NJISA 2022 BBYRA Fall Invitational

HostTRYC & BBYRA
Date10/29/2022
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 1	11	28	39
2	Southern Regional High School	Rams	28	26	54
3	Summit High School	Hilltoppers 1	22	34	56
4	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 2	33	28	61
5	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 3	32	64	96
6	Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	50	50	100
7	Conestoga High School	Pioneers	41	67	108
8	Ranney School	Panthers 2	57	53	110
9	Toms River South	Indians	63	54	117
10	Ranney School	Panthers 1	70	61	131
11	Ridge High School	Red Devils	86	67	153
12	Point Pleasant Beach High School	Garnett Gulls	86	71	157
13	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 4	90	84	174
14	Chatham High School	Cougars 1	98	85	183
15	Summit High School	Hilltoppers 2	95	98	193
16	Trinity Hall	Monarchs	92	107	199
17	Chatham High School	Cougars 2	118	95	213

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 1	1	2	3	1	1	1	2	11	Christopher Small '26 Kyle Lombardino '25
Summit High School	Hilltoppers 1	4	1	6	3	2	5	1	22	Pilar Cundey '23 Jessica Li '23
Southern Regional High School	Rams	3	3	1	6	5	7	3	28	Turner Ryon '25 [1-7] Natalie Shaw '23 [1-4] Noah Tallman '25 [5-7]
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 3	5	6	4	7	3	2	5	32	Andrew Chiles '23 Daniel Stephan '24
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 2	2	7	5	2	4	3	10	33	Bryce Vitiello '23 Luke Pennisi '24
Conestoga High School	Pioneers	6	8	2	5	7	4	9	41	Connor Demming '23 Briana Hummel '23
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	7	4	8	4	8	11	8	50	Kevin Brooksbank '23 [1-7] Nora Ciak '23 [1-6] Richard Mcgowan '25 [7]
Ranney School	Panthers 2	8	9	9	9	10	8	4	57	Jack Pentony '26 Matthew Dupree '25
Toms River South	Indians	14	5	7	10	9	12	6	63	Ella Demand '24 Mollie Smith '25
Ranney School	Panthers 1	10	13	11	13	6	10	7	70	Grace Bray '23 Sophia Behar '25
Point Pleasant Beach High School	Garnett Gulls	13	15	10	8	13	16	11	86	Morgan Auth '23 [1-7] Hudson Depaul '26 [1-4, 7] Tessa Buckowski '24 [5-6]
Ridge High School	Red Devils	15	11	16	12	11	6	15	86	Jack Schlenker '26 [1-7] Ryan Amicone '25 [1-2, 5-6] Ally Pellegrino '25 [3-4, 7]
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 4	9	10	12	14	16	15	14	90	Thomas Roeber '23 [1-4] Matthew Wilhelm '24 [5-7] Aidan Kenney '26 [1-2] Alton Deoliveria '26 [3-7]
Trinity Hall	Monarchs	12	16	13	11	14	14	12	92	Alexandra Decosta '24 [1-7] Julianna Walsh '24 [1-6] Caroline Duffy '25 [7]
Summit High School	Hilltoppers 2	11	14	15	15	15	9	16	95	Brady Parkes '26 Scott Au-Yeung '24
Chatham High School	Cougars 1	16	12	14	DNF	12	13	13	98	Jamie Lynch '23 Lily Sitar '26
Chatham High School	Cougars 2	17	17	17	16	17	17	17	118	Grant Press '25 Logan Greenwood '24

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Southern Regional High School	Rams	4	1	5	2	4	9	1	26	Belle Placa '25 [1-7] Erin Little '24 [1-4] Natalie Shaw '23 [5-7]
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 2	1	7	1	1	2	14	2	28	Mitchell Hnatt '24 Ryan Mullholland '25
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 1	3	2	7	10	1	2	3	28	Noah Kuzloski '23 Nicholas Cunha '23
Summit High School	Hilltoppers 1	8	3	3	6	3	5	6	34	Lauren Murray '24 Dara Greengrass '24
Donovan Catholic High School	Griffins	7	9	2	3	9	13	7	50	Liam Marcell '26 [1-7] Nicholas Fatigate '24 [1-4] Dan Drennan '24 [5-7]
Ranney School	Panthers 2	16	6	14	4	8	1	4	53	Anthony Abboud '25 [1-4] Lewis Forrest '25 [5-7] Dylan Pagonis '26 [1-4]
Toms River South	Indians	2	4	4	5	15	10	14	54	Rex Salzer '26 [1-7] Jack Krajewski '26 [1-6] Chase Kalwinsky '26 [7]
Ranney School	Panthers 1	6	10	8	15	7	4	11	61	Jack Whitman '23 Tomas Mora '23
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 3	5	8	9	8	6	16	12	64	Jules Buczkowski '26 Donald Johnston '25
Ridge High School	Red Devils	9	14	6	9	11	8	10	67	James Mccarthy '26 [1-7] Will Corbett '25 [1-2, 5-6] Leo Van Der Valk '26 [3-4, 7]
Conestoga High School	Pioneers	11	12	10	12	10	3	9	67	Bella Cremer '24 [1-7] Maggie Dirkes '23 [1-2] Bailey Kreszswick '25 [3-7]
Point Pleasant Beach High School	Garnett Gulls	10	5	15	17	5	6	13	71	Logan Batyr '25 [1-7] Tessa Buckowski '24 [1-2] Sydney Mihalko '25 [3-7]
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts 4	14	11	13	14	12	12	8	84	Andrew Dinger '24 [1-4] Greyson Colman '25 [5-7] Alton Deoliveria '26 [1-2] Aidan Kenney '26 [3-7]
Chatham High School	Cougars 1	13	13	12	11	14	17	5	85	Keira Press '23 Divyanshi Rath '25
Chatham High School	Cougars 2	17	15	16	7	17	7	16	95	Caroline Caviness '25 Alex Tracy '24
Summit High School	Hilltoppers 2	12	16	DNF	13	13	11	15	98	Emma Gumney '24 Evy Elbanna '26
Trinity Hall	Monarchs	15	17	11	16	16	15	17	107	Allison Beisel '24 [1-7] Caroline Duffy '25 [1-2] Greta Senft '24 [3-7]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (48 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Chatham High School Cougars 1	1	1	3	3	5	5	7
Chatham High School Cougars 2	2	2	4	4	6	6	8
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1	3	3	5	5	7	7	9
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2	4	4	6	6	8	8	12
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3	5	5	7	7	9	9	13
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4	6	6	8	8	12	12	14
Conestoga High School Pioneers	7	7	9	9	13	13	15
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins	8	8	12	12	14	14	16
Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls	9	9	13	13	15	15	17
Ranney School Panthers 1	12	12	14	14	16	16	18
Ranney School Panthers 2	13	13	15	15	17	17	19
Ridge High School Red Devils	14	14	16	16	18	18	1
Southern Regional High School Rams	15	15	17	17	19	19	2
Summit High School Hilltoppers 1	16	16	18	18	1	1	3
Summit High School Hilltoppers 2	17	17	19	19	2	2	4
Toms River South Indians	18	18	1	1	3	3	5
Trinity Hall Monarchs	19	19	2	2	4	4	6

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Chatham High School Cougars 1	2	2	4	4	6	6	6
Chatham High School Cougars 2	3	3	5	5	7	7	7
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1	4	4	6	6	8	8	8
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2	5	5	7	7	9	9	9
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3	6	6	8	8	12	12	12
Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4	7	7	9	9	13	13	13
Conestoga High School Pioneers	8	8	12	12	14	14	14
Donovan Catholic High School Griffins	9	9	13	13	15	15	15
Point Pleasant Beach High School Garnett Gulls	12	12	14	14	16	16	16
Ranney School Panthers 1	13	13	15	15	17	17	17
Ranney School Panthers 2	14	14	16	16	18	18	18
Ridge High School Red Devils	15	15	17	17	19	19	19
Southern Regional High School Rams	16	16	18	18	1	1	1
Summit High School Hilltoppers 1	17	17	19	19	2	2	2
Summit High School Hilltoppers 2	18	18	1	1	3	3	3
Toms River South Indians	19	19	2	2	4	4	4
Trinity Hall Monarchs	1	1	3	3	5	5	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Chatham High School	Jamie Lynch '23	Lily Sitar '26
Cougars 1	Keira Press '23	Divyanshi Rath '25
Chatham High School	Grant Press '25	Logan Greenwood '24
Cougars 2	Caroline Caviness '25	Alex Tracy '24
Christian Brothers Academy	Christopher Small '26	Kyle Lombardino '25
Colts 1	Noah Kuzloski '23	Nicholas Cunha '23
Christian Brothers Academy	Bryce Vitiello '23	Luke Pennisi '24
Colts 2	Mitchell Hnatt '24	Ryan Mullholland '25
Christian Brothers Academy	Andrew Chiles '23	Daniel Stephan '24
Colts 3	Jules Buczkowski '26	Donald Johnston '25
Christian Brothers Academy	Thomas Roeber '23 [1-4] Matthew Wilhelm '24 [5-7]	Aidan Kenney '26 [1-2] Alton Deoliveria '26 [3-7]
Colts 4	Andrew Dinger '24 [1-4] Greyson Colman '25 [5-7]	Alton Deoliveria '26 [1-2] Aidan Kenney '26 [3-7]
Conestoga High School	Connor Demming '23	Briana Hummel '23
Pioneers	Bella Cremer '24 [1-7]	Maggie Dirkes '23 [1-2] Bailey Kreszswick '25 [3-7]
Donovan Catholic High School	Kevin Brooksbank '23 [1-7]	Nora Ciak '23 [1-6] Richard Mcgowan '25 [7]
Griffins	Liam Marcell '26 [1-7]	Nicholas Fatigate '24 [1-4] Dan Drennan '24 [5-7]
Point Pleasant Beach High School	Morgan Auth '23 [1-7]	Hudson Depaul '26 [1-4, 7] Tessa Buckowski '24 [5-6]
Garnett Gulls	Logan Batyr '25 [1-7]	Tessa Buckowski '24 [1-2] Sydney Mihalko '25 [3-7]
Ranney School	Grace Bray '23	Sophia Behar '25
Panthers 1	Jack Whitman '23	Tomas Mora '23
Ranney School	Jack Pentony '26	Matthew Dupree '25
Panthers 2	Anthony Abboud '25 [1-4] Lewis Forrest '25 [5-7]	Dylan Pagonis '26 [1-4]
Ridge High School	Jack Schlenker '26 [1-7]	Ryan Amicone '25 [1-2, 5-6] Ally Pellegrino '25 [3-4, 7]
Red Devils	James Mccarthy '26 [1-7]	Will Corbett '25 [1-2, 5-6] Leo Van Der Valk '26 [3-4, 7]
Southern Regional High School	Turner Ryon '25 [1-7]	Natalie Shaw '23 [1-4] Noah Tallman '25 [5-7]
Rams	Belle Placa '25 [1-7]	Erin Little '24 [1-4] Natalie Shaw '23 [5-7]
Summit High School	Pilar Cundey '23	Jessica Li '23
Hilltoppers 1	Lauren Murray '24	Dara Greengrass '24
Summit High School	Brady Parkes '26	Scott Au-Yeung '24
Hilltoppers 2	Emma Gumney '24	Evy Elbanna '26
Toms River South	Ella Demand '24	Mollie Smith '25
Indians	Rex Salzer '26 [1-7]	Jack Krajewski '26 [1-6] Chase Kalwinsky '26 [7]
Trinity Hall	Alexandra Decosta '24 [1-7]	Julianna Walsh '24 [1-6] Caroline Duffy '25 [7]
Monarchs	Allison Beisel '24 [1-7]	Caroline Duffy '25 [1-2] Greta Senft '24 [3-7]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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NJISA 2022 BBYRA Fall Invitational

Division A

Division B

From the notes