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Herreshoff Qualifier Indian Harbor YC

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 18 14 32
2 Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 26 30 56
3 Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 60 42 102
4 Barrington High School Barrington High School Varsity 34 69 103
5 The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Bearcats 60 46 106
6 North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 56 MRP 54 MRP 110 MRP
7 Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Varsity 68 55 123
8 Staples High School Staples High School Varsity 63 63 126
9 Brookline High Brookline High Warriors 39 90 129
10 Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Cardinals 77 54 131
11 Darien High School Darien High School Varsity 76 76 152
12 Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Varsity 90 MRP 75 MRP 165 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 2 1 6 1 1 1 4 2 18 Carmen Cowles '19
Katie Lawless '16
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 1 2 1 6 2 8 3 3 26 Juiia Reynolds '17 [1-8]
Brooke Mcgoldrick '16 [1-6]
Tory Miletti '18 [7-8]
Barrington High School Barrington High School Varsity 9 4 7 2 3 7 1 1 34 Riley Kloc '18
Abigail Tutt '17
Brookline High Brookline High Warriors 3 3 2 3 10 3 7 8 39 Gabrielle Rizika '22
Helen Bechler '17
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 7 5 5 4 6 2 2 5 56 MRP Marina Barzaghi '17
Elsa Kincaid '18
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 5 8 10 10 8 6 6 7 60 Hailey Feinzig '18
Eleanor Bennett '17
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Bearcats 10 7 8 7 9 5 10 4 60 Anne-Elizabeth Sidamon-Eristoff '16
Elizabeth Koobatian '19
Staples High School Staples High School Varsity 11 9 4 8 5 9 11 6 63 Nicole Welch '17
Kelsey Collins '16
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Varsity 12 10 DSQ 5 7 4 5 12 68 Paige Harty '16 [1-2]
Ashton Borcherding '18 [3-8]
Alina Pannone '18 [1-2]
Darien High School Darien High School Varsity 8 11 DNS 12 4 10 9 9 76 Madeliene Keene '17 [1-8]
Camille Infurna '18 [1-5]
Elizabeth Markham '19 [6-8]
Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Cardinals 4 12 3 11 12 12 12 11 77 Rebecca Hillestad '18 [1-6, 8]
Sarah Barnaby '16 [7]
Isabella Arnaboldi '17 [1-7]
Sarah Barnaby '16 [8]
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Varsity 6 6 9 9 11 11 8 10 90 MRP Josefina Ruggieri '17 [1-3, 7-8]
Madeline Simms '19 [4-6]
Sophia Gillies '17 [1-3, 7-8]
Sophie Latham '16 [4-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 5 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 14 Emma Cowles '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Lizzy Kaplan '19 [5-6]
Lizzy Kaplan '19 [1-2]
Josua Desieno '16 [3-8]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 1 4 3 3 2 8 2 7 30 Emery Wallace '16 [1-8]
Brooklyn Curtin '16 [1-6]
Tory Miletti '18 [7-8]
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 9 11 4 6 5 2 3 2 42 Julia Haidar '16
Olivia Sowles '18
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Bearcats 7 6 5 10 4 4 6 4 46 Kate Shiber '16
Elissa Ito '19
Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Cardinals 2 9 11 2 7 7 8 8 54 Taylor Schinto '18
Louisa Bjerke '18
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 4 7 2 5 1 6 4 5 54 MRP Aili Moffett '19 [1-8]
Caroline Bourgeois '18 [1-4]
Jaia Colongese '18 [5-8]
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Varsity 8 2 6 8 9 5 5 12 55 Caitlin Owles '19
Ever Lasley '18
Staples High School Staples High School Varsity 10 5 7 9 10 10 9 3 63 Eloise Pieper '19
Cecilia Adams '19
Barrington High School Barrington High School Varsity 6 3 12 11 8 9 10 10 69 Jordyn Fullaway '16
Kaleigh Morgan '19
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Varsity DNS 8 8 4 6 3 7 6 75 MRP Olivia Vandenborn '17
Ariel Zhang '18
Darien High School Darien High School Varsity 3 10 9 12 11 11 11 9 76 Devin Hart '19 [1-6]
Adelaide Spain '19 [7-8]
Elizabeth Markham '19 [1-4]
Maddie Dwyer '18 [5-8]
Brookline High Brookline High Warriors DNS 12 10 7 DNF 12 12 11 90 Ella Kitterman '18
Kate Dragonetti '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Varsity11223344
Brookline HighBrookline High Warriors221112121111
Choate Rosemary HallChoate Rosemary Hall Varsity33445566
Darien High SchoolDarien High School Varsity44332211
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons55667788
Greenwich High SchoolGreenwich High School Cardinals7788991010
Greenwich AcademyGreenwich Academy Varsity66554433
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers88776655
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers99101011111212
Staples High SchoolStaples High School Varsity1010998877
The Hotchkiss SchoolThe Hotchkiss School Bearcats111112121122
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Varsity12121111101099

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Varsity1313141415151616
Brookline HighBrookline High Warriors1414131324242323
Choate Rosemary HallChoate Rosemary Hall Varsity1515161617171818
Darien High SchoolDarien High School Varsity1616151514141313
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons1717181819192020
Greenwich High SchoolGreenwich High School Cardinals1919202021212222
Greenwich AcademyGreenwich Academy Varsity1818171716161515
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers2020191918181717
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers2121222223232424
Staples High SchoolStaples High School Varsity2222212120201919
The Hotchkiss SchoolThe Hotchkiss School Bearcats2323242413131414
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Varsity2424232322222121
School / Team SkipperCrew
Barrington High School Barrington High School Riley Kloc '18 Abigail Tutt '17
Varsity Jordyn Fullaway '16 Kaleigh Morgan '19
Brookline High Brookline High Gabrielle Rizika '22 Helen Bechler '17
Warriors Ella Kitterman '18 Kate Dragonetti '17
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Josefina Ruggieri '17 [1-3, 7-8]
Madeline Simms '19 [4-6]		 Sophia Gillies '17 [1-3, 7-8]
Sophie Latham '16 [4-6]
Varsity Olivia Vandenborn '17 Ariel Zhang '18
Darien High School Darien High School Madeliene Keene '17 [1-8] Camille Infurna '18 [1-5]
Elizabeth Markham '19 [6-8]
Varsity Devin Hart '19 [1-6]
Adelaide Spain '19 [7-8]		 Elizabeth Markham '19 [1-4]
Maddie Dwyer '18 [5-8]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Juiia Reynolds '17 [1-8] Brooke Mcgoldrick '16 [1-6]
Tory Miletti '18 [7-8]
Falcons Emery Wallace '16 [1-8] Brooklyn Curtin '16 [1-6]
Tory Miletti '18 [7-8]
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Paige Harty '16 [1-2]
Ashton Borcherding '18 [3-8]		 Alina Pannone '18 [1-2]
Varsity Caitlin Owles '19 Ever Lasley '18
Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Rebecca Hillestad '18 [1-6, 8]
Sarah Barnaby '16 [7]		 Isabella Arnaboldi '17 [1-7]
Sarah Barnaby '16 [8]
Cardinals Taylor Schinto '18 Louisa Bjerke '18
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Carmen Cowles '19 Katie Lawless '16
Tigers Emma Cowles '19 [1-4, 7-8]
Lizzy Kaplan '19 [5-6]		 Lizzy Kaplan '19 [1-2]
Josua Desieno '16 [3-8]
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Marina Barzaghi '17 Elsa Kincaid '18
Skippers Aili Moffett '19 [1-8] Caroline Bourgeois '18 [1-4]
Jaia Colongese '18 [5-8]
Staples High School Staples High School Nicole Welch '17 Kelsey Collins '16
Varsity Eloise Pieper '19 Cecilia Adams '19
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Anne-Elizabeth Sidamon-Eristoff '16 Elizabeth Koobatian '19
Bearcats Kate Shiber '16 Elissa Ito '19
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Hailey Feinzig '18 Eleanor Bennett '17
Varsity Julia Haidar '16 Olivia Sowles '18

Conditions — 05/01/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 89%  ·  Pressure 1022.4 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.6 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From SE (126°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity89% Pressure1022.4 hPa Rain0.21 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Greenwich Academy: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.11 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Greenwich Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Greenwich Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →