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NWISA South Regionals

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 1 26 16 42
2 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 1 24 24 48
3 Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 26 39 65
4 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 37 40 77
5 Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1 62 24 86
6 North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 2 31 58 89
7 Kingston High School Kingston High School Varsity 2 67 53 120
8 Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Trojans 68 54 122
9 Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 2 53 72 125
10 Kingston High School Kingston High School Varsity 1 69 66 135
11 Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 2 65 82 147
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 1 3 2 2 3 1 5 7 1 24 Niko Twilla '18
Becca Sharpe '18
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 1 7 4 2 5 3 2 2 26 Hayden Flaskerud '20
Emily Smith '21
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 1 2 5 3 5 3 1 4 3 26 Anna Sherry '19
Isabelle Loverich '19
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 2 4 3 1 4 2 2 5 10 31 Julia Sherry '19
Alaina Marcotte '19
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 5 1 5 1 6 7 6 6 37 Leo Bessler '22
Ben Brink '22
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 2 6 4 8 6 7 4 9 9 53 Jack Gibbons '20
Chance Bates '21
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1 10 10 6 9 11 8 3 5 62 Anna Wilke '19 [1-8]
Jenna Hiegel '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Mary '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 2 11 9 10 11 10 9 1 4 65 Shea Kuligowski '19 [1-8]
Jeffrey Scholfield '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Summer Sanders '19 [3-4]
Kingston High School Kingston High School Varsity 2 9 11 7 7 8 10 8 7 67 Noah Pluska '19
Ian Mcconkey '21
Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Trojans 7 6 9 8 9 11 10 8 68 Mathew Terry '23
Cody Kmecheck '18
Kingston High School Kingston High School Varsity 1 8 8 11 10 4 6 11 11 69 Annelise Pardee '19
Morgan Chandler '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 1 2 1 2 1 3 2 2 3 16 Alex Ashley '18 [1-8]
Anna Schroeder '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Brandon Cole '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 1 1 2 4 4 1 9 1 2 24 Tyler Nolasco '19
Travis Bouck '20
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1 4 5 1 2 2 1 4 5 24 Luca Gesinger '20
Henry Stier '19
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 5 7 5 3 7 3 5 4 39 Thomas Pentimonti '20
Jaden Unruh '22
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 3 3 8 7 5 6 7 1 40 Ryalls Peter '19
Ripley Morris '19
Kingston High School Kingston High School Varsity 2 7 10 6 6 8 4 3 9 53 Morgan Chandler '20
James Huffman '23
Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Trojans 9 8 7 5 6 7 6 6 54 Carson Short '19
Stefan Anthony '22
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 2 6 4 9 11 4 8 8 8 58 Cole Fox '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Nathan Grundmeier '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Nolan Loverich '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Sam Davenport '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Kingston High School Kingston High School Varsity 1 8 6 3 8 11 11 9 10 66 Santiago Portillo '18
Trenton Filben '23
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 2 11 9 10 10 9 5 11 7 72 Claire Jablonski '19 [1-8]
Andre Alvarado '20 [1-6]
Kate Schweitzer '19 [7-8]
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Cougars 2 10 11 11 9 10 10 10 11 82 Lilyan Coleman '21
Cormac Burke '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 11261261081084141118118
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 212712710910944446363
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers10810841411181186464
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides10910944446363110110
Kingston High SchoolKingston High School Varsity 1414111811864645252
Kingston High SchoolKingston High School Varsity 244446363110110126126
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 16363110110126126108108
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 264645252127127109109
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish 11101101261261081084141
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish 252521271271091094444
Olympic High School (WA)Olympic High School (WA) Trojans11811864645252127127

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 112712710910944446363
Central Kitsap High SchoolCentral Kitsap High School Cougars 210810841411181186464
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers10910944446363110110
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides414111811864645252
Kingston High SchoolKingston High School Varsity 144446363110110126126
Kingston High SchoolKingston High School Varsity 211811864645252127127
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 164645252127127109109
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 21101101261261081084141
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish 152521271271091094444
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish 21261261081084141118118
Olympic High School (WA)Olympic High School (WA) Trojans6363110110126126108108
School / Team SkipperCrew
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Niko Twilla '18 Becca Sharpe '18
Cougars 1 Tyler Nolasco '19 Travis Bouck '20
Central Kitsap High School Central Kitsap High School Shea Kuligowski '19 [1-8] Jeffrey Scholfield '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Summer Sanders '19 [3-4]
Cougars 2 Lilyan Coleman '21 Cormac Burke '22
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Hayden Flaskerud '20 Emily Smith '21
Tarriers Thomas Pentimonti '20 Jaden Unruh '22
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Leo Bessler '22 Ben Brink '22
Tides Ryalls Peter '19 Ripley Morris '19
Kingston High School Kingston High School Annelise Pardee '19 Morgan Chandler '20
Varsity 1 Santiago Portillo '18 Trenton Filben '23
Kingston High School Kingston High School Noah Pluska '19 Ian Mcconkey '21
Varsity 2 Morgan Chandler '20 James Huffman '23
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Anna Wilke '19 [1-8] Jenna Hiegel '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Mary '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Red Hawks 1 Luca Gesinger '20 Henry Stier '19
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Jack Gibbons '20 Chance Bates '21
Red Hawks 2 Claire Jablonski '19 [1-8] Andre Alvarado '20 [1-6]
Kate Schweitzer '19 [7-8]
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Anna Sherry '19 Isabelle Loverich '19
Dogfish 1 Alex Ashley '18 [1-8] Anna Schroeder '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Brandon Cole '20 [3-4, 7-8]
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Julia Sherry '19 Alaina Marcotte '19
Dogfish 2 Cole Fox '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Nathan Grundmeier '19 [3-4, 7-8]		 Nolan Loverich '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Sam Davenport '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Olympic High School (WA) Olympic High School (WA) Mathew Terry '23 Cody Kmecheck '18
Trojans Carson Short '19 Stefan Anthony '22

Conditions — 03/03/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1032.6 hPa

Temperature

40°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 26°F
Feels like 33°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From NE (36°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1032.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Kingston: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kingston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Kingston, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →