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SAISA Districts/Mallory Elimination

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 93 40 133
2 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 89 46 135
3 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 60 79 139
4 Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 93 49 142
5 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 82 69 151
6 Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 69 83 152
7 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 97 62 159
8 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 60 108 168
9 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 121 61 182
10 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 81 106 187
11 Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 61 158 219
12 Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 101 141 242
13 Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 101 148 249
14 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 169 153 322
15 Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 171 164 335
16 Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 183 167 350
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 7 10 3 8 1 1 10 4 13 1 1 60 Shawn Harvey '17 [1-12]
Adrianne Han '16 [1-10]
Delilah Lubarsky '17 [11-12]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 4 1 5 10 1 2 2 11 2 10 10 2 60 Ian Macdiarmid '17 [1-2, 5-12]
Severin Gramm '19 [3-4]
Sammi Spritz '16 [1-2, 5-12]
Delaney Brown '16 [3-4]
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 10 2 6 5 5 7 4 5 3 6 4 4 61 Valerio Petris '16
Elizabeth Tompkins '17
Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 2 11 4 1 3 13 5 4 5 4 9 8 69 Louisa Nordstrom '16 [1-12]
Zack Jordan '16 [1-6]
Garrett Lawlor '16 [7-12]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 6 12 1 6 9 3 13 1 12 1 8 9 81 Kyle Mergenthaler '16
Mackie Conner '16
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders RDG 5 OCS 14 11 5 3 3 1 8 5 3 82 Jack Johansson '17 [1-4]
Sean Brennan '17 [5-12]
Benito Guido '16 [1-4]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 5 13 8 2 12 9 11 9 6 7 2 5 89 Hannah Steadman '16 [1-6, 9-12]
Kyle Dochoda '17 [7-8]
Peninah Benjamin '16 [1-6, 9-12]
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 3 8 2 11 7 11 12 12 7 2 7 11 93 Austin Ando '17 [1-12]
Hunter Moore '16 [1-8, 11-12]
Austin Googer '17 [9-10]
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 8 3 7 4 4 8 8 13 10 5 11 12 93 Sam Morrell '17 [1-8, 11-12]
Colin Brego '16 [9-10]
Graceann Nicolosi '16 [1-8, 11-12]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 11 4 11 8 2 6 9 8 13 12 3 10 97 Sophia Reineke '17 [1-4, 9-12]
Conner Correll '18 [5-8]
Max Gillette '16 [1-4, 11-12]
Brian Buckley '17 [5-8]
Clyde Wright '16 [9-10]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 7 10 3 7 10 14 6 7 9 9 12 7 101 Telmo Basterra '17
Emmie Landford '16
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 12 6 12 13 6 4 10 6 8 3 15 6 101 Walter Gnann '17 [1-12]
Luke Mcguire '18 [1-10]
Sarah Suber '18 [11-12]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 16 9 9 9 13 12 7 2 14 11 6 13 121 Andy Burns '16 [1-4, 7-12]
Charlie Curtis '17 [5-6]
Audrey Perry '17 [1-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Holly Wells '16 [5-6, 9-10]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 15 14 15 12 16 15 14 14 11 15 13 15 169 Croix Farmer '17 [1-12]
Caroline Puckette '16 [1-2]
Megan Fetterley '19 [3-4]
Nathan Farmer '18 [5-6]
Andrew Shook '19 [7-8]
Bobby Baker '18 [9-12]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 13 15 13 15 15 10 15 15 16 16 14 14 171 Matthew Chenard '17 [1-6, 9-12]
William Bowden '16 [7-8]
William Bowden '16 [1-4, 9-12]
Paul ("Trinity") Barger '17 [5-8]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 14 16 14 16 14 16 16 16 15 14 16 16 183 Peter Buyck '18 [1-12]
Joey Chomyn '19 [1-2]
William Chapman '18 [3-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Wando High School Wando High School Wando Warriors 6 1 1 5 1 5 3 4 2 3 4 5 40 Cameron Gise '16
Caroline Main '18
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 2 2 5 4 3 7 2 6 9 1 3 2 46 Josh Dochoda '16
Andreea Ranney-Pace '16
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 1 3 6 8 7 1 1 2 1 7 8 4 49 Thomas Walden '16
Paige Clark '16
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 7 8 4 6 6 10 4 1 3 10 1 1 61 Connor Nelson '19
Erica Brown '17
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 8 4 3 12 4 2 5 3 5 2 11 3 62 Mack Fox '16 [1-12]
Dae Kelly '17 [1-2, 9-12]
John Monahan '16 [3-8]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 3 5 2 1 8 8 8 12 4 5 7 6 69 Clay Snyder '18
Teddy Bueres '19
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 4 7 10 11 2 3 9 5 8 6 5 9 79 Tucker Weed '18 [1-3, 5-12]
Paul Lobree '18 [4]
Vera Mariani '16 [1-3, 5-12]
Alex Sidi '17 [4]
Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 5 9 7 9 9 4 13 8 6 4 2 7 83 Hallie Schiffman '18 [1-12]
Garrett Lawlor '16 [1-6]
Zack Jordan '16 [7-12]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 9 10 9 2 5 12 10 14 10 11 6 8 106 Garrett Mergenthaler '19 [1-12]
Jason Perryman '17 [1-8, 11-12]
Sammy Choufanni '17 [9-10]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 11 6 11 7 10 6 7 9 12 9 10 10 108 Brandon Kirby '16 [1-2, 5-10]
Cameron Grubb '16 [3-4, 11-12]
Alex Commette '17 [1-2, 5-10]
Rylee Macarthur '17 [3-4, 11-12]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 13 16 14 3 13 14 6 7 14 14 14 13 141 Griffin Stevenson '17
Olivia Pruitt '17
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 15 15 12 13 12 13 12 11 7 12 15 11 148 Jacob Lawson '18 [1-10]
Alex Mazzeo '18 [11-12]
Austin (A.J.) Myers '18 [1-10]
Chris Hoogenboom '18 [11-12]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 14 13 13 10 14 9 11 15 13 13 13 15 153 Jordan Newland '18 [1-12]
Britton Durst '19 [1-2, 9-12]
Bobby Baker '18 [3-4]
Lindsey Hanckel '17 [5-8]
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity DSQ 12 16 15 16 15 14 13 11 8 9 12 158 Michael Lane '17 [1-2, 7-12]
Arthur Hermanns '16 [3-4]
Chandler Cunningham '17 [5-6]
Madelyn Hansen '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Cade Hughes '18 [3-4]
Tjark Welter '18 [7-8]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 10 11 8 14 15 16 16 10 16 15 16 DNF 164 Jacob Thompson '18 [1-6, 11-12]
Declan O'Dell '18 [7-10]
Declan O'Dell '18 [1-4, 11-12]
Ben Brown '18 [5-6]
Zac Brown '18 [7-8]
Jacob Thompson '18 [9-10]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 12 14 15 16 11 11 15 16 15 16 12 14 167 Joey Chomyn '19
Robert Turner '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes11335577991111
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity2244668810101212
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity3355779911111313
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders446688101012121414
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity66881010121214141616
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats779911111313151511
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves88101012121414161622
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity991111131315151133
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pine View Varsity10101212141416162244
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers557799111113131515
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity111113131515113355
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders121214141616224466
Richmond Hill High SchoolRichmond Hill High School Varsity1313151511335577
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders15151133557799
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers1414161622446688
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors1616224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes2244668810101212
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity3355779911111313
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity446688101012121414
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders557799111113131515
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity779911111313151511
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats88101012121414161622
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves991111131315151133
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity10101212141416162244
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pine View Varsity111113131515113355
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers66881010121214141616
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity121214141616224466
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders1313151511335577
Richmond Hill High SchoolRichmond Hill High School Varsity1414161622446688
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders1616224466881010
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers15151133557799
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando Warriors11335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Antilles School Antilles School Sam Morrell '17 [1-8, 11-12]
Colin Brego '16 [9-10]		 Graceann Nicolosi '16 [1-8, 11-12]
Hurricanes Thomas Walden '16 Paige Clark '16
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Walter Gnann '17 [1-12] Luke Mcguire '18 [1-10]
Sarah Suber '18 [11-12]
Varsity Jacob Lawson '18 [1-10]
Alex Mazzeo '18 [11-12]		 Austin (A.J.) Myers '18 [1-10]
Chris Hoogenboom '18 [11-12]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Telmo Basterra '17 Emmie Landford '16
Varsity Griffin Stevenson '17 Olivia Pruitt '17
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Jack Johansson '17 [1-4]
Sean Brennan '17 [5-12]		 Benito Guido '16 [1-4]
Raiders Clay Snyder '18 Teddy Bueres '19
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Andy Burns '16 [1-4, 7-12]
Charlie Curtis '17 [5-6]		 Audrey Perry '17 [1-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Holly Wells '16 [5-6, 9-10]
Panthers Connor Nelson '19 Erica Brown '17
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Croix Farmer '17 [1-12] Caroline Puckette '16 [1-2]
Megan Fetterley '19 [3-4]
Nathan Farmer '18 [5-6]
Andrew Shook '19 [7-8]
Bobby Baker '18 [9-12]
Varsity Jordan Newland '18 [1-12] Britton Durst '19 [1-2, 9-12]
Bobby Baker '18 [3-4]
Lindsey Hanckel '17 [5-8]
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Matthew Chenard '17 [1-6, 9-12]
William Bowden '16 [7-8]		 William Bowden '16 [1-4, 9-12]
Paul ("Trinity") Barger '17 [5-8]
Wildcats Jacob Thompson '18 [1-6, 11-12]
Declan O'Dell '18 [7-10]		 Declan O'Dell '18 [1-4, 11-12]
Ben Brown '18 [5-6]
Zac Brown '18 [7-8]
Jacob Thompson '18 [9-10]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Ian Macdiarmid '17 [1-2, 5-12]
Severin Gramm '19 [3-4]		 Sammi Spritz '16 [1-2, 5-12]
Delaney Brown '16 [3-4]
ThunderWolves Brandon Kirby '16 [1-2, 5-10]
Cameron Grubb '16 [3-4, 11-12]		 Alex Commette '17 [1-2, 5-10]
Rylee Macarthur '17 [3-4, 11-12]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Kyle Mergenthaler '16 Mackie Conner '16
Varsity Garrett Mergenthaler '19 [1-12] Jason Perryman '17 [1-8, 11-12]
Sammy Choufanni '17 [9-10]
Pine View School Pine View School Louisa Nordstrom '16 [1-12] Zack Jordan '16 [1-6]
Garrett Lawlor '16 [7-12]
Pine View Varsity Hallie Schiffman '18 [1-12] Garrett Lawlor '16 [1-6]
Zack Jordan '16 [7-12]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Peter Buyck '18 [1-12] Joey Chomyn '19 [1-2]
William Chapman '18 [3-12]
Varsity Joey Chomyn '19 Robert Turner '18
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Shawn Harvey '17 [1-12] Adrianne Han '16 [1-10]
Delilah Lubarsky '17 [11-12]
Raiders Tucker Weed '18 [1-3, 5-12]
Paul Lobree '18 [4]		 Vera Mariani '16 [1-3, 5-12]
Alex Sidi '17 [4]
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Valerio Petris '16 Elizabeth Tompkins '17
Varsity Michael Lane '17 [1-2, 7-12]
Arthur Hermanns '16 [3-4]
Chandler Cunningham '17 [5-6]		 Madelyn Hansen '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-12]
Cade Hughes '18 [3-4]
Tjark Welter '18 [7-8]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Hannah Steadman '16 [1-6, 9-12]
Kyle Dochoda '17 [7-8]		 Peninah Benjamin '16 [1-6, 9-12]
Chargers Josh Dochoda '16 Andreea Ranney-Pace '16
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Sophia Reineke '17 [1-4, 9-12]
Conner Correll '18 [5-8]		 Max Gillette '16 [1-4, 11-12]
Brian Buckley '17 [5-8]
Clyde Wright '16 [9-10]
Raiders Mack Fox '16 [1-12] Dae Kelly '17 [1-2, 9-12]
John Monahan '16 [3-8]
Wando High School Wando High School Austin Ando '17 [1-12] Hunter Moore '16 [1-8, 11-12]
Austin Googer '17 [9-10]
Wando Warriors Cameron Gise '16 Caroline Main '18

Conditions — 04/23/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1012.7 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.1 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 22.5 kn
From NNW (348°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover59% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1012.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 11 kn · S 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Pine Lake Prep: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.01 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pine Lake Prep by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Pine Lake Prep, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →