Navigate

NWISA Kick Off

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 The Overlake School The Overlake School Varsity 42 22 64
2 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 26 48 74
3 Catlin Gabel School Catlin Gabel School Eagles 68 28 96
4 Interlake High School Interlake High School Saints 27 94 121
5 North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Varsity 72 52 124
6 Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks 76 52 128
7 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 50 94 144
8 Unregistered Unregistered Unregistered 133 26 159
9 Wolverines 1 Wolverines 1 Wolverines 1 56 105 161
10 Mercer Island High School Mercer Island High School Islanders 98 69 167
11 Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 69 101 170
12 Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1 88 97 185
13 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 75 112 187
14 Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 1 90 98 188
15 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 3 137 58 195
16 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 101 99 200
17 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 125 83 208
18 Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 87 133 220
19 Wilson High School Wilson High School Trojans 91 135 226
20 Hawks 1 Hawks 1 Hawks 1 81 147 228
21 Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 147 90 237
22 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 125 118 243
23 Ballard High School Ballard High School Varsity 89 158 247
24 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 123 124 247
25 Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 2 153 98 251
26 Nikola Tesla STEM High School Nikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers 103 156 259
27 Everett High School Everett High School Seagulls 142 132 274
28 Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 126 151 277
29 Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Varsity 128 158 286
30 Wolverines 2 Wolverines 2 Wolverines 2 149 145 294
31 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 1 149 149 298
32 Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 2 179 128 307
33 Hawks 2 Hawks 2 Hawks 2 185 131 316
34 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 2 181 185 366
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 3 4 9 3 4 3 26 Drew Bennett '15
Ian Stewart '17
Interlake High School Interlake High School Saints 5 1 4 14 2 1 27 Ellie Ungar '15
No Show
The Overlake School The Overlake School Varsity 6 13 8 7 3 5 42 Talia Toland '17
No Show
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 8 15 5 6 10 6 50 Liam Hood '16 [1-6]
Peyton Nienaber '23 [1-2]
Kristoff Kogan '19 [3-4]
Mallory Hood '23 [5-6]
Wolverines 1 Wolverines 1 Wolverines 1 1 10 1 8 12 24 56
Catlin Gabel School Catlin Gabel School Eagles 4 11 13 26 7 7 68 Sean Grealish '17 [1-6]
Kjel Pettenger-Willey '17 [1-4]
Elizabeth Diehl '16 [5-6]
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 22 2 7 17 9 12 69 Connor Hughes '15
Nathan Finger '15
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Varsity 9 7 19 13 11 13 72 Liam Sherry '16
Nathan Grundmeier '19
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 7 6 30 20 8 4 75 Jeffrey Werner '16 [1-6]
Mallory Hood '23 [1-2]
Cedric Keneipp '23 [3-4]
Lauren Whitkopf '18 [5-6]
Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks 13 19 14 2 1 27 76 John Ped '16
Elizabeth Keeney '15
Hawks 1 Hawks 1 Hawks 1 14 3 3 23 30 8 81
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 10 22 12 1 22 20 87 Benjamin Stark '16 [1-6]
Connor Mcgreevy '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Mallory Hood '23 [3-4]
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1 12 16 24 12 6 18 88 Chloe Dawson '16
Alejandro Montanez '17
Ballard High School Ballard High School Varsity 19 9 21 10 16 14 89 Margaux Currie '15 [1-6]
Madeline Manalo '15 [1-2, 4, 6]
Lilli Tran '16 [3, 5]
Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 1 21 14 2 9 15 29 90 Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '19
No Show
Wilson High School Wilson High School Trojans 15 17 16 15 5 23 91 Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Kendall Kracke '15 [3-4]
Kendall Kracke '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15 [3-4]
Mercer Island High School Mercer Island High School Islanders 11 30 6 11 18 22 98 Megan Skene '17
Justin Skene '20
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 8 10 30 25 26 101 Max Van Dam '16
Matt Hallahan '16
Nikola Tesla STEM High School Nikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers 25 5 23 28 20 2 103 Shaan Shridhar '15
Chris Holt '18
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 31 26 OCS 4 17 10 123 Axel Greening '17
Aristotle Luna '20
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 24 27 31 5 27 11 125 Elena Gonick '16
Farzana Mohamedali '16
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 26 23 18 19 23 16 125 Taj Howe '15
Matia Schwartz '17
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 28 12 29 22 14 21 126 Orrick Waddell '17
Lynnette House '17
Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Varsity 16 18 25 21 33 15 128 Kimberly Hutchinson '16
Stefan Anthony '22
Unregistered Unregistered Unregistered 18 31 11 29 13 31 133
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 3 27 25 20 25 21 19 137 Dominick Wareham '19
Ronan Rankin '19
Everett High School Everett High School Seagulls 34 24 15 16 28 25 142 Sam Lundheim '15
Emily Bisenius '16
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 32 21 27 24 34 9 147 Marijke Jorna '16 [1-4]
Max Kauffman '18 [5]
Emma Blumhagen '16 [6]
Max Kauffman '18 [1-2, 6]
Margo Watts '18 [3-4]
Emma Blumhagen '16 [5]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 1 23 20 32 31 26 17 149 Niko Twilla '18
Kendall Campana '15
Wolverines 2 Wolverines 2 Wolverines 2 33 29 17 18 19 33 149
Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 2 17 28 22 27 31 28 153 Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '19
No Show
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 2 30 33 28 32 24 32 179 Nicholas Jordan '16
Julia Sherry '19
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 2 20 32 33 34 32 30 181 Rebekah Arvila '18
Alex Hosier '17
Hawks 2 Hawks 2 Hawks 2 29 34 26 33 29 34 185
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
The Overlake School The Overlake School Varsity 1 1 11 4 4 1 22 Alex Demmler '15
No Show
Unregistered Unregistered Unregistered 2 3 4 8 5 4 26
Catlin Gabel School Catlin Gabel School Eagles 11 2 1 1 1 12 28 Sean Grealish '17 [1-6]
Elizabeth Diehl '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Kjel Pettenger-Willey '17 [3-4]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 4 6 7 3 14 14 48 Sasha Dierauf '16
Rebecca Reynolds '17
Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks 3 4 3 22 10 10 52 Claire Siegel-Wilson '18
Sydney Stanion '15
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Varsity 8 7 16 12 6 3 52 Maddie Ekin '16
Alex Ashley '18
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 3 10 5 17 5 13 8 58 Maggie Toombs '18
Mccabe Webb '18
Mercer Island High School Mercer Island High School Islanders 6 17 13 17 7 9 69 Benji Holen '15
Audrey Prewitt '16
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 13 13 6 9 29 13 83 Wylie Kau '16
William Coe '15
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 30 31 5 14 3 7 90 Margo Watts '18 [1-4]
Connor Hughes '15 [5-6]
Emma Blumhagen '16 [1-2]
Haru Yokota '16 [3-6]
Interlake High School Interlake High School Saints 7 23 DSQ 16 11 2 94 No Show
No Show
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 17 12 14 19 12 20 94 Hannah Roy '17 [1-6]
Maia Ketteridge '17 [1-2]
Peyton Nienaber '23 [3-6]
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1 15 10 25 10 2 OCS 97 Mckenzie Ginther '16
Jackson Wilke '21
Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 2 9 25 9 2 18 DSQ 98 Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '19
No Show
Garfield High School Garfield High School Bulldogs 1 28 14 18 25 8 5 98 No Show
No Show
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 5 8 20 21 22 23 99 Austin Hauter '17
Dylan Angell '18
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 24 16 2 15 27 17 101 Erik Skeel '16 [1-2]
Karl Skeel '16 [3-6]
Megan Didomizio '17 [1-2]
Nina Sayed '15 [3-6]
Wolverines 1 Wolverines 1 Wolverines 1 14 21 26 6 32 6 105
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 29 28 12 18 9 16 112 Shea Walker '16 [1-6]
Lauren Whitkopf '18 [1-2]
Dylan Patera '19 [3-4]
Maia Ketteridge '17 [5-6]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 25 11 21 11 24 26 118 Max Miller '18
Abby Larsen '17
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 19 19 24 7 26 29 124 Michael Chesher '17
Kajetan Bullock '18
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 2 22 30 8 28 25 15 128 Anda Yoshina '16 [1-6]
Anchor Jennison '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Gibbons '20 [3-4]
Hawks 2 Hawks 2 Hawks 2 16 15 31 32 16 21 131
Everett High School Everett High School Seagulls 12 22 DNF 13 31 19 132 Quinn Roff '15
Conor Hawkins '19
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Storm 23 18 19 20 28 25 133 Nicholas Bourlier '16 [1-6]
Nina Hooper '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Stephanie Kirker '18 [3-4]
Wilson High School Wilson High School Trojans 26 27 10 33 15 24 135 Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Kendall Kracke '15 [3-4]
Kendall Kracke '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15 [3-4]
Wolverines 2 Wolverines 2 Wolverines 2 27 9 29 29 33 18 145
Hawks 1 Hawks 1 Hawks 1 20 29 30 23 23 22 147
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 1 21 26 28 24 19 31 149 Lina Fowler '18 [1, 3, 5]
Matt Dublynn '18 [2]
Isabelle Wheeler '17 [4, 6]
Matt Dublynn '18 [1]
Lina Fowler '18 [2, 4, 6]
Isabelle Wheeler '17 [3, 5]
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Roughriders 33 32 32 26 17 11 151 Sierra Hunter '19
Ozzy Minard '23
Nikola Tesla STEM High School Nikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers 31 24 15 34 20 32 156 Isaac Perrin '18
Marius Repede '18
Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Varsity 18 33 23 27 30 27 158 Reece Duitsman '18 [1, 3, 5]
Carson Short '19 [2, 4, 6]
Carson Short '19 [1, 3, 5]
Reece Duitsman '18 [2, 4, 6]
Ballard High School Ballard High School Varsity 32 20 27 30 21 28 158 Grant Barton '16 [1-6]
Reya Fore '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Max Buchanan '18 [3-4]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 2 34 34 22 31 34 30 185 Isabelle Wheeler '17 [1]
Matt Dublynn '18 [2-6]
David Riedel '18 [1]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Hawks 1Hawks 1 Hawks 151511721725555
Hawks 2Hawks 2 Hawks 212621262
Catlin Gabel SchoolCatlin Gabel School Eagles181819192020
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 1106106107107108108
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 210810824824812621262
Wolverines 1Wolverines 1 Wolverines 1191920202121
Wolverines 2Wolverines 2 Wolverines 2202021212222
Garfield High SchoolGarfield High School Bulldogs 226265151172172
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams131316161717
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals212122222323
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1555566667777
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 266667777106106
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Varsity161617171818
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats17217255556666
Oregon Episcopal SchoolOregon Episcopal School Aardvarks7777106106107107
Olympic High School (WA)Olympic High School (WA) Varsity107107108108248248
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 1222223232424
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 2232324242626
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 3242426265151
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughriders1113131616
The Overlake SchoolThe Overlake School Varsity11
UnregisteredUnregistered Unregistered24824812621262
Wilson High SchoolWilson High School Trojans171718181919
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons111313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Hawks 1Hawks 1 Hawks 1107107108108248248
Hawks 2Hawks 2 Hawks 21818
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Varsity18182020
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders2020
Catlin Gabel SchoolCatlin Gabel School Eagles242426265151
Everett High SchoolEverett High School Seagulls2020
Wolverines 1Wolverines 1 Wolverines 126265151172172
Wolverines 2Wolverines 2 Wolverines 251511721725555
Garfield High SchoolGarfield High School Bulldogs 2106106107107108108
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams212122222323
Interlake High SchoolInterlake High School Saints1919
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals17217255556666
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 12482481262126211
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 21262126211
Mercer Island High SchoolMercer Island High School Islanders19191616
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Varsity222223232424
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats10810824824812621262
Oregon Episcopal SchoolOregon Episcopal School Aardvarks11
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears16161313
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 1555566667777
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 266667777106106
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 37777106106107107
Port Angeles High SchoolPort Angeles High School Roughriders21212222
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners1313
Squalicum High SchoolSqualicum High School Storm13131717
Nikola Tesla STEM High SchoolNikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers19191616
The Overlake SchoolThe Overlake School Varsity1717
UnregisteredUnregistered Unregistered1818
Wilson High SchoolWilson High School Trojans232324242626
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons17172121
School / Team SkipperCrew
Ballard High School Ballard High School Margaux Currie '15 [1-6] Madeline Manalo '15 [1-2, 4, 6]
Lilli Tran '16 [3, 5]
Varsity Grant Barton '16 [1-6] Reya Fore '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Max Buchanan '18 [3-4]
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Liam Hood '16 [1-6] Peyton Nienaber '23 [1-2]
Kristoff Kogan '19 [3-4]
Mallory Hood '23 [5-6]
Raiders Hannah Roy '17 [1-6] Maia Ketteridge '17 [1-2]
Peyton Nienaber '23 [3-6]
Catlin Gabel School Catlin Gabel School Sean Grealish '17 [1-6] Kjel Pettenger-Willey '17 [1-4]
Elizabeth Diehl '16 [5-6]
Eagles Sean Grealish '17 [1-6] Elizabeth Diehl '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Kjel Pettenger-Willey '17 [3-4]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Niko Twilla '18 Kendall Campana '15
Cougars 1 Lina Fowler '18 [1, 3, 5]
Matt Dublynn '18 [2]
Isabelle Wheeler '17 [4, 6]		 Matt Dublynn '18 [1]
Lina Fowler '18 [2, 4, 6]
Isabelle Wheeler '17 [3, 5]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Rebekah Arvila '18 Alex Hosier '17
Cougars 2 Isabelle Wheeler '17 [1]
Matt Dublynn '18 [2-6]		 David Riedel '18 [1]
Everett High School Everett High School Sam Lundheim '15 Emily Bisenius '16
Seagulls Quinn Roff '15 Conor Hawkins '19
Garfield High School Garfield High School Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '19 No Show
Bulldogs 1 No Show No Show
Garfield High School Garfield High School Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '19 No Show
Bulldogs 2 Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '19 No Show
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Marijke Jorna '16 [1-4]
Max Kauffman '18 [5]
Emma Blumhagen '16 [6]		 Max Kauffman '18 [1-2, 6]
Margo Watts '18 [3-4]
Emma Blumhagen '16 [5]
Rams Margo Watts '18 [1-4]
Connor Hughes '15 [5-6]		 Emma Blumhagen '16 [1-2]
Haru Yokota '16 [3-6]
Interlake High School Interlake High School Ellie Ungar '15 No Show
Saints No Show No Show
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Drew Bennett '15 Ian Stewart '17
Cardinals Sasha Dierauf '16 Rebecca Reynolds '17
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Chloe Dawson '16 Alejandro Montanez '17
Red Hawks 1 Mckenzie Ginther '16 Jackson Wilke '21
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Nicholas Jordan '16 Julia Sherry '19
Red Hawks 2 Anda Yoshina '16 [1-6] Anchor Jennison '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Gibbons '20 [3-4]
Mercer Island High School Mercer Island High School Megan Skene '17 Justin Skene '20
Islanders Benji Holen '15 Audrey Prewitt '16
Nikola Tesla STEM High School Nikola Tesla STEM High School Shaan Shridhar '15 Chris Holt '18
Engineers Isaac Perrin '18 Marius Repede '18
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Liam Sherry '16 Nathan Grundmeier '19
Varsity Maddie Ekin '16 Alex Ashley '18
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Max Van Dam '16 Matt Hallahan '16
Wildcats Austin Hauter '17 Dylan Angell '18
Olympia High School Olympia High School Elena Gonick '16 Farzana Mohamedali '16
Bears Max Miller '18 Abby Larsen '17
Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Kimberly Hutchinson '16 Stefan Anthony '22
Varsity Reece Duitsman '18 [1, 3, 5]
Carson Short '19 [2, 4, 6]		 Carson Short '19 [1, 3, 5]
Reece Duitsman '18 [2, 4, 6]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Taj Howe '15 Matia Schwartz '17
Vikings 1 Wylie Kau '16 William Coe '15
Orcas High School Orcas High School Axel Greening '17 Aristotle Luna '20
Vikings 2 Michael Chesher '17 Kajetan Bullock '18
Orcas High School Orcas High School Dominick Wareham '19 Ronan Rankin '19
Vikings 3 Maggie Toombs '18 Mccabe Webb '18
Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School John Ped '16 Elizabeth Keeney '15
Aardvarks Claire Siegel-Wilson '18 Sydney Stanion '15
Port Angeles High School Port Angeles High School Orrick Waddell '17 Lynnette House '17
Roughriders Sierra Hunter '19 Ozzy Minard '23
Sehome High School Sehome High School Jeffrey Werner '16 [1-6] Mallory Hood '23 [1-2]
Cedric Keneipp '23 [3-4]
Lauren Whitkopf '18 [5-6]
Mariners Shea Walker '16 [1-6] Lauren Whitkopf '18 [1-2]
Dylan Patera '19 [3-4]
Maia Ketteridge '17 [5-6]
Squalicum High School Squalicum High School Benjamin Stark '16 [1-6] Connor Mcgreevy '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Mallory Hood '23 [3-4]
Storm Nicholas Bourlier '16 [1-6] Nina Hooper '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Stephanie Kirker '18 [3-4]
The Overlake School The Overlake School Talia Toland '17 No Show
Varsity Alex Demmler '15 No Show
Wilson High School Wilson High School Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Kendall Kracke '15 [3-4]		 Kendall Kracke '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15 [3-4]
Trojans Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Kendall Kracke '15 [3-4]		 Kendall Kracke '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15 [3-4]
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Connor Hughes '15 Nathan Finger '15
Falcons Erik Skeel '16 [1-2]
Karl Skeel '16 [3-6]		 Megan Didomizio '17 [1-2]
Nina Sayed '15 [3-6]

Conditions — 03/07/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1026.3 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.6 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 13.6 kn
From N (356°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover9% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1026.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Seattle Yacht Club: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Seattle Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Seattle Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →