NWISA Silver Fleet Race

HostSail Sand Point
Date04/28/2018
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Olympia High School	Bears	22	24	46
2	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	27	22	49
3	Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals	52	10	62
4	Orcas High School	Vikings	39	38	77
5	Lycee Francais de Chicago	Red Hawks	49	28	77
6	Hood River Valley High School	Eagles 1	19	61	80
7	Nathan Hale High School	Raiders	67	23	90
8	Ballard High School	Beavers 1	50	47	97
9	Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions	20	78	98
10	Mariners 1	Mariners 1	57	47	104
11	Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	55	64	119
12	Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	65	55	120
13	Central Kitsap High School	Cougars 1	72	59	131
14	Central Kitsap High School	Cougars 2	76	59	135
15	North Kitsap High School	Dogfish	40	97	137
16	Mariners 3	Mariners 3	48	91	139
17	Hood River Valley High School	Eagles 2	84	63	147
18	Ingraham High School	Rams	94	70	164
19	Mariners 2	Mariners 2	90	87	177
20	Ballard High School	Beavers 2	73	107	180
21	North Thurston High School	Rams	87	93	180
22	Inglemoor High School	Vikings	88	96	184
23	Anacortes High School	Seahawks 2	121	87	208
24	Anacortes High School	Seahawks 1	118	96	214

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Hood River Valley High School	Eagles 1	10	4	1	1	3	19	Colson Zack '18 Grace Schlemmer '18
Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions	2	2	3	6	7	20	Leo Bessler '22 Emily Smith '21
Olympia High School	Bears	6	5	8	2	1	22	Sam Bonauto '21 Peter Kelleher '22
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	1	6	11	7	2	27	Max Doane '20 Sophie Crandell '18
Orcas High School	Vikings	3	11	4	9	12	39	Ronan Kau '19 Miette Woolworth '21
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish	14	9	5	3	9	40	Alex Ashley '18 Sam Davenport '21
Mariners 3	Mariners 3	12	3	13	10	10	48
Lycee Francais de Chicago	Red Hawks	5	19	2	4	19	49	Jack Gibbons '20 [1-5] Chance Bates '21 [1-2, 5] Mary '21 [3-4]
Ballard High School	Beavers 1	9	15	7	5	14	50	Catie Vandervort '22
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals	4	1	OCS	14	8	52	Anisha Arcott '18 Nolan Petrin '23
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	7	8	19	15	6	55	Parker Hutchinson '20 [1-4] Dane Petrakis '21 [5] Noah Maher '19 [1-4] Parker Hutchinson '20 [5]
Mariners 1	Mariners 1	8	10	14	20	5	57
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	16	22	15	8	4	65	Thomas Buys '22 Liam Chapman '22
Nathan Hale High School	Raiders	11	14	9	13	20	67	Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '20 Maddie Taylor '19
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars 1	13	21	12	11	15	72	Claire Jablonski '19 Annelisa Ayars '20
Ballard High School	Beavers 2	19	13	16	12	13	73
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars 2	18	7	17	17	17	76	Shea Kuligowski '19 [1-5] Henry Stier '19 [1-4] Lilyan Coleman '21 [5]
Hood River Valley High School	Eagles 2	24	20	6	18	16	84	Victoria Ervin '19 Dylan Polewczyk '19
North Thurston High School	Rams	20	16	10	16	DNS	87	Macy Bergford '18 Fiona Murphy '21
Inglemoor High School	Vikings	17	17	21	22	11	88	Zach Liang '18 Tian Marchello '20
Mariners 2	Mariners 2	15	18	18	21	18	90
Ingraham High School	Rams	21	12	20	19	22	94	Alex Hubbard '19 Everett Rendon '21
Anacortes High School	Seahawks 1	22	DNS	DNS	DNS	21	118	Lauren Mcclintock '20 Elizabeth Koals '20
Anacortes High School	Seahawks 2	23	DNS	DNS	DNS	23	121	Emma Paul '20 Maggie Patrick '20

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals	3	3	1	1	2	10	Casey Picket '20 Etienne Quille '21
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 1	9	6	2	2	3	22	Lindsay Campbell '20 Gus Beer '19
Nathan Hale High School	Raiders	5	1	6	6	5	23	Alden Mcgonagle '21 [1-5] Zoe Plattner '20 [1-2] Riley Kapp '21 [3-5]
Olympia High School	Bears	2	5	5	5	7	24	Ella Hubbard '22 Hatcher Cox '21
Lycee Francais de Chicago	Red Hawks	1	4	3	3	17	28	Luca Gesinger '20 [1-5] Jenna Hiegel '21 [1-2, 5] Henry Stier '19 [3-4]
Orcas High School	Vikings	7	11	9	7	4	38	Levi Moss '19 [1-5] Landon Carter '21 [1-2, 5] Cailin Tucker '22 [3-4]
Mariners 1	Mariners 1	11	9	17	4	6	47
Ballard High School	Beavers 1	12	2	11	9	13	47	Atlas Iverson '22
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	13	10	12	10	10	55	Ben Servatius '22 Cooper Billiter '22
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars 1	4	8	8	18	21	59	Cormac Burke '22 Jeffrey Scholfield '23
Central Kitsap High School	Cougars 2	8	14	4	15	18	59	Andre Alvarado '20 Kyra Bowlby '19
Hood River Valley High School	Eagles 1	10	17	10	8	16	61	Stella Waag '20 Kevin Johnston '20
Hood River Valley High School	Eagles 2	16	13	14	12	8	63	Blake Polewczyk '19 Ben Kaden '19
Bainbridge High School	Spartans 2	19	18	15	11	1	64	Camden Lee '19 [1-4] Banning Jones '19 [5] Trevor Royset '21 [1-2, 5] Jack Bennett '21 [3-4]
Ingraham High School	Rams	14	19	13	13	11	70	No Show Kira Blumhagen '21
Bellarmine Preparatory School	Lions	DNS	7	16	16	14	78	No Show No Show
Anacortes High School	Seahawks 2	6	15	DSQ	21	20	87	Carson Lindholm '20 Cassius Tossavainen '22
Mariners 2	Mariners 2	17	12	19	17	22	87
Mariners 3	Mariners 3	15	16	22	14	24	91
North Thurston High School	Rams	18	24	20	19	12	93	Lindsey Graham '18 Autumn Vandehey '20
Inglemoor High School	Vikings	20	23	7	23	23	96	Lukas Paige '21 Johnny Satterlee '19
Anacortes High School	Seahawks 1	21	22	18	20	15	96	Annika Dunton '21 Kanane Haratani '22
North Kitsap High School	Dogfish	22	21	21	24	9	97	Nathan Grundmeier '19 [1-4] Nolan Loverich '22 [5] Nolan Loverich '22 [1-2] Carter Krantz '22 [3-5]
Ballard High School	Beavers 2	23	20	23	22	19	107

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.340+0.34

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (29 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Anacortes High School Seahawks 1	1	1	33	33	5
Anacortes High School Seahawks 2	2	2	55	55	53
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	33	33	5	5	7
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	34	34	2	2	55
Ballard High School Beavers 1	5	5	7	7	9
Ballard High School Beavers 2	6	6	34	34	2
Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions	7	7	9	9	37
Central Kitsap High School Cougars 1	8	8	6	6	34
Central Kitsap High School Cougars 2	9	9	37	37	3
Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1	38	38	8	8	6
Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2	37	37	3	3	10
Inglemoor High School Vikings	12	12	38	38	8
Ingraham High School Rams	3	3	10	10	11
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals	16	16	82	82	84
Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks	15	15	54	54	1
Nathan Hale High School Raiders	4	4	12	12	38
North Kitsap High School Dogfish	10	10	11	11	83
North Thurston High School Rams	84	84	4	4	12
Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	11	11	83	83	15
Olympia High School Bears	82	82	84	84	4
Orcas High School Vikings	83	83	15	15	54
Mariners 1 Mariners 1	53	53	16	16	82
Mariners 2 Mariners 2	54	54	1	1	33
Mariners 3 Mariners 3	55	55	53	53	16

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B
Anacortes High School Seahawks 1	2	2	34	34	6
Anacortes High School Seahawks 2	1	1	54	54	15
Bainbridge High School Spartans 1	34	34	6	6	8
Bainbridge High School Spartans 2	33	33	1	1	54
Ballard High School Beavers 1	6	6	8	8	38
Ballard High School Beavers 2	5	5	33	33	1
Bellarmine Preparatory School Lions	8	8	38	38	12
Central Kitsap High School Cougars 1	7	7	5	5	33
Central Kitsap High School Cougars 2	38	38	12	12	4
Hood River Valley High School Eagles 1	9	9	7	7	5
Hood River Valley High School Eagles 2	12	12	4	4	84
Inglemoor High School Vikings	37	37	9	9	7
Ingraham High School Rams	4	4	84	84	82
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals	83	83	11	11	10
Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks	53	53	55	55	2
Nathan Hale High School Raiders	3	3	37	37	9
North Kitsap High School Dogfish	84	84	82	82	16
North Thurston High School Rams	10	10	3	3	37
Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	82	82	16	16	53
Olympia High School Bears	11	11	10	10	3
Orcas High School Vikings	16	16	53	53	55
Mariners 1 Mariners 1	15	15	83	83	11
Mariners 2 Mariners 2	55	55	2	2	34
Mariners 3 Mariners 3	54	54	15	15	83

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Anacortes High School	Lauren Mcclintock '20	Elizabeth Koals '20
Seahawks 1	Annika Dunton '21	Kanane Haratani '22
Anacortes High School	Emma Paul '20	Maggie Patrick '20
Seahawks 2	Carson Lindholm '20	Cassius Tossavainen '22
Bainbridge High School	Max Doane '20	Sophie Crandell '18
Spartans 1	Lindsay Campbell '20	Gus Beer '19
Bainbridge High School	Parker Hutchinson '20 [1-4] Dane Petrakis '21 [5]	Noah Maher '19 [1-4] Parker Hutchinson '20 [5]
Spartans 2	Camden Lee '19 [1-4] Banning Jones '19 [5]	Trevor Royset '21 [1-2, 5] Jack Bennett '21 [3-4]
Ballard High School	Catie Vandervort '22
Beavers 1	Atlas Iverson '22
Bellarmine Preparatory School	Leo Bessler '22	Emily Smith '21
Lions	No Show	No Show
Central Kitsap High School	Claire Jablonski '19	Annelisa Ayars '20
Cougars 1	Cormac Burke '22	Jeffrey Scholfield '23
Central Kitsap High School	Shea Kuligowski '19 [1-5]	Henry Stier '19 [1-4] Lilyan Coleman '21 [5]
Cougars 2	Andre Alvarado '20	Kyra Bowlby '19
Hood River Valley High School	Colson Zack '18	Grace Schlemmer '18
Eagles 1	Stella Waag '20	Kevin Johnston '20
Hood River Valley High School	Victoria Ervin '19	Dylan Polewczyk '19
Eagles 2	Blake Polewczyk '19	Ben Kaden '19
Inglemoor High School	Zach Liang '18	Tian Marchello '20
Vikings	Lukas Paige '21	Johnny Satterlee '19
Ingraham High School	Alex Hubbard '19	Everett Rendon '21
Rams	No Show	Kira Blumhagen '21
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Anisha Arcott '18	Nolan Petrin '23
Cardinals	Casey Picket '20	Etienne Quille '21
Lycee Francais de Chicago	Jack Gibbons '20 [1-5]	Chance Bates '21 [1-2, 5] Mary '21 [3-4]
Red Hawks	Luca Gesinger '20 [1-5]	Jenna Hiegel '21 [1-2, 5] Henry Stier '19 [3-4]
Nathan Hale High School	Emilia Garcia-Bompadre '20	Maddie Taylor '19
Raiders	Alden Mcgonagle '21 [1-5]	Zoe Plattner '20 [1-2] Riley Kapp '21 [3-5]
North Kitsap High School	Alex Ashley '18	Sam Davenport '21
Dogfish	Nathan Grundmeier '19 [1-4] Nolan Loverich '22 [5]	Nolan Loverich '22 [1-2] Carter Krantz '22 [3-5]
North Thurston High School	Macy Bergford '18	Fiona Murphy '21
Rams	Lindsey Graham '18	Autumn Vandehey '20
Oak Harbor High School	Thomas Buys '22	Liam Chapman '22
Wildcats	Ben Servatius '22	Cooper Billiter '22
Olympia High School	Sam Bonauto '21	Peter Kelleher '22
Bears	Ella Hubbard '22	Hatcher Cox '21
Orcas High School	Ronan Kau '19	Miette Woolworth '21
Vikings	Levi Moss '19 [1-5]	Landon Carter '21 [1-2, 5] Cailin Tucker '22 [3-4]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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NWISA Silver Fleet Race

Division A

Division B

From the notes