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NWISA JV Fleet Bellingham

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 27 15 42
2 Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 37 46 83
3 North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 1 56 43 99
4 Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 91 40 131
5 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 44 91 135
6 Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks 78 67 145
7 Nikola Tesla STEM High School Nikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers 62 90 152
8 Mariners V 1 Mariners V 1 Mariners V 1 37 117 154
9 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 95 61 156
10 Eagles 1 Eagles 1 Eagles 1 97 76 173
11 Eagles 2 Eagles 2 Eagles 2 122 90 212
12 Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 92 122 214
13 Raiders Raiders Raiders 94 124 218
14 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 101 122 223
15 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 93 135 228
16 Storm Storm Storm 153 91 244
17 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 119 125 244
18 Red Hawks Red Hawks Red Hawks 129 124 253
19 Mariners V 2 Mariners V 2 Mariners V 2 161 109 270
20 Olympia High School Olympia High School JV 145 126 271
21 Eagles 3 Eagles 3 Eagles 3 166 109 275
22 Klahowya Secondary School Klahowya Secondary School Eagles 149 151 300
23 North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 2 121 180 301
24 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 156 193 349
25 Seagulls Seagulls Seagulls 212 176 388
26 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 173 216 389
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 8 4 1 3 3 2 1 5 27 Arianna Fiore '21
Amanda Gilmore '19
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 6 2 9 2 1 8 5 4 37 Margot Watts '19
Marijke Jorna '16
Mariners V 1 Mariners V 1 Mariners V 1 BYE 11 3 4 2 7 4 1 37
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 3 13 5 5 10 3 3 2 44 Jordan Wood-Pina '18
Piper Fisher '19
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 1 5 DSQ 2 1 6 4 8 3 56 Alyosha Strum-Palerm '17
Isabelle Loverich '19
Nikola Tesla STEM High School Nikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers 2 1 11 21 4 11 6 6 62 Isaac Perrin '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Yumi Shridhar '16 [3-4]
Pauline Pfaffe '16 [1-6]
Yumi Shridhar '16 [7-8]
Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks 15 14 6 9 8 6 12 8 78
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars BYE 16 17 16 5 10 9 7 91
Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 1 6 14 14 7 14 19 17 92
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 11 3 18 10 13 1 16 21 93 Levi Moss '19 [1-8]
Ronan Kau '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Emma Freedman '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Raiders Raiders Raiders 13 5 8 8 11 DNS BKD 10 94
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 20 10 4 11 15 13 11 11 95 Harrison Saliba '17 [1-8]
Camden Lee '19 [1-2]
Kathryn Smith '17 [3-8]
Eagles 1 Eagles 1 Eagles 1 12 7 13 7 14 12 13 19 97
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 10 8 10 13 17 18 7 18 101 Quinn Ring '18
Roark Coggon '19
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 19 19 7 6 9 5 DNS DNS 119 Axel Stordahl '20
Nicholas Lee '20
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 2 9 9 19 12 20 22 10 20 121 Nicholas Jordan '16
Cody Cline '17
Eagles 2 Eagles 2 Eagles 2 7 18 12 15 21 20 15 14 122
Red Hawks Red Hawks Red Hawks 4 20 20 18 12 23 20 12 129
Olympia High School Olympia High School JV BYE 12 21 20 19 21 21 13 145 Erin Pamplin '20
Antonio Dunlap '18
Klahowya Secondary School Klahowya Secondary School Eagles 18 DNS DNS 19 16 9 18 15 149 Reece Duitsman '18
Mathew Terry '23
Storm Storm Storm 14 15 22 17 23 16 24 22 153
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 16 17 16 23 22 15 23 24 156 Everett Thompson '19 [1-6]
Alex Hosier '17 [7]
Kaylee Frede '17 [8]
Kaylee Frede '17 [1-2, 7]
Aina Zabinski '19 [3-4]
Rebekah Arvila '18 [5-6]
Alex Hosier '17 [8]
Mariners V 2 Mariners V 2 Mariners V 2 17 DNS 15 22 18 17 22 23 161
Eagles 3 Eagles 3 Eagles 3 21 21 24 24 DNS 19 14 16 166
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 2 9 173
Seagulls Seagulls Seagulls DNS DNS 23 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 212
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 1 2 4 1 1 1 4 1 15 Elizabeth Rolfes '17
Sophie Crandell '18
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 3 10 1 3 6 9 2 6 40 Annie Buelt '20
Caroline Hurley '20
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 1 2 1 7 2 7 2 17 5 43 Matt Thomas '16
Isaiah Stout '17
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 5 4 2 8 5 4 7 11 46 Luke Gibbons '18
Kristan Lund '16
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 4 3 6 5 16 5 18 4 61 Sophie Lewis '18 [1-8]
Daniel Rentz '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Camden Lee '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks 13 13 5 10 4 7 5 10 67
Eagles 1 Eagles 1 Eagles 1 8 7 13 9 10 12 9 8 76
Nikola Tesla STEM High School Nikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers 6 18 22 14 11 3 3 13 90 Grant Barton '16 [1-2, 5-8]
Luca Fallows '18 [3-4]
Van Senseney '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Eagles 2 Eagles 2 Eagles 2 17 19 14 6 14 10 1 9 90
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 12 6 9 15 18 13 11 7 91 Jared Hunt '16 [1-8]
James William '17 [1-2, 5]
No Show [3-4, 6-8]
Storm Storm Storm 14 11 15 12 24 6 6 3 91
Eagles 3 Eagles 3 Eagles 3 7 12 17 7 22 14 12 18 109
Mariners V 2 Mariners V 2 Mariners V 2 22 22 20 18 2 8 15 2 109
Mariners V 1 Mariners V 1 Mariners V 1 20 9 8 11 17 19 13 20 117
Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 11 17 3 13 23 21 19 15 122
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 15 20 23 23 3 16 8 14 122 Will Price '19
Jack Sobeck '19
Red Hawks Red Hawks Red Hawks 10 8 24 17 8 18 20 19 124
Raiders Raiders Raiders 18 15 12 16 15 15 16 17 124
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides DNS DNF 10 4 9 11 10 OCS 125 Jack Corddry '19 [1-8]
Hayden Flaskerud '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Anneke Taylor '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Olympia High School Olympia High School JV 9 16 11 24 13 OCS 14 12 126 Ciara Mcclanahan '19
No Show
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 16 5 19 20 21 17 21 16 135 Sandy Rost '17 [1-8]
Sol Mehl Zobriest '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Haley Moss '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Klahowya Secondary School Klahowya Secondary School Eagles 23 14 16 19 12 22 23 22 151 Carson Short '19 [1-8]
Collin Bloomer '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Aina Zabinski '19 [5-6]
Seagulls Seagulls Seagulls 21 DNS 18 22 25 20 22 21 176
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 2 19 21 25 21 20 DNS 24 23 180 Nathan Grundmeier '19 [1-8]
Annelise Pardee '19 [1-7]
Emma Freedman '19 [8]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars DNS DNS 21 DNS 19 23 25 24 193 Rebekah Arvila '18 [1-2]
Kaylee Frede '17 [3-6]
Stefan Anthony '22 [7-8]
Claire Jablonski '19 [1-5, 7-8]
Stefan Anthony '22 [6]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 216
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
SeahawksSeahawks Seahawks4343141141151151121121
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 1141141151151121121
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 2151151121121
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 3121121
RaidersRaiders Raiders33
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars334444
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars334444
SeagullsSeagulls Seagulls334444
WolverinesWolverines Wolverines44444242
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides424277
Eagles 1Eagles 1 Eagles 1424277
Eagles 2Eagles 2 Eagles 2424277101101
Eagles 3Eagles 3 Eagles 377101101
Klahowya Secondary SchoolKlahowya Secondary School Eagles101101
Red HawksRed Hawks Red Hawks111111
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish 2131131
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats1311314141
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School JV1311314141111111
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 11311314141111111
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 24141111111
Mariners V 1Mariners V 1 Mariners V 188
Mariners V 2Mariners V 2 Mariners V 2884343
StormStorm Storm884343141141
Nikola Tesla STEM High SchoolNikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers101101
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons884343141141151151

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
SeahawksSeahawks Seahawks101101
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 1101101
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 3131131
RaidersRaiders Raiders1311314141
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars1311314141111111
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars1311314141111111
SeagullsSeagulls Seagulls4141111111
WolverinesWolverines Wolverines111111
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides88
Eagles 1Eagles 1 Eagles 1884343
Eagles 2Eagles 2 Eagles 2884343141141
Eagles 3Eagles 3 Eagles 3884343141141151151
Klahowya Secondary SchoolKlahowya Secondary School Eagles4343141141151151121121
Red HawksRed Hawks Red Hawks44444242
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish 1151151121121
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish 2121121
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats33
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School JV334444
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 1334444
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 2334444
Mariners V 1Mariners V 1 Mariners V 1424277
Mariners V 2Mariners V 2 Mariners V 2424277
StormStorm Storm424277101101
Nikola Tesla STEM High SchoolNikola Tesla STEM High School Engineers141141151151121121
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons77101101
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Arianna Fiore '21 Amanda Gilmore '19
Spartans 1 Elizabeth Rolfes '17 Sophie Crandell '18
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Harrison Saliba '17 [1-8] Camden Lee '19 [1-2]
Kathryn Smith '17 [3-8]
Spartans 2 Sophie Lewis '18 [1-8] Daniel Rentz '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Camden Lee '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Quinn Ring '18 Roark Coggon '19
Spartans 3 Will Price '19 Jack Sobeck '19
Capital High School Capital High School
Cougars Annie Buelt '20 Caroline Hurley '20
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Everett Thompson '19 [1-6]
Alex Hosier '17 [7]
Kaylee Frede '17 [8]		 Kaylee Frede '17 [1-2, 7]
Aina Zabinski '19 [3-4]
Rebekah Arvila '18 [5-6]
Alex Hosier '17 [8]
Cougars Rebekah Arvila '18 [1-2]
Kaylee Frede '17 [3-6]
Stefan Anthony '22 [7-8]		 Claire Jablonski '19 [1-5, 7-8]
Stefan Anthony '22 [6]
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Axel Stordahl '20 Nicholas Lee '20
Tides Jack Corddry '19 [1-8] Hayden Flaskerud '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Anneke Taylor '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Klahowya Secondary School Klahowya Secondary School Reece Duitsman '18 Mathew Terry '23
Eagles Carson Short '19 [1-8] Collin Bloomer '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Aina Zabinski '19 [5-6]
Nikola Tesla STEM High School Nikola Tesla STEM High School Isaac Perrin '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Yumi Shridhar '16 [3-4]		 Pauline Pfaffe '16 [1-6]
Yumi Shridhar '16 [7-8]
Engineers Grant Barton '16 [1-2, 5-8]
Luca Fallows '18 [3-4]		 Van Senseney '19 [1-2, 5-8]
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Alyosha Strum-Palerm '17 Isabelle Loverich '19
Dogfish 1 Matt Thomas '16 Isaiah Stout '17
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Nicholas Jordan '16 Cody Cline '17
Dogfish 2 Nathan Grundmeier '19 [1-8] Annelise Pardee '19 [1-7]
Emma Freedman '19 [8]
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Jordan Wood-Pina '18 Piper Fisher '19
Wildcats Jared Hunt '16 [1-8] James William '17 [1-2, 5]
No Show [3-4, 6-8]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Erin Pamplin '20 Antonio Dunlap '18
JV Ciara Mcclanahan '19 No Show
Orcas High School Orcas High School Levi Moss '19 [1-8] Ronan Kau '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Emma Freedman '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Vikings 1 Sandy Rost '17 [1-8] Sol Mehl Zobriest '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Haley Moss '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Margot Watts '19 Marijke Jorna '16
Falcons Luke Gibbons '18 Kristan Lund '16

Conditions — 04/23/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1015.7 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.1 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From S (178°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1015.7 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn · SW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Sehome: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.31 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sehome by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Sehome, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →