2018 Illinois State Sailing Championship

HostSheridan Shore Sailing School
Date05/19/2018
TypeState Championship
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Grizzlies	4	16	20
2	Fenwick High School	Friars	7	13	20
3	Lake Forest High School	Scouts	10	14	24
4	New Trier HS	Trevian	20	6	26
5	Loyola Academy	Ramblers	17	22	39
6	New Trier HS	Green	28	12	40
7	St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Wolfpack	19	26	45
8	Evanston Township HS	Wildkits	23	23	46
9	University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons	29	20	49
10	Evanston Township HS	Orange	35	17	52
11	Loyola Academy	Gold	24	29	53
12	Lane Tech College Prep	Varsity	21	36	57

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	TOT	Sailors
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Grizzlies	1	2	1	4	Owen Patterson '19 Asha Baddi '20
Fenwick High School	Friars	2	3	2	7	Harry Bearrows '18 [1-3] Aidan Janc '21 [1-2] Patrick Kelly '21 [3]
Lake Forest High School	Scouts	4	1	5	10	William Porter '18 Su Yardimci '18
Loyola Academy	Ramblers	6	7	4	17	Rory Neenan '18 [1-3] Etain Mckinney '18 [1-2] Susie Driscoll '18 [3]
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Wolfpack	3	OCS	3	19	Caroline Sandoval '19 Liam Anderson '21
New Trier HS	Trevian	7	5	8	20	Lolly Vasilion '18 Izzy Cox '19
Lane Tech College Prep	Varsity	9	6	6	21	Luke Hosek '20 [1-3] Lauren Mellinger '21 [1-2] Audra Spokas-Jaros '21 [3]
Evanston Township HS	Wildkits	5	8	10	23	Austin Suvari '19 [1-2] Miles Ford '19 [3] Lucy Mulvihill '18 [1-2] Lily Allen '19 [3]
Loyola Academy	Gold	8	4	12	24	Bridget Falkenhayn '19 Cassie Hollick '20
New Trier HS	Green	10	9	9	28	Henry Merrilees '20 Quin Doughty '21
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons	12	10	7	29	Sam Morin '18 Alec Wyers '19
Evanston Township HS	Orange	11	OCS	11	35	Ryan Henderson '19 Elliot Robinson '21

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	TOT	Sailors
New Trier HS	Trevian	4	1	1	6	Quinn Keenan '19 Ben Spring '18
New Trier HS	Green	2	3	7	12	Davis Alvarado '20 Alex Adams '20
Fenwick High School	Friars	3	4	6	13	John Hultquist '20 [1-3] Harry Bearrows '18 [1-2] Aidan Janc '21 [3]
Lake Forest High School	Scouts	10	2	2	14	Zach Biela '20 Gabe Kobza '20
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Grizzlies	8	5	3	16	Wyatt Harley '21 Aviva Kaplan '20
Evanston Township HS	Orange	1	8	8	17	Ulysses Hennelly '20 Elias Henke '19
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons	5	11	4	20	Matteo Torquati '19 Philip Lengyel '21
Loyola Academy	Ramblers	6	6	10	22	Gregor Leech '18 [1-2] Hugh Rider '18 [3] Claire Russell '18 [1-3]
Evanston Township HS	Wildkits	9	9	5	23	Will Robinson '18 [1-3] Lily Allen '19 [1-2] Lucy Mulvihill '18 [3]
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Wolfpack	7	10	9	26	Cristina Dombrowski '19 Luke Goldman '21
Loyola Academy	Gold	11	7	11	29	Grace Beard '21 Angelina Simon '20
Lane Tech College Prep	Varsity	12	12	12	36	William Frendreiss '19 [1-3] Jake Nolan '18 [1-2] Bradley Hill '19 [3]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.060+0.06

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons	15	15	5
Evanston Township HS Orange	6	6	8
Evanston Township HS Wildkits	5	5	7
Fenwick High School Friars	7	7	9
Lake Forest High School Scouts	8	8	10
Lane Tech College Prep Varsity	9	9	11
Loyola Academy Gold	11	11	13
Loyola Academy Ramblers	10	10	12
New Trier HS Green	13	13	15
New Trier HS Trevian	12	12	14
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack	14	14	4
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies	4	4	6

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons	14	14	4
Evanston Township HS Orange	5	5	7
Evanston Township HS Wildkits	4	4	6
Fenwick High School Friars	6	6	8
Lake Forest High School Scouts	7	7	9
Lane Tech College Prep Varsity	8	8	10
Loyola Academy Gold	10	10	12
Loyola Academy Ramblers	9	9	11
New Trier HS Green	12	12	14
New Trier HS Trevian	11	11	13
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack	13	13	15
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies	15	15	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Evanston Township HS	Ryan Henderson '19	Elliot Robinson '21
Orange	Ulysses Hennelly '20	Elias Henke '19
Evanston Township HS	Austin Suvari '19 [1-2] Miles Ford '19 [3]	Lucy Mulvihill '18 [1-2] Lily Allen '19 [3]
Wildkits	Will Robinson '18 [1-3]	Lily Allen '19 [1-2] Lucy Mulvihill '18 [3]
Fenwick High School	Harry Bearrows '18 [1-3]	Aidan Janc '21 [1-2] Patrick Kelly '21 [3]
Friars	John Hultquist '20 [1-3]	Harry Bearrows '18 [1-2] Aidan Janc '21 [3]
Lake Forest High School	William Porter '18	Su Yardimci '18
Scouts	Zach Biela '20	Gabe Kobza '20
Lane Tech College Prep	Luke Hosek '20 [1-3]	Lauren Mellinger '21 [1-2] Audra Spokas-Jaros '21 [3]
Varsity	William Frendreiss '19 [1-3]	Jake Nolan '18 [1-2] Bradley Hill '19 [3]
Loyola Academy	Bridget Falkenhayn '19	Cassie Hollick '20
Gold	Grace Beard '21	Angelina Simon '20
Loyola Academy	Rory Neenan '18 [1-3]	Etain Mckinney '18 [1-2] Susie Driscoll '18 [3]
Ramblers	Gregor Leech '18 [1-2] Hugh Rider '18 [3]	Claire Russell '18 [1-3]
New Trier HS	Henry Merrilees '20	Quin Doughty '21
Green	Davis Alvarado '20	Alex Adams '20
New Trier HS	Lolly Vasilion '18	Izzy Cox '19
Trevian	Quinn Keenan '19	Ben Spring '18
St. Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL	Caroline Sandoval '19	Liam Anderson '21
Wolfpack	Cristina Dombrowski '19	Luke Goldman '21
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Sam Morin '18	Alec Wyers '19
Maroons	Matteo Torquati '19	Philip Lengyel '21
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School	Owen Patterson '19	Asha Baddi '20
Grizzlies	Wyatt Harley '21	Aviva Kaplan '20

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2018 Illinois State Sailing Championship

Division A

Division B

From the notes