SSP Combined Division - GOLD

HostSail Sand Point
Date03/10/2018
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
ScoringCombined

#	School	Team	TOT
1	Nathan Hale High School	Raiders	104
2	Orcas High School	Vikings	115
3	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	136
4	Charles Wright Academy	Tarriers	161
5	Olympia High School	Bears	175
6	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	177
7	Sehome High School	Mariners 1	182
8	Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals	195
9	Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders	197
10	Gig Harbor High School	Tides	202
11	North Kitsap High School	Dogfish	211
12	Sehome High School	Mariners 2	231
13	Friday Harbor High School	Wolverines	232
14	Central Kitsap High School	Cougars	244
15	Capital High School	Capital	285
16	Anacortes High School	Seahawks	324

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Charles Wright Academy	Tarriers A	2	1	2	2	2	10	19	Alyosha Strum-Palerm '18 Emily Smith '21
Orcas High School	Vikings B	10	2	1	8	19	6	46	Dominick Wareham '19 Millie Kau '19
Nathan Hale High School	Raiders B	11	4	14	5	4	9	47	Maks Groom '20 Aragorn Crozier '20
Friday Harbor High School	Wolverines B	1	7	4	20	16	3	51	Marina West '22 No Show
Nathan Hale High School	Raiders A	9	11	16	9	8	4	57	Margot Watts '19 Colette Royer '18
Olympia High School	Bears A	22	17	5	7	1	5	57	Max Miller '18 Isabelle Stokesberry Miles-Paulson '18
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1 A	5	9	17	3	11	23	68	Zach Cooper '20 Trevor Royset '21
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1 B	13	20	13	4	17	1	68	Dane Petrakis '21 [1-4, 6] Sophie Crandell '18 [5] Sophie Crandell '18 [1-4, 6] Dane Petrakis '21 [5]
Orcas High School	Vikings A	8	12	7	17	7	18	69	Maggie Toombs '18 Emma Freedman '19
Sehome High School	Mariners 1 A	3	3	15	18	14	20	73	Lera Anders '23 Natalie Serbousek '22
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals A	20	6	6	1	DSQ	7	73	Grant Gridley '18 Mikaela Lee '20
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders A	6	5	12	6	23	25	77	Miles Williams '20 Eilidh Haakanson '21
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish B	12	21	10	19	10	8	80	Cole Fox '18 Nolan Loverich '22
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2 B	15	10	8	23	5	19	80	Sophia Kasper '18 Hunter Johnston '20
Gig Harbor High School	Tides B	21	23	3	13	6	14	80	Leo Bessler '22 Ryalls Peter '19
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2 A	16	19	11	21	9	21	97	Max Doane '20 Chase Van Derrick '21
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars B	17	18	19	11	25	15	105	Tyler Nolasco '19 Travis Bouck '20
Sehome High School	Mariners 2 B	24	8	32	22	3	16	105	Ria West '23 Leila Jones '23
Sehome High School	Mariners 1 B	19	24	9	15	18	24	109	Emma Powell '22 Peyton Nienaber '23
Olympia High School	Bears B	28	22	23	31	12	2	118	Kevin Hicks '19 Ciara Mcclanahan '19
Roosevelt High School	Rough Riders B	7	13	30	12	26	32	120	Van Senseney '19 Abbie Chipps '21
Gig Harbor High School	Tides A	DSQ	14	21	28	15	11	122	Axel Stordahl '20 Ripley Morris '19
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals B	26	27	24	10	22	13	122	Anisha Arcott '18 Nolan Petrin '23
Sehome High School	Mariners 2 A	18	15	27	30	24	12	126	Cedric Keneipp '23 Mallory Hood '23
Capital High School	Capital A	29	25	20	14	13	29	130	Joy Brennan '20 Zachary Cowan '20
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish A	14	30	22	27	21	17	131	Alex Ashley '18 Anna Schroeder '19
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars A	4	26	26	24	29	30	139	Niko Twilla '18 Becca Sharpe '18
Charles Wright Academy	Tarriers B	25	16	29	16	28	28	142	Hayden Flaskerud '20 Nicholas Lee '20
Capital High School	Capital B	23	28	25	DSQ	20	26	155	Annie Buelt '20 Caroline Hurley '20
Anacortes High School	Seahawks A	27	29	18	25	30	27	156	Christopher Warmuth '18 Maggie Patrick '20
Anacortes High School	Seahawks B	30	32	31	26	27	22	168	Liam Patrick '18 Anna Morrow '18
Friday Harbor High School	Wolverines A	31	31	28	29	31	31	181	Katie Beyer '22 Gus Rindal '21

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.340+0.34

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (29 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Anacortes High School Seahawks	98	98	33	33	35	35
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	33	33	98	98	11	11
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	35	35	82	82	9	9
Capital High School Capital	82	82	35	35	33	33
Central Kitsap High School Cougars	9	9	108	108	102	102
Charles Wright Academy Tarriers	108	108	9	9	82	82
Friday Harbor High School Wolverines	102	102	112	112	44	44
Gig Harbor High School Tides	112	112	102	102	108	108
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals	44	44	3	3	7	7
Nathan Hale High School Raiders	3	3	44	44	112	112
North Kitsap High School Dogfish	7	7	83	83	5	5
Olympia High School Bears	83	83	7	7	3	3
Orcas High School Vikings	5	5	1	1	50	50
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	1	1	5	5	83	83
Sehome High School Mariners 1	50	50	53	53	99	99
Sehome High School Mariners 2	53	53	50	50	1	1

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Anacortes High School Seahawks	99	99	36	36	37	37
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	36	36	99	99	53	53
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	37	37	84	84	10	10
Capital High School Capital	84	84	37	37	36	36
Central Kitsap High School Cougars	10	10	114	114	103	103
Charles Wright Academy Tarriers	114	114	10	10	84	84
Friday Harbor High School Wolverines	103	103	12	12	45	45
Gig Harbor High School Tides	12	12	103	103	114	114
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals	45	45	4	4	8	8
Nathan Hale High School Raiders	4	4	45	45	12	12
North Kitsap High School Dogfish	8	8	100	100	6	6
Olympia High School Bears	100	100	8	8	4	4
Orcas High School Vikings	6	6	2	2	56	56
Roosevelt High School Rough Riders	2	2	6	6	100	100
Sehome High School Mariners 1	56	56	11	11	98	98
Sehome High School Mariners 2	11	11	56	56	2	2

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Anacortes High School	Christopher Warmuth '18	Maggie Patrick '20
Seahawks	Liam Patrick '18	Anna Morrow '18
Bainbridge High School	Zach Cooper '20	Trevor Royset '21
Spartans 1	Dane Petrakis '21 [1-4, 6] Sophie Crandell '18 [5]	Sophie Crandell '18 [1-4, 6] Dane Petrakis '21 [5]
Bainbridge High School	Max Doane '20	Chase Van Derrick '21
Spartans 2	Sophia Kasper '18	Hunter Johnston '20
Capital High School	Joy Brennan '20	Zachary Cowan '20
Capital	Annie Buelt '20	Caroline Hurley '20
Central Kitsap High School	Niko Twilla '18	Becca Sharpe '18
Cougars	Tyler Nolasco '19	Travis Bouck '20
Charles Wright Academy	Alyosha Strum-Palerm '18	Emily Smith '21
Tarriers	Hayden Flaskerud '20	Nicholas Lee '20
Friday Harbor High School	Katie Beyer '22	Gus Rindal '21
Wolverines	Marina West '22	No Show
Gig Harbor High School	Axel Stordahl '20	Ripley Morris '19
Tides	Leo Bessler '22	Ryalls Peter '19
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Grant Gridley '18	Mikaela Lee '20
Cardinals	Anisha Arcott '18	Nolan Petrin '23
Nathan Hale High School	Margot Watts '19	Colette Royer '18
Raiders	Maks Groom '20	Aragorn Crozier '20
North Kitsap High School	Alex Ashley '18	Anna Schroeder '19
Dogfish	Cole Fox '18	Nolan Loverich '22
Olympia High School	Max Miller '18	Isabelle Stokesberry Miles-Paulson '18
Bears	Kevin Hicks '19	Ciara Mcclanahan '19
Orcas High School	Maggie Toombs '18	Emma Freedman '19
Vikings	Dominick Wareham '19	Millie Kau '19
Roosevelt High School	Miles Williams '20	Eilidh Haakanson '21
Rough Riders	Van Senseney '19	Abbie Chipps '21
Sehome High School	Lera Anders '23	Natalie Serbousek '22
Mariners 1	Emma Powell '22	Peyton Nienaber '23
Sehome High School	Cedric Keneipp '23	Mallory Hood '23
Mariners 2	Ria West '23	Leila Jones '23

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

SSP Combined Division - GOLD

Division A

Division B

From the notes