2024 Rose Bowl Regatta - SILVER

HostUS Sailing Center - Long Beach, CA
Date01/06/2024
TypePromotional
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#		School	Team	A	B	TOT
1		South Torrance High School	Spartans	30	27	57
2		Varsity	Varsity	38	36	74
3		Parker	Parker	61	31	92
4		Bishop's School	Knights	68	29	97
5		Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	37	61	98
6		San Domenico High School	Panthers	11	88	99
7		New Trier HS	Trevian	61	46	107
8		San Pedro High School	Pirates	55	55	110
9		Los Alamitos High School	Griffins	24	87	111
10		Evanston Township HS	Wildkits	35	76	111
11		Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	49	64	113
12		Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	63	61	124
13		Dos Pueblos	Chargers	50	75	125
14		Capital High School	Cougars	75	52	127
15		Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays	57	79	136
16		Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	74	68	142
17		Loyola High School (CA)	Cubs	68	76	144
18		Harvard-Westlake	Varsity	38	108	146
19		SF University High School	Red Devils	107	43	150
20		The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	72	83	155
21		Spring Street International School	Green	108	48	156
22		Olympia High School	Bears 1	87	71	158
23		Brophy College Preparatory	Brophy	91	69	160
24		Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	75	89	164
25		Bainbridge High School	Spartans	99	72	171
26		St. John Bosco	St. John Bosco	101	76	177
27	$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	97	86	183
28		Design Tech High School	Dragons	77	106	183
29		Carlmont	The Scots	93	92	185
30		Archbishop Riordan	Crusaders	110	79	189
31		Olympia High School	Bears 2	84	111	195
32		Chatham High School	Cougars	112	84	196
33		Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Pacific Palisades Ch	107	93	200
34		Kingston High School	Kraken	92	122	214
35		Burlingame High School	Burlingame	134	88	222
36		The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	125	139	264

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	TOT	Sailors
	San Domenico High School	Panthers	6	1	2	2	11	Merritt Sellers '26 Alex Collier-Lake '24
	Los Alamitos High School	Griffins	2	14	3	5	24	Stewart Mccaleb '26 Abigail Fenholt '28
	South Torrance High School	Spartans	5	7	14	4	30	Joaquin Desrochers '25 Reese Lieser '25
	Evanston Township HS	Wildkits	10	4	9	12	35	Eva Decastro '24 Gavin Parsons '24
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	1	2	25	9	37	Nic Messano '28 Gavin Steuerwald '24
	Harvard-Westlake	Varsity	4	9	11	14	38	Matthew Commons '25 Sean Ozalpasan '25
	Varsity	Varsity	14	15	1	8	38
	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	11	11	20	7	49	Aaron Toy-Lim '26 Mila Kane '25
	Dos Pueblos	Chargers	3	5	19	23	50	Porter Murray '26 Leo Korman '26
	San Pedro High School	Pirates	12	19	7	17	55	Gwen Hildebrand '25 [1-2] Nicholas Parsnik '26 [3-4] Iliana Hernandez '27 [1-2] Niko Seiple '27 [3-4]
	Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays	17	13	24	3	57	Alex Fisher '27 [1-4] Caleb Winn '26 [1-2] Santiago Balderson '26 [3-4]
	Parker	Parker	16	3	22	20	61	Caeden Nodurft '25 [1-2] Samantha Katz '24 [3-4] Samantha Katz '24 [1-2] Fia Cattaneo '27 [3-4]
	New Trier HS	Trevian	24	12	12	13	61	Preston Levy '24 Nora Donahue '24
	Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	9	31	4	19	63	Roan Olson '25 William Layton '25
	Bishop's School	Knights	20	8	16	24	68	Celeste Oder '26 Sophie Brunner '26
	Loyola High School (CA)	Cubs	27	26	5	10	68	Carsten Zieger '24 Giovanni Valencia '24
	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	15	17	15	25	72	Maya Urfer '25 Kearney Spillane '24
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	34	6	28	6	74	Jason Lester '24 Vaugn Neumann '27
	Capital High School	Cougars	7	18	21	29	75	Alijah Manzanares '25 Seher Kasmani '27
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	35	22	17	1	75	Dersen Eddowes '24 Kieran Peterson '27
	Design Tech High School	Dragons	28	21	6	22	77	Skye Crawford '25 Peyton Wright '25
	Olympia High School	Bears 2	33	27	13	11	84	Simone Reck '27 Jessica Patton '26
	Olympia High School	Bears 1	8	23	30	26	87	Liam Power '25 Kaden Kim '27
	Brophy College Preparatory	Brophy	22	29	10	30	91	Weston Walker '25 [1-4] Stefano Wood '26 [1-2] Kilian Walker '28 [3-4]
	Kingston High School	Kraken	23	10	27	32	92	Dylan Sprague '26 Leo Taylor '25
	Carlmont	The Scots	21	20	31	21	93	Ward Brouwer '24 Karsten Brouwer '27
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	26	32	8	31	97	Olivia Corzine '28 [1-4] Asher Liebgold '26 [1-2] Elizabeth Nash '28 [3-4]
	Bainbridge High School	Spartans	19	34	18	28	99	Gretchen Fiscus '26 Ella Baker '27
	St. John Bosco	St. John Bosco	13	16	35	DNF	101
	Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Pacific Palisades Ch	29	30	33	15	107	Oliver '27 Catalina Brody '24
	SF University High School	Red Devils	31	28	32	16	107	Alice Newmeyer '25 Reeve Char '27
	Spring Street International School	Green	32	35	23	18	108	Emmett Beadnall '27 Oliver Oswald '25
	Archbishop Riordan	Crusaders	18	25	34	33	110	Eva Bennett '25 Kaia Burris '27
	Chatham High School	Cougars	25	24	29	34	112	Noah Lin '27 Ethan Wagner '26
	The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	36	36	26	27	125	Theo Li '25 Flora Ebringer '27
	Burlingame High School	Burlingame	30	33	36	35	134	Finn Hayes '26 Scarlett Bounds '26

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	TOT	Sailors
	South Torrance High School	Spartans	10	1	6	10	27	Kayla Spalding '27 Alden Snyder '27
	Bishop's School	Knights	6	7	2	14	29	Maxfield Payne '25 [1-4] Maia Brunner '26 [1-2] Daniel Guo '27 [3-4]
	Parker	Parker	18	4	3	6	31	Mitchell Janes '26 Evelyn Luo '27
	Varsity	Varsity	5	26	1	4	36
	SF University High School	Red Devils	13	16	7	7	43	James Franzone '27 Nasir Smith '26
	New Trier HS	Trevian	8	18	15	5	46	Santiago Benes '24 David Szymanski '24
	Spring Street International School	Green	22	5	13	8	48	Else Ranker '26 [1-2] Soren O'Connell '26 [3-4] Matilda Twigg '25 [1-4]
	Capital High School	Cougars	30	9	4	9	52	Aidan Budelman '25 Ryan Solie '25
	San Pedro High School	Pirates	17	2	11	25	55	Kennedy Hildebrand '27 Bradley Uyematsu '25
	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	4	12	8	OCS	61	Victoria Messano '24 Jason Chan '26
	Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	14	8	OCS	2	61	Hannah Shorr '26 Maia Dock '24
	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	2	24	OCS	1	64	Ryan Tonkovich '26 Jack Wicker '27
	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	15	22	19	12	68	Reid Imwalle '26 David De Zafra '27
	Brophy College Preparatory	Brophy	20	6	21	22	69	Teague Walker '26 Lukas Villela '25
	Olympia High School	Bears 1	7	32	5	27	71	Liam Taylor '25 Vadim Hettena '24
	Bainbridge High School	Spartans	3	34	32	3	72	Daniel Chapman '27 [1-2, 4] Carson Domansky '26 [3] Carson Domansky '26 [1-2, 4] Daniel Chapman '27 [3]
	Dos Pueblos	Chargers	11	28	18	18	75	Quincy Barnwood '26 Henry Janka '26
	St. John Bosco	St. John Bosco	12	3	24	OCS	76
	Loyola High School (CA)	Cubs	29	10	17	20	76	Luke Ondrey '25 Jonas Stroh '24
	Evanston Township HS	Wildkits	32	17	10	17	76	William Styslinger '24 Ralph Zemaitis '25
	Archbishop Riordan	Crusaders	1	14	31	33	79	Nolan Balocki '27 Sophie Bucker '24
	Coastal Academy High School	Stingrays	35	11	9	24	79	Ezra Balderson '25 [1-4] Caleb Redin '25 [1-2] Elena Stiehl '27 [3-4]
	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	19	25	20	19	83	Milo Sperry '25 [1-4] James Williams '24 [1-2] Wilder Harlow '27 [3-4]
	Chatham High School	Cougars	24	23	14	23	84	Grant Press '25 Cameron Francini '25
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Dragons	16	33	16	21	86	Matthew Camper '28 [1-4] Elijah Soussan '26 [1-2] Aabid Fitzgerald '26 [3-4]
	Los Alamitos High School	Griffins	23	31	22	11	87	Mathilde Smith '26 Megan Farmer '28
	Burlingame High School	Burlingame	9	35	29	15	88	Kieran Clarke '26 Lucia Hayes '26
	San Domenico High School	Panthers	21	15	26	26	88	Dylan Song '25 Seamus Crain '26
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	28	20	25	16	89	Julia Musial '26 Lada Nosar '26
	Carlmont	The Scots	31	21	12	28	92	Jenna Englehart '24 Kaivo Kadai '25
	Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Pacific Palisades Ch	26	13	23	31	93	Katelyn Chang '27 Lalo Miali '24
	Design Tech High School	Dragons	34	29	30	13	106	Will Kizer '25 John Nix '25
	Harvard-Westlake	Varsity	25	19	34	30	108	Helena Salas '25 Mira Goldman '27
	Olympia High School	Bears 2	27	27	28	29	111	Cameron Leclair '27 Faye Hervieux '26
	Kingston High School	Kraken	33	30	27	32	122	Shelby Chandler '25 Acadia Tweed-Kent '25
	The International School of San Francisco	Jaguars	36	36	33	34	139	Ary Clark De Castilho '25 Katharine Mackenzie '24

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

	Team	1A	2A	3A	4A
	Archbishop Riordan Crusaders	38	38	40	40
	Bainbridge High School Spartans	39	39	41	41
	Brophy College Preparatory Brophy	41	41	43	43
	Burlingame High School Burlingame	42	42	44	44
	Capital High School Cougars	43	43	45	45
	Carlmont The Scots	44	44	46	46
	Chatham High School Cougars	45	45	47	47
	Coastal Academy High School Stingrays	46	46	48	48
	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	47	47	49	49
	Design Tech High School Dragons	48	48	50	50
	Dos Pueblos Chargers	49	49	51	51
	Evanston Township HS Wildkits	50	50	52	52
	Parker Parker	63	63	65	65
	Harvard-Westlake Varsity	51	51	53	53
	The International School of San Francisco Jaguars	52	52	54	54
	Kingston High School Kraken	53	53	55	55
	Los Alamitos High School Griffins	54	54	56	56
	Loyola High School (CA) Cubs	55	55	57	57
	Varsity Varsity	56	56	58	58
	New Trier HS Trevian	57	57	59	59
	Olympia High School Bears 1	58	58	60	60
	Olympia High School Bears 2	59	59	61	61
	Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Ch	60	60	62	62
	Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	61	61	63	63
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	62	62	64	64
	Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	64	64	66	66
	San Domenico High School Panthers	65	65	67	67
	San Pedro High School Pirates	67	67	69	69
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons	68	68	70	70
	SF University High School Red Devils	66	66	68	68
	South Torrance High School Spartans	69	69	71	71
	Spring Street International School Green	70	70	72	72
	St. John Bosco St. John Bosco	71	71	73	73
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	72	72	38	38
	The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	73	73	39	39
	Bishop's School Knights	40	40	42	42

Division B

	Team	1B	2B	3B	4B
	Archbishop Riordan Crusaders	39	39	41	41
	Bainbridge High School Spartans	40	40	42	42
	Brophy College Preparatory Brophy	42	42	44	44
	Burlingame High School Burlingame	43	43	45	45
	Capital High School Cougars	44	44	46	46
	Carlmont The Scots	45	45	47	47
	Chatham High School Cougars	46	46	48	48
	Coastal Academy High School Stingrays	47	47	49	49
	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	48	48	50	50
	Design Tech High School Dragons	49	49	51	51
	Dos Pueblos Chargers	50	50	52	52
	Evanston Township HS Wildkits	51	51	53	53
	Parker Parker	64	64	66	66
	Harvard-Westlake Varsity	52	52	54	54
	The International School of San Francisco Jaguars	53	53	55	55
	Kingston High School Kraken	54	54	56	56
	Los Alamitos High School Griffins	55	55	57	57
	Loyola High School (CA) Cubs	56	56	58	58
	Varsity Varsity	57	57	59	59
	New Trier HS Trevian	58	58	60	60
	Olympia High School Bears 1	59	59	61	61
	Olympia High School Bears 2	60	60	62	62
	Pacific Palisades Charter High School Pacific Palisades Ch	61	61	63	63
	Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	62	62	64	64
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	63	63	65	65
	Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	65	65	67	67
	San Domenico High School Panthers	66	66	68	68
	San Pedro High School Pirates	68	68	70	70
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Dragons	69	69	71	71
	SF University High School Red Devils	67	67	69	69
	South Torrance High School Spartans	70	70	72	72
	Spring Street International School Green	71	71	73	73
	St. John Bosco St. John Bosco	72	72	38	38
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	73	73	39	39
	The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	38	38	40	40
	Bishop's School Knights	41	41	43	43

	School / Team	Skipper	Crew
	Archbishop Riordan	Eva Bennett '25	Kaia Burris '27
	Crusaders	Nolan Balocki '27	Sophie Bucker '24
	Bainbridge High School	Gretchen Fiscus '26	Ella Baker '27
	Spartans	Daniel Chapman '27 [1-2, 4] Carson Domansky '26 [3]	Carson Domansky '26 [1-2, 4] Daniel Chapman '27 [3]
	Bishop's School	Celeste Oder '26	Sophie Brunner '26
	Knights	Maxfield Payne '25 [1-4]	Maia Brunner '26 [1-2] Daniel Guo '27 [3-4]
	Brophy College Preparatory	Weston Walker '25 [1-4]	Stefano Wood '26 [1-2] Kilian Walker '28 [3-4]
	Brophy	Teague Walker '26	Lukas Villela '25
	Burlingame High School	Finn Hayes '26	Scarlett Bounds '26
	Burlingame	Kieran Clarke '26	Lucia Hayes '26
	Capital High School	Alijah Manzanares '25	Seher Kasmani '27
	Cougars	Aidan Budelman '25	Ryan Solie '25
	Carlmont	Ward Brouwer '24	Karsten Brouwer '27
	The Scots	Jenna Englehart '24	Kaivo Kadai '25
	Chatham High School	Noah Lin '27	Ethan Wagner '26
	Cougars	Grant Press '25	Cameron Francini '25
	Coastal Academy High School	Alex Fisher '27 [1-4]	Caleb Winn '26 [1-2] Santiago Balderson '26 [3-4]
	Stingrays	Ezra Balderson '25 [1-4]	Caleb Redin '25 [1-2] Elena Stiehl '27 [3-4]
	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Aaron Toy-Lim '26	Mila Kane '25
	Cubs	Ryan Tonkovich '26	Jack Wicker '27
	Design Tech High School	Skye Crawford '25	Peyton Wright '25
	Dragons	Will Kizer '25	John Nix '25
	Dos Pueblos	Porter Murray '26	Leo Korman '26
	Chargers	Quincy Barnwood '26	Henry Janka '26
	Evanston Township HS	Eva Decastro '24	Gavin Parsons '24
	Wildkits	William Styslinger '24	Ralph Zemaitis '25
	Harvard-Westlake	Matthew Commons '25	Sean Ozalpasan '25
	Varsity	Helena Salas '25	Mira Goldman '27
	Kingston High School	Dylan Sprague '26	Leo Taylor '25
	Kraken	Shelby Chandler '25	Acadia Tweed-Kent '25
	Los Alamitos High School	Stewart Mccaleb '26	Abigail Fenholt '28
	Griffins	Mathilde Smith '26	Megan Farmer '28
	Loyola High School (CA)	Carsten Zieger '24	Giovanni Valencia '24
	Cubs	Luke Ondrey '25	Jonas Stroh '24
	New Trier HS	Preston Levy '24	Nora Donahue '24
	Trevian	Santiago Benes '24	David Szymanski '24
	Olympia High School	Liam Power '25	Kaden Kim '27
	Bears 1	Liam Taylor '25	Vadim Hettena '24
	Olympia High School	Simone Reck '27	Jessica Patton '26
	Bears 2	Cameron Leclair '27	Faye Hervieux '26
	Pacific Palisades Charter High School	Oliver '27	Catalina Brody '24
	Pacific Palisades Ch	Katelyn Chang '27	Lalo Miali '24
	Palos Verdes High School	Nic Messano '28	Gavin Steuerwald '24
	Sea Kings	Victoria Messano '24	Jason Chan '26
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Dersen Eddowes '24	Kieran Peterson '27
	Panthers	Julia Musial '26	Lada Nosar '26
	Parker	Caeden Nodurft '25 [1-2] Samantha Katz '24 [3-4]	Samantha Katz '24 [1-2] Fia Cattaneo '27 [3-4]
	Parker	Mitchell Janes '26	Evelyn Luo '27
	Roosevelt High School	Roan Olson '25	William Layton '25
	Rough Riders	Hannah Shorr '26	Maia Dock '24
	SF University High School	Alice Newmeyer '25	Reeve Char '27
	Red Devils	James Franzone '27	Nasir Smith '26
	San Domenico High School	Merritt Sellers '26	Alex Collier-Lake '24
	Panthers	Dylan Song '25	Seamus Crain '26
	San Pedro High School	Gwen Hildebrand '25 [1-2] Nicholas Parsnik '26 [3-4]	Iliana Hernandez '27 [1-2] Niko Seiple '27 [3-4]
	Pirates	Kennedy Hildebrand '27	Bradley Uyematsu '25
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Olivia Corzine '28 [1-4]	Asher Liebgold '26 [1-2] Elizabeth Nash '28 [3-4]
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Dragons	Matthew Camper '28 [1-4]	Elijah Soussan '26 [1-2] Aabid Fitzgerald '26 [3-4]
	South Torrance High School	Joaquin Desrochers '25	Reese Lieser '25
	Spartans	Kayla Spalding '27	Alden Snyder '27
	Spring Street International School	Emmett Beadnall '27	Oliver Oswald '25
	Green	Else Ranker '26 [1-2] Soren O'Connell '26 [3-4]	Matilda Twigg '25 [1-4]
	Tamalpais High School	Jason Lester '24	Vaugn Neumann '27
	Red Tailed Hawks	Reid Imwalle '26	David De Zafra '27
	The Bay School of San Francisco	Maya Urfer '25	Kearney Spillane '24
	Breakers	Milo Sperry '25 [1-4]	James Williams '24 [1-2] Wilder Harlow '27 [3-4]
	The International School of San Francisco	Theo Li '25	Flora Ebringer '27
	Jaguars	Ary Clark De Castilho '25	Katharine Mackenzie '24

Conditions — 01/06/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast

Humidity 76% · Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

55°F

↑ 60°F ↓ 40°F

Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

5.4 kn

avg · max 9.5 kn

Gusts to 16.1 kn

From SE (129°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine9.6 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1019.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 9 kn · NW 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at US Sailing Center - Long Beach, CA: a favourites’ day (+0.02)

Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.

Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.03

Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.26 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at US Sailing Center - Long Beach, CA by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at US Sailing Center - Long Beach, CA: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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