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NWISA Fall Championship - Silver

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 8 10 18
2 Lakeside School Lakeside School Lions 5 15 20
3 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 1 17 12 29
4 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 3 17 13 30
5 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 15 23 38
6 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Blues 30 15 45
7 Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 1 29 19 48
8 Tarriers Tarriers Tarriers 41 18 59
9 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 4 19 47 66
10 Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 23 44 67
11 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 2 23 45 68
12 Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 40 29 69
13 Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 50 21 71
14 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Islanders 36 43 79
15 Storm Storm Storm 44 35 79
16 Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 2 35 48 83
17 Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 3 52 35 87
18 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 38 56 94
19 North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 52 53 105
20 Cougars Cougars Cougars 57 49 106
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Lakeside School Lakeside School Lions 1 1 3 5 Lucien Freemesser '23
Luka Moonen '23
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 5 1 8 Sammy Farkas '23
Leah Feller '23
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 4 4 7 15 Barrett Lhamon '22 [1-3]
Noah Fernandes '23 [1-2]
Marty Weigel '21 [3]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 3 3 8 6 17 Hatcher Cox '21
Kai Nicholas '22
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 1 6 6 5 17 Erin Pamplin '20
No Show
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 4 8 7 4 19 Ian Connolly '21
Charlie Snyder '24
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 2 5 16 2 23 Peter Kelleher '22
Miles Kirkbride '22
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 10 2 11 23 Caroline Lochner '22
Isabelle Mcnabb '22
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 1 9 10 10 29 Sam Hopper '20
Etienne Quille '21
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Blues 7 14 9 30 Nolan Wiggins '23
Jack Turkovich '22
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 2 16 3 16 35 Wynn Doman '20
Piper Easton '21
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Islanders 12 9 15 36 Evan Yeung '22 [1-3]
Adam Turloff '24 [1-2]
Carter Anderson '23 [3]
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 13 12 13 38 Andrew Buys '21 [1-2]
Jack West '20 [3]
Kaitlin Mann '23 [1-2]
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 11 15 14 40 Odin Smith '21
Sophie Kunka '23
Tarriers Tarriers Tarriers 15 18 8 41
Storm Storm Storm 19 13 12 44
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 18 11 DNF 50 Oliver Nairn '23
Kaia Armas '21
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 14 19 19 52 Alex Turloff '24 [1]
Owen Burnett '24 [2-3]
Owen Burnett '24 [1]
Alex Turloff '24 [2-3]
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 3 17 17 18 52 Zach Hoffman '21
Mikaela Lee '20
Cougars Cougars Cougars 20 20 17 57
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 7 1 10 Max Case '23
Tristan Neinaber '23
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 1 7 2 3 12 Joy Brennan '20
Caleb Roberts '22
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 3 6 3 4 13 Sophia Hubbard '24
Hannah Fritz '22
Lakeside School Lakeside School Lions 1 8 6 15 Advik Eswaran '23
Everett Rendon '21
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Blues 8 5 2 15 Gianna Dewey '23 [1-3]
Lola White '22 [1-2]
Elliott Chalcraft '23 [3]
Tarriers Tarriers Tarriers 4 6 8 18
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 1 3 9 7 19 Ella Notdurft '21
Ace Burton '20
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 5 11 5 21 Ellie Blakemore '23
Maia Dock '24
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 9 1 13 23 Zane Walker '22 [1-3]
Cece Marshall '22 [1-2]
Dylan Hansen '23 [3]
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 14 4 11 29 Luca Gesinger '20
Willy Walden '24
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 3 12 14 9 35 Cyrian Le Breton '21
Nolan Petrin '23
Storm Storm Storm 13 10 12 35
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Islanders 10 15 18 43 Reid Nordstrom '24 [1-3]
Nick Heinzelman '24 [1-2]
Ava Bergan '23 [3]
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 18 16 10 44 Seth Plattner '23 [1-2]
Kirin Dhaka '23 [3]
Coleman Barnes '23 [1-2]
Max Pleskoff '20 [3]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 2 17 13 15 45 Finn Mcclure '23
No Show
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 4 15 18 14 47 Levi Morse '24
No Show
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 2 16 12 20 48 Catie Harding '22
Sean Mcmaster '21
Cougars Cougars Cougars 11 19 19 49
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 19 17 17 53 Adam Turloff '24
Sharkey Mckay '24
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 20 20 16 56 Colin Byler '23 [1-2]
Olivia Schwartz '21 [3]
No Show [1-2]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Blues123123125
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Islanders125125122
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans1241248
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers88120
CougarsCougars Cougars11911915
TarriersTarriers Tarriers12012013
Lakeside SchoolLakeside School Lions44108
Lincoln High School (OR)Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 11313119
Lincoln High School (OR)Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 2141416
Lincoln High School (OR)Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 31616118
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish151582
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats11811883
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 1828284
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 283837
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 3848462
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 4776
Port Townsend High SchoolPort Townsend High School Redhawks6262121
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders66123
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners121121124
StormStorm Storm1221224

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Blues1241248
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Islanders88120
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans125125122
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers1221224
CougarsCougars Cougars1616118
TarriersTarriers Tarriers44108
Lakeside SchoolLakeside School Lions1313119
Lincoln High School (OR)Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 1141416
Lincoln High School (OR)Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 211911915
Lincoln High School (OR)Lincoln High School (OR) Cardinals 3151582
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish11811883
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats828284
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 183837
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 2848462
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 3776
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 46262121
Port Townsend High SchoolPort Townsend High School Redhawks66123
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders121121124
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners123123125
StormStorm Storm12012013
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Nolan Wiggins '23 Jack Turkovich '22
Blues Gianna Dewey '23 [1-3] Lola White '22 [1-2]
Elliott Chalcraft '23 [3]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Evan Yeung '22 [1-3] Adam Turloff '24 [1-2]
Carter Anderson '23 [3]
Islanders Reid Nordstrom '24 [1-3] Nick Heinzelman '24 [1-2]
Ava Bergan '23 [3]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Barrett Lhamon '22 [1-3] Noah Fernandes '23 [1-2]
Marty Weigel '21 [3]
Spartans Zane Walker '22 [1-3] Cece Marshall '22 [1-2]
Dylan Hansen '23 [3]
Ballard High School Ballard High School Caroline Lochner '22 Isabelle Mcnabb '22
Beavers Seth Plattner '23 [1-2]
Kirin Dhaka '23 [3]		 Coleman Barnes '23 [1-2]
Max Pleskoff '20 [3]
Lakeside School Lakeside School Lucien Freemesser '23 Luka Moonen '23
Lions Advik Eswaran '23 Everett Rendon '21
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Sam Hopper '20 Etienne Quille '21
Cardinals 1 Ella Notdurft '21 Ace Burton '20
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Wynn Doman '20 Piper Easton '21
Cardinals 2 Catie Harding '22 Sean Mcmaster '21
Lincoln High School (OR) Lincoln High School (OR) Zach Hoffman '21 Mikaela Lee '20
Cardinals 3 Cyrian Le Breton '21 Nolan Petrin '23
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Alex Turloff '24 [1]
Owen Burnett '24 [2-3]		 Owen Burnett '24 [1]
Alex Turloff '24 [2-3]
Dogfish Adam Turloff '24 Sharkey Mckay '24
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Andrew Buys '21 [1-2]
Jack West '20 [3]		 Kaitlin Mann '23 [1-2]
Wildcats Colin Byler '23 [1-2]
Olivia Schwartz '21 [3]		 No Show [1-2]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Erin Pamplin '20 No Show
Bears 1 Joy Brennan '20 Caleb Roberts '22
Olympia High School Olympia High School Peter Kelleher '22 Miles Kirkbride '22
Bears 2 Finn Mcclure '23 No Show
Olympia High School Olympia High School Hatcher Cox '21 Kai Nicholas '22
Bears 3 Sophia Hubbard '24 Hannah Fritz '22
Olympia High School Olympia High School Ian Connolly '21 Charlie Snyder '24
Bears 4 Levi Morse '24 No Show
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Odin Smith '21 Sophie Kunka '23
Redhawks Luca Gesinger '20 Willy Walden '24
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Oliver Nairn '23 Kaia Armas '21
Rough Riders Ellie Blakemore '23 Maia Dock '24
Sehome High School Sehome High School Sammy Farkas '23 Leah Feller '23
Mariners Max Case '23 Tristan Neinaber '23

Conditions — 11/02/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1025.7 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 13.8 kn
From N (11°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover48% Sunshine9.3 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1025.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 3 kn · N 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Central Kitsap: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.69 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Central Kitsap by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Central Kitsap, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →