Greens Farms Academy '23
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.55 (fleet 2.50) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 9–13 (41%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2022 | 1 | 8–12 | — |
| Spring 2021 | 1 | 1–1 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (20 matches) the record is 8–12 against 9.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.1). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-14 | NESSA Team Racing Championship (Presidents Trophy) | skipper | 1.97 | 1.60 | 8–12 | 9.1 | −0.36 | 0.2 | 79% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| CT State Invitational - 2023 | Skipper | A | 5 | 3.2 | 1.53 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| O'Day Qualifier @ UConn Avery Point | Skipper | B | 6 | 3.5 | 1.67 |
| NESSA Team Racing Championship (Presidents Trophy) | Skipper | TR | 20 | 40% | — |
| NESSA George O'Day Trophy | Skipper | B | 11 | 5.4 | 1.54 |
| Spring 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| 2021 ISSA Baker Team Race National Championship | Skipper | TR | 14 | 57% | — |
| Spring 2016 Team page Season | |||||
| O'Day Qualifier - Greenwich, CT | Crew | B | 2 | 9.5 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
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