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O'Day Qualifier @ UConn Avery Point

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Bearcats 12 11 23
2 Brunswick School Brunswick School Bruins 23 25 48
3 Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 38 18 56
4 Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 31 33 64
5 Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Varsity 37 44 81
6 Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Cardinals 31 56 87
7 Greenwich Country Day School Greenwich Country Day School Tigers 51 41 92
8 Darien High School Darien High School Varsity 45 52 97
9 Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars 60 49 109
10 Xavier High School Xavier High School Xavier High Falcons 68 58 126
11 The Williams School The Williams School Blues 70 76 146
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Bearcats 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 12 Chapman Petersen '22
Phoebe Hackett '24
Brunswick School Brunswick School Bruins 2 5 4 2 4 5 1 23 Sebastian Sheppard '27 [1-7]
Wills Gandy '30 [1, 3-7]
Thomas Whidden '24 [2]
Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Cardinals 5 7 5 5 5 2 2 31 Elle Sykes '23
Reese Clark '25
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons 7 6 2 6 3 4 3 31 Griffin Gigliotti '22
Max Laferriere '23
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Varsity 6 2 3 3 8 8 7 37 Harned Ellie '22
Honour Russell '23
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 3 3 6 DSQ 2 3 9 38 Cole Woodworth '23
Anabelle Woodworth '24
Darien High School Darien High School Varsity 8 4 DSQ 4 6 6 5 45 David Brown '24
Ryan Hoffman '24
Greenwich Country Day School Greenwich Country Day School Tigers 4 8 7 8 9 7 8 51 Tucker Rose '24
Caroline Leicht '23
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars DSQ 9 9 7 7 DSQ 4 60 Will Stork '22 [1-7]
Cecilia Connor '22 [1-4]
Cecilia Priest '24 [5-7]
Xavier High School Xavier High School Xavier High Falcons 10 11 8 9 10 9 11 68 Damian Bianchi '22 [1-5]
James Aronson '25 [6-7]
James Aronson '25 [1-5]
Damian Bianchi '22 [6-7]
The Williams School The Williams School Blues 9 10 10 10 11 10 10 70 Tyler Boissevain '24 [1-7]
Sophia Liras '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Bea Bailey '30 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Bearcats 1 2 3 1 2 1 1 11 Jeb Bechtel '22 [1-4]
Samara Walshe '25 [5-7]
Sophie Davis '22 [1-4]
Oscar Emus '23 [5-7]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons 2 3 1 2 3 5 2 18 Tyler Nash '23 [1-7]
Tate Theordorson '23 [1-2]
Ryan Voytas '23 [3-7]
Brunswick School Brunswick School Bruins 7 1 2 4 1 6 4 25 Robert Ulmer '24 [1-2]
Ben Sheppard '23 [3-7]
Christian Ohlemeyer '23 [1-2]
Alex Ohls '24 [3-7]
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Dragons DSQ 4 5 3 4 2 3 33 Cole Nightingale '23
Andrew Wagner '22
Greenwich Country Day School Greenwich Country Day School Tigers 3 10 6 6 5 4 7 41 Jack Brogan '24 [1-7]
Harry Manion '23 [1-2]
Charlie Jenkins '24 [3-7]
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Varsity 4 9 4 5 6 8 8 44 Kit Harned '23 [1-2]
Chang Tatum '23 [3-7]
Grayson Stengel '23 [1-2]
Saanvi Gupta '25 [3-7]
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars 8 8 8 10 7 3 5 49 Thomas Plamondon '23
Julia Brighton '23
Darien High School Darien High School Varsity 5 5 7 8 8 9 10 52 Andrew Huffman '22
Davis Riley '22
Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Cardinals 6 6 9 7 9 10 9 56 Gray Tella '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Lily Ornstein '22 [3-4]
Jordi Helme '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Mollie Wood '25 [3-4]
Xavier High School Xavier High School Xavier High Falcons 9 7 10 9 10 7 6 58 Brendan Peary '23
Peter Walsh '23
The Williams School The Williams School Blues 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 76 Ryan Tedeschi '23 [1-7]
Ioannis Liras '24 [1-2]
Benjamin Myers '24 [3-4]
Max Savin '25 [5-7]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Brunswick SchoolBrunswick School Bruins14141616181818
Choate Rosemary HallChoate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars15151717191919
Darien High SchoolDarien High School Varsity16161818202020
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons17171919212121
Greens Farms AcademyGreens Farms Academy Dragons18182020222222
Greenwich High SchoolGreenwich High School Cardinals21212323141414
Greenwich AcademyGreenwich Academy Varsity19192121232323
Greenwich Country Day SchoolGreenwich Country Day School Tigers20202222242424
The Hotchkiss SchoolThe Hotchkiss School Bearcats22222424151515
The Williams SchoolThe Williams School Blues23231414161616
Xavier High SchoolXavier High School Xavier High Falcons24241515171717

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Brunswick SchoolBrunswick School Bruins15151717191919
Choate Rosemary HallChoate Rosemary Hall Wild Boars16161818202020
Darien High SchoolDarien High School Varsity17171919212121
Fairfield Ludlowe High SchoolFairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons18182020222222
Greens Farms AcademyGreens Farms Academy Dragons19192121232323
Greenwich High SchoolGreenwich High School Cardinals22222424151515
Greenwich AcademyGreenwich Academy Varsity20202222242424
Greenwich Country Day SchoolGreenwich Country Day School Tigers21212323141414
The Hotchkiss SchoolThe Hotchkiss School Bearcats23231414161616
The Williams SchoolThe Williams School Blues24241515171717
Xavier High SchoolXavier High School Xavier High Falcons14141616181818
School / Team SkipperCrew
Brunswick School Brunswick School Sebastian Sheppard '27 [1-7] Wills Gandy '30 [1, 3-7]
Thomas Whidden '24 [2]
Bruins Robert Ulmer '24 [1-2]
Ben Sheppard '23 [3-7]		 Christian Ohlemeyer '23 [1-2]
Alex Ohls '24 [3-7]
Choate Rosemary Hall Choate Rosemary Hall Will Stork '22 [1-7] Cecilia Connor '22 [1-4]
Cecilia Priest '24 [5-7]
Wild Boars Thomas Plamondon '23 Julia Brighton '23
Darien High School Darien High School David Brown '24 Ryan Hoffman '24
Varsity Andrew Huffman '22 Davis Riley '22
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Fairfield Ludlowe High School Cole Woodworth '23 Anabelle Woodworth '24
Falcons Tyler Nash '23 [1-7] Tate Theordorson '23 [1-2]
Ryan Voytas '23 [3-7]
Greens Farms Academy Greens Farms Academy Griffin Gigliotti '22 Max Laferriere '23
Dragons Cole Nightingale '23 Andrew Wagner '22
Greenwich Academy Greenwich Academy Harned Ellie '22 Honour Russell '23
Varsity Kit Harned '23 [1-2]
Chang Tatum '23 [3-7]		 Grayson Stengel '23 [1-2]
Saanvi Gupta '25 [3-7]
Greenwich Country Day School Greenwich Country Day School Tucker Rose '24 Caroline Leicht '23
Tigers Jack Brogan '24 [1-7] Harry Manion '23 [1-2]
Charlie Jenkins '24 [3-7]
Greenwich High School Greenwich High School Elle Sykes '23 Reese Clark '25
Cardinals Gray Tella '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Lily Ornstein '22 [3-4]		 Jordi Helme '23 [1-2, 5-7]
Mollie Wood '25 [3-4]
The Hotchkiss School The Hotchkiss School Chapman Petersen '22 Phoebe Hackett '24
Bearcats Jeb Bechtel '22 [1-4]
Samara Walshe '25 [5-7]		 Sophie Davis '22 [1-4]
Oscar Emus '23 [5-7]
The Williams School The Williams School Tyler Boissevain '24 [1-7] Sophia Liras '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Bea Bailey '30 [3-4]
Blues Ryan Tedeschi '23 [1-7] Ioannis Liras '24 [1-2]
Benjamin Myers '24 [3-4]
Max Savin '25 [5-7]
Xavier High School Xavier High School Damian Bianchi '22 [1-5]
James Aronson '25 [6-7]		 James Aronson '25 [1-5]
Damian Bianchi '22 [6-7]
Xavier High Falcons Brendan Peary '23 Peter Walsh '23

Conditions — 05/01/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 42%  ·  Pressure 1019.7 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 22.9 kn
From S (172°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover30% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity42% Pressure1019.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at The Williams School: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at The Williams School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at The Williams School, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →