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MN Conference #4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 3 30 29 59
2 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 46 17 63
3 Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mixed 31 35 66
4 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 26 40 66
5 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 35 33 68
6 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 2 47 25 72
7 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 1 48 27 75
8 Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 41 49 90
9 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 64 44 108
10 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 66 55 121
11 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 72 56 128
12 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed 62 74 136
13 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Mixed 71 81 152
14 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 62 90 152
15 Blake School Blake School Bears 77 83 160
16 Southwest High School Southwest High School mixed 74 87 161
17 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 71 94 165
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 10 2 4 3 1 6 26 Seamus Hendrickson '21
Jack (Henry) Strommen '21
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 3 7 1 1 1 10 10 30 Rachel Bartel '20
Louise Rosenbaum '20
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mixed 2 4 10 8 6 1 31 Morgan Termaat '18
Katie Sheldon '18
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 11 3 2 2 3 14 35 Emma Aubuchon '19
Grace Bray '23
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 4 7 3 12 4 11 41 George Moore '19
Reilly Hannula '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 1 6 12 7 8 12 46 Michael Dowson '19
Audrey Cote '20
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 2 9 12 8 11 5 2 47 Calvin Lamosse '21
Gints Pelecis '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 1 6 10 11 14 2 5 48 Tighe Case '18
Remi Clark '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 8 9 17 10 15 3 62 Cole Barre '21
Finnian Falvey '21
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed 13 13 9 6 14 7 62 Alexandre Cholat '22
Hayden Graff '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 5 8 5 15 16 15 64 Garrett Moen '19
Beth Walsh '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 12 5 6 OCS 7 OCS 66 Khan Dickel '20
Tristan Wischmeier '21
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Mixed 3 16 7 9 DNS DNS 71 Riley Norman '19 [1-6]
Clare Leeper '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Ellen Adams '21 [3-4]
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 15 14 16 13 9 4 71 Kytalin Hendrickson '22
Morgan Reeves '22
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 14 17 13 4 11 13 72 Genna Viggiano '18 [1-2]
Clara Brown '18 [3-6]
Clara Brown '18 [1-2]
Genna Viggiano '18 [3-6]
Southwest High School Southwest High School mixed 17 15 15 5 13 9 74 Grover Warner '18 [1-6]
Sam Fider '22 [1-2]
Henry Chadbourn '18 [3-6]
Blake School Blake School Bears 16 11 14 16 12 8 77 Cole Woerner '18
Gunnar Johnson '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 4 1 4 2 3 3 17 Greg Bittle '21
Madeline Wilson '20
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 2 2 3 1 10 4 5 25 Thomas Jagielski '18
Natasha Levy '19
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 1 5 7 2 3 8 2 27 Nicole Giuliani '20
Mason Pirner '21
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 3 3 8 8 1 5 4 29 Mei Vickery '21
Tyra Pranger '21
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 2 9 4 10 7 33 Kate Ness '23 [1-6]
Paige Kurtenbach '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Maria Pumper '19 [3-4]
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mixed 6 6 11 9 2 1 35 Ethan Staruck '19 [1-6]
Luke Larson '21 [1-2]
Nick Lorentz '21 [3-6]
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 9 10 6 5 1 9 40 Dominic Serino '19
Chase Blum '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 13 5 3 8 9 6 44 Jack Schuster '21
Evan Komis '20
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 7 4 12 6 12 8 49 Kate Higgins '18
Lauren Rerat '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 8 9 5 12 11 10 55 Max Sigel '22
Austin Johnson '18
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 12 12 7 7 7 11 56 Luke Schmidt '21
Anika Liner '21
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed 10 13 13 11 14 13 74 Wyatt Tait '23 [1-6]
Eliot Aust '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Max Sadowski '21 [3-4]
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Mixed 11 17 16 15 6 16 81 Conner Shore '22 [1-2]
William (Will) Gitler '21 [3-6]
William (Will) Gitler '21 [1-2]
Conner Shore '22 [3-6]
Blake School Blake School Bears 14 11 14 13 16 15 83 David Carlson '23
Aiden Higgins '20
Southwest High School Southwest High School mixed 15 14 10 14 17 17 87 Paul Wang '23 [1-5]
Sam Fider '22 [6]
Walter Zell '23 [1-2, 6]
Sam Fider '22 [3-5]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 16 16 15 16 15 12 90 Alec Murphy '22
Rasmus Gantriis '21
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 2 17 15 DNF 17 13 14 94 Oliver Strommen '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Harry Hust '20 [3-4]
Harry Hust '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Oliver Strommen '22 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Mixed232323232323
Blake SchoolBlake School Bears333333
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity111111111111
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed222222222222
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs131313131313
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1121212121212
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2151515151515
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 3191919191919
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mixed141414141414
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 1666666
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 2999999
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 3161616161616
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 1555555
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 2888888
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School mixed212121212121
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed222222
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Mixed232323232323
Blake SchoolBlake School Bears333333
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity111111111111
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed222222222222
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs131313131313
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 1121212121212
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 2151515151515
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 3191919191919
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mixed141414141414
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 1666666
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 2999999
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet 3161616161616
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 1555555
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity 2888888
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School mixed212121212121
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Mixed222222
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy777777
School / Team SkipperCrew
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Riley Norman '19 [1-6] Clare Leeper '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Ellen Adams '21 [3-4]
Mixed Conner Shore '22 [1-2]
William (Will) Gitler '21 [3-6]		 William (Will) Gitler '21 [1-2]
Conner Shore '22 [3-6]
Blake School Blake School Cole Woerner '18 Gunnar Johnson '23
Bears David Carlson '23 Aiden Higgins '20
Edina High School Edina High School George Moore '19 Reilly Hannula '19
Varsity Kate Higgins '18 Lauren Rerat '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Cole Barre '21 Finnian Falvey '21
Mixed Alec Murphy '22 Rasmus Gantriis '21
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Genna Viggiano '18 [1-2]
Clara Brown '18 [3-6]		 Clara Brown '18 [1-2]
Genna Viggiano '18 [3-6]
Zephyrs Luke Schmidt '21 Anika Liner '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Garrett Moen '19 Beth Walsh '20
Skippers 1 Jack Schuster '21 Evan Komis '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Khan Dickel '20 Tristan Wischmeier '21
Skippers 2 Max Sigel '22 Austin Johnson '18
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Michael Dowson '19 Audrey Cote '20
Skippers 3 Greg Bittle '21 Madeline Wilson '20
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Morgan Termaat '18 Katie Sheldon '18
Mixed Ethan Staruck '19 [1-6] Luke Larson '21 [1-2]
Nick Lorentz '21 [3-6]
Orono High School Orono High School Seamus Hendrickson '21 Jack (Henry) Strommen '21
Scarlet 1 Dominic Serino '19 Chase Blum '18
Orono High School Orono High School Kytalin Hendrickson '22 Morgan Reeves '22
Scarlet 2 Oliver Strommen '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Harry Hust '20 [3-4]		 Harry Hust '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Oliver Strommen '22 [3-4]
Orono High School Orono High School Rachel Bartel '20 Louise Rosenbaum '20
Scarlet 3 Mei Vickery '21 Tyra Pranger '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Tighe Case '18 Remi Clark '19
Varsity 1 Nicole Giuliani '20 Mason Pirner '21
Southwest High School Southwest High School Calvin Lamosse '21 Gints Pelecis '21
Varsity 2 Thomas Jagielski '18 Natasha Levy '19
Southwest High School Southwest High School Grover Warner '18 [1-6] Sam Fider '22 [1-2]
Henry Chadbourn '18 [3-6]
mixed Paul Wang '23 [1-5]
Sam Fider '22 [6]		 Walter Zell '23 [1-2, 6]
Sam Fider '22 [3-5]
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Alexandre Cholat '22 Hayden Graff '21
Mixed Wyatt Tait '23 [1-6] Eliot Aust '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Max Sadowski '21 [3-4]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Emma Aubuchon '19 Grace Bray '23
Navy Kate Ness '23 [1-6] Paige Kurtenbach '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Maria Pumper '19 [3-4]

Conditions — 05/05/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 36%  ·  Pressure 1014.0 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 15.2 kn
From SSE (166°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover49% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity36% Pressure1014.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Blake/Edina/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M/Washburn: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Blake/Edina/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M/Washburn by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Blake/Edina/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M/Washburn: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →