MDISA BCSC Silver Regatta #1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 8 18 26
2 Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 12 15 27
3 Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 28 14 42
4 Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 26 16 42
5 Mount Saint Joseph Mount Saint Joseph Mount Saint Joseph 21 26 47
6 Maryvale Preparatory School Maryvale Preparatory School Lions 25 32 57
7 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 31 36 67
8 Key School Key School Zags 30 44 74
9 Winston Churchill High School Winston Churchill High School Bulldogs 39 46 85
10 Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 50 37 87
11 Loyola Blakefield Loyola Blakefield Dons 39 49 88
12 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 38 52 90
13 St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 48 46 94
14 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 50 52 102
15 Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors 58 MRP 45 MRP 103 MRP
16 Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Varsity 66 45 111
17 Towson High School Towson High School Generals 64 60 124
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 2 3 1 2 8 Chris Mccollum '24 [1-4]
Maura Mcpartlin '25 [1-2]
Annie Lapides '25 [3-4]
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 3 1 7 1 12 Sophie Griggs '24
Eric Nielsen '24
Mount Saint Joseph Mount Saint Joseph Mount Saint Joseph 1 2 4 14 21 Patrick Tis '24
Ezra Ebert '26
Maryvale Preparatory School Maryvale Preparatory School Lions 8 5 9 3 25 Julia Kozlowski '24
Katelyn Biddison '24
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 7 4 10 5 26 Eric Johnson '23 [1-2]
Emmett Nash '28 [3-4]
Chi Chi Chao '27 [1-2]
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 4 9 5 10 28 Grace Wilson '23
Nolan Wingate '28
Key School Key School Zags 5 6 8 11 30 Antoine Ismael '25
Elizabeth Roesch '27
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 6 7 6 12 31 Daphne Walsh '27 [1-4]
Myles Riffle '31 [1-2]
Kevin Feldtmose '24 [3-4]
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 12 8 3 15 38 Ella Schubert '27
Rylee Landry '27
Loyola Blakefield Loyola Blakefield Dons 10 11 11 7 39 Henry Bishop '25
Mason Vock '25
Winston Churchill High School Winston Churchill High School Bulldogs 13 15 2 9 39 Jack Sieg '24 [1-4]
Grace Lally '23 [1-2]
Lila Gottenberg '25 [3-4]
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 15 13 16 4 48 Robert Mascolo '25
Max Breidert '24
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 11 14 12 13 50 Theodore Jones '24
Marcus Kozlowski '26
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 16 12 14 8 50 Ann Martino '26
Charlotte Ryan '25
Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors 9 10 13 6 58 MRP James Cottage '23
No Show
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 14 16 17 17 64 Pierce Johnstone Clark '25
No Show
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Varsity DNS 17 15 16 66 Marco Gessner Pilotto '25
Sally Esquith '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Patuxent Patuxent Panthers 4 3 3 4 14 Clara Wilson '25
Lillie Fuller '24
Southern High School Southern High School Bulldogs 1 2 6 6 15 Molly Dowling '25
Scott Opert '24
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Patriots 6 4 1 5 16 Max Molinoff '23
Ava Kucko '24
Severn School Severn School Admirals 3 1 2 12 18 Julia Hlousek '24
Jack Lefever-Farino '25
Mount Saint Joseph Mount Saint Joseph Mount Saint Joseph 2 8 9 7 26 Evan Ticar '23
Emma Borden '25
Maryvale Preparatory School Maryvale Preparatory School Lions 10 5 7 10 32 Tessa Deluca '25
Campbell Peters '24
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 13 12 8 3 36 James Chapman '27
Paxton Cho '26
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Cardinals 7 14 14 2 37 Jake Crandall '23
Henry Wolff '24
Key School Key School Zags 9 16 4 15 44 Quinn Curry '25 [1-4]
Maya Kirshtein '26 [1-2]
Ben Portugal '26 [3-4]
Henderson High School Henderson High School Warriors 5 6 13 1 45 MRP No Show
Emma Gaz '24
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Varsity DNS 11 5 11 45 William Kessner '23
Deniz Ayhan '24
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Knights 11 9 10 16 46 Sam Somers '25
Ethan Depaola '24
Winston Churchill High School Winston Churchill High School Bulldogs 12 10 16 8 46 John Wills '25
John Thomas '27
Loyola Blakefield Loyola Blakefield Dons 8 15 17 9 49 Sebastian Haber '27
George Shaeffer '26
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 15 13 11 13 52 Robert Heath '25 [1-2]
Tom Dent '23 [3-4]
Henry Carlson '25 [1-2]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 16 7 12 17 52 Charles Geraghty '26 [1-4]
Garrett Brown '25 [1-2]
Michael Tsampos '26 [3-4]
Towson High School Towson High School Generals 14 17 15 14 60 Kaia Deane '28
Sophia Hammond '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers1133
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals3355
Key SchoolKey School Zags4466
Loyola BlakefieldLoyola Blakefield Dons5577
Maryvale Preparatory SchoolMaryvale Preparatory School Lions6688
Mount Saint JosephMount Saint Joseph Mount Saint Joseph7799
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers881010
Henderson High SchoolHenderson High School Warriors2244
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals991111
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons10101212
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs11111313
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights13131515
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints12121414
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals14141616
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Varsity15151717
Winston Churchill High SchoolWinston Churchill High School Bulldogs161611
Yorktown High SchoolYorktown High School Patriots171722

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers2244
Calvert Hall College High SchoolCalvert Hall College High School Cardinals4466
Key SchoolKey School Zags5577
Loyola BlakefieldLoyola Blakefield Dons6688
Maryvale Preparatory SchoolMaryvale Preparatory School Lions7799
Mount Saint JosephMount Saint Joseph Mount Saint Joseph881010
PatuxentPatuxent Panthers991111
Henderson High SchoolHenderson High School Warriors3355
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals10101212
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons11111313
Southern High SchoolSouthern High School Bulldogs12121414
St. Mary's RykenSt. Mary's Ryken Knights14141616
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints13131515
Towson High SchoolTowson High School Generals15151717
Walt Whitman High SchoolWalt Whitman High School Varsity161611
Winston Churchill High SchoolWinston Churchill High School Bulldogs171722
Yorktown High SchoolYorktown High School Patriots1133
School / Team SkipperCrew
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Ann Martino '26 Charlotte Ryan '25
Cavaliers Charles Geraghty '26 [1-4] Garrett Brown '25 [1-2]
Michael Tsampos '26 [3-4]
Calvert Hall College High School Calvert Hall College High School Theodore Jones '24 Marcus Kozlowski '26
Cardinals Jake Crandall '23 Henry Wolff '24
Henderson High School Henderson High School James Cottage '23 No Show
Warriors No Show Emma Gaz '24
Key School Key School Antoine Ismael '25 Elizabeth Roesch '27
Zags Quinn Curry '25 [1-4] Maya Kirshtein '26 [1-2]
Ben Portugal '26 [3-4]
Loyola Blakefield Loyola Blakefield Henry Bishop '25 Mason Vock '25
Dons Sebastian Haber '27 George Shaeffer '26
Maryvale Preparatory School Maryvale Preparatory School Julia Kozlowski '24 Katelyn Biddison '24
Lions Tessa Deluca '25 Campbell Peters '24
Mount Saint Joseph Mount Saint Joseph Patrick Tis '24 Ezra Ebert '26
Mount Saint Joseph Evan Ticar '23 Emma Borden '25
Patuxent Patuxent Grace Wilson '23 Nolan Wingate '28
Panthers Clara Wilson '25 Lillie Fuller '24
Severn School Severn School Chris Mccollum '24 [1-4] Maura Mcpartlin '25 [1-2]
Annie Lapides '25 [3-4]
Admirals Julia Hlousek '24 Jack Lefever-Farino '25
Severna Park Severna Park Ella Schubert '27 Rylee Landry '27
Falcons Robert Heath '25 [1-2]
Tom Dent '23 [3-4]
Henry Carlson '25 [1-2]
Southern High School Southern High School Sophie Griggs '24 Eric Nielsen '24
Bulldogs Molly Dowling '25 Scott Opert '24
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Daphne Walsh '27 [1-4] Myles Riffle '31 [1-2]
Kevin Feldtmose '24 [3-4]
Saints James Chapman '27 Paxton Cho '26
St. Mary's Ryken St. Mary's Ryken Robert Mascolo '25 Max Breidert '24
Knights Sam Somers '25 Ethan Depaola '24
Towson High School Towson High School Pierce Johnstone Clark '25 No Show
Generals Kaia Deane '28 Sophia Hammond '26
Walt Whitman High School Walt Whitman High School Marco Gessner Pilotto '25 Sally Esquith '24
Varsity William Kessner '23 Deniz Ayhan '24
Winston Churchill High School Winston Churchill High School Jack Sieg '24 [1-4] Grace Lally '23 [1-2]
Lila Gottenberg '25 [3-4]
Bulldogs John Wills '25 John Thomas '27
Yorktown High School Yorktown High School Eric Johnson '23 [1-2]
Emmett Nash '28 [3-4]
Chi Chi Chao '27 [1-2]
Patriots Max Molinoff '23 Ava Kucko '24

Conditions — 09/24/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1017.7 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 5.5 kn
Gusts to 12.4 kn
From WSW (256°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover44% Sunshine10.5 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1017.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Baltimore County Sailing Center: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.19 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Baltimore County Sailing Center by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Baltimore County Sailing Center, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →