NJISA 2023 Fall Series 6

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 4 4 8
2 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 9 12 21
3 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 9 13 22
4 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 12 15 27
5 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 14 14 28
6 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 20 19 39
7 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 29 21 50
8 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 35 25 60
9 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 36 27 63
10 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 5 39 28 67
11 Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 21 49 70
12 Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 35 35 70
13 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 27 45 72
14 Toms River East Toms River East Raiders 45 30 75
15 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 39 37 76
16 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 41 36 77
17 Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers 44 49 93
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 2 1 1 4 Turner Ryon '25 [1-3]
Belle Placa '25 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 1 4 4 9 Christopher Small '26
Matthew Dupree '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 4 3 2 9 Jude Ryon '27 [1-3]
Erin Little '24 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 3 6 3 12 Mitchell Hnatt '24 [1-3]
Luke Pennisi '24 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 7 2 5 14 Ella Demand '24
Maryn Demand '27
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 6 8 6 20 Cole Buczkowski '27 [1-3]
Kyle Lombardino '25 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 9 5 7 21 Gannon Botwinick '27
Scott Tedeschi '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 8 9 10 27 Matthew Moses '24
Seth Santos '27
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 11 7 11 29 Nicole Small '27
Annabelle Arcuri '27
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 10 16 9 35 Jack Schlenker '26
Jayan Philip '26
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 12 10 13 35 Joseph Krajewski '26
Mollie Smith '25
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 13 11 12 36 Lewis Forrest '25 [1-2]
Joshua Portnoy '26 [3]
Sophia Behar '25 [1-2]
Julien Wong '27 [3]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 5 17 17 39 Margaret Burns '27
Evelyn Magee '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 5 16 15 8 39 Greyson Colman '25
Aidan Kenney '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 15 12 14 41 Juliet Davis '28
Alex Dacosta '24
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers 14 14 16 44 Sam Puleio '24
Jack Puleio '27
Toms River East Toms River East Raiders 17 13 15 45 Rylie Mcgowan '27
Alissa Maulshagen '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 1 2 1 4 Belle Placa '25
Kaylan Hoffacker '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 4 1 7 12 Jules Buczkowski '26
Donald Johnston '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 3 5 5 13 Erin Little '24
Noah Tallman '25
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 9 3 2 14 Rex Salzer '26
Ava Mcnabb '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 6 6 3 15 Luke Pennisi '24
Daniel Stephan '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 5 8 6 19 Kyle Lombardino '25
Alton Deoliveria '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 13 4 4 21 Cameron Hart '27 [1]
Grace Ciak '26 [2-3]
Grace Ciak '26 [1]
Cameron Hart '27 [2-3]
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 2 12 11 25 Jacob Palombo '26
Chase Kalwinsky '26
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 7 10 10 27 Anthony Abboud '25 [1-3]
Joshua Portnoy '26 [1-2]
Keira Mooar '27 [3]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 5 10 9 9 28 Erick Shi '24
Dylan Thomas '27
Toms River East Toms River East Raiders 11 11 8 30 Alissa Maulshagen '27
No Show
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 15 7 13 35 James Mccarthy '26
Matthew Moschello '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 8 14 14 36 Caroline Duffy '25
Julianna Walsh '24
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 12 13 12 37 Allison Beisel '24
Giada Incognito '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 14 15 16 45 Andrew Dinger '24
Ryan Mullholland '25
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 16 16 17 49 Gabriel Vasslides '26
Shannon Underwood '27
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers 17 17 15 49 Jack Arhanic '24
Russel Karshmer '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3333
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 4444
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 5888
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins555
Marine Academy of Science and TechnologyMarine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers666
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers777
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils999
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 1101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 2111111
Toms River EastToms River East Raiders121212
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners131313
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 1141414
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 2151515
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 1181818
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 2171717

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1111
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2222
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3333
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 4444
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 5888
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins555
Marine Academy of Science and TechnologyMarine Academy of Science and Technology Rangers666
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers777
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils999
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 1101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 2111111
Toms River EastToms River East Raiders121212
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners131313
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 1141414
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 2151515
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 1181818
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 2171717
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Christopher Small '26 Matthew Dupree '25
Colts 1 Jules Buczkowski '26 Donald Johnston '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Mitchell Hnatt '24 [1-3] Luke Pennisi '24 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Colts 2 Luke Pennisi '24 Daniel Stephan '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Cole Buczkowski '27 [1-3] Kyle Lombardino '25 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Colts 3 Kyle Lombardino '25 Alton Deoliveria '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Matthew Moses '24 Seth Santos '27
Colts 4 Andrew Dinger '24 Ryan Mullholland '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Greyson Colman '25 Aidan Kenney '26
Colts 5 Erick Shi '24 Dylan Thomas '27
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Nicole Small '27 Annabelle Arcuri '27
Griffins Cameron Hart '27 [1]
Grace Ciak '26 [2-3]
Grace Ciak '26 [1]
Cameron Hart '27 [2-3]
Marine Academy of Science and Technology Marine Academy of Science and Technology Sam Puleio '24 Jack Puleio '27
Rangers Jack Arhanic '24 Russel Karshmer '25
Ranney School Ranney School Lewis Forrest '25 [1-2]
Joshua Portnoy '26 [3]
Sophia Behar '25 [1-2]
Julien Wong '27 [3]
Panthers Anthony Abboud '25 [1-3] Joshua Portnoy '26 [1-2]
Keira Mooar '27 [3]
Ridge High School Ridge High School Jack Schlenker '26 Jayan Philip '26
Red Devils James Mccarthy '26 Matthew Moschello '26
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Turner Ryon '25 [1-3] Belle Placa '25 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Rams 1 Belle Placa '25 Kaylan Hoffacker '26
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Jude Ryon '27 [1-3] Erin Little '24 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Rams 2 Erin Little '24 Noah Tallman '25
Toms River East Toms River East Rylie Mcgowan '27 Alissa Maulshagen '27
Raiders Alissa Maulshagen '27 No Show
Toms River North Toms River North Gannon Botwinick '27 Scott Tedeschi '25
Mariners Gabriel Vasslides '26 Shannon Underwood '27
Toms River South Toms River South Ella Demand '24 Maryn Demand '27
Indians 1 Rex Salzer '26 Ava Mcnabb '24
Toms River South Toms River South Joseph Krajewski '26 Mollie Smith '25
Indians 2 Jacob Palombo '26 Chase Kalwinsky '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Juliet Davis '28 Alex Dacosta '24
Monarchs 1 Caroline Duffy '25 Julianna Walsh '24
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Margaret Burns '27 Evelyn Magee '26
Monarchs 2 Allison Beisel '24 Giada Incognito '24

Conditions — 10/18/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1020.7 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 11.1 kn
From SSE (160°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover46% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1020.7 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Southern Regional: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.18)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.21
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.36 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.18 means a rating gap counts about 15% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Regional by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Southern Regional, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →