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Kitsap 10% Regatta - JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 12 15 27
2 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 16 12 28
3 Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 37 24 61
4 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 37 29 66
5 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 49 26 75
6 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 42 55 97
7 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 39 62 101
8 Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 58 44 102
9 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 44 59 103
10 Stadium High School Stadium High School Tigers 44 69 113
11 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 51 63 114
12 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 66 60 126
13 Dogfish Dogfish Dogfish 77 64 141
14 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 69 73 142
15 Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 81 66 147
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 4 1 3 2 1 1 12 Michael Chesher '17
Ronan Kau '19
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 1 2 4 1 2 6 16 Dane Petrakis '21 [1-6]
Harrison Saliba '17 [1-2]
Parker Hutchinson '20 [3-4]
Tristan Knoll '18 [5-6]
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 5 13 1 3 11 4 37 Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '20 [1-2]
Jack Holbrook '17 [3-6]
Ella Barnard '20 [1-2]
Morgan Madison '20 [3-4]
Alex Hubbard '19 [5-6]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 9 5 2 5 7 9 37 Aristotle Luna '20
Sol Mehl Zobriest '19
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 6 4 8 7 6 8 39 No Show [1-2]
Dylan Angell '18 [3-6]
Ella Langrock '20 [1-2]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 3 9 DNS 8 4 2 42 Emma Powell '22 [1-6]
Natalie Werner '23 [1-4]
Natalie Serbousek '22 [5-6]
Stadium High School Stadium High School Tigers 2 6 7 9 8 12 44 Thomas Pentimonti '20 [1-2]
Ted Corddry '21 [3-6]
Ted Corddry '21 [1-2]
Ripley Morris '19 [3-6]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 8 3 11 10 5 7 44 Will Price '19 [1-6]
Camden Lee '19 [1-2]
Daniel Rentz '18 [3-4]
Quinn Ring '18 [5-6]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 14 8 5 14 3 5 49 No Show [1-6]
Antonio Dunlap '18 [1-2]
Sam Bonauto '21 [3-6]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 7 11 6 6 10 11 51 Liam Patrick '18
Annika Dunton '21
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 11 7 13 11 13 3 58 Alejandro Montanez '17 [1-6]
Kat Smith '17 [1-2]
Orion Pendley '20 [3-4]
Anna Wilke '19 [5-6]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 13 14 10 4 9 DNS 66 Casey Malone '23 [1-6]
Leila Jones '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Giselle Yaude '23 [3-4]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 10 15 9 13 12 10 69 Everett Thompson '19 [1-2]
Isabelle Wheeler '17 [3-6]
Annelisa Ayars '20 [1-2]
Lilyan Coleman '21 [3-6]
Dogfish Dogfish Dogfish 15 10 12 12 15 13 77
Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 12 12 14 15 14 14 81
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 1 3 4 1 2 1 12 Zach Cooper '20 [1-6]
Lindsay Campbell '20 [1-2]
Hunter Johnston '20 [3-6]
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 5 1 1 2 1 5 15 Maggie Toombs '18
Sandy Rost '17
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Raiders 2 4 2 4 6 6 24 Miles Williams '20
Will Basinski '21
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 8 5 3 3 3 4 26 Hatcher Cox '21
Kevin Hicks '19
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 3 2 5 8 9 2 29 Ronan Rankin '19
Emma Freedman '19
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 7 11 7 6 10 3 44 Jack Gibbons '20 [1-6]
Anna Wilke '19 [1-2]
Kat Smith '17 [3-4]
Orion Pendley '20 [5-6]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 9 9 11 12 7 7 55 Emma Powell '22 [1-6]
Natalie Werner '23 [1-4]
Natalie Serbousek '22 [5-6]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 6 14 6 7 14 12 59 Banning Jones '19 [1-4]
Sophie Crandell '18 [5-6]
Sophie Crandell '18 [1-2]
Amanda Gilmore '19 [3-4]
Camden Lee '19 [5-6]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 11 15 9 5 11 9 60 Casey Malone '23 [1-6]
Leila Jones '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Giselle Yaude '23 [3-4]
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 15 6 14 14 5 8 62 Atlas Iverson '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Matt Dixon '17 [3-4]
Lenika Aguilar '18 [1-4]
Dylan Angell '18 [5-6]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 13 7 13 11 8 11 63 Anna Morrow '18
Anna Dobie '18
Dogfish Dogfish Dogfish 12 13 12 13 4 10 64
Wolverines Wolverines Wolverines 10 12 10 9 12 13 66
Stadium High School Stadium High School Tigers 14 10 8 10 13 14 69 Ripley Morris '19
O'Mara Kilian '19
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 4 8 15 15 15 DNS 73 Tyler Nolasco '19 [1-2]
Rebekah Arvila '18 [3-6]
Kaylee Frede '17 [1-2]
Andre Alvarado '20 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks33331515
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 132321191193535
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 2333315153636
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars11911935354444
WolverinesWolverines Wolverines15153636118118
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks101101
Nathan Hale High SchoolNathan Hale High School Raiders353544442727
DogfishDogfish Dogfish36361181184141
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats444427272222
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears1181184141
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 127272222
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 24141
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 13232
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 23333
Stadium High SchoolStadium High School Tigers3232119119

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks32321191193535
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 1333315153636
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 211911935354444
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars15153636118118
WolverinesWolverines Wolverines353544442727
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks3232
Nathan Hale High SchoolNathan Hale High School Raiders36361181184141
DogfishDogfish Dogfish444427272222
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats1181184141
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears27272222
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 14141
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 2101101
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 13333
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 23232119119
Stadium High SchoolStadium High School Tigers33331515
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Liam Patrick '18 Annika Dunton '21
Seahawks Anna Morrow '18 Anna Dobie '18
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Will Price '19 [1-6] Camden Lee '19 [1-2]
Daniel Rentz '18 [3-4]
Quinn Ring '18 [5-6]
Spartans 1 Banning Jones '19 [1-4]
Sophie Crandell '18 [5-6]		 Sophie Crandell '18 [1-2]
Amanda Gilmore '19 [3-4]
Camden Lee '19 [5-6]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Dane Petrakis '21 [1-6] Harrison Saliba '17 [1-2]
Parker Hutchinson '20 [3-4]
Tristan Knoll '18 [5-6]
Spartans 2 Zach Cooper '20 [1-6] Lindsay Campbell '20 [1-2]
Hunter Johnston '20 [3-6]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Everett Thompson '19 [1-2]
Isabelle Wheeler '17 [3-6]		 Annelisa Ayars '20 [1-2]
Lilyan Coleman '21 [3-6]
Cougars Tyler Nolasco '19 [1-2]
Rebekah Arvila '18 [3-6]		 Kaylee Frede '17 [1-2]
Andre Alvarado '20 [3-6]
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Alejandro Montanez '17 [1-6] Kat Smith '17 [1-2]
Orion Pendley '20 [3-4]
Anna Wilke '19 [5-6]
Red Hawks Jack Gibbons '20 [1-6] Anna Wilke '19 [1-2]
Kat Smith '17 [3-4]
Orion Pendley '20 [5-6]
Nathan Hale High School Nathan Hale High School Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '20 [1-2]
Jack Holbrook '17 [3-6]		 Ella Barnard '20 [1-2]
Morgan Madison '20 [3-4]
Alex Hubbard '19 [5-6]
Raiders Miles Williams '20 Will Basinski '21
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School No Show [1-2]
Dylan Angell '18 [3-6]		 Ella Langrock '20 [1-2]
Wildcats Atlas Iverson '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Matt Dixon '17 [3-4]		 Lenika Aguilar '18 [1-4]
Dylan Angell '18 [5-6]
Olympia High School Olympia High School No Show [1-6] Antonio Dunlap '18 [1-2]
Sam Bonauto '21 [3-6]
Bears Hatcher Cox '21 Kevin Hicks '19
Orcas High School Orcas High School Michael Chesher '17 Ronan Kau '19
Vikings 1 Maggie Toombs '18 Sandy Rost '17
Orcas High School Orcas High School Aristotle Luna '20 Sol Mehl Zobriest '19
Vikings 2 Ronan Rankin '19 Emma Freedman '19
Sehome High School Sehome High School Emma Powell '22 [1-6] Natalie Werner '23 [1-4]
Natalie Serbousek '22 [5-6]
Mariners 1 Emma Powell '22 [1-6] Natalie Werner '23 [1-4]
Natalie Serbousek '22 [5-6]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Casey Malone '23 [1-6] Leila Jones '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Giselle Yaude '23 [3-4]
Mariners 2 Casey Malone '23 [1-6] Leila Jones '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Giselle Yaude '23 [3-4]
Stadium High School Stadium High School Thomas Pentimonti '20 [1-2]
Ted Corddry '21 [3-6]		 Ted Corddry '21 [1-2]
Ripley Morris '19 [3-6]
Tigers Ripley Morris '19 O'Mara Kilian '19

Conditions — 03/18/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1010.6 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.3 kn
avg  ·  max 12.6 kn
Gusts to 25.9 kn
From SSW (208°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1010.6 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 12 kn · NE 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Bainbridge: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bainbridge by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Bainbridge, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →