MDISA DC Sail T1 Fleet Race

HostWalt Whitman
Date09/20/2025
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Severn School	Admirals 1	15	12	27
2	Leonardtown High School	Raiders	36	22	58
3	Severn School	Admirals 2	27	36	63
4	St. Mary's High School (MD)	Saints	34	40	74
5	Gunston	Herons	44	45	89
6	Key School	Zags	59	38	97
7	The Tome School	Titans	50	68	118
8	Walt Whitman High School	Vikings	59	60	119
9	Broadneck High School	Bruins	53	70	123
10	West Springfield High School	Spartans	66	71	137
11	St. Stephens St. Agnes School	Saints	83	66	149
12	Kent Island High School	Buccaneers	59	91	150
13	Patuxent	Panthers	75	79	154
14	Severna Park	Falcons	103	54	157
15	Great Mills High School	Hornets	78	87	165

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Severn School	Admirals 1	2	2	2	2	4	2	1	15	Will Mohler '27 Parker Lefever-Farino '28
Severn School	Admirals 2	3	1	1	3	8	9	2	27	Antoine Ismael '27 Isabella Ford '28
St. Mary's High School (MD)	Saints	5	3	4	6	3	8	5	34	Halsey Carter '26 [1-7] Cameron Scanlon '28 [1-2, 5-6] Paxton Cho '26 [3-4] Aurelea Cerny '30 [7]
Leonardtown High School	Raiders	1	DSQ	6	1	1	1	10	36	Xander Moulds '29 Catherine Hicks '28
Gunston	Herons	6	4	5	11	11	4	3	44	Andrew Shingledecker '27 Kate Doffermyre '28
The Tome School	Titans	4	6	9	4	5	10	12	50	Victor Schlecker '26 Emerson Stehl '26
Broadneck High School	Bruins	8	5	10	8	9	6	7	53	Charlie Mcgeady '29 Ella Chasse '27
Kent Island High School	Buccaneers	10	7	14	10	7	5	6	59	James Biles V '27 Josephine Iglio '29
Walt Whitman High School	Vikings	11	8	11	12	2	11	4	59	Amelia Wire '27 Penelope Killeen '28
Key School	Zags	14	12	7	5	10	3	8	59	Casey Burman '28 [1-6] Charlotte Lian '29 [7] Charlotte Lian '29 [1-2] Paige Asbill '31 [3-6] Ben Coster '31 [7]
West Springfield High School	Spartans	7	11	8	7	6	12	15	66	Thomas Christiansen '27 [1-7] Luke Steindler '27 [1-4] Alexandria Hou '29 [5-7]
Patuxent	Panthers	12	13	3	14	13	7	13	75	Thomas Birchfield '27 Joseph Dibonaventuro '26
Great Mills High School	Hornets	13	10	12	9	12	13	9	78	Allie Clark '26 Owen Smith '26
St. Stephens St. Agnes School	Saints	9	9	13	13	14	14	11	83	Eleanore Sieving '27 [1-7] Georgia Neaderland '26 [1-4] Mark Driver '27 [5-7]
Severna Park	Falcons	15	14	15	15	15	15	14	103	Logan Nield '30 [1-2] Isabel Albert '29 [3-7] Isabel Albert '29 [1-2] Logan Nield '30 [3-7]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Severn School	Admirals 1	1	1	6	1	1	1	1	12	Chris Hanson '27 Hudson Grow '28
Leonardtown High School	Raiders	3	6	2	4	2	RDG	2	22	Charlie Bates '26 Sam Glauner '27
Severn School	Admirals 2	5	2	1	2	7	8	11	36	Caroline (Cc) Carey '28 Char Wilkin '26
Key School	Zags	10	8	3	6	5	3	3	38	Ethan Purdon '29 [1-7] Ben Coster '31 [1-2] Gideon Santana '28 [3-7]
St. Mary's High School (MD)	Saints	2	4	10	15	3	2	4	40	James Chapman '27 [1-2, 5-7] Myles Riffle '31 [3-4] Aurelea Cerny '30 [1-2, 5-6] Barrett Mouritzen '28 [3-4, 7]
Gunston	Herons	4	5	5	12	10	4	5	45	Preston Allen '27 Ella Von Voss '28
Severna Park	Falcons	8	9	8	8	8	6	7	54	William Albert '28 Gil Glister '28
Walt Whitman High School	Vikings	11	3	12	5	13	7	9	60	James Stahl '27 Owen Garland '27
St. Stephens St. Agnes School	Saints	7	7	4	13	6	14	15	66	Cormac Knight '26 Kara Panjrath '26
The Tome School	Titans	13	10	11	9	4	13	8	68	Nathaniel Wyman '28 John Arty '29
Broadneck High School	Bruins	9	15	14	3	12	11	6	70	Ryan Stebbins '28 Lucille Leigh '28
West Springfield High School	Spartans	6	11	9	7	9	15	14	71	James Salaski '30 John Salaski '30
Patuxent	Panthers	12	12	13	11	11	10	10	79	Nolan Wingate '28 Colt Touchton '30
Great Mills High School	Hornets	14	13	7	14	14	12	13	87	Garrett Szymendera '28 Tucker Smith '30
Kent Island High School	Buccaneers	15	14	15	10	DSQ	9	12	91	Cole Ramsey '28 Lucia Zaklin '27

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.150+0.15

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Broadneck High School Bruins	1	1	3	3	5	5	7
Great Mills High School Hornets	2	2	4	4	6	6	8
Kent Island High School Buccaneers	4	4	6	6	8	8	11
Key School Zags	5	5	7	7	9	9	12
Leonardtown High School Raiders	6	6	8	8	11	11	13
Patuxent Panthers	7	7	9	9	12	12	14
Severn School Admirals 1	8	8	11	11	13	13	15
Severn School Admirals 2	9	9	12	12	14	14	16
Severna Park Falcons	11	11	13	13	15	15	1
St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints	12	12	14	14	16	16	2
St. Stephens St. Agnes School Saints	13	13	15	15	1	1	3
Gunston Herons	3	3	5	5	7	7	9
The Tome School Titans	14	14	16	16	2	2	4
Walt Whitman High School Vikings	15	15	1	1	3	3	5
West Springfield High School Spartans	16	16	2	2	4	4	6

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Broadneck High School Bruins	2	2	4	4	6	6	6
Great Mills High School Hornets	3	3	5	5	7	7	7
Kent Island High School Buccaneers	5	5	7	7	9	9	9
Key School Zags	6	6	8	8	11	11	11
Leonardtown High School Raiders	7	7	9	9	12	12	12
Patuxent Panthers	8	8	11	11	13	13	13
Severn School Admirals 1	9	9	12	12	14	14	14
Severn School Admirals 2	11	11	13	13	15	15	15
Severna Park Falcons	12	12	14	14	16	16	16
St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints	13	13	15	15	1	1	1
St. Stephens St. Agnes School Saints	14	14	16	16	2	2	2
Gunston Herons	4	4	6	6	8	8	8
The Tome School Titans	15	15	1	1	3	3	3
Walt Whitman High School Vikings	16	16	2	2	4	4	4
West Springfield High School Spartans	1	1	3	3	5	5	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Broadneck High School	Charlie Mcgeady '29	Ella Chasse '27
Bruins	Ryan Stebbins '28	Lucille Leigh '28
Great Mills High School	Allie Clark '26	Owen Smith '26
Hornets	Garrett Szymendera '28	Tucker Smith '30
Gunston	Andrew Shingledecker '27	Kate Doffermyre '28
Herons	Preston Allen '27	Ella Von Voss '28
Kent Island High School	James Biles V '27	Josephine Iglio '29
Buccaneers	Cole Ramsey '28	Lucia Zaklin '27
Key School	Casey Burman '28 [1-6] Charlotte Lian '29 [7]	Charlotte Lian '29 [1-2] Paige Asbill '31 [3-6] Ben Coster '31 [7]
Zags	Ethan Purdon '29 [1-7]	Ben Coster '31 [1-2] Gideon Santana '28 [3-7]
Leonardtown High School	Xander Moulds '29	Catherine Hicks '28
Raiders	Charlie Bates '26	Sam Glauner '27
Patuxent	Thomas Birchfield '27	Joseph Dibonaventuro '26
Panthers	Nolan Wingate '28	Colt Touchton '30
Severn School	Will Mohler '27	Parker Lefever-Farino '28
Admirals 1	Chris Hanson '27	Hudson Grow '28
Severn School	Antoine Ismael '27	Isabella Ford '28
Admirals 2	Caroline (Cc) Carey '28	Char Wilkin '26
Severna Park	Logan Nield '30 [1-2] Isabel Albert '29 [3-7]	Isabel Albert '29 [1-2] Logan Nield '30 [3-7]
Falcons	William Albert '28	Gil Glister '28
St. Mary's High School (MD)	Halsey Carter '26 [1-7]	Cameron Scanlon '28 [1-2, 5-6] Paxton Cho '26 [3-4] Aurelea Cerny '30 [7]
Saints	James Chapman '27 [1-2, 5-7] Myles Riffle '31 [3-4]	Aurelea Cerny '30 [1-2, 5-6] Barrett Mouritzen '28 [3-4, 7]
St. Stephens St. Agnes School	Eleanore Sieving '27 [1-7]	Georgia Neaderland '26 [1-4] Mark Driver '27 [5-7]
Saints	Cormac Knight '26	Kara Panjrath '26
The Tome School	Victor Schlecker '26	Emerson Stehl '26
Titans	Nathaniel Wyman '28	John Arty '29
Walt Whitman High School	Amelia Wire '27	Penelope Killeen '28
Vikings	James Stahl '27	Owen Garland '27
West Springfield High School	Thomas Christiansen '27 [1-7]	Luke Steindler '27 [1-4] Alexandria Hou '29 [5-7]
Spartans	James Salaski '30	John Salaski '30

Conditions — 09/20/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle

Humidity 73% · Pressure 1022.1 hPa

Temperature

69°F

↑ 75°F ↓ 63°F

Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

5.4 kn

avg · max 6.6 kn

Gusts to 15.4 kn

From ENE (70°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover52% Sunshine9.1 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1022.1 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn (scorer’s report)

In this breeze at Walt Whitman: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)

Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.

Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.04

Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Walt Whitman by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Walt Whitman, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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