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SEISA Doublehanded Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 43 35 78
2 Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 71 63 134
3 St. Stanislaus St. Stanislaus Varsity 59 78 137
4 Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Varsity 114 92 206
5 All Saints Episcopal All Saints Episcopal All Saints Episcopal 93 127 220
6 Ocean Springs High School Ocean Springs High School Varsity 133 132 265
7 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 150 133 283
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 R20 R21 R22 R23 TOT Sailors
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 1 4 1 3 1 1 2 4 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 4 1 2 2 43 Dane Byerly '16 [1-14]
Marcus Abate '16 [15-20]
Julia Sheaffer '18 [21-23]
Lauren Vande Hei '16 [1-12]
Julia Sheaffer '18 [13-14]
Doug Byerly '18 [15-20]
Laura Masterson '16 [21-23]
St. Stanislaus St. Stanislaus Varsity 3 3 4 6 3 4 4 1 3 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 3 1 1 3 1 4 59 Boyd Housey '18
Charles Breath '18
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 2 2 2 1 6 2 3 2 4 3 5 6 4 4 3 5 1 1 2 2 4 4 3 71 Jonathan Pottharst '15 [1-10, 17-20, 23]
Robert Argote '18 [11-16, 21-22]
Max Bell '17 [1-12, 21-23]
Jackson Bauer '16 [13-20]
All Saints Episcopal All Saints Episcopal All Saints Episcopal 6 6 5 2 5 5 1 3 7 4 4 4 3 5 DNF 3 5 4 4 3 2 3 1 93 Christophe Chaumont '18 [1-23]
Cade Crow '17 [1-2, 9-12, 17-22]
David Williamson '18 [3-6]
Matthew Flores '17 [7-8, 13-16, 23]
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Varsity 4 5 6 4 2 6 5 6 6 6 7 5 5 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 5 114 Camille Mcgriff '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Max Morgan '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-23]
Sam Koser '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Saunders Fitzgerald '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-23]
Ocean Springs High School Ocean Springs High School Varsity 5 1 3 5 4 3 6 5 2 5 3 3 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 133 Wesley (Crew) Stanley '16 [1-23]
Nick Gault '17 [1-10, 14-23]
Haley Baker '17 [11-13]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 5 7 6 7 6 6 5 DNS DNS DNS 6 6 5 5 6 150 Amanda Demesia '17 [1-23]
Alana Austin '17 [1-4, 15-22]
Tylar Warren '18 [5-14, 23]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 R20 R21 R22 R23 TOT Sailors
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights DNF 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 35 Hunter Skinner '16 [1-14]
Anna Willits '17 [15-23]
Laura Masterson '16 [1-14]
Hunter Skinner '16 [15-23]
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays 1 2 1 4 1 2 2 2 4 2 1 2 2 1 3 2 1 2 DNS DNS 6 2 4 63 Michael Haupt '17 [1-2, 9-10, 15-18, 21-23]
William Breaux '16 [3-8, 11-14, 19-20]
Connor Housey '17 [1-8, 11-12, 17-18, 21-22]
William Nance '18 [9-10, 13-16, 19-20, 23]
St. Stanislaus St. Stanislaus Varsity 2 4 5 5 4 5 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 6 2 3 3 5 3 2 2 3 2 78 Thomas Weber '18 [1-8, 15-20, 23]
Tyler Trapani '16 [9-14, 21-22]
Lauryn Kidd '17 [1-16, 21-23]
Taylor Trapani '16 [17-20]
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Varsity 3 6 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 6 6 5 4 3 4 4 4 6 2 3 3 4 3 92 Forrest Pearson '16 [1, 3-4, 7-8, 11-13, 15, 17, 19, 21, 23]
Crawford Stitt '16 [2, 5-6, 9-10, 14, 16, 18, 20, 22]
Crawford Stitt '16 [1, 13]
Forrest Pearson '16 [2, 14]
Gracyn Myers '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15, 17, 19, 21, 23]
Sidney Williams '17 [5-6, 9-10, 16, 18, 20, 22]
All Saints Episcopal All Saints Episcopal All Saints Episcopal 5 5 7 6 7 7 7 6 7 5 5 6 6 5 5 6 5 3 5 4 4 5 6 127 Phillip Williamson '15 [1-23]
Zachary Switalski '16 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12, 15-18, 23]
Ty Smelley '18 [3-4, 7-10, 19-20]
David Williamson '18 [13-14, 21-22]
Ocean Springs High School Ocean Springs High School Varsity 4 3 4 2 5 3 5 5 2 4 4 3 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 132 Matthew Demboski '17 [1-9, 14-23]
Nick Gault '17 [10-13]
Haley Baker '17 [1-9, 14-23]
Matthew Demboski '17 [10-13]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 6 7 6 7 6 6 6 7 6 7 7 7 5 4 6 5 6 4 4 5 5 6 5 133 Sofia Giordano '16 [1-4, 7-23]
Rachael Deritter '15 [5-6]
Tylar Warren '18 [1-2]
Kaitlin Daly '17 [3-4, 15-22]
Delaney Ligori '18 [5-14]
Elizabeth Squires '18 [23]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A19A20A21A22A23A
All Saints EpiscopalAll Saints Episcopal All Saints Episcopal11223344556677112233445
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights22334455667711223344556
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Varsity33445566771122334455667
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays44556677112233445566771
Ocean Springs High SchoolOcean Springs High School Varsity55667711223344556677112
St. StanislausSt. Stanislaus Varsity66771122334455667711223
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions77112233445566771122334

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B19B20B21B22B23B
All Saints EpiscopalAll Saints Episcopal All Saints Episcopal11223344556677112233445
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights22334455667711223344556
Fairhope High SchoolFairhope High School Varsity33445566771122334455667
Jesuit High School, NOLAJesuit High School, NOLA Blue Jays44556677112233445566771
Ocean Springs High SchoolOcean Springs High School Varsity55667711223344556677112
St. StanislausSt. Stanislaus Varsity66771122334455667711223
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions77112233445566771122334
School / Team SkipperCrew
All Saints Episcopal All Saints Episcopal Christophe Chaumont '18 [1-23] Cade Crow '17 [1-2, 9-12, 17-22]
David Williamson '18 [3-6]
Matthew Flores '17 [7-8, 13-16, 23]
All Saints Episcopal Phillip Williamson '15 [1-23] Zachary Switalski '16 [1-2, 5-6, 11-12, 15-18, 23]
Ty Smelley '18 [3-4, 7-10, 19-20]
David Williamson '18 [13-14, 21-22]
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Dane Byerly '16 [1-14]
Marcus Abate '16 [15-20]
Julia Sheaffer '18 [21-23]		 Lauren Vande Hei '16 [1-12]
Julia Sheaffer '18 [13-14]
Doug Byerly '18 [15-20]
Laura Masterson '16 [21-23]
Knights Hunter Skinner '16 [1-14]
Anna Willits '17 [15-23]		 Laura Masterson '16 [1-14]
Hunter Skinner '16 [15-23]
Fairhope High School Fairhope High School Camille Mcgriff '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Max Morgan '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-23]		 Sam Koser '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Saunders Fitzgerald '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-23]
Varsity Forrest Pearson '16 [1, 3-4, 7-8, 11-13, 15, 17, 19, 21, 23]
Crawford Stitt '16 [2, 5-6, 9-10, 14, 16, 18, 20, 22]		 Crawford Stitt '16 [1, 13]
Forrest Pearson '16 [2, 14]
Gracyn Myers '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15, 17, 19, 21, 23]
Sidney Williams '17 [5-6, 9-10, 16, 18, 20, 22]
Jesuit High School, NOLA Jesuit High School, NOLA Jonathan Pottharst '15 [1-10, 17-20, 23]
Robert Argote '18 [11-16, 21-22]		 Max Bell '17 [1-12, 21-23]
Jackson Bauer '16 [13-20]
Blue Jays Michael Haupt '17 [1-2, 9-10, 15-18, 21-23]
William Breaux '16 [3-8, 11-14, 19-20]		 Connor Housey '17 [1-8, 11-12, 17-18, 21-22]
William Nance '18 [9-10, 13-16, 19-20, 23]
Ocean Springs High School Ocean Springs High School Wesley (Crew) Stanley '16 [1-23] Nick Gault '17 [1-10, 14-23]
Haley Baker '17 [11-13]
Varsity Matthew Demboski '17 [1-9, 14-23]
Nick Gault '17 [10-13]		 Haley Baker '17 [1-9, 14-23]
Matthew Demboski '17 [10-13]
St. Stanislaus St. Stanislaus Boyd Housey '18 Charles Breath '18
Varsity Thomas Weber '18 [1-8, 15-20, 23]
Tyler Trapani '16 [9-14, 21-22]		 Lauryn Kidd '17 [1-16, 21-23]
Taylor Trapani '16 [17-20]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Amanda Demesia '17 [1-23] Alana Austin '17 [1-4, 15-22]
Tylar Warren '18 [5-14, 23]
Lions Sofia Giordano '16 [1-4, 7-23]
Rachael Deritter '15 [5-6]		 Tylar Warren '18 [1-2]
Kaitlin Daly '17 [3-4, 15-22]
Delaney Ligori '18 [5-14]
Elizabeth Squires '18 [23]

Conditions — 03/28/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 40%  ·  Pressure 1026.5 hPa

Temperature

28°F
↑ 35°F   ↓ 19°F
Feels like 20°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.8 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From N (352°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover66% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity40% Pressure1026.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn · S 17 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Jesuit: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.16 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jesuit by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Jesuit: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →