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SAISA South Points #2 Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 14 19 33
2 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 12 35 47
3 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 16 33 49
4 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 37 23 60
5 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 55 15 70
6 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 31 47 78
7 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 48 32 80
8 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 42 43 85
9 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 63 23 86
10 Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 40 49 89
11 Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Falcons 21 88 109
12 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 74 56 130
13 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 77 53 130
14 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 56 80 136
15 Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 66 72 138
16 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 51 94 145
17 Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 73 79 152
18 The Pine School The Pine School Knights 89 67 156
19 VIMSIA VIMSIA Varsity 92 68 160
20 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 95 66 161
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 2 6 2 1 12 Jackson Mcaliley '23 [1-2, 5]
Griggs Diemar '25 [3-4]
Manolo Campos '25 [1-2, 5]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 2 1 1 3 7 14 Cort Snyder '23
Dante Garcia '24
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 3 4 2 4 3 16 Kate Danielson '24
Ainsley Braun '25
Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Falcons 8 6 4 1 2 21 Brayden Benesch '24
Carlos Roig '24
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 4 3 7 7 10 31 Ian Richardson '25 [1-5]
Ava Cohen '25 [1-2]
Lydia Woolson '24 [3-5]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 9 5 11 6 6 37 Cody Roe '25 [1-4]
Kevin Gosselin '23 [5]
Ana Lynch Smith '25 [1-2]
Parker Bustamante '25 [3-4]
Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [5]
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 10 12 3 10 5 40 Robert Richards '25
Caitlin Briggs '23
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 7 17 5 5 8 42 William Kulas '24
Matt Baer '25
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 6 7 10 DSQ 4 48 Jake Julien '24
Brooke Mertz '25
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 5 9 9 8 20 51 Will Barnhart '25 [1-4]
Jose Salomon '23 [5]
Hugh La Fontise '24 [1-4]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 12 14 8 12 9 55 Danny Rianno '23 [1-5]
Caroline Caudron '23 [1-2]
Jadin Gonzalez '24 [3-5]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 13 8 13 9 13 56 Vaughn Grove '26
Vaughn Grove '25
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 11 11 14 13 14 63 Sidney Moyer '23 [1-5]
Sophia Fuller '25 [1-4]
Gloria Privis '26 [5]
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 16 10 15 14 11 66 Nicholas Crull '26 [1-5]
Rayne Harold '26 [1-2]
James Collins '26 [3-4]
Machael Ladd '26 [5]
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 14 13 16 15 15 73 Audrey Russler '26 [1-5]
Martina Santos '26 [1-2]
Gabriela Hernandez '24 [3-4]
Carola Zapata '26 [5]
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 15 15 DSQ 11 12 74 Curt Wheeler '25
Brynn Dejongh '25
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 17 16 12 16 16 77 Daphne Dalton '24
Savannah Kautz '25
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 18 19 18 17 17 89 Michael Blotnick '23
Shuohan Zhuang '26
VIMSIA VIMSIA Varsity 19 18 17 19 19 92 Aurora Rodriguez '26 [1-5]
Amelie Zucker '24 [1-4]
Miles Broome '25 [5]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 20 20 19 18 18 95 Heidi Weiksnar '23
Valen Cuevas '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 4 1 2 6 2 15 Umi Noritake '24
Holland Ramos '23
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 6 3 1 3 6 19 Leo Seuss '23 [1-5]
Jonas Carvalho '23 [1-2, 5]
Alexandra Jones '24 [3-4]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 1 5 3 9 5 23 Dorothy Mendelblatt '24
Zach O'Connor '23
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 7 2 5 5 4 23 Laura Hamilton '23 [1-5]
Kevin Gosselin '23 [1-4]
Parker Bustamante '25 [5]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 5 6 7 7 7 32 Connor Mertz '25
Jake Taubman '25
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 2 8 9 1 13 33 Rosie Simpson '25
Morgan Shirey '24
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 3 OCS 6 4 1 35 Olivia Drulard '23 [1-2, 5]
Ian Fox '24 [3-4]
Violet Martin '24 [1-2, 5]
Christine Keedy-Brown '24 [3-4]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 9 4 BKD 12 9 43 Grant Schmidt '24 [1-5]
Elizabeth Wire '24 [1-4]
Kai Wolter '24 [5]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 8 OCS 4 2 12 47 Tom Seibold '25 [1-5]
Jarah Maynor '24 [1-2]
Colin Anderson '26 [3-5]
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 17 9 12 8 3 49 Cruz Lonski '25 [1-5]
Andreas Lucas '25 [1-4]
Greg Degraff '24 [5]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 10 10 8 10 15 53 Rylan Morris '24
Lexi Trimble '24
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Sailors 14 7 11 16 8 56 Millie French '25
Samantha Jones '25
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 11 11 13 14 17 66 Grady Stahl '26 [1-5]
Kyle Weiksnar '25 [1-2, 5]
David Wedde '27 [3-4]
The Pine School The Pine School Knights 18 16 10 13 10 67 Carter Polachek '25
Harper Aberman '26
VIMSIA VIMSIA Varsity 15 14 14 11 14 68 Zia Zucker '26
Ella Crew '25
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Vero Beach 16 12 15 18 11 72 Denali Harold '24 [1-4]
Rayne Harold '26 [5]
Machael Ladd '26 [1-2]
Caspar Quam '26 [3-4]
James Collins '26 [5]
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School 12 13 19 17 18 79 Isabella Storm '26 [1-5]
Sophia Roy-Longino '24 [1-2]
Addison Grinan '24 [3-4]
Martina Santos '26 [5]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 13 15 17 19 16 80 Meave Mullen '23
Charlotte Sample '23
Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Falcons 19 18 16 15 20 88 Taylor Shivbaran '26 [1-5]
Ignacio Del Hierro '25 [1-2, 5]
Reece Weber '24 [3-4]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 20 17 18 20 19 94 Christopher Bobson '23
Castan Conley '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes11111
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School22222
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders33333
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions55555
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons66666
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers77777
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves88888
Palmer Trinity SchoolPalmer Trinity School Falcons99999
VIMSIAVIMSIA Varsity1717171717
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers2020202020
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers44444
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders1010101010
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders1515151515
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors1111111111
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers1212121212
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS1313131313
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils1414141414
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights1616161616
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Vero Beach1818181818
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors1919191919

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes11111
Carrollton School of the Sacred HeartCarrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School22222
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders33333
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions55555
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons66666
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers77777
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves88888
Palmer Trinity SchoolPalmer Trinity School Falcons99999
VIMSIAVIMSIA Varsity1717171717
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers2020202020
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers44444
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders1010101010
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders1515151515
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Sailors1111111111
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers1212121212
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS1313131313
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils1414141414
The Pine SchoolThe Pine School Knights1616161616
Vero Beach High SchoolVero Beach High School Vero Beach1818181818
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors1919191919
School / Team SkipperCrew
Antilles School Antilles School Robert Richards '25 Caitlin Briggs '23
Hurricanes Cruz Lonski '25 [1-5] Andreas Lucas '25 [1-4]
Greg Degraff '24 [5]
Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Carrollton School of the Sacred Heart Audrey Russler '26 [1-5] Martina Santos '26 [1-2]
Gabriela Hernandez '24 [3-4]
Carola Zapata '26 [5]
Carrollton School Isabella Storm '26 [1-5] Sophia Roy-Longino '24 [1-2]
Addison Grinan '24 [3-4]
Martina Santos '26 [5]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Cort Snyder '23 Dante Garcia '24
Raiders Leo Seuss '23 [1-5] Jonas Carvalho '23 [1-2, 5]
Alexandra Jones '24 [3-4]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Ian Richardson '25 [1-5] Ava Cohen '25 [1-2]
Lydia Woolson '24 [3-5]
Panthers Tom Seibold '25 [1-5] Jarah Maynor '24 [1-2]
Colin Anderson '26 [3-5]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Danny Rianno '23 [1-5] Caroline Caudron '23 [1-2]
Jadin Gonzalez '24 [3-5]
Royal Lions Umi Noritake '24 Holland Ramos '23
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School William Kulas '24 Matt Baer '25
Falcons Grant Schmidt '24 [1-5] Elizabeth Wire '24 [1-4]
Kai Wolter '24 [5]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Heidi Weiksnar '23 Valen Cuevas '24
Tigers Grady Stahl '26 [1-5] Kyle Weiksnar '25 [1-2, 5]
David Wedde '27 [3-4]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Vaughn Grove '26 Vaughn Grove '25
ThunderWolves Meave Mullen '23 Charlotte Sample '23
Palmer Trinity School Palmer Trinity School Brayden Benesch '24 Carlos Roig '24
Falcons Taylor Shivbaran '26 [1-5] Ignacio Del Hierro '25 [1-2, 5]
Reece Weber '24 [3-4]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Jake Julien '24 Brooke Mertz '25
Panthers Connor Mertz '25 Jake Taubman '25
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Jackson Mcaliley '23 [1-2, 5]
Griggs Diemar '25 [3-4]		 Manolo Campos '25 [1-2, 5]
Raiders Olivia Drulard '23 [1-2, 5]
Ian Fox '24 [3-4]		 Violet Martin '24 [1-2, 5]
Christine Keedy-Brown '24 [3-4]
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Curt Wheeler '25 Brynn Dejongh '25
Sailors Millie French '25 Samantha Jones '25
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Kate Danielson '24 Ainsley Braun '25
Chargers Rosie Simpson '25 Morgan Shirey '24
South Fork High School South Fork High School Daphne Dalton '24 Savannah Kautz '25
SF BULLDOGS Rylan Morris '24 Lexi Trimble '24
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Sidney Moyer '23 [1-5] Sophia Fuller '25 [1-4]
Gloria Privis '26 [5]
Green Devils Dorothy Mendelblatt '24 Zach O'Connor '23
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Cody Roe '25 [1-4]
Kevin Gosselin '23 [5]		 Ana Lynch Smith '25 [1-2]
Parker Bustamante '25 [3-4]
Danielle Lynch Smith '26 [5]
Raiders Laura Hamilton '23 [1-5] Kevin Gosselin '23 [1-4]
Parker Bustamante '25 [5]
The Pine School The Pine School Michael Blotnick '23 Shuohan Zhuang '26
Knights Carter Polachek '25 Harper Aberman '26
VIMSIA VIMSIA Aurora Rodriguez '26 [1-5] Amelie Zucker '24 [1-4]
Miles Broome '25 [5]
Varsity Zia Zucker '26 Ella Crew '25
Vero Beach High School Vero Beach High School Nicholas Crull '26 [1-5] Rayne Harold '26 [1-2]
James Collins '26 [3-4]
Machael Ladd '26 [5]
Vero Beach Denali Harold '24 [1-4]
Rayne Harold '26 [5]		 Machael Ladd '26 [1-2]
Caspar Quam '26 [3-4]
James Collins '26 [5]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Will Barnhart '25 [1-4]
Jose Salomon '23 [5]		 Hugh La Fontise '24 [1-4]
Warriors Christopher Bobson '23 Castan Conley '27

Conditions — 10/22/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1016.9 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.2 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From N (8°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover9% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1016.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Jensen Beach: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jensen Beach by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Jensen Beach, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →