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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 24 32 56
2 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 48 26 74
3 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 29 62 91
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 52 43 95
5 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 50 58 108
6 Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 57 67 124
7 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 58 91 149
8 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 111 47 158
9 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Gold 92 74 166
10 Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 59 131 190
11 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 110 94 204
12 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 1 113 114 227
13 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 3 126 112 238
14 Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2 127 112 239
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 2 1 7 2 2 1 1 1 5 2 24 Teddy Bower '26 [1-10]
Bryce Lesinski '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Adra Jasper '26 [3-4, 7-10]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 1 3 2 4 1 4 3 7 1 3 29 Hank Seum '23
Parker Ziegler '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 3 4 4 3 3 7 7 6 6 5 48 Dominik Moncur '25
Rafael Larsen-Zarzosa '23
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 5 5 9 7 7 2 4 3 7 1 50 Robbie Dresen '25
Elin Reigstad '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 4 2 5 6 6 9 2 5 4 9 52 Maxwell Kelley '26 [1-10]
Amelia Sulciner '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Gloria Jorczak '24 [3-4, 7-10]
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 8 7 3 5 5 5 6 4 8 6 57 Kristoffer Koop '24 [1-10]
Brandon Eberts '25 [1-8]
Wyatt Holst '24 [9-10]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 6 12 1 1 4 3 8 13 3 7 58 Ella Wisely '23
Aliya Determan '26
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 7 6 8 8 11 6 5 2 2 4 59 Chandler Jarecki '25
Taiya De Vries '25
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Gold 14 9 6 11 9 8 9 9 9 8 92 Alyson Liu '24
Mara Lysaght '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 10 10 12 DNS 12 10 11 10 10 10 110 Harper Gordon '26
Lauren Reichert '24
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 9 8 13 9 13 14 12 11 11 11 111 Samuel Jackson '23
Rory Baker '24
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 1 11 11 10 12 14 13 10 8 12 12 113 Ellie Turcotte '27
Avril Maxey '28
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 3 13 13 11 10 10 11 14 14 DNS DNS 126 Caleb Schultz '27
Caleb Sander '23
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2 12 DNS 14 DNS 8 12 13 12 13 13 127 Maksim Williams '29
Adam Pickhardt '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 6 2 1 4 2 2 3 4 1 26 Stonewall Anderson '26
Paige Kurtenbach '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 2 1 1 4 1 1 4 2 12 4 32 Nigel Yu '23 [1-10]
David Acheson '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Bridger Goll '26 [3-4, 7-10]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 4 2 4 DNF 3 5 3 1 3 3 43 Lara Granucci '24 [1-10]
Katya Cavanaugh '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Joey Kim '26 [3-4, 7-10]
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 3 4 5 3 6 4 1 6 8 7 47 Caden Houge '23
Georgia Green '23
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 6 7 3 5 2 6 6 9 5 9 58 Akaycia Belisle '25
Jack Colosi '25
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 10 3 12 7 5 7 7 8 1 2 62 Alexander Bixby '25
Sofie Muschenheim '25
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 7 5 10 2 13 8 5 4 7 6 67 Ethan Stohr '23 [1-10]
Teagan Hartwig-Burton '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Wyatt Holst '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Gold 5 13 7 6 8 14 9 5 2 5 74 Jack Karban '23
William Barrett '24
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 13 9 9 9 10 10 10 7 6 8 91 Mason Scheinder '26
Joshua Drivdahl '25
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 11 10 8 11 9 3 8 12 11 11 94 Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25
Owen Schulze '23
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 3 9 8 11 8 7 9 DNF DNF DNF DNS 112 Eileen English '24
Declan Davis '28
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 2 14 14 6 10 14 11 11 10 10 12 112 Avril Maxey '28
Cable Foree '28
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 1 12 11 13 12 12 12 12 11 9 10 114 Senibua Sander '24
Reece Foree '27
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Raccoons 8 12 14 13 11 13 DNF DNF DNF DNS 131 Anna Sitterly '26 [1-10]
William Sobol '23 [1-4, 9-10]
Max Gillman '27 [5-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Brainerd High SchoolBrainerd High School Warriors1133557799
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs224466881010
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1335577991111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 244668810101212
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers55779911111313
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 18810101212141422
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 299111113131133
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 31010121214142244
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons6688101012121515
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans77991111131311
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Gold12121414224466
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed131311335577
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy11111313113355
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears141422446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Brainerd High SchoolBrainerd High School Warriors224466881010
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs335577991111
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 144668810101212
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 255779911111313
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers6688101012121515
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 199111113131133
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 21010121214142244
Sheboygan North High School (WI)Sheboygan North High School (WI) Raiders 311111313113355
Oconomowoc High SchoolOconomowoc High School Raccoons77991111131311
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans8810101212151522
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Gold131311335577
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed141422446688
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy12121414224466
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Kristoffer Koop '24 [1-10] Brandon Eberts '25 [1-8]
Wyatt Holst '24 [9-10]
Warriors Ethan Stohr '23 [1-10] Teagan Hartwig-Burton '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Wyatt Holst '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Ella Wisely '23 Aliya Determan '26
Zephyrs Mason Scheinder '26 Joshua Drivdahl '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Teddy Bower '26 [1-10] Bryce Lesinski '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Adra Jasper '26 [3-4, 7-10]
Skippers 1 Nigel Yu '23 [1-10] David Acheson '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Bridger Goll '26 [3-4, 7-10]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Maxwell Kelley '26 [1-10] Amelia Sulciner '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Gloria Jorczak '24 [3-4, 7-10]
Skippers 2 Lara Granucci '24 [1-10] Katya Cavanaugh '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Joey Kim '26 [3-4, 7-10]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Hank Seum '23 Parker Ziegler '24
Panthers Alexander Bixby '25 Sofie Muschenheim '25
Oconomowoc High School Oconomowoc High School Chandler Jarecki '25 Taiya De Vries '25
Raccoons Anna Sitterly '26 [1-10] William Sobol '23 [1-4, 9-10]
Max Gillman '27 [5-8]
Orono High School Orono High School Samuel Jackson '23 Rory Baker '24
Spartans Caden Houge '23 Georgia Green '23
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Ellie Turcotte '27 Avril Maxey '28
Raiders 1 Senibua Sander '24 Reece Foree '27
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Maksim Williams '29 Adam Pickhardt '24
Raiders 2 Avril Maxey '28 Cable Foree '28
Sheboygan North High School (WI) Sheboygan North High School (WI) Caleb Schultz '27 Caleb Sander '23
Raiders 3 Eileen English '24 Declan Davis '28
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Alyson Liu '24 Mara Lysaght '24
Gold Jack Karban '23 William Barrett '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Harper Gordon '26 Lauren Reichert '24
Mixed Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25 Owen Schulze '23
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Dominik Moncur '25 Rafael Larsen-Zarzosa '23
Navy Stonewall Anderson '26 Paige Kurtenbach '23
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Robbie Dresen '25 Elin Reigstad '25
Bears Akaycia Belisle '25 Jack Colosi '25

Conditions — 10/15/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1008.4 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 32°F
Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From W (260°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover53% Sunshine8.9 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1008.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn · NW 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at White Bear Lake: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.10)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at White Bear Lake by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at White Bear Lake, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →