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MISSA Icebreaker

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 69 34 103
2 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 64 40 104
3 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 66 65 131
4 St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Mixed 73 59 132
5 St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 89 44 133
6 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Mixed 66 74 140
7 Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 72 84 156
8 East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity 80 111 191
9 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 118 103 221
10 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 105 122 227
11 Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Mixed 99 142 241
12 Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 94 159 253
13 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 127 148 275
14 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Gold 162 129 291
15 Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 156 144 300
16 Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Varsity 193 184 377
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 1 1 1 2 2 9 14 8 1 3 13 9 64 Gloria Kevliciute '17 [1-11]
Owen Patterson '19 [12]
Caroline Bernet '17 [1-10]
Alessandra Torres '20 [11-12]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Mixed 3 4 11 5 3 8 5 2 7 4 7 7 66 Colleen Baumann '17
Emily Gildea '17
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 7 2 2 1 4 7 13 12 2 14 1 1 66 Spencer Keenan '17
Ben Spring '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 3 4 15 8 1 7 7 5 1 5 11 69 Nate Olmsted '19 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Graham Ness '19 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12]
Graham Ness '19 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Nate Olmsted '19 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 4 6 5 6 9 6 1 4 4 11 14 2 72 Harrison George '18
Kaya Donat '20
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Mixed 13 9 7 4 10 2 2 3 3 10 2 8 73 Bridget Groble '17 [1-12]
Garrett Cook '20 [1-10]
Matthew Alfano '17 [11-12]
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity 6 5 10 3 1 3 10 5 12 2 10 13 80 Justin Lovell '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Graham Post '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Hazel Mcgovern '21 [1-2]
Bella Kirchgessner '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Regan Pitts '18 [5-6, 9-10]
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 8 7 3 12 5 10 3 11 6 15 6 3 89 Aisling Sullivan '18
Kate Crannell '20
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 5 8 12 10 13 4 15 1 10 7 4 5 94 Harry Bearrows '18
John Hultquist '20
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Mixed 9 10 6 9 14 14 8 9 8 5 3 4 99 David Phlamm '18
Bryan Phlamm '21
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 12 12 8 11 7 5 6 13 9 8 8 6 105 Han-Ray Jahn '17
Lily Allen '19
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 11 13 9 8 6 12 4 6 13 6 15 15 118 Jack Bull '19 [1-12]
Bryce Vandenavond '19 [1-4, 7-10, 12]
Nolan Beaty '19 [5-6, 11]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 10 14 14 7 11 11 9 10 11 9 9 12 127 Rory Neenan '18
Cynthia Rodriguez-Huspen '17
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 14 11 13 13 12 13 12 15 15 13 11 14 156 Luke Hosek '20 [1-12]
No Show [1-2, 7-8]
Ari Greenberg '18 [3-4, 9-10]
Ashley Hanley '19 [5-6, 11-12]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Gold 15 15 15 14 15 15 11 14 14 12 12 10 162 Gregor Leech '18 [1-12]
Etain Mckinney '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Caroline Schmidt '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Varsity 16 DNS 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 193 Maritza Lara '18
Jose Medrano '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 4 8 1 4 2 2 4 1 1 1 4 2 34 Matthew Kickhafer '19
Annika Irene '19
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 1 2 4 2 4 5 6 2 6 6 1 1 40 James Wagner '17 [1-12]
Peter Odom '17 [1-8, 11-12]
Owen Patterson '19 [9-10]
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 5 6 3 1 3 8 2 3 3 3 2 5 44 Ray Groble '17
Cristina Dombrowski '19
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Mixed 3 5 9 3 1 9 1 9 8 2 3 6 59 Logan O'Connor '17
Nicholas Alfano '18
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 2 1 5 DSQ 7 1 3 6 4 5 7 7 65 Noah Barton '19
W. Quinn Keenan '19
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Mixed 12 9 7 5 5 4 5 4 10 4 5 4 74 Preston Anderson '18 [1-2]
Lillian Nemeth '18 [3-12]
Laurel Schenkman '18 [1-6]
Preston Anderson '18 [7-12]
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Varsity 7 4 6 7 10 3 11 8 5 8 12 3 84 Liz Obermaier '17
Brian Liu '18
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 6 3 2 6 11 10 12 14 2 DNF 11 9 103 Nicole Millerman '19 [1-4, 9-12]
Isabel Dziuba '19 [5-6]
Shane Sanghvi '19 [7-8]
Isabel Dziuba '19 [1-2, 7-12]
Shane Sanghvi '19 [3-4]
Nicole Millerman '19 [5-6]
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids EGR Varsity 10 7 13 12 6 6 8 13 7 9 9 11 111 Hazel Mcgovern '21 [1-2, 5-8, 11-12]
Annika Lampen '21 [3-4, 9-10]
Kate Mackeigan '19 [1-4, 7-12]
Annika Lampen '21 [5-6]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 8 12 8 9 8 7 DNF 7 15 13 10 8 122 Ryan Henderson '19 [1-6, 11]
Nick Ingraffia '17 [7-10, 12]
Nick Ingraffia '17 [1-6, 11]
Ryan Henderson '19 [7-10, 12]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Gold 15 11 10 8 12 11 9 11 12 14 6 10 129 Hugh Rider '18 [1-12]
Susie Driscoll '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Angelina Simon '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Mixed 11 13 11 10 14 13 10 15 9 10 13 13 142 Evan Fallon '18
Colin Butler '18
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 13 10 15 14 13 12 7 5 DNF 7 16 15 144 Eleanor Ermentrout '17 [1-10]
No Show [11-12]
Jake Nolan '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Evelyn Barreda '19 [3-4, 9-10]
Matheui Halpin '19 [5-6]
Eleanor Ermentrout '17 [11-12]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 9 14 12 13 16 14 13 12 11 12 8 14 148 Andrew Lestingi '17 [1-12]
Annie Mollman '17 [1-4, 11-12]
Chris Lecompte '17 [5-10]
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 16 15 14 11 9 DNF DNF 10 13 11 14 12 159 Quinn Shaughnessy '17
Gavin Wilson '19
Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Varsity 14 16 16 15 15 15 DNF 16 14 15 15 16 184 Bryant Martinez '18
Shaun Rivera '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Mixed1414161622446688
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity11335577991111
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity2244668810101212
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits3355779911111313
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars446688101012121414
Hinsdale Central High SchoolHinsdale Central High School Mixed557799111113131515
Hyman G. Rickover Naval AcademyHyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Varsity66881010121214141616
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity779911111313151511
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Gold991111131315151133
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers88101012121414161622
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers10101212141416162244
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian111113131515113355
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Mixed121214141616224466
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack1313151511335577
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity15151133557799
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity1616224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Mixed15151133557799
Detroit Country Day SchoolDetroit Country Day School Varsity2244668810101212
East Grand RapidsEast Grand Rapids EGR Varsity3355779911111313
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits446688101012121414
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars557799111113131515
Hinsdale Central High SchoolHinsdale Central High School Mixed66881010121214141616
Hyman G. Rickover Naval AcademyHyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Varsity779911111313151511
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity88101012121414161622
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Gold10101212141416162244
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers991111131315151133
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers111113131515113355
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian121214141616224466
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Mixed1313151511335577
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSt. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack1414161622446688
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity1616224466881010
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity11335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Detroit Country Day School Detroit Country Day School Harrison George '18 Kaya Donat '20
Varsity Liz Obermaier '17 Brian Liu '18
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids Justin Lovell '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Graham Post '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Hazel Mcgovern '21 [1-2]
Bella Kirchgessner '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Regan Pitts '18 [5-6, 9-10]
EGR Varsity Hazel Mcgovern '21 [1-2, 5-8, 11-12]
Annika Lampen '21 [3-4, 9-10]		 Kate Mackeigan '19 [1-4, 7-12]
Annika Lampen '21 [5-6]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Han-Ray Jahn '17 Lily Allen '19
Wildkits Ryan Henderson '19 [1-6, 11]
Nick Ingraffia '17 [7-10, 12]		 Nick Ingraffia '17 [1-6, 11]
Ryan Henderson '19 [7-10, 12]
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Harry Bearrows '18 John Hultquist '20
Friars Quinn Shaughnessy '17 Gavin Wilson '19
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School David Phlamm '18 Bryan Phlamm '21
Mixed Evan Fallon '18 Colin Butler '18
Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Maritza Lara '18 Jose Medrano '18
Varsity Bryant Martinez '18 Shaun Rivera '18
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Luke Hosek '20 [1-12] No Show [1-2, 7-8]
Ari Greenberg '18 [3-4, 9-10]
Ashley Hanley '19 [5-6, 11-12]
Varsity Eleanor Ermentrout '17 [1-10]
No Show [11-12]		 Jake Nolan '18 [1-2, 7-8]
Evelyn Barreda '19 [3-4, 9-10]
Matheui Halpin '19 [5-6]
Eleanor Ermentrout '17 [11-12]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Gregor Leech '18 [1-12] Etain Mckinney '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Caroline Schmidt '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Gold Hugh Rider '18 [1-12] Susie Driscoll '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Angelina Simon '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Rory Neenan '18 Cynthia Rodriguez-Huspen '17
Ramblers Andrew Lestingi '17 [1-12] Annie Mollman '17 [1-4, 11-12]
Chris Lecompte '17 [5-10]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Nate Olmsted '19 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Graham Ness '19 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12]		 Graham Ness '19 [1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11]
Nate Olmsted '19 [2, 4, 6, 8, 10, 12]
Skippers Matthew Kickhafer '19 Annika Irene '19
New Trier HS New Trier HS Spencer Keenan '17 Ben Spring '18
Trevian Noah Barton '19 W. Quinn Keenan '19
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Bridget Groble '17 [1-12] Garrett Cook '20 [1-10]
Matthew Alfano '17 [11-12]
Mixed Logan O'Connor '17 Nicholas Alfano '18
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Aisling Sullivan '18 Kate Crannell '20
Wolfpack Ray Groble '17 Cristina Dombrowski '19
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Colleen Baumann '17 Emily Gildea '17
Mixed Preston Anderson '18 [1-2]
Lillian Nemeth '18 [3-12]		 Laurel Schenkman '18 [1-6]
Preston Anderson '18 [7-12]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Gloria Kevliciute '17 [1-11]
Owen Patterson '19 [12]		 Caroline Bernet '17 [1-10]
Alessandra Torres '20 [11-12]
Varsity James Wagner '17 [1-12] Peter Odom '17 [1-8, 11-12]
Owen Patterson '19 [9-10]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Jack Bull '19 [1-12] Bryce Vandenavond '19 [1-4, 7-10, 12]
Nolan Beaty '19 [5-6, 11]
Lakers Varsity Nicole Millerman '19 [1-4, 9-12]
Isabel Dziuba '19 [5-6]
Shane Sanghvi '19 [7-8]		 Isabel Dziuba '19 [1-2, 7-12]
Shane Sanghvi '19 [3-4]
Nicole Millerman '19 [5-6]

Conditions — 03/25/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌧️Slight rain
Humidity 97%  ·  Pressure 1016.4 hPa

Temperature

44°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.1 kn
avg  ·  max 12.7 kn
Gusts to 26.0 kn
From ENE (59°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity97% Pressure1016.4 hPa Rain0.84 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 13 kn* · SE 4 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hinsdale Central/Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius College/Walter Payton Colleg: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hinsdale Central/Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius College/Walter Payton Colleg by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Hinsdale Central/Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius College/Walter Payton Colleg, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →