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2022 Sea Otter Regatta - Gold Fleet

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 1 32 25 57
2 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 21 42 63
3 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 4 40 43 83
4 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 2 61 29 90
5 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 48 44 92
6 San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 1 89 16 105
7 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 55 61 116
8 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 55 65 120
9 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 3 40 81 121
10 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 88 50 138
11 San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 2 67 88 155
12 Santa Monica High School Santa Monica High School Vikings 115 55 170
13 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 87 100 187
14 Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 106 82 188
15 Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons 74 119 193
16 Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons 101 112 213
17 Redwood Redwood Giants 85 128 213
18 Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 102 128 230
19 Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 138 114 252
20 Loyola High School (CA) Loyola High School (CA) Cubs 133 124 257
21 Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 108 151 259
22 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 142 147 289
23 Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Dons 151 150 301
24 Pacific Collegiate School Pacific Collegiate School Varsity 158 148 306
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 1 5 3 2 6 1 3 21 Ian Nyenhuis '25
Jonah Wozniak '25
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 1 RDG 9 2 1 5 2 8 32 Morgan Pinckney '23
Vera Allen '23
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 4 2 1 8 7 7 11 4 40 Cam Spriggs '23
Maggie Fleming '23
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 3 9 4 1 13 4 8 1 40 Noah Stapleton '25
Madison Mansour '26
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 8 8 9 6 8 4 5 48 Samantha Gardner '23
Skye Terrell '25
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 14 14 4 5 9 3 6 55 Kelly Holhus '23
Ava North '25
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 16 10 6 11 1 9 2 55 Dylan Sih '24
Ashley Highland '23
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 2 13 2 7 3 17 12 7 61 Chase Decker '24
Ashtyn Tierney '24
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 2 6 7 13 17 3 6 15 67 Carly Kieding '25
Catalina Matlock-Klein '24
Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons 7 6 11 9 13 17 11 74 Alex Lech '24
Nick Lech '26
Redwood Redwood Giants 12 11 10 12 21 7 12 85 Hailey Thompson '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Morgan Headington '24 [3-4, 7]
Allison Lee '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 3 13 15 16 16 5 19 87 Dillion Garcia '23 [1-4]
Jake Johansson '23 [5-7]
Jake Johansson '23 [1-4]
Dillion Garcia '23 [5-7]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 5 12 16 4 19 10 22 88 Conrad Cook '25
Tate Oyler '25
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 1 15 16 12 14 10 13 9 89 Zoey Ziskind '23
Hope Campbell '24
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons 4 3 23 19 15 23 14 101 Crue Ziskind '25
Magne Henriques '24
Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 19 17 14 18 2 22 10 102 Kyle Nguyen '24
Marco Puertas '24
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 10 15 17 10 18 20 16 106 Tommy Rudowicz '24 [1-6]
Max Olson '24 [7]
Anton Youngblood '26 [1-6]
Wyatt Riebe '24 [7]
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 21 21 18 8 12 15 13 108 Reddin Kehrli '23
Jason Chan '26
Santa Monica High School Santa Monica High School Vikings 18 20 5 22 14 19 17 115 Wills Stratton '25
Eames Weeks '25
Loyola High School (CA) Loyola High School (CA) Cubs 17 22 24 23 11 16 20 133 Carsten Zieger '24
Emerson Carillo-Vincent '25
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 22 18 19 15 23 18 23 138 Max Mccormick '24
Stevie Thomsen '23
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 23 24 21 20 22 14 18 142 Jack Phibbs '23 [1-7]
Marco Spallas '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Liam Ludin '23 [3-4, 7]
Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Dons 20 19 22 DNS 20 21 24 151 Brendan Connelly '23
Jay Shoenhair '26
Pacific Collegiate School Pacific Collegiate School Varsity DSQ 23 20 21 24 24 21 158 Garrett Koontz '26
Mateo Krok '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 1 2 1 2 6 2 1 2 16 Blake Behrens '23
Teo Lee '26
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 1 10 3 3 2 1 5 1 25 Reade Decker '23 [1-7]
Damien Bocan '23 [1-2]
Hannah Crompton '26 [3-7]
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 2 5 6 1 1 8 3 5 29 Tate Christopher '25
Allegra Morelli '23
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 13 2 4 9 5 2 7 42 Harrison Strom '24
Wyatt Kelly '26
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 4 4 5 5 4 11 6 8 43 Anton Schmid '26
Preston Miller '24
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 7 7 7 3 3 11 6 44 Alice Schmid '23
Madilyn Anderson '25
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 1 4 8 10 9 RDG 11 50 Elsa Wiley '23
Shay Wood '23
Santa Monica High School Santa Monica High School Vikings 8 8 6 12 10 8 3 55 Oliver Keeves '24
Harry Bryan '25
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 6 10 12 5 7 12 9 61 Noah Nyenhuis '23
Julia Stewart '26
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3 11 17 7 4 13 10 65 Piper Blackband '24
Taylor Bartell '24
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School MONARCHS 3 11 12 11 8 12 15 12 81 Walter Mcfarland '25 [1-6]
Brady Kennedy '25 [7]
Hampton Tester '25 [1-4]
Madison Jones '26 [5-7]
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 12 14 9 19 6 18 4 82 Lina Carper '23
Quinn Reibe '26
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Knights 2 19 9 10 13 15 4 18 88 Sam Wells '26
Ryan Wells '26
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 9 15 15 14 16 RDG 17 100 Samantha Hemens '23 [1-7]
Elin Cooper '26 [1-4]
Davis Gershon '24 [5-6]
Milo Hostettler '25 [7]
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons DSQ 18 13 11 13 9 23 112 Dylan Seawards '26
Sam Long '24
Stevenson School Stevenson School Pirates 18 20 16 15 19 10 16 114 Ryder Weston '23
Quinn Karm '23
Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons 15 13 14 18 18 19 22 119 Preston Woodworth '23
Jessica Green '25
Loyola High School (CA) Loyola High School (CA) Cubs 14 17 18 20 17 17 21 124 Ted Sherman '23
Phillip Quigley '23
Redwood Redwood Giants 16 16 19 23 20 21 13 128 Jim Young '23 [1-7]
Elsa Hasbrook '23 [1-6]
Blake Oberbauer '26 [7]
Encinal High School Encinal High School Jets 21 19 22 16 14 16 20 128 Emi Puertas '27 [1-7]
Ellie Tucker '27 [1-6]
Cyrus Estilaei '27 [7]
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 17 21 20 17 23 24 DNF 147 Annika Burns '23
Daniel Preger '23
Pacific Collegiate School Pacific Collegiate School Varsity 22 23 23 21 22 22 15 148 Amanda Turner '23
Casey Strattan '23
Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Dons 20 24 21 22 21 23 19 150 Kaivo Kadai '25
Aria Falahati '27
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 23 22 24 24 24 20 14 151 Leland Howard '26
Westley Johnson '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Acalanes High SchoolAcalanes High School Dons1133557
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings2244668
Coronado IslandersCoronado Islanders Nado3355779
Encinal High SchoolEncinal High School Jets44668810
Loyola High School (CA)Loyola High School (CA) Cubs55779911
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School MONARCHS 16688101013
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School MONARCHS 27799111114
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School MONARCHS 3881010131315
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 1991111141416
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 210101313151517
Pacific Collegiate SchoolPacific Collegiate School Varsity11111414161618
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Sea Kings13131515171719
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 114141616181820
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 215151717191921
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 316161818202022
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 417171919212123
RedwoodRedwood Giants18182020222224
San Marcos High SchoolSan Marcos High School Knights 119192121232325
San Marcos High SchoolSan Marcos High School Knights 22020222224241
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Dons2121232325252
Santa Monica High SchoolSanta Monica High School Vikings22222424113
Sato Academy of Mathematics and ScienceSato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons23232525224
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates242411335
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks252522446

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Acalanes High SchoolAcalanes High School Dons2244668
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings3355779
Coronado IslandersCoronado Islanders Nado44668810
Encinal High SchoolEncinal High School Jets55779911
Loyola High School (CA)Loyola High School (CA) Cubs6688101013
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School MONARCHS 17799111114
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School MONARCHS 2881010131315
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School MONARCHS 3991111141416
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 110101313151517
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 211111414161618
Pacific Collegiate SchoolPacific Collegiate School Varsity13131515171719
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Sea Kings14141616181820
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 115151717191921
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 216161818202022
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 317171919212123
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 418182020222224
RedwoodRedwood Giants19192121232325
San Marcos High SchoolSan Marcos High School Knights 12020222224241
San Marcos High SchoolSan Marcos High School Knights 22121232325252
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Dons22222424113
Santa Monica High SchoolSanta Monica High School Vikings23232525224
Sato Academy of Mathematics and ScienceSato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons242411335
Stevenson SchoolStevenson School Pirates252522446
Tamalpais High SchoolTamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks1133557
School / Team SkipperCrew
Acalanes High School Acalanes High School Brendan Connelly '23 Jay Shoenhair '26
Dons Kaivo Kadai '25 Aria Falahati '27
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Dylan Sih '24 Ashley Highland '23
Sea Kings Piper Blackband '24 Taylor Bartell '24
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Tommy Rudowicz '24 [1-6]
Max Olson '24 [7]		 Anton Youngblood '26 [1-6]
Wyatt Riebe '24 [7]
Nado Lina Carper '23 Quinn Reibe '26
Encinal High School Encinal High School Kyle Nguyen '24 Marco Puertas '24
Jets Emi Puertas '27 [1-7] Ellie Tucker '27 [1-6]
Cyrus Estilaei '27 [7]
Loyola High School (CA) Loyola High School (CA) Carsten Zieger '24 Emerson Carillo-Vincent '25
Cubs Ted Sherman '23 Phillip Quigley '23
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Morgan Pinckney '23 Vera Allen '23
MONARCHS 1 Reade Decker '23 [1-7] Damien Bocan '23 [1-2]
Hannah Crompton '26 [3-7]
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Chase Decker '24 Ashtyn Tierney '24
MONARCHS 2 Tate Christopher '25 Allegra Morelli '23
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Noah Stapleton '25 Madison Mansour '26
MONARCHS 3 Walter Mcfarland '25 [1-6]
Brady Kennedy '25 [7]		 Hampton Tester '25 [1-4]
Madison Jones '26 [5-7]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Conrad Cook '25 Tate Oyler '25
Sailors 1 Elsa Wiley '23 Shay Wood '23
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Dillion Garcia '23 [1-4]
Jake Johansson '23 [5-7]		 Jake Johansson '23 [1-4]
Dillion Garcia '23 [5-7]
Sailors 2 Samantha Hemens '23 [1-7] Elin Cooper '26 [1-4]
Davis Gershon '24 [5-6]
Milo Hostettler '25 [7]
Pacific Collegiate School Pacific Collegiate School Garrett Koontz '26 Mateo Krok '23
Varsity Amanda Turner '23 Casey Strattan '23
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Reddin Kehrli '23 Jason Chan '26
Sea Kings Leland Howard '26 Westley Johnson '26
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Ian Nyenhuis '25 Jonah Wozniak '25
Pointers 1 Harrison Strom '24 Wyatt Kelly '26
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Samantha Gardner '23 Skye Terrell '25
Pointers 2 Alice Schmid '23 Madilyn Anderson '25
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Kelly Holhus '23 Ava North '25
Pointers 3 Noah Nyenhuis '23 Julia Stewart '26
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Cam Spriggs '23 Maggie Fleming '23
Pointers 4 Anton Schmid '26 Preston Miller '24
Redwood Redwood Hailey Thompson '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Morgan Headington '24 [3-4, 7]		 Allison Lee '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Giants Jim Young '23 [1-7] Elsa Hasbrook '23 [1-6]
Blake Oberbauer '26 [7]
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Zoey Ziskind '23 Hope Campbell '24
Knights 1 Blake Behrens '23 Teo Lee '26
San Marcos High School San Marcos High School Carly Kieding '25 Catalina Matlock-Klein '24
Knights 2 Sam Wells '26 Ryan Wells '26
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Crue Ziskind '25 Magne Henriques '24
Dons Dylan Seawards '26 Sam Long '24
Santa Monica High School Santa Monica High School Wills Stratton '25 Eames Weeks '25
Vikings Oliver Keeves '24 Harry Bryan '25
Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Alex Lech '24 Nick Lech '26
Dragons Preston Woodworth '23 Jessica Green '25
Stevenson School Stevenson School Max Mccormick '24 Stevie Thomsen '23
Pirates Ryder Weston '23 Quinn Karm '23
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Jack Phibbs '23 [1-7] Marco Spallas '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Liam Ludin '23 [3-4, 7]
Red Tailed Hawks Annika Burns '23 Daniel Preger '23

Conditions — 10/08/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 92%  ·  Pressure 1018.6 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 55°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.6 kn
avg  ·  max 5.8 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From WNW (295°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity92% Pressure1018.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · W 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Monterey Peninsula YC: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.12 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Monterey Peninsula YC by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Monterey Peninsula YC: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →