NJISA 2023 Fall Series 2

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 17 7 24
2 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 14 17 31
3 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 18 14 32
4 Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 9 26 35
5 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 22 18 40
6 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 8 33 41
7 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 13 30 43
8 Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 29 15 44
9 Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 36 10 46
10 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 18 30 48
11 Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 22 27 49
12 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 40 30 70
13 Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 37 36 73
14 Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 38 38 76
15 Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 39 39 78
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 5 1 2 8 James Kopack '24
Caroline Felser '24
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 1 7 1 9 Turner Ryon '25 [1-3]
Belle Placa '25 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 6 4 3 13 Cole Buczkowski '27
Matthew Dupree '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 2 3 9 14 Christopher Small '26
Luke Pennisi '24
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 4 9 4 17 Jude Ryon '27 [1-3]
Erin Little '24 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 3 8 7 18 Jules Buczkowski '26
Seth Santos '27
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 7 5 6 18 Ella Demand '24
Maryn Demand '27
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 8 6 8 22 Mitchell Hnatt '24
Daniel Stephan '24
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 10 2 10 22 Gannon Botwinick '27
Scott Tedeschi '25
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 11 13 5 29 Jack Pentony '26 [1-3]
Joshua Portnoy '26 [1-2]
Julien Wong '27 [3]
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 13 12 11 36 Cameron Hart '27
Richard Mcgowan '25
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 9 15 13 37 Caroline Duffy '25
Julianna Walsh '24
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 15 11 12 38 Joseph Krajewski '26
Mollie Smith '25
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 14 10 15 39 James Mccarthy '26
Ally Pellegrino '25
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 12 14 14 40 Alex Dacosta '24 [1-2]
Margaret Burns '27 [3]
Giada Incognito '24 [1-2]
Juliet Davis '28 [3]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 2 3 1 3 7 Erin Little '24
No Show
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 2 5 4 1 10 Nicole Small '27
Annabelle Arcuri '27
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 3 4 2 8 14 Kyle Lombardino '25
Donald Johnston '25
Ranney School Ranney School Panthers 6 3 6 15 Dylan Pagonis '26
Sophia Behar '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 1 8 7 2 17 Luke Pennisi '24
Alton Deoliveria '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 2 1 10 7 18 Matthew Moses '24
Dylan Thomas '27
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Rams 1 2 8 OCS 26 Belle Placa '25
Noah Tallman '25
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 7 9 11 27 Scott Tedeschi '25
Gannon Botwinick '27
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 1 9 5 OCS 30 Rex Salzer '26
Ava Mcnabb '24
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 4 12 14 4 30 Andrew Dinger '24
Aidan Kenney '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 1 14 11 5 30 Allison Beisel '24
Greta Senft '24
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Griffins 1 11 6 OCS 33 Liam Marcell '26
Scarlett Colman '26
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Monarchs 2 13 13 10 36 Sophia Galiano '26
Evelyn Magee '26
Toms River South Toms River South Indians 2 10 12 OCS 38 Jacob Palombo '26 [1-3]
Chase Kalwinsky '26 [1-2]
Liam Figueras '27 [3]
Ridge High School Ridge High School Red Devils 15 15 9 39 Matthew Moschello '26
Ryan Amicone '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3181818
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 4171717
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1161616
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2151515
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers131313
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils121212
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 1101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 2999
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners888
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 1777
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 2666
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 1555
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 2444

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 1202020
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 2191919
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 3181818
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts 4171717
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 1161616
Donovan Catholic High SchoolDonovan Catholic High School Griffins 2151515
Ranney SchoolRanney School Panthers131313
Ridge High SchoolRidge High School Red Devils121212
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 1101010
Southern Regional High SchoolSouthern Regional High School Rams 2999
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners888
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 1777
Toms River SouthToms River South Indians 2666
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 1555
Trinity HallTrinity Hall Monarchs 2444
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Christopher Small '26 Luke Pennisi '24
Colts 1 Luke Pennisi '24 Alton Deoliveria '26
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Mitchell Hnatt '24 Daniel Stephan '24
Colts 2 Matthew Moses '24 Dylan Thomas '27
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Jules Buczkowski '26 Seth Santos '27
Colts 3 Kyle Lombardino '25 Donald Johnston '25
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Cole Buczkowski '27 Matthew Dupree '25
Colts 4 Andrew Dinger '24 Aidan Kenney '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School James Kopack '24 Caroline Felser '24
Griffins 1 Liam Marcell '26 Scarlett Colman '26
Donovan Catholic High School Donovan Catholic High School Cameron Hart '27 Richard Mcgowan '25
Griffins 2 Nicole Small '27 Annabelle Arcuri '27
Ranney School Ranney School Jack Pentony '26 [1-3] Joshua Portnoy '26 [1-2]
Julien Wong '27 [3]
Panthers Dylan Pagonis '26 Sophia Behar '25
Ridge High School Ridge High School James Mccarthy '26 Ally Pellegrino '25
Red Devils Matthew Moschello '26 Ryan Amicone '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Turner Ryon '25 [1-3] Belle Placa '25 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Rams 1 Belle Placa '25 Noah Tallman '25
Southern Regional High School Southern Regional High School Jude Ryon '27 [1-3] Erin Little '24 [1-2]
No Show [3]
Rams 2 Erin Little '24 No Show
Toms River North Toms River North Gannon Botwinick '27 Scott Tedeschi '25
Mariners Scott Tedeschi '25 Gannon Botwinick '27
Toms River South Toms River South Ella Demand '24 Maryn Demand '27
Indians 1 Rex Salzer '26 Ava Mcnabb '24
Toms River South Toms River South Joseph Krajewski '26 Mollie Smith '25
Indians 2 Jacob Palombo '26 [1-3] Chase Kalwinsky '26 [1-2]
Liam Figueras '27 [3]
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Alex Dacosta '24 [1-2]
Margaret Burns '27 [3]
Giada Incognito '24 [1-2]
Juliet Davis '28 [3]
Monarchs 1 Allison Beisel '24 Greta Senft '24
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Caroline Duffy '25 Julianna Walsh '24
Monarchs 2 Sophia Galiano '26 Evelyn Magee '26

Conditions — 09/20/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1020.8 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 5.2 kn
Gusts to 12.6 kn
From WNW (285°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover29% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1020.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ranney: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.21 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ranney by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Ranney, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →