MISSA Central GLC Quals

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 2 10 12
2 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 5 8 13
3 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 6 8 14
4 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 11 7 18
5 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 14 10 24
6 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 12 12 24
7 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 8 19 27
8 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 15 15 30
9 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 19 16 35
10 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Trailblazers 24 17 41
11 Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 29 13 42
12 DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Varsity 20 25 45
13 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 20 25 45
14 Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 26 25 51
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers11
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons1414
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles22
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Varsity33
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits44
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars55
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles77
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts88
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity99
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans1010
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers1111
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian1212
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack1313
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies1515

Division B

Team1B2B
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Trailblazers22
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons1515
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles33
DePaul College PrepDePaul College Prep Varsity44
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits55
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars77
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles88
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts99
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity1010
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans1111
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers1212
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian1313
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack1414
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies11
School / Team SkipperCrew
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Levi Gell '24 Ziggy Schoonveld '23
Trailblazers Graham Marshall '25 Gavin Parsons '24
Culver Academies Culver Academies Annie Samis '25 Oleksandra Smovska '25
Eagles Christopher Mikesell '24 Saufong (Irene) Lin '25
DePaul College Prep DePaul College Prep Charles Gallagher '25 David Hand '25
Varsity Ivy Frater '25 Becky Lechota '25
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Eva Decastro '24 Harper Jamison '24
Wildkits William Styslinger '24 Ralph Zemaitis '25
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Aidan Soule '25 Margie Deneen '25
Friars Thaddeus Turek '25 Sofia Zoko '26
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Peter Stewart '24 Orla Gilroy '25
Eagles Nissa Berman '26 Georgia Beal '24
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Owen Kohut '25 Maddie Rode '26
Scouts Alec Ranker '24 Mary Carter '24
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Owen Laguardia '24 Reid Robbins '24
Varsity Cassidy Miley '24 Oliver Brenner '26
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Christian Prendergast '24 Laine Reshefsky '24
Romans Oliver Gray '25 Oscar Wolniak '25
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Adler Johnston '27 Ana Bradley '26
Ramblers Peter Garrison '24 Molly Fitzsimmons '25
New Trier HS New Trier HS Aiala Angueira Salbidegoitia '26 Lucy Elvart '24
Trevian Nathan Finkelstein '26 Bennett Waters '26
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Avery Baldwin '25 Finn Connolly '26
Wolfpack Matthew Schmitt '25 Whitney Koif '25
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Jack Colyer '25 Ray Han '26
Maroons Lydia Frost '25 Illana Umanskiy '25
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Deana Fedulova '24 Matthew Pfeiffer '25
Grizzlies Lake Linebaugh '26 Lucia Duffy '25

Conditions — 09/30/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1022.7 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From SSE (151°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1022.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 9 kn · SE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Lake Forest: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Lake Forest by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Lake Forest, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →