O'Day Qualifier - Greenwich, CT

HostIndian Harbor Yacht Club
Date04/16/2016
TypeDistrict Champ Qualifier
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	The Hotchkiss School	Bearcats	22	20	42
2	Brunswick School	Bruins	18	34	52
3	Greenwich High School	Cardinals	34	33	67
4	Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	54	34	88
5	Fairfield Prep	Jesuits	61	32	93
6	Staples High School	The Wreckers	68	32	100
7	Greens Farms Academy	Dragons	43	59	102
8	Xavier High School	Falcons	48	69	117
9	The Taft School	Big Red Rhinos	45	97	142
10	Darien High School	Blue Wave	87	61	148
11	Greenwich Academy	Gator	74	85	159
12	Stamford High School	Black Knights	85	83	168
13	Choate Rosemary Hall	Wild Boars	89	91	180

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Brunswick School	Bruins	1	4	1	6	1	3	1	1	18	Jack Parkin '17 Leyton Borcherding '21
The Hotchkiss School	Bearcats	2	1	2	4	2	4	2	5	22	Christine Klingler '16 George Sidamon-Eristoff '17
Greenwich High School	Cardinals	3	5	7	1	5	2	7	4	34	James Westerberg '17 [1-8] Louisa Bjerke '18 [1-7] Peter Dunay '17 [8]
Greens Farms Academy	Dragons	6	7	3	10	3	7	4	3	43	Nancy Duer '23 Katherine Mcnamara '22
The Taft School	Big Red Rhinos	5	2	6	11	10	6	3	2	45	Matt Burnham '16 Kevin Molder '17
Xavier High School	Falcons	8	3	10	2	8	1	6	10	48	Gordon Gurnell '17 Franscisco Quintana '20
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	9	6	5	8	4	5	11	6	54	Juiia Reynolds '17 Cooper Soderlund '18
Fairfield Prep	Jesuits	4	8	4	12	6	8	8	11	61	Matthew Sweeney '16 [1-4] James Haranzo '15 [5-8] Jim Stacy '16 [1-4]
Staples High School	The Wreckers	10	9	9	7	11	10	5	7	68	William Dumke '16 William Rudaz '18
Greenwich Academy	Gator	12	11	13	5	7	9	9	8	74	Ashton Borcherding '18 Alina Pannone '18
Stamford High School	Black Knights	13	10	8	3	13	13	13	12	85	Gus Doricko '18 [1-8] Ben Jaminchecyk '18 [1-2, 5-6] Beverley Reyes '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Darien High School	Blue Wave	11	12	12	9	12	12	10	9	87	Ryan Jones '17 Jenson Peters '17
Choate Rosemary Hall	Wild Boars	7	13	11	13	9	11	12	13	89	Joseph Coyne '19 [1-2, 5-6] Olivia Vandenborn '17 [3-4, 7-8] Weston Miller '17 [1-2] Arin Kaye '17 [3-6] Sophie Latham '16 [7-8]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
The Hotchkiss School	Bearcats	1	4	2	7	3	1	1	1	20	Tommy Whittemore '18 Jack Chrysler '16
Fairfield Prep	Jesuits	5	8	6	1	1	2	7	2	32	Jamie Paul '20 Christian Haranzo '20
Staples High School	The Wreckers	6	3	1	3	4	5	4	6	32	Robert Gordon '16 Harrison Ames '16
Greenwich High School	Cardinals	7	1	4	6	5	4	3	3	33	Pierce Ornstein '18 Jack Childs '19
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	2	2	3	4	2	11	5	5	34	Everett Nash '19 Brooke Mcgoldrick '16
Brunswick School	Bruins	3	6	5	5	6	3	2	4	34	Peter Pillari '17 [1-8] Leyton Borcherding '21 [1-6] William Michels '21 [7-8]
Greens Farms Academy	Dragons	8	5	10	2	8	7	10	9	59	Ava Stevens '24 [1-6] Andrew Wagner '22 [7-8] Griffin Gigliotti '22 [1-6] Cole Nightingale '23 [7-8]
Darien High School	Blue Wave	4	9	7	10	9	8	6	8	61	Brooks Daley '17 [1-6] Will Crane '16 [7-8] Scott Jonker '17 [1-6]
Xavier High School	Falcons	12	11	9	9	7	6	8	7	69	Stewart Gurnell '19 Jon Reboul '17
Stamford High School	Black Knights	11	10	11	12	10	9	9	11	83	Garrick Leclue '18 [1-8] Julia Zaleski '17 [1-2, 5-6] Daniel Lapinski '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Greenwich Academy	Gator	9	7	12	11	12	13	11	10	85	Caitlin Owles '19 Ever Lasley '18
Choate Rosemary Hall	Wild Boars	RAF	RAF	8	8	13	10	12	12	91	Josefina Ruggieri '17 [1-2, 5-6] Jimmy Mcniff '17 [3-4] Christian Hakim '17 [7-8] Sophia Gillies '17 [1-2] Ariel Zhang '18 [3-6] Matthew Aguiar '18 [7-8]
The Taft School	Big Red Rhinos	10	12	13	13	11	12	13	13	97	Jon Becker Emy '16 Collin Amelsberg '19

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Brunswick School Bruins	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4
Choate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5
Darien High School Blue Wave	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7
Fairfield Prep Jesuits	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8
Greens Farms Academy Dragons	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9
Greenwich High School Cardinals	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11
Greenwich Academy Gator	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10
Stamford High School Black Knights	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12
Staples High School The Wreckers	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13
The Hotchkiss School Bearcats	11	11	12	12	13	13	1	1
The Taft School Big Red Rhinos	12	12	13	13	1	1	2	2
Xavier High School Falcons	13	13	1	1	2	2	3	3

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Brunswick School Bruins	14	14	15	15	16	16	17	17
Choate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars	15	15	16	16	17	17	18	18
Darien High School Blue Wave	16	16	17	17	18	18	19	19
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons	17	17	18	18	19	19	20	20
Fairfield Prep Jesuits	18	18	19	19	20	20	21	21
Greens Farms Academy Dragons	19	19	20	20	21	21	22	22
Greenwich High School Cardinals	21	21	22	22	23	23	24	24
Greenwich Academy Gator	20	20	21	21	22	22	23	23
Stamford High School Black Knights	22	22	23	23	24	24	25	25
Staples High School The Wreckers	23	23	24	24	25	25	26	26
The Hotchkiss School Bearcats	24	24	25	25	26	26	14	14
The Taft School Big Red Rhinos	25	25	26	26	14	14	15	15
Xavier High School Falcons	26	26	14	14	15	15	16	16

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Brunswick School	Jack Parkin '17	Leyton Borcherding '21
Bruins	Peter Pillari '17 [1-8]	Leyton Borcherding '21 [1-6] William Michels '21 [7-8]
Choate Rosemary Hall	Joseph Coyne '19 [1-2, 5-6] Olivia Vandenborn '17 [3-4, 7-8]	Weston Miller '17 [1-2] Arin Kaye '17 [3-6] Sophie Latham '16 [7-8]
Wild Boars	Josefina Ruggieri '17 [1-2, 5-6] Jimmy Mcniff '17 [3-4] Christian Hakim '17 [7-8]	Sophia Gillies '17 [1-2] Ariel Zhang '18 [3-6] Matthew Aguiar '18 [7-8]
Darien High School	Ryan Jones '17	Jenson Peters '17
Blue Wave	Brooks Daley '17 [1-6] Will Crane '16 [7-8]	Scott Jonker '17 [1-6]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Juiia Reynolds '17	Cooper Soderlund '18
Falcons	Everett Nash '19	Brooke Mcgoldrick '16
Fairfield Prep	Matthew Sweeney '16 [1-4] James Haranzo '15 [5-8]	Jim Stacy '16 [1-4]
Jesuits	Jamie Paul '20	Christian Haranzo '20
Greens Farms Academy	Nancy Duer '23	Katherine Mcnamara '22
Dragons	Ava Stevens '24 [1-6] Andrew Wagner '22 [7-8]	Griffin Gigliotti '22 [1-6] Cole Nightingale '23 [7-8]
Greenwich Academy	Ashton Borcherding '18	Alina Pannone '18
Gator	Caitlin Owles '19	Ever Lasley '18
Greenwich High School	James Westerberg '17 [1-8]	Louisa Bjerke '18 [1-7] Peter Dunay '17 [8]
Cardinals	Pierce Ornstein '18	Jack Childs '19
Stamford High School	Gus Doricko '18 [1-8]	Ben Jaminchecyk '18 [1-2, 5-6] Beverley Reyes '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Black Knights	Garrick Leclue '18 [1-8]	Julia Zaleski '17 [1-2, 5-6] Daniel Lapinski '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Staples High School	William Dumke '16	William Rudaz '18
The Wreckers	Robert Gordon '16	Harrison Ames '16
The Hotchkiss School	Christine Klingler '16	George Sidamon-Eristoff '17
Bearcats	Tommy Whittemore '18	Jack Chrysler '16
The Taft School	Matt Burnham '16	Kevin Molder '17
Big Red Rhinos	Jon Becker Emy '16	Collin Amelsberg '19
Xavier High School	Gordon Gurnell '17	Franscisco Quintana '20
Falcons	Stewart Gurnell '19	Jon Reboul '17

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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O'Day Qualifier - Greenwich, CT

Division A

Division B

From the notes