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# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 98
2 Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 100
3 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 102
4 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 109
5 Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 115
6 Islesboro Central School Islesboro Central School Eagles 146
7 Burlington High School Burlington High School Seahorse 238 MRP
8 Champlain VUHS Champlain VUHS Red Hawks 263 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles A 4 5 1 3 4 2 4 4 27 Charles Kreuzkamp '20
Josh Dillon '21
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs A 1 11 2 2 1 4 9 6 36 Jamie Fox '21
Amelia Carlson '20
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen A 2 2 5 1 8 9 3 7 37 Catherine Morrissette '20
Alex Mazelsky '20
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers B 6 1 3 14 2 11 2 2 41 Jasper Fontana '21
Elliot Brown '22
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs A 5 7 4 4 3 5 7 11 46 Eva Ermlich '22 [1-8]
Jondall Norris '20 [1-4]
Alice Thompson '21 [5-8]
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs B 11 9 10 8 10 1 6 1 56 Gavin Sanborn '21
Lucy Kilbreth '20
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen B 12 10 7 10 5 10 1 8 63 Sam Rooks '22
Emma Cole '21
Islesboro Central School Islesboro Central School Eagles A 7 8 8 7 16 6 11 3 66 Rylee Sienkiewicz '20 [1-8]
Pia Gibson '21 [1-4]
Julian Kelly '22 [5-8]
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers A 3 14 12 BKD 7 7 14 5 68 Aidan Brown '20
Violet Willyard '21
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles B 9 4 13 13 12 3 8 9 71 Olin Guck '22
Nolan Gaus '23
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs B 14 3 11 9 11 13 5 13 79 Ben Monnich '20
Alexandra Barron '20
Islesboro Central School Islesboro Central School Eagles B 8 6 9 11 6 12 13 15 80 Sophie Lau '21 [1-8]
Ava Schlottman '20 [1-4]
Olivia Britton '21 [5-8]
Burlington High School Burlington High School Seahorse A 15 12 6 5 9 8 12 10 97 MRP No Show
No Show
Champlain VUHS Champlain VUHS Red Hawks A 10 13 DNF DNF 14 15 10 14 130 MRP No Show
No Show
Champlain VUHS Champlain VUHS Red Hawks B 13 15 14 15 15 14 15 12 133 MRP No Show
No Show
Burlington High School Burlington High School Seahorse B 16 DNF 15 12 13 16 16 16 141 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles11223344
Burlington High SchoolBurlington High School Seahorse221116161515
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers33445566
Champlain VUHSChamplain VUHS Red Hawks44332211
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen55667788
Islesboro Central SchoolIslesboro Central School Eagles66554433
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs7788991010
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs88776655

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles99101011111212
Burlington High SchoolBurlington High School Seahorse1010998877
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers1111121213131414
Champlain VUHSChamplain VUHS Red Hawks12121111101099
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen1313141415151616
Islesboro Central SchoolIslesboro Central School Eagles1414131312121111
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs151516161122
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs1616151514141313

Conditions — 09/01/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1028.3 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.1 kn
Gusts to 19.2 kn
From SSE (149°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover40% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1028.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bowdoin College Coastal Studies Center: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.50 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bowdoin College Coastal Studies Center by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Bowdoin College Coastal Studies Center: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →