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NYISA-SE League Fleet Race Championships

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 3 5 8
2 Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 9 6 15
3 The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 12 11 23
4 Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 13 10 23
5 Mattituck High School Mattituck High School Tuckers 12 18 30
6 Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 17 13 30
7 Northport HS Northport HS Northport VS 20 23 43
8 St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 25 22 47
9 Westhampton Beach High School Westhampton Beach High School Hurricanes 24 30 54
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 1 1 1 3 Lahrkamp Vanessa '22
Van Der Voort Elizabeth '21
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 3 2 4 9 Wyatt Bischoff '21 [1-3]
Natalie Manley '20 [1-2]
Lily Donnelly '21 [3]
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 2 3 7 12 Thomas Derose '19
Hannah Dilavore '20
Mattituck High School Mattituck High School Tuckers 4 5 3 12 Francesco Sannino '20
Gabby Wahlers '20
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 7 4 2 13 Jaume Pujadas '20
Alexa Shea '22
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 6 6 5 17 Lauren Krim '19 [1-3]
Will Spada '22 [1]
Amanda Obedian '22 [2-3]
Northport HS Northport HS Northport VS 5 9 6 20 Sterling Thompson '20
Kurt Wagner '22
Westhampton Beach High School Westhampton Beach High School Hurricanes 8 8 8 24 Henry Smyth '20
Jade Jackey '21
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 9 7 9 25 Emma Worthington '19
Marina Gilmartin '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Rye High School Rye High School Garnets 2 1 2 5 Quirke Jacqueline '21 [1-3]
Madeline Saffer '20 [1-2]
Nusbaum Felix '21 [3]
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 3 2 1 6 Charlie Roseberry '20 [1-3]
Taylor Ferrarone '21 [1-2]
Clara Hewson '20 [3]
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 4 3 3 10 Josie Yeager '20 [1-3]
Nicholas Sullivan '20 [1-2]
Tyler Gilman '20 [3]
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Bears 1 5 5 11 Jack Crager '20 [1-3]
Isabella Seminario '22 [1-2]
Ella Simmons '20 [3]
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 5 4 4 13 Alden Sahi '22 [1]
Rebecca Keller '21 [2-3]
Rebecca Keller '21 [1]
Ethan Snyder '22 [2-3]
Mattituck High School Mattituck High School Tuckers 6 6 6 18 Ava Sannino '22 [1-2]
Micky Kalich '22 [3]
Cassidy Mullin '20 [1-2]
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Cougars 7 8 7 22 Nate Brooks '20
Bella Tucciarone '22
Northport HS Northport HS Northport VS 8 7 8 23 Connor Burns '22
Jackson Riordan '22
Westhampton Beach High School Westhampton Beach High School Hurricanes DNS DNS DNS 30 Simon Moskowitz '22
Laurel Wilsenski '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers113
Mattituck High SchoolMattituck High School Tuckers224
Northport HSNorthport HS Northport VS335
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets668
Rye Country Day SchoolRye Country Day School Wildcats557
St. John the BaptistSt. John the Baptist Cougars779
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears881
Unregistered-MASSAUnregistered-MASSA Pirates446
Westhampton Beach High SchoolWesthampton Beach High School Hurricanes992

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers101010
Mattituck High SchoolMattituck High School Tuckers111111
Northport HSNorthport HS Northport VS121212
Rye High SchoolRye High School Garnets151515
Rye Country Day SchoolRye Country Day School Wildcats141414
St. John the BaptistSt. John the Baptist Cougars161616
The Stony Brook SchoolThe Stony Brook School Bears171717
Unregistered-MASSAUnregistered-MASSA Pirates131313
Westhampton Beach High SchoolWesthampton Beach High School Hurricanes181818
School / Team SkipperCrew
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Wyatt Bischoff '21 [1-3] Natalie Manley '20 [1-2]
Lily Donnelly '21 [3]
Tigers Charlie Roseberry '20 [1-3] Taylor Ferrarone '21 [1-2]
Clara Hewson '20 [3]
Mattituck High School Mattituck High School Francesco Sannino '20 Gabby Wahlers '20
Tuckers Ava Sannino '22 [1-2]
Micky Kalich '22 [3]		 Cassidy Mullin '20 [1-2]
Northport HS Northport HS Sterling Thompson '20 Kurt Wagner '22
Northport VS Connor Burns '22 Jackson Riordan '22
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Jaume Pujadas '20 Alexa Shea '22
Wildcats Josie Yeager '20 [1-3] Nicholas Sullivan '20 [1-2]
Tyler Gilman '20 [3]
Rye High School Rye High School Lahrkamp Vanessa '22 Van Der Voort Elizabeth '21
Garnets Quirke Jacqueline '21 [1-3] Madeline Saffer '20 [1-2]
Nusbaum Felix '21 [3]
St. John the Baptist St. John the Baptist Emma Worthington '19 Marina Gilmartin '20
Cougars Nate Brooks '20 Bella Tucciarone '22
The Stony Brook School The Stony Brook School Thomas Derose '19 Hannah Dilavore '20
Bears Jack Crager '20 [1-3] Isabella Seminario '22 [1-2]
Ella Simmons '20 [3]
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Lauren Krim '19 [1-3] Will Spada '22 [1]
Amanda Obedian '22 [2-3]
Pirates Alden Sahi '22 [1]
Rebecca Keller '21 [2-3]		 Rebecca Keller '21 [1]
Ethan Snyder '22 [2-3]
Westhampton Beach High School Westhampton Beach High School Henry Smyth '20 Jade Jackey '21
Hurricanes Simon Moskowitz '22 Laurel Wilsenski '21

Conditions — 03/30/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1017.5 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 10.5 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From S (170°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover66% Sunshine8.6 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1017.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at The Stony Brook School: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at The Stony Brook School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at The Stony Brook School, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →