MDISA SSPP Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 15 33 48
2 Gunston Gunston Herons 14 35 49
3 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 1 35 15 50
4 The Tome School The Tome School Titans 33 21 54
5 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 37 19 56
6 Severn School Severn School Admirals 53 5 58
7 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 2 27 32 59
8 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 16 50 66
9 Kennett High School Kennett High School Kennett 41 42 83
10 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 46 45 91
11 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 67 34 101
12 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 48 66 114
13 Panthers Panthers Panthers 63 MRP 82 MRP 145 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Gunston Gunston Herons 1 4 4 3 2 14 Andrew Shingledecker '27
Annabelle Sinatra '24
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 4 5 1 4 1 15 Adam Nilsson '25
Owen Delwiche '25
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 8 1 2 2 3 16 Xander Moulds '29
Griffin Pitcher '25
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 2 7 2 3 6 9 27 Cristian Botsis '25 [1]
Victor Kleppinger '25 [2-5]
Gene Williams '29 [1]
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 5 7 8 9 4 33 Victor Schlecker '26
Emerson Stehl '26
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 1 6 3 7 5 OCS 35 Cece Carey '28
Saoirse Taylor '28
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 2 6 OCS 1 OCS 37 James Biles '27
Teagan Leigh '28
Kennett High School Kennett High School Kennett 10 10 6 7 8 41 Finn Urie '26
Mia Joseph '27
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 9 9 10 11 7 46 Lily Moss '25
Zachary Wells '25
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 11 DNF 9 8 6 48 Belle Marshall '26
Ella Chasse '27
Severn School Severn School Admirals 3 8 DNS DNS DNS 53 Will Mohler '27
Lila Knoepfle '27
Panthers Panthers Panthers 12 11 5 10 5 63 MRP
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers DNS DNF 11 DNS DNS 67 Dylan Thomas '26
Charlotte Ryan '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 1 1 5 Chris Hanson '27
Char Wilkin '26
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 1 3 3 5 2 2 15 Bobby Carey '28
Dawson Cooper '28
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 2 2 6 5 4 19 Zachary Wells '25
Adalyn Biles '27
The Tome School The Tome School Titans 7 6 2 3 3 21 Nathaniel Wyman '28
Nathan Joseph '24
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 2 8 4 4 8 8 32 Victor Kleppinger '25
Nate Scwaninger '29
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 5 8 9 6 5 33 Clara Wilson '25
Mary Muir '25
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 10 5 3 9 7 34 Gabby Hartigan '26
No Show
Gunston Gunston Herons 6 7 8 4 10 35 Isabella Ford '27
Preston Allen '27
Kennett High School Kennett High School Kennett 11 11 7 7 6 42 Aliana Shrum '26
Holden Shrum '28
South River High School South River High School Seahawks 4 10 10 12 9 45 Hayden Medick '26
Matthew Treatman-Clark '27
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 9 9 11 10 11 50 Gibson Farr '25
Nicholas Kitts '25
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 12 12 DNS DNS DNS 66 Skyler Krinetz '25
Tanner Dalton '25
Panthers Panthers Panthers DNF 13 12 11 12 82 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers11335
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins22446
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets33557
Kennett High SchoolKennett High School Kennett55779
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers668810
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders779911
PanthersPanthers Panthers88101012
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres 1111113132
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres 21212113
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals99111113
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks101012121
GunstonGunston Herons44668
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans1313224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers22446
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins33557
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets44668
Kennett High SchoolKennett High School Kennett668810
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers779911
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders88101012
PanthersPanthers Panthers99111113
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres 11212113
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres 21313224
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals101012121
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks111113132
GunstonGunston Herons55779
The Tome SchoolThe Tome School Titans11335

Conditions — 10/15/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1003.2 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.2 kn
avg  ·  max 13.5 kn
Gusts to 28.2 kn
From NNW (331°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine9.3 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1003.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Saints Peter & Paul: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.31)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.40
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.31 means a rating gap counts about 27% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Saints Peter & Paul by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Saints Peter & Paul, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →