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NWISA: South Regional, Olympia

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 27 18 45
2 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 37 9 46
3 Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 1 37 16 53
4 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 43 20 63
5 Cardinals 1 Cardinals 1 Cardinals 1 35 43 78
6 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 2 23 62 85
7 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 1 19 71 90
8 Cardinals 3 Cardinals 3 Cardinals 3 50 41 91
9 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 2 26 67 93
10 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 61 36 97
11 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 1 44 57 101
12 Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 2 34 68 102
13 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 4 67 56 123
14 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 4 72 53 125
15 Cardinals 2 Cardinals 2 Cardinals 2 84 48 132
16 Benson Polytechnic High School Benson Polytechnic High School Techsters 3 74 61 135
17 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 3 58 88 146
18 Benson Polytechnic High School Benson Polytechnic High School Techsters 1 77 77 154
19 Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 99 67 166
20 Benson Polytechnic High School Benson Polytechnic High School Techsters 2 83 92 175
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 1 7 2 3 1 6 19 Axel Stordahl '20 [1-5]
Corinne Harrison '23 [1-2]
Ripley Morris '19 [3-5]
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 2 1 1 9 2 10 23 Dayne Hall '22
Carlos Rivas '22
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 2 3 7 10 4 2 26 Sam Bonauto '21
Jasper Navarro Hummel '22
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 5 3 7 11 1 27 Thomas Pentimonti '20
Brianna Steel '22
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 2 9 10 1 3 11 34 Jack Corddry '19
Ted Corddry '21
Cardinals 1 Cardinals 1 Cardinals 1 2 4 13 12 4 35
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 6 13 8 5 5 37 Max Doane '20
Chase Van Derrick '21
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 1 13 8 5 8 3 37 Hayden Flaskerud '20
Jaden Unruh '22
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 4 9 12 10 8 43 Dane Petrakis '21
Galen Hutcherson '22
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 1 8 6 6 9 15 44 Owen Timms '19
Evan Krug '19
Cardinals 3 Cardinals 3 Cardinals 3 11 5 4 13 17 50
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 3 14 11 11 6 16 58 Erin Pamplin '20
Ellie Davis '21
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 20 14 2 7 18 61 Clayton Marsh '20
Thomas Mcnulty '21
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 4 10 15 15 14 13 67 Gianna Dewey '23
Hunter Johnston '19
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 4 12 18 17 16 9 72 Ella Hubbard '22
No Show
Benson Polytechnic High School Benson Polytechnic High School Techsters 3 17 19 14 17 7 74
Benson Polytechnic High School Benson Polytechnic High School Techsters 1 15 12 16 15 19 77 Daniel Duyvestein '21
Ace Burton '20
Benson Polytechnic High School Benson Polytechnic High School Techsters 2 18 16 18 19 12 83 Megan Waller '20
Chris Reekie '19
Cardinals 2 Cardinals 2 Cardinals 2 16 17 19 18 14 84
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 19 20 20 20 20 99 Robert Bloomfield '22
Nick Heelan '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 1 5 1 1 1 1 9 Zach Cooper '20
Arianna Fiore '21
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 1 2 2 3 5 4 16 Ben Brink '22
Reed Kregenow '22
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions 3 6 4 2 3 18 Emily Smith '21
Corinne Harrison '23
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 8 5 2 3 2 20 Parker Hutchinson '20
Zane Walker '22
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 3 4 10 7 9 6 36 Barret Lhamon '22
Laruen Heinzelman '22
Cardinals 3 Cardinals 3 Cardinals 3 6 8 11 8 8 41
Cardinals 1 Cardinals 1 Cardinals 1 1 13 14 10 5 43
Cardinals 2 Cardinals 2 Cardinals 2 13 3 9 7 16 48
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 4 9 7 13 12 12 53 Erin Winans '23
Fiona Murphy '21
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 4 10 4 20 15 7 56 Peter Hall '21
Jack Turkovich '22
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 1 14 11 6 16 10 57 Finn Mcclure '23
Hatcher Cox '21
Benson Polytechnic High School Benson Polytechnic High School Techsters 3 7 18 10 13 13 61
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 2 18 9 8 18 9 62 Corbin Torralba '22
Skyler Kimble '22
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 12 14 5 19 17 67 Avian De Keizer-Mendoza '23
Shakiah Grods '20
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 2 17 17 12 6 15 67 Peter Kelleher '22
Caleb Roberts '22
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 2 20 16 17 4 11 68 Taggart Messersmith '22
Evan Lebel '22
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 1 11 15 15 11 19 71 Marshall Hainer '22
Dalton Lovett '21
Benson Polytechnic High School Benson Polytechnic High School Techsters 1 19 12 18 14 14 77 Aaron Danziger '21
Charlize Peterson '21
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 3 16 19 16 17 20 88 Evan Glasgow '22
Arica Mcclanahan '21
Benson Polytechnic High School Benson Polytechnic High School Techsters 2 15 20 19 20 18 92 Justin Zhou '21
Ethan Stein '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 135353737109
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 23636383878
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 3373710910977
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 43838787887
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions109109777785
Benson Polytechnic High SchoolBenson Polytechnic High School Techsters 178788787110
Benson Polytechnic High SchoolBenson Polytechnic High School Techsters 277778585108
Benson Polytechnic High SchoolBenson Polytechnic High School Techsters 38787110110115
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars8585108108112
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers 111011011511513
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers 210810811211214
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides 1115115131315
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides 2112112141482
Cardinals 1Cardinals 1 Cardinals 11313151583
Cardinals 2Cardinals 2 Cardinals 21414828284
Cardinals 3Cardinals 3 Cardinals 31515838386
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 18282848435
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 28383868636
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 38484353537
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 48686363638

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 13636383878
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 2373710910977
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 33838787887
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans 4109109777785
Bellarmine Preparatory SchoolBellarmine Preparatory School Lions78788787110
Benson Polytechnic High SchoolBenson Polytechnic High School Techsters 177778585108
Benson Polytechnic High SchoolBenson Polytechnic High School Techsters 28787110110115
Benson Polytechnic High SchoolBenson Polytechnic High School Techsters 38585108108112
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars11011011511513
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers 110810811211214
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers 2115115131315
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides 1112112141482
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides 21313151583
Cardinals 1Cardinals 1 Cardinals 11414828284
Cardinals 2Cardinals 2 Cardinals 21515838386
Cardinals 3Cardinals 3 Cardinals 38282848435
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 18383868636
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 28484353537
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 38686363638
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears 435353737109
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Max Doane '20 Chase Van Derrick '21
Spartans 1 Zach Cooper '20 Arianna Fiore '21
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Dane Petrakis '21 Galen Hutcherson '22
Spartans 2 Parker Hutchinson '20 Zane Walker '22
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Clayton Marsh '20 Thomas Mcnulty '21
Spartans 3 Barret Lhamon '22 Laruen Heinzelman '22
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Gianna Dewey '23 Hunter Johnston '19
Spartans 4 Peter Hall '21 Jack Turkovich '22
Bellarmine Preparatory School Bellarmine Preparatory School Thomas Pentimonti '20 Brianna Steel '22
Lions Emily Smith '21 Corinne Harrison '23
Benson Polytechnic High School Benson Polytechnic High School Daniel Duyvestein '21 Ace Burton '20
Techsters 1 Aaron Danziger '21 Charlize Peterson '21
Benson Polytechnic High School Benson Polytechnic High School Megan Waller '20 Chris Reekie '19
Techsters 2 Justin Zhou '21 Ethan Stein '20
Capital High School Capital High School Robert Bloomfield '22 Nick Heelan '22
Cougars Avian De Keizer-Mendoza '23 Shakiah Grods '20
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Hayden Flaskerud '20 Jaden Unruh '22
Tarriers 1 Ben Brink '22 Reed Kregenow '22
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Jack Corddry '19 Ted Corddry '21
Tarriers 2 Taggart Messersmith '22 Evan Lebel '22
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Axel Stordahl '20 [1-5] Corinne Harrison '23 [1-2]
Ripley Morris '19 [3-5]
Tides 1 Marshall Hainer '22 Dalton Lovett '21
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Dayne Hall '22 Carlos Rivas '22
Tides 2 Corbin Torralba '22 Skyler Kimble '22
Olympia High School Olympia High School Owen Timms '19 Evan Krug '19
Bears 1 Finn Mcclure '23 Hatcher Cox '21
Olympia High School Olympia High School Sam Bonauto '21 Jasper Navarro Hummel '22
Bears 2 Peter Kelleher '22 Caleb Roberts '22
Olympia High School Olympia High School Erin Pamplin '20 Ellie Davis '21
Bears 3 Evan Glasgow '22 Arica Mcclanahan '21
Olympia High School Olympia High School Ella Hubbard '22 No Show
Bears 4 Erin Winans '23 Fiona Murphy '21

Conditions — 10/06/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1020.7 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From NNE (24°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine8.8 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1020.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Capital/Olympia: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Capital/Olympia by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Capital/Olympia: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →