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SAISA South Points 5 (2017) - Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 16 7 23
2 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 14 27 41
3 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 14 39 53
4 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 40 23 63
5 Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 68 21 89
6 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 35 65 100
7 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 73 30 103
8 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 78 37 115
9 Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 61 55 116
10 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 80 48 128
11 Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 43 110 153
12 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 65 89 154
13 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 87 71 158
14 Clearwater Central Catholic High School Clearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity 53 111 164
15 Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 76 101 177
16 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 91 103 194
17 Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 73 121 194
18 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 99 95 194
19 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 111 84 195
20 Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 116 104 220
21 Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 129 103 232
22 Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Varsity 129 106 235
23 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 121 116 237
24 Trinity Preparatory School Trinity Preparatory School Tavares 117 130 247
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 1 2 4 3 2 2 14 Connor Nelson '19
Erica Brown '17
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 5 2 1 3 1 14 Tucker Weed '18 [1-6]
Mcleod Kennedy '19 [1-2]
Maddie Sharp '18 [3-6]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 3 4 1 2 1 5 16 Jack Johansson '17
Roberto Lugones '20
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 4 11 3 4 7 6 35 Chase Sabadash '18
Libby Redmond '20
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 5 1 7 10 10 7 40 Shane Riera '17
Mariela Solorzano '19
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 6 3 16 11 4 3 43 Callista Hopkins '19
Kurban Ali '17
Clearwater Central Catholic High School Clearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity 9 8 6 13 13 4 53 Alex Temko '20
Sophia Wicks '19
Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 8 14 5 14 5 15 61 Ciara Dorsay '17
Michael Grass '17
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils BKD BKD 19 5 12 11 65 Blaire Mccarthy '18 [1-6]
Phillip Peterson '17 [1-2]
Erika Desonie '19 [3-4]
Tyler Rogers '20 [5-6]
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes OCS 13 10 6 6 8 68 Sam Baker '17 [1-6]
Ethan Osborne '19 [1-2]
Ella Marsden '20 [3-6]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 7 17 15 9 11 14 73 Elizabeth Shanahan '19 [1-4]
Heather Kerns '20 [5-6]
Lily Schneider '19 [1-4]
Elizabeth Shanahan '19 [5-6]
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 16 12 12 16 8 9 73 Corinne Graves '20
Dana Aljasir '20
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 10 6 14 8 14 24 76 Johnny Magardino '19
Harrison Rogers '19
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons OCS 10 8 7 18 10 78 Dylan Brazee '17
Chandler Scott '19
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 12 7 11 12 16 22 80 Finn Kennedy '17 [1-6]
Derek Pearson '17 [1-2]
Lou Conseil '18 [3-6]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 11 18 13 15 9 21 87 Kingsley Ehrich '19 [1-6]
Jackson Dusenberry '19 [1-2]
Rachel Dionne '20 [3-6]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 14 16 9 18 15 19 91 Ethan Grove '17 [1-6]
Leah Schulman '18 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Michael Gabe '18 [5-6]
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 19 15 BKD BKD 19 16 99 Lauren Sokolowski '18
Aine Porter '19
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 15 19 23 19 17 18 111 Mikaela Munao '18 [1-6]
Noah Guntow '20 [1-2]
Austin Daigle '20 [3-6]
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 17 24 18 17 23 17 116 Paige Dannenhauer '17
Fortunado Occhino '20
Trinity Preparatory School Trinity Preparatory School Tavares 22 20 22 20 20 13 117 Leah Harper '18
No Show
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 20 21 24 22 22 12 121 Emma Barska '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Griffin Pollis '19 [3-4]
Griffin Pollis '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Sarah Tigges '19 [3-4]
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 18 23 20 24 21 23 129 Jack Breton '19 [1-6]
Chris Capiola '21 [1-2]
Maggie Walker '21 [3-6]
Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Varsity 21 22 21 21 24 20 129 Jocelyn Lyon '18
Nicholas Lyon '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 1 1 2 1 1 1 7 Sean Brennan '17
Teddy Bueres '19
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 3 2 7 5 2 2 21 Alex Gonzalez '20
Ethan Osborne '19
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 5 4 1 2 7 4 23 Olivia De Olazarra '18
Natalia Gagliano '19
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 2 3 6 6 4 6 27 Andy Burns '16 [1-4]
Brandon Geller '19 [5-6]
Tee Chulikavit '19 [1-4]
Dominic Canonico '19 [5-6]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers BKD BKD 3 3 5 10 30 Kyle Dochoda '17 [1-6]
Zachery Ofenloch '19 [1-2]
Cai Baralt '17 [3-4]
Brandon Depalma '17 [5-6]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 6 7 9 9 3 3 37 Hunter Sorensen '17
Chris Haner '17
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 10 9 5 4 6 5 39 Paul Lobree '18
Alex Sidi '17
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 9 8 4 8 12 7 48 Alex Commette '17
Trevor Honeycutt '19
Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 8 5 13 7 13 9 55 Natalie Hoffman '26
Matthew Mason '19
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 14 11 8 10 14 8 65 Caroline Dubois-Weber '19
Dae Kelly '17
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 4 15 11 14 10 17 71 Jack Macdonald '18
Kara Percival '18
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 12 10 12 12 19 19 84 Cameron Kuchar '17 [1-6]
Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Nicholas Stange '20 [3-4]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 11 12 10 22 22 12 89 Phillip Peterson '17 [1-6]
Jacob Warchola '18 [1-2]
Kalee Parmentier '19 [3-4]
Cole Madden '19 [5-6]
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 17 13 17 19 9 20 95 Jack Parker '19
Jacob Armitage '20
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 22 18 24 15 11 11 101 Hunter Puzak '18
Kristina Puzak '18
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 15 21 16 17 21 13 103 Thomas Connell '20 [1-4]
Chris Capiola '21 [5-6]
Bailey Gorman '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Chris Capiola '21 [3-4]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 24 24 21 11 8 15 103 Noah Fischer '19 [1-6]
Hannah Sternthal '19 [1-2]
Harrison Freedman '19 [3-6]
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 16 16 14 20 15 23 104 Reed Gilmore '19
Madison Reynolds '20
Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Varsity 18 22 18 18 16 14 106 Jakob Germann '17
Audrey Wood '19
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 13 14 15 23 23 22 110 Cameron Delgado '19 [1-2]
Daniel Denison '17 [3-4]
Hanna Brydon '17 [5-6]
Ethan Myott '17 [1-2]
Connor Friel '17 [3-6]
Clearwater Central Catholic High School Clearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity 21 20 23 13 18 16 111 Bryce Eihl '20
Conor Reese '21
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 19 19 19 24 17 18 116 Nathan Welmaker '20
Yazmeen Simpson '19
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Varsity 23 17 20 16 24 21 121 Colin Lawther '20
Noah Bardes '20
Trinity Preparatory School Trinity Preparatory School Tavares 20 23 22 21 20 24 130 Patrick Van Hissentine '17 [1-6]
Samuel Pearl '19 [1-4]
Leah Harper '18 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Clearwater Central Catholic High SchoolClearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity2222242422
Community School of NaplesCommunity School of Naples Varsity202022222424
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes335577
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Varsity151517171919
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave24242244
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders101012121414
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons446688
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity141416161818
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers66881010
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers77991111
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity131315151717
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School Varsity191921212323
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves8810101212
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers23231133
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pine View Varsity224466
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers181820202222
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders113355
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders111113131515
Seacrest Country Day SchoolSeacrest Country Day School Varsity121214141616
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers161618182020
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS557799
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils171719192121
Trinity Preparatory SchoolTrinity Preparatory School Tavares2121232311
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors9911111313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Clearwater Central Catholic High SchoolClearwater Central Catholic High School Varsity23231133
Community School of NaplesCommunity School of Naples Varsity2121232311
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes446688
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Varsity161618182020
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave113355
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders111113131515
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons557799
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity151517171919
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers77991111
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers8810101212
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity141416161818
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School Varsity202022222424
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves9911111313
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers24242244
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pine View Varsity335577
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers191921212323
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders224466
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders121214141616
Seacrest Country Day SchoolSeacrest Country Day School Varsity131315151717
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers171719192121
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS66881010
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils181820202222
Trinity Preparatory SchoolTrinity Preparatory School Tavares2222242422
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors101012121414
School / Team SkipperCrew
Clearwater Central Catholic High School Clearwater Central Catholic High School Alex Temko '20 Sophia Wicks '19
Varsity Bryce Eihl '20 Conor Reese '21
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Johnny Magardino '19 Harrison Rogers '19
Varsity Hunter Puzak '18 Kristina Puzak '18
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Sam Baker '17 [1-6] Ethan Osborne '19 [1-2]
Ella Marsden '20 [3-6]
Hurricanes Alex Gonzalez '20 Ethan Osborne '19
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Lauren Sokolowski '18 Aine Porter '19
Varsity Jack Parker '19 Jacob Armitage '20
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Paige Dannenhauer '17 Fortunado Occhino '20
Green Wave Reed Gilmore '19 Madison Reynolds '20
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Jack Johansson '17 Roberto Lugones '20
Raiders Sean Brennan '17 Teddy Bueres '19
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Connor Nelson '19 Erica Brown '17
Panthers Andy Burns '16 [1-4]
Brandon Geller '19 [5-6]		 Tee Chulikavit '19 [1-4]
Dominic Canonico '19 [5-6]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Dylan Brazee '17 Chandler Scott '19
Falcons Hunter Sorensen '17 Chris Haner '17
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Callista Hopkins '19 Kurban Ali '17
Varsity Cameron Delgado '19 [1-2]
Daniel Denison '17 [3-4]
Hanna Brydon '17 [5-6]		 Ethan Myott '17 [1-2]
Connor Friel '17 [3-6]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Mikaela Munao '18 [1-6] Noah Guntow '20 [1-2]
Austin Daigle '20 [3-6]
Panthers Cameron Kuchar '17 [1-6] Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Nicholas Stange '20 [3-4]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Kingsley Ehrich '19 [1-6] Jackson Dusenberry '19 [1-2]
Rachel Dionne '20 [3-6]
Tigers Jack Macdonald '18 Kara Percival '18
Naples High School Naples High School Jack Breton '19 [1-6] Chris Capiola '21 [1-2]
Maggie Walker '21 [3-6]
Varsity Thomas Connell '20 [1-4]
Chris Capiola '21 [5-6]		 Bailey Gorman '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Chris Capiola '21 [3-4]
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School Corinne Graves '20 Dana Aljasir '20
Varsity Colin Lawther '20 Noah Bardes '20
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Finn Kennedy '17 [1-6] Derek Pearson '17 [1-2]
Lou Conseil '18 [3-6]
ThunderWolves Alex Commette '17 Trevor Honeycutt '19
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Ethan Grove '17 [1-6] Leah Schulman '18 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Michael Gabe '18 [5-6]
Panthers Noah Fischer '19 [1-6] Hannah Sternthal '19 [1-2]
Harrison Freedman '19 [3-6]
Pine View School Pine View School Ciara Dorsay '17 Michael Grass '17
Pine View Varsity Natalie Hoffman '26 Matthew Mason '19
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Tucker Weed '18 [1-6] Mcleod Kennedy '19 [1-2]
Maddie Sharp '18 [3-6]
Raiders Paul Lobree '18 Alex Sidi '17
Seacrest Country Day School Seacrest Country Day School Jocelyn Lyon '18 Nicholas Lyon '20
Varsity Jakob Germann '17 Audrey Wood '19
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Elizabeth Shanahan '19 [1-4]
Heather Kerns '20 [5-6]		 Lily Schneider '19 [1-4]
Elizabeth Shanahan '19 [5-6]
Chargers Kyle Dochoda '17 [1-6] Zachery Ofenloch '19 [1-2]
Cai Baralt '17 [3-4]
Brandon Depalma '17 [5-6]
South Fork High School South Fork High School Emma Barska '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Griffin Pollis '19 [3-4]		 Griffin Pollis '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Sarah Tigges '19 [3-4]
SF BULLDOGS Nathan Welmaker '20 Yazmeen Simpson '19
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Blaire Mccarthy '18 [1-6] Phillip Peterson '17 [1-2]
Erika Desonie '19 [3-4]
Tyler Rogers '20 [5-6]
Green Devils Phillip Peterson '17 [1-6] Jacob Warchola '18 [1-2]
Kalee Parmentier '19 [3-4]
Cole Madden '19 [5-6]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Chase Sabadash '18 Libby Redmond '20
Raiders Caroline Dubois-Weber '19 Dae Kelly '17
Trinity Preparatory School Trinity Preparatory School Leah Harper '18 No Show
Tavares Patrick Van Hissentine '17 [1-6] Samuel Pearl '19 [1-4]
Leah Harper '18 [5-6]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Shane Riera '17 Mariela Solorzano '19
Warriors Olivia De Olazarra '18 Natalia Gagliano '19

Conditions — 01/14/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1026.4 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.8 kn
avg  ·  max 14.1 kn
Gusts to 28.4 kn
From ENE (78°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover81% Sunshine7.1 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1026.4 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ransom Everglades: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.33 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ransom Everglades by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 14 labelled days at Ransom Everglades, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →