Harriet Slaats '21
Mixed Lorenzo Good '25 [1-7] Zoe Walters '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Paige Donnelly '21 [3-4, 7]
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Wyatt Holst '24 Keaton Kearney '23
Warriors Ethan Nash '23 Maddie Holst '23
Breck Breck William Sweeney '21 [1-7] Wren Pellant '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Evan Lin '21 [3-4, 7]
Varsity Maeve Katics '22 Erin Mcdonagh '24
Edina High School Edina High School Virginia Higgins '22 Tyler Utendorfer '22
Hornets Grady Van Ness '22 Alex Wicklund '23
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Luke Schmidt '26 Claire Brings '21
Mixed Luke Larson '22 Stella Townshend '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Tryg Van Wyk '22 Bryce Lesinski '23
Mixed Lucy Snow '24 Katherine Ahlquist '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Greg Bittle '21 Tristan Wischmeier '21
Skippers 1 Jack Callinan '23 Rory Cole '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Marley Barrett '23 Macie Anundson '20
Skippers 2 Jack Wherry '23 Jordi Malaret '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Jacob Zils '23 Sofia Sigel '24
Skippers 3 Caroline Van Neste '22 Addie Mcgrath '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Max Sigel '22 Evy Engebretson '24
Skippers 4 Isabela Snow '23 Ana Stewart '23
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Hank Seum '23 [1-7] Parker Ziegler '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Madeline Mcnerline '23 [3-4, 7]
Panthers Stephen Olk '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Samantha Forgosh '22 [3-4, 7]		 Samantha Forgosh '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Stephen Olk '21 [3-4, 7]
Orono High School Orono High School Parker Abed '22 [1-2]
Louise Rosenbaum '20 [3-7]		 Kenzie Germanson '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Parker Abed '22 [3-4, 7]
Mixed Martin Weiss '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Rory Baker '24 [3-4]		 Rory Baker '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Martin Weiss '22 [3-4]
Orono High School Orono High School Seamus Hendrickson '21 Hunter Wheaton '23
Spartans Harrison Anderson '23 Morgan Reeves '22
Pequot Lakes High School Pequot Lakes High School Jackson Holmes '21 Hailey Nameniuk '21
Mixed Ethan Stohr '23 Ella Kline '21
Providence Academy Providence Academy Connor Shore '22 [1-7] Ryan Boudreau '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Trey Brixius '23 [3-4]
Mixed Harper Gordon '26 [1-7] Alyson Liu '24 [1-6]
Trey Brixius '23 [7]
River Falls High School River Falls High School Logan Farner '20 Ruby Bancroft '25
Mixed Sophia Nelson '21 Emmanuel Hanson '20
Southwest High School Southwest High School James Jagielski '21 Helene Schroeder '22
Lakers Paul Wang '24 Sam Fider '22
Southwest High School Southwest High School Finn Edevold '24 Timothy Chouinard '26
Mixed Griffin Sack '24 Michael Van Panhuys '22
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Finn Tait '21 Tj Isberg '21
Spartans Wyatt Tait '23 Hayden Graff '21
Stillwater High School Stillwater High School Aidan Lundgren '22 William Fleming '25
Varsity Anneliese Farner '25 Logan Farner '20
Washburn High School Washburn High School Alexandre Cholat '22 Hazel Eiden '25
Mixed 1 Leo Markus '23 Amelia Selstad '22
Washburn High School Washburn High School Sean Mcaneney '21 Gints Pelecis '21
Mixed 2 Patryk Stachowicz '24 Mark Kamenev '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Stonewall Anderson '26 Andrew Sabin '26
Navy Paige Kurtenbach '23 William Barrett '24
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Robbie Dresen '25 [1-7] Lynzy Tran '21 [1-2, 5-7]
Jaeger Hosmer '24 [3-4]
Bears Stella Townshend '22 Kate Hoffman '21

Conditions — 09/14/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1024.2 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.0 kn
avg  ·  max 3.5 kn
Gusts to 10.3 kn
From NNE (20°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover10% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1024.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 5 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bloomington Jefferso/Edina/Hopkins/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M/Washburn: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.33 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bloomington Jefferso/Edina/Hopkins/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M/Washburn by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Bloomington Jefferso/Edina/Hopkins/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M/Washburn: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →