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NESSA George O'Day Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Brunswick School Brunswick School Bruins 31 39 70
2 The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Bearcats 17 56 73
3 Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens 52 33 85
4 St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 52 48 100
5 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 80 65 145
6 Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 89 59 148
7 Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 67 86 153
8 Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 92 104 196
9 Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 83 114 197
10 Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School Sailing 107 97 204
11 Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 97 LOP 110 LOP 207 LOP
12 Boston College High School Boston College High School Eagles 138 112 250
13 East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 142 134 276
14 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 133 151 284
15 Belmont Hill School Belmont Hill School Varsity 169 141 310
16 Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen 158 167 325
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Bearcats 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 5 17 Chapman Petersen '22
Oscar Emus '23
Brunswick School Brunswick School Bruins 3 2 1 2 2 2 5 10 2 1 1 31 Sebastian Sheppard '27 [1-11]
Thomas Whidden '24 [1-10]
Christian Ohlemeyer '23 [11]
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens 2 5 4 5 5 4 6 8 8 3 2 52 Nathan Smith '22
Liam Barry '23
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 4 3 5 4 3 7 7 2 3 10 4 52 Sophie Fisher '22
Courtland Doyle '22
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles RDG 8 3 6 8 8 2 7 5 5 9 67 Olin Guck '22
Nate Schneider '22
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 6 4 7 7 11 5 11 4 10 9 6 80 Wyatt Bischoff '23 [1-4, 9-10]
Sophia Peck '22 [5-8, 11]
Young Hu '22 [1-4, 9-10]
Peter Komposch '23 [5-8, 11]
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 8 11 9 3 10 9 3 9 4 6 11 83 Jack Welburn '22 [1-11]
Brady Welburn '24 [1-4, 7-11]
Stephanos Maramaldi '22 [5-6]
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 7 10 8 12 OCS 3 4 11 6 8 3 89 Griffin Gigliotti '22 [1-4, 7-8, 11]
Harry Harmston '24 [5-6, 9-10]
Max Laferriere '23 [1-4, 6-8, 11]
Charles Ferragu '24 [5, 9-10]
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 5 6 11 10 7 12 10 6 7 11 7 92 Ryan Mcgauley '23 [1-11]
William Bourell '23 [1-2, 5-11]
Cate Anderson '23 [3-4]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 15 9 6 9 4 10 8 5 9 4 8 97 LOP Cole Woodworth '23
Anabelle Woodworth '24
Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School Sailing 10 12 12 11 6 6 9 3 11 15 12 107 Charlie Fairfax '22 [1-11]
Maisy Sperry '24 [1-2]
Nick Carvahlo '23 [3-10]
Dominique Spinola '22 [11]
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 12 7 10 8 12 13 12 15 14 13 DNF 133 Eva Ermlich '22 [1-11]
Gregg O'Rourke '22 [1-8]
Valyn Mogensen '22 [9-11]
Boston College High School Boston College High School Eagles 9 DNF 13 14 9 11 14 12 13 12 14 138 Thomas Rogers '23 [1-10]
Peter Andaloro '22 [11]
Samuel Schuhwerk '23 [1-4]
Andrew Engel '22 [5-10]
Geary Brendan '22 [11]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 14 DNF 14 13 13 14 15 13 12 7 10 142 Zachary Amelotte '23 [1-11]
Mara Oancea '23 [1-4]
John Salvator '23 [5-11]
Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen 11 14 16 16 15 15 13 14 DNF 14 13 158 Ethan Burt '22 [1-10]
Carter Driggs '28 [11]
Carter Driggs '28 [1-2]
Gabe Synnott '24 [3-11]
Belmont Hill School Belmont Hill School Varsity 13 13 15 15 14 16 16 16 DNF DNF DNF 169 Quinn Healey '23
Michael Salvatore '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Ravens 1 1 1 1 11 1 5 1 3 1 7 33 Alex Adams '22
Felix Cutler '22
Brunswick School Brunswick School Bruins 2 2 2 9 RDG 7 3 2 4 3 1 39 Robert Ulmer '24 [1-6]
Ben Sheppard '23 [7-11]
Christian Ohlemeyer '23 [1-4]
Greer Sconzo '23 [5-11]
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 5 6 7 2 1 2 7 5 6 2 5 48 Juan Carlos Lacerda Jones '22
Sloane Mullin '23
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Bearcats 8 3 4 4 5 10 1 8 2 8 3 56 Jeb Bechtel '22 [1-4, 7-11]
Samara Walshe '25 [5-6]
Lucy Jervis '23 [1-4, 7-11]
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 11 5 6 3 6 3 4 3 9 5 4 59 Cole Nightingale '23
Andrew Wagner '22
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 3 4 5 DSQ 3 11 2 6 5 7 2 65 Jonnie Ciffolillo '23 [1-11]
Jack Thompson '23 [1-4]
Carter Riggs '22 [5-8]
Ellie Dyroff '22 [9-11]
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 12 8 10 7 8 5 13 4 7 4 8 86 Gus Macaulay '23 [1-4, 11]
Christopher Chwalk '24 [5-10]
Jack Culton '22 [1-8, 11]
Brendan Jay '23 [9-10]
Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School Sailing 9 12 9 5 9 14 12 9 1 6 11 97 Camilla Murray '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Will Fairfax '24 [3-4, 7-10]
Hunter Downing '22 [11]
Will Fairfax '24 [1-2]
Dominique Spinola '22 [3-6]
Hunter Downing '22 [7-10]
Nick Carvahlo '23 [11]
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 4 7 3 13 12 6 6 DNF 12 12 12 104 Emma Wang '23 [1-8]
Jackie Ruggieri '23 [9-11]
Emma Zuccotti '23 [1-6, 9-10]
Eliot Hack '24 [7-8, 11]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 10 11 8 6 4 9 8 12 8 10 14 110 LOP Tyler Nash '23 [1-10]
Bradley Kirkpatrick '25 [11]
Tate Theordorson '23 [1-10]
Ryan Voytas '23 [11]
Boston College High School Boston College High School Eagles 6 10 15 12 2 4 DNF 7 11 11 DNF 112 Porter Bell '22 [1-11]
Jeppe Nielsen '23 [1-8]
Iannelli Jack '22 [9-11]
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Varsity 15 9 13 11 7 8 10 11 10 14 6 114 Zach Bender '24 [1-11]
Summer Mills '23 [1-4]
Christopher Macken '22 [5-11]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Avengers 7 DNF 12 8 10 12 11 14 DNF DNF 9 134 Owen Warren '24 [1-11]
Madeleine Jarbeau '24 [1-2]
Matt Friedman '23 [3-11]
Belmont Hill School Belmont Hill School Varsity 14 14 11 10 DNF DNF 9 10 DNF 9 13 141 Wilton Lawton '23
Trey Penna '23
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 13 13 14 15 13 13 15 15 DNF 13 10 151 Posie Cabaniss '23
Fox Fernald '22
Hingham High School Hingham High School Habormen DNF DNF 16 14 14 15 14 13 13 DNF DNF 167 Sara Menesale '24 [1-2, 7-8, 11]
Julia Scipione '25 [3-6, 9-10]
Ellie Smith '24 [1-2, 7-8, 11]
Caroline O'Hara '25 [3-4, 9-10]
Casey Teahan '28 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles11223344556
Belmont Hill SchoolBelmont Hill School Varsity221116161515141413
Boston College High SchoolBoston College High School Eagles33445566778
Brunswick SchoolBrunswick School Bruins44332211161615
Dartmouth High SchoolDartmouth High School Sailing556677889910
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers66554433221
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons7788991010111112
Greens Farms AcademyGreens Farms Academy Dragons88776655443
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Habormen99101011111212131314
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs1010998877665
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs1111121213131414151516
Portsmouth Abbey SchoolPortsmouth Abbey School Ravens12121111101099887
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons1313141415151616112
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves141413131212111110109
The Hotchkiss SchoolThe Hotchkiss School Bearcats151516161122334
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Varsity1616151514141313121211

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles11223344556
Belmont Hill SchoolBelmont Hill School Varsity221116161515141413
Boston College High SchoolBoston College High School Eagles33445566778
Brunswick SchoolBrunswick School Bruins44332211161615
Dartmouth High SchoolDartmouth High School Sailing556677889910
East Greenwich High SchoolEast Greenwich High School Avengers66554433221
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons7788991010111112
Greens Farms AcademyGreens Farms Academy Dragons88776655443
Hingham High SchoolHingham High School Habormen99101011111212131314
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs1010998877665
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs1111121213131414151516
Portsmouth Abbey SchoolPortsmouth Abbey School Ravens12121111101099887
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons1313141415151616112
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves141413131212111110109
The Hotchkiss SchoolThe Hotchkiss School Bearcats151516161122334
Wellesley High SchoolWellesley High School Varsity1616151514141313121211
School / Team SkipperCrew
Barrington High School Barrington High School Olin Guck '22 Nate Schneider '22
Eagles Gus Macaulay '23 [1-4, 11]
Christopher Chwalk '24 [5-10]		 Jack Culton '22 [1-8, 11]
Brendan Jay '23 [9-10]
Belmont Hill School Belmont Hill School Quinn Healey '23 Michael Salvatore '23
Varsity Wilton Lawton '23 Trey Penna '23
Boston College High School Boston College High School Thomas Rogers '23 [1-10]
Peter Andaloro '22 [11]		 Samuel Schuhwerk '23 [1-4]
Andrew Engel '22 [5-10]
Geary Brendan '22 [11]
Eagles Porter Bell '22 [1-11] Jeppe Nielsen '23 [1-8]
Iannelli Jack '22 [9-11]
Brunswick School Brunswick School Sebastian Sheppard '27 [1-11] Thomas Whidden '24 [1-10]
Christian Ohlemeyer '23 [11]
Bruins Robert Ulmer '24 [1-6]
Ben Sheppard '23 [7-11]		 Christian Ohlemeyer '23 [1-4]
Greer Sconzo '23 [5-11]
Dartmouth High School Dartmouth High School Charlie Fairfax '22 [1-11] Maisy Sperry '24 [1-2]
Nick Carvahlo '23 [3-10]
Dominique Spinola '22 [11]
Sailing Camilla Murray '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Will Fairfax '24 [3-4, 7-10]
Hunter Downing '22 [11]		 Will Fairfax '24 [1-2]
Dominique Spinola '22 [3-6]
Hunter Downing '22 [7-10]
Nick Carvahlo '23 [11]
East Greenwich High School East Greenwich High School Zachary Amelotte '23 [1-11] Mara Oancea '23 [1-4]
John Salvator '23 [5-11]
Avengers Owen Warren '24 [1-11] Madeleine Jarbeau '24 [1-2]
Matt Friedman '23 [3-11]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Cole Woodworth '23 Anabelle Woodworth '24
Falcons Tyler Nash '23 [1-10]
Bradley Kirkpatrick '25 [11]		 Tate Theordorson '23 [1-10]
Ryan Voytas '23 [11]
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Griffin Gigliotti '22 [1-4, 7-8, 11]
Harry Harmston '24 [5-6, 9-10]		 Max Laferriere '23 [1-4, 6-8, 11]
Charles Ferragu '24 [5, 9-10]
Dragons Cole Nightingale '23 Andrew Wagner '22
Hingham High School Hingham High School Ethan Burt '22 [1-10]
Carter Driggs '28 [11]		 Carter Driggs '28 [1-2]
Gabe Synnott '24 [3-11]
Habormen Sara Menesale '24 [1-2, 7-8, 11]
Julia Scipione '25 [3-6, 9-10]		 Ellie Smith '24 [1-2, 7-8, 11]
Caroline O'Hara '25 [3-4, 9-10]
Casey Teahan '28 [5-6]
Milton Academy Milton Academy Ryan Mcgauley '23 [1-11] William Bourell '23 [1-2, 5-11]
Cate Anderson '23 [3-4]
Mustangs Emma Wang '23 [1-8]
Jackie Ruggieri '23 [9-11]		 Emma Zuccotti '23 [1-6, 9-10]
Eliot Hack '24 [7-8, 11]
Portland High School Portland High School Eva Ermlich '22 [1-11] Gregg O'Rourke '22 [1-8]
Valyn Mogensen '22 [9-11]
Bulldogs Posie Cabaniss '23 Fox Fernald '22
Portsmouth Abbey School Portsmouth Abbey School Nathan Smith '22 Liam Barry '23
Ravens Alex Adams '22 Felix Cutler '22
St. George's School St. George's School Sophie Fisher '22 Courtland Doyle '22
Dragons Juan Carlos Lacerda Jones '22 Sloane Mullin '23
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Wyatt Bischoff '23 [1-4, 9-10]
Sophia Peck '22 [5-8, 11]		 Young Hu '22 [1-4, 9-10]
Peter Komposch '23 [5-8, 11]
Seawolves Jonnie Ciffolillo '23 [1-11] Jack Thompson '23 [1-4]
Carter Riggs '22 [5-8]
Ellie Dyroff '22 [9-11]
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Chapman Petersen '22 Oscar Emus '23
Bearcats Jeb Bechtel '22 [1-4, 7-11]
Samara Walshe '25 [5-6]		 Lucy Jervis '23 [1-4, 7-11]
Wellesley High School Wellesley High School Jack Welburn '22 [1-11] Brady Welburn '24 [1-4, 7-11]
Stephanos Maramaldi '22 [5-6]
Varsity Zach Bender '24 [1-11] Summer Mills '23 [1-4]
Christopher Macken '22 [5-11]

Conditions — 05/08/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1023.3 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
15.3 kn
avg  ·  max 17.1 kn
Gusts to 31.3 kn
From ENE (56°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover83% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1023.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 16 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at MIT: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →