MDISA Season Opener Gold

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 7 14 21
2 Key School Key School Zags 10 11 21
3 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 25 31 56
4 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 31 28 59
5 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 2 38 22 60
6 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 30 31 61
7 Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 41 21 62
8 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 1 26 43 69
9 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 1 32 39 71
10 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 2 39 41 80
11 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 51 49 100
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 3 1 1 7 Kyle Reinecke '23
Helena English '24
Key School Key School Zags 2 2 1 2 3 10 Molly Roden '22
Marissa Loftus '22
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 4 5 4 3 9 25 Jon Weed '22 [1-4]
Maddison Carew '23 [5]
Will Harding '22 [1-4]
Aden Keithley '23 [5]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 1 5 10 2 5 4 26 Sterling Maggard '23
Jack Devito '24
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 9 3 6 7 5 30 Hugh Carty '23
Christina Pierce '25
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 7 7 7 4 6 31 William Donald '24
Antigua Steward '24
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 1 8 4 5 8 7 32 Jonathan Stevenson '23
Daniel Aaron '23
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 2 3 9 8 10 8 38 Peter Morris '23
Owen Delwiche '25
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 2 11 6 9 11 2 39 Joseph Murphy '24 [1-5]
Timothy Berman '23 [1-4]
Joseph Gardner '23 [5]
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 6 8 11 6 10 41 Julian Dahiya '24
Nathan Van Doorn '24
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 10 11 10 9 11 51 Alexandra Mullery '22
Kristina Zarate '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Key School Key School Zags 4 3 1 1 2 11 Mason Cook '22 [1-5]
Stella Kim '23 [1-2]
Trey Burman '25 [3-5]
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 7 3 2 1 14 Ava Cornell '24
Raam Fox '22
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 7 1 2 6 5 21 Julian Dahiya '24
Nathan Van Doorn '24
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 2 3 4 4 4 7 22 Claire Sullivan '25
Clare Greenwell '22
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 8 8 5 3 4 28 Jack Powers '24
Gavin Fretz '22
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 2 10 6 5 8 31 Marco Welch '23
Emilie Orendorff '22
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 6 6 8 8 3 31 Parker Herman '24
Kaitlyn Zimmerman '24
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 1 10 5 7 11 6 39 Eli Leopold '24
Ellis Thompson '23
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 2 11 2 10 9 9 41 Douglass Abbott '23
Timothy Berman '23
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 1 5 9 9 10 10 43 Kyle Engel '23
Joseph Gardner '23
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 9 11 11 7 11 49 Alex Howard '22
Caeden Wirth '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers33333
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HSBethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron44444
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins55555
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets 166666
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets 277777
Key SchoolKey School Zags88888
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders 199999
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders 21111111111
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1313131313
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights1515151515
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints1414141414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers33333
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HSBethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron44444
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins55555
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets 166666
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets 277777
Key SchoolKey School Zags88888
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders 199999
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders 21111111111
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals1313131313
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights1515151515
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints1414141414

Conditions — 09/11/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1023.1 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 66°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.9 kn
Gusts to 17.9 kn
From SSW (209°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover39% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1023.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Great Mills/Leonardtown High: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.46 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Great Mills/Leonardtown High by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (16 labelled days at Great Mills/Leonardtown High).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →