Bainbridge High School '20
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| -0.58 (fleet -0.95) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 27–12 (69%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2018 | 3 | — | 21–10 |
| Spring 2017 | 2 | — | 6–2 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (39 matches) the record is 27–12 against 27.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.2). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-05-05 | NWISA Team Race Championship | crew | 1.55 | 0.98 | 7–6 | 8.1 | −0.58 | 0.3 | 85% |
| 2018-04-21 | NWISA Bellingham Team Race | crew | 1.28 | 1.05 | 10–3 | 10.3 | −0.23 | 0.0 | 75% |
| 2018-03-24 | NWISA Regional Team Race - Bainbridge | crew | 1.59 | 1.16 | 4–1 | 4.2 | −0.43 | 0.0 | 84% |
| 2017-05-06 | NWISA Team Race - JV | crew | 0.38 | 1.66 | 3–2 | 2.0 | +1.28 | 0.7 | 29% |
| 2017-04-22 | NWISA: Olympia South Regional Team Race | crew | 1.52 | 4.53 | 3–0 | 2.7 | ≥+3.00 | 0.5 | 70% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| NWISA: South Regional, Olympia | Crew | A | 5 | 13.4 | — |
| Spring 2018 Team page Season | |||||
| SSP Combined Division - GOLD | Crew | B | 6 | 13.3 | — |
| Port Townsend Open | Crew | A | 7 | 3.4 | — |
| NWISA Team Race Championship | Crew | TR | 13 | 54% | — |
| NWISA Regional Team Race - Bainbridge | Crew | TR | 8 | 75% | — |
| NWISA Fleet Race Championship | Crew | A | 2 | 11.0 | — |
| NWISA Bellingham Team Race | Crew | TR | 14 | 71% | — |
| ISLANDS CUP | Crew | B | 4 | 2.2 | — |
| Fall 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| Olympia: Fall Ranking Championship, Gold | Crew | B | 6 | 2.2 | — |
| Cascadia Cup - GOLD | Crew | B | 6 | 8.5 | — |
| Spring 2017 Team page Season | |||||
| SSP Combined - GOLD | Crew | B | 6 | 12.8 | — |
| NWISA Team Race - JV | Crew | TR | 11 | 73% | — |
| NWISA: Olympia South Regional Team Race | Crew | TR | 9 | 78% | — |
| Kitsap 10% Regatta - JV | Crew | B | 4 | 2.0 | — |
| JV Districts Orcas | Crew | A | 6 | 9.5 | — |
| Island Cup Silver | Skipper | B | 10 | 13.3 | -2.34 |
| Forrest Cook Regatta | Crew | A | 4 | 19.5 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
To have this profile removed, email quinnbrighton2005@gmail.com.
