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Phebe Corckran King Memorial

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 102 61 163
2 Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 130 81 211
3 Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 116 111 227
4 Brunswick School Brunswick School Bruins 109 127 236
5 Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 170 83 253
6 Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 165 128 293
7 Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 115 221 336
8 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 123 233 356
9 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 143 216 359
10 Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 221 142 363
11 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 177 194 371
12 Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 165 221 386
13 Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 238 149 387
14 Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 201 187 388
15 St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 189 227 416
16 North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 236 213 449
17 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 223 232 455
18 West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 233 256 489
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 4 5 3 1 18 2 2 11 6 6 5 1 5 11 11 4 2 5 102 James Golden '20
Amelia Johnson '21
Brunswick School Brunswick School Bruins 2 8 17 17 1 10 15 3 9 1 2 2 6 1 9 1 1 4 109 William Michels '21 [1-18]
Alex Ohls '24 [1-10]
Angus Manion '21 [11-18]
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 1 17 11 4 4 4 5 9 8 12 7 3 8 2 7 2 3 8 115 Hannah Freeman '22
Lena Brzezinski '19
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 6 11 12 3 13 3 4 6 12 2 1 6 3 3 2 15 7 7 116 Declan Botwinick '21
Evan Harrison '21
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 5 1 2 6 2 1 1 15 2 5 11 10 12 7 10 14 8 11 123 Daniel Unangst '20
Emily Williams '20
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 3 4 6 2 16 5 3 17 10 11 4 5 4 6 1 7 9 17 130 Luke Tota '20
Madi Overbeck '21
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 13 13 10 13 6 7 17 8 11 3 6 4 2 9 3 3 5 10 143 Emma Snead '19
Lucien Parker '20
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 7 6 1 14 17 9 6 1 5 16 3 11 11 4 17 11 17 BYE 165 Matt Budington '21 [1-10, 13-14]
Friso G '21 [11-12, 15-18]
Anna Grolleman '22 [1-10]
Matt Budington '21 [11-12, 15-18]
C. Augie Spendley '19 [13-14]
Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 8 2 4 5 5 6 11 14 1 15 13 7 14 15 8 9 14 14 165 Jack Vanderhorst '22
Ashley Almquist '22
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 10 7 7 16 3 12 13 RDG 4 7 16 9 1 14 18 17 6 1 170 Luke Monnich '21 [1-4, 11-12]
Hunter Zonnenberg '20 [5-10, 13-18]
Hunter Zonnenberg '20 [1-2, 11-12]
Sam Barrett '21 [3-10]
Luke Monnich '21 [13-18]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 11 3 13 12 8 11 7 16 15 9 8 8 13 10 12 5 4 12 177 Marleigh Belsley '19
James Nappo '20
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 12 15 8 11 12 16 14 5 14 10 12 17 7 5 5 8 15 3 189 Spencer Barnes '20
Jp Wynne '20
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 16 10 5 15 11 15 9 4 16 8 9 13 10 17 4 12 18 9 201 Ryan Ehnot '22 [1-18]
Joseph David '20 [1-10]
Justin Modin '19 [11-18]
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 15 18 16 7 15 17 8 10 18 13 17 14 9 8 13 RDG 13 2 221 Charles Kreuzkamp '20
Drew Dillon '19
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 9 14 14 10 7 18 16 2 3 18 18 12 16 12 16 6 16 16 223 Jack Baldwin '22 [1-18]
Luke Goldman '21 [1-2, 15-18]
Daniel Sandoval '22 [3-14]
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 18 9 9 8 14 13 10 18 7 17 14 15 15 13 15 13 12 13 233 Matthew Elliott '20 [1-4, 7-8, 10-18]
Isabel Dziuba '19 [5-6, 9]
Isabel Dziuba '19 [1-4, 7-8, 10-18]
Matthew Elliott '20 [5-6, 9]
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 14 12 15 9 10 8 12 13 17 4 15 16 18 18 14 16 10 15 236 Alex Dicenso '19 [1-8]
Odey Hariri '20 [9-18]
Nora Ong '19 [1-10]
Joseph Waddy '20 [11-18]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 17 16 18 18 9 14 18 7 13 14 10 18 17 16 6 10 11 6 238 Lucas Bellamy '20 [1-2, 9-10, 13-18]
Ellie Groustra '22 [3-8, 11-12]
Colin Hexter '23 [1-4]
Lucas Bellamy '20 [5-8]
Anna Carron '21 [9-16]
Drew Clutterbuck '19 [17-18]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 1 9 3 1 2 1 8 1 1 4 3 4 1 3 7 3 3 6 61 Trevor Davis '20 [1-18]
Jessica Groblewski '21 [1-9]
William Cornell '21 [10-18]
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Trojans 2 2 2 4 1 2 1 10 5 3 4 1 4 2 11 5 9 13 81 William Turner '20
Brooks Turcotte '23
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 3 3 7 RDG 7 6 4 7 6 2 6 2 2 1 2 7 5 8 83 Jamie Fox '21 [1-18]
Julia O'Connor '20 [1-10]
Sam Barrett '21 [11-18]
Toms River North Toms River North Mariners 9 4 4 11 13 4 5 2 4 5 7 6 13 12 1 4 6 1 111 Everett Botwinick '22
Connor Corbett '22
Brunswick School Brunswick School Bruins 4 14 6 9 18 7 7 9 3 8 1 11 6 10 10 1 1 2 127 Leyton Borcherding '21 [1-18]
Christian Ohlemeyer '23 [1-14]
Alex Ohls '24 [15-18]
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 6 10 1 3 8 3 9 3 2 1 2 OCS 15 OCS 8 6 2 11 128 Nick Budington '21
Liam Gronda '21
Barrington High School Barrington High School Eagles 8 1 5 10 3 8 3 5 7 12 13 9 7 6 5 15 15 10 142 Josh Dillon '21
Olin Guck '22
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils 7 7 10 7 15 14 2 6 10 9 8 5 3 OCS 3 12 7 5 149 Christiana Scheibner '19 [1-18]
Drew Clutterbuck '19 [1-8, 13-16]
Carly Orhan '19 [9-12, 17-18]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Colts 16 6 12 6 4 16 13 13 16 13 9 3 8 9 12 14 8 9 187 Ryan Mullins '19 [1-8]
Colin Guerrera '22 [9-18]
Connor Feury '22 [1-10]
Joseph David '20 [11-18]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 12 5 11 16 11 10 12 DSQ 8 6 11 8 17 5 9 13 14 7 194 Nikolas Chambers '19
Cj Ricci '20
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Skippers 14 13 15 5 10 9 6 11 15 18 16 15 16 13 DNS 2 12 4 213 Dixon Wixted '21 [1-8, 15-18]
Rowan Westall '19 [9-14]
Marisa Cogswell '19 [1-8]
Connor Priest '20 [9-18]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 11 8 14 14 16 15 10 8 13 16 17 12 12 14 4 8 10 14 216 Morgan Carew '21
Josh Becker '20
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 10 16 13 13 9 12 14 15 12 10 15 13 9 16 OCS 9 13 3 221 Luke Quine '19
Rowan Schanley '22
Bay High School Bay High School Varsity 15 17 17 15 12 11 18 17 11 11 5 10 11 7 6 11 11 16 221 Jonathan Mack '22 [1-2, 5-18]
Ellen Petrigan '22 [3-4]
Ellen Petrigan '22 [1-2, 5-18]
Ella Adelman '22 [3-4]
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats 17 15 16 17 6 17 11 16 18 7 12 OCS 10 4 BYE 10 4 15 227 Will Carroll '21 [1-2, 13-18]
Jp Starck '20 [3-12]
Ethan Fisher '22 [1-8]
Will Thornton '20 [9-18]
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 13 12 9 12 14 5 17 4 14 14 10 16 14 11 14 18 18 17 232 Caroline Sandoval '19 [1-16]
Kate Crannell '20 [17-18]
Cristina Dombrowski '19 [1-16]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 5 11 8 2 5 13 15 12 17 15 18 14 18 15 15 16 16 18 233 Audrey Commerford '21
Makenna Labor '21
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity 18 18 18 18 17 18 16 14 9 17 14 7 5 8 13 17 17 12 256 Jack Bull '19 [1, 3-4, 9-10, 15-16]
Nicole Millerman '19 [2, 5-6, 11-14, 17-18]
Jake Elsen '21 [7-8]
Nicole Millerman '19 [1]
Jack Bull '19 [2, 7-8]
Jake Elsen '21 [3-6, 11-18]
Anthony Dziuba '21 [9-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles112233445566778899
Bay High SchoolBay High School Varsity22111818171716161515141413131212
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HSBethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron3344556677889910101111
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins4433221118181717161615151414
Brunswick SchoolBrunswick School Bruins55667788991010111112121313
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts665544332211181817171616
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils778899101011111212131314141515
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans88776655443322111818
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders9910101111121213131414151516161717
Manchester/Essex RHSManchester/Essex RHS Hornets10109988776655443322
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs1111121213131414151516161717181811
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers121211111010998877665544
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans131314141515161617171818112233
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack1414131312121111101099887766
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats15151616171718181122334455
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints16161515141413131212111110109988
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners1717181811223344556677
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity181817171616151514141313121211111010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
Barrington High SchoolBarrington High School Eagles112233445566778899
Bay High SchoolBay High School Varsity22111818171716161515141413131212
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HSBethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron3344556677889910101111
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins4433221118181717161615151414
Brunswick SchoolBrunswick School Bruins55667788991010111112121313
Christian Brothers AcademyChristian Brothers Academy Colts665544332211181817171616
Grosse Pointe South High SchoolGrosse Pointe South High School Blue Devils778899101011111212131314141515
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans88776655443322111818
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders9910101111121213131414151516161717
Manchester/Essex RHSManchester/Essex RHS Hornets10109988776655443322
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs1111121213131414151516161717181811
North Kingstown High SchoolNorth Kingstown High School Skippers121211111010998877665544
Southwestern Central High SchoolSouthwestern Central High School Trojans131314141515161617171818112233
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack1414131312121111101099887766
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Wildcats15151616171718181122334455
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints16161515141413131212111110109988
Toms River NorthToms River North Mariners1717181811223344556677
West Bloomfield High SchoolWest Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity181817171616151514141313121211111010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Barrington High School Barrington High School Charles Kreuzkamp '20 Drew Dillon '19
Eagles Josh Dillon '21 Olin Guck '22
Bay High School Bay High School Jack Vanderhorst '22 Ashley Almquist '22
Varsity Jonathan Mack '22 [1-2, 5-18]
Ellen Petrigan '22 [3-4]		 Ellen Petrigan '22 [1-2, 5-18]
Ella Adelman '22 [3-4]
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Matt Budington '21 [1-10, 13-14]
Friso G '21 [11-12, 15-18]		 Anna Grolleman '22 [1-10]
Matt Budington '21 [11-12, 15-18]
C. Augie Spendley '19 [13-14]
Battlin' Baron Nick Budington '21 Liam Gronda '21
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Emma Snead '19 Lucien Parker '20
Bruins Morgan Carew '21 Josh Becker '20
Brunswick School Brunswick School William Michels '21 [1-18] Alex Ohls '24 [1-10]
Angus Manion '21 [11-18]
Bruins Leyton Borcherding '21 [1-18] Christian Ohlemeyer '23 [1-14]
Alex Ohls '24 [15-18]
Christian Brothers Academy Christian Brothers Academy Ryan Ehnot '22 [1-18] Joseph David '20 [1-10]
Justin Modin '19 [11-18]
Colts Ryan Mullins '19 [1-8]
Colin Guerrera '22 [9-18]		 Connor Feury '22 [1-10]
Joseph David '20 [11-18]
Grosse Pointe South High School Grosse Pointe South High School Lucas Bellamy '20 [1-2, 9-10, 13-18]
Ellie Groustra '22 [3-8, 11-12]		 Colin Hexter '23 [1-4]
Lucas Bellamy '20 [5-8]
Anna Carron '21 [9-16]
Drew Clutterbuck '19 [17-18]
Blue Devils Christiana Scheibner '19 [1-18] Drew Clutterbuck '19 [1-8, 13-16]
Carly Orhan '19 [9-12, 17-18]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Marleigh Belsley '19 James Nappo '20
Romans Nikolas Chambers '19 Cj Ricci '20
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Daniel Unangst '20 Emily Williams '20
Raiders Audrey Commerford '21 Makenna Labor '21
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hannah Freeman '22 Lena Brzezinski '19
Hornets Luke Quine '19 Rowan Schanley '22
Milton Academy Milton Academy Luke Monnich '21 [1-4, 11-12]
Hunter Zonnenberg '20 [5-10, 13-18]		 Hunter Zonnenberg '20 [1-2, 11-12]
Sam Barrett '21 [3-10]
Luke Monnich '21 [13-18]
Mustangs Jamie Fox '21 [1-18] Julia O'Connor '20 [1-10]
Sam Barrett '21 [11-18]
North Kingstown High School North Kingstown High School Alex Dicenso '19 [1-8]
Odey Hariri '20 [9-18]		 Nora Ong '19 [1-10]
Joseph Waddy '20 [11-18]
Skippers Dixon Wixted '21 [1-8, 15-18]
Rowan Westall '19 [9-14]		 Marisa Cogswell '19 [1-8]
Connor Priest '20 [9-18]
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Jack Baldwin '22 [1-18] Luke Goldman '21 [1-2, 15-18]
Daniel Sandoval '22 [3-14]
Wolfpack Caroline Sandoval '19 [1-16]
Kate Crannell '20 [17-18]		 Cristina Dombrowski '19 [1-16]
Southwestern Central High School Southwestern Central High School Luke Tota '20 Madi Overbeck '21
Trojans William Turner '20 Brooks Turcotte '23
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Spencer Barnes '20 Jp Wynne '20
Wildcats Will Carroll '21 [1-2, 13-18]
Jp Starck '20 [3-12]		 Ethan Fisher '22 [1-8]
Will Thornton '20 [9-18]
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) James Golden '20 Amelia Johnson '21
Saints Trevor Davis '20 [1-18] Jessica Groblewski '21 [1-9]
William Cornell '21 [10-18]
Toms River North Toms River North Declan Botwinick '21 Evan Harrison '21
Mariners Everett Botwinick '22 Connor Corbett '22
West Bloomfield High School West Bloomfield High School Matthew Elliott '20 [1-4, 7-8, 10-18]
Isabel Dziuba '19 [5-6, 9]		 Isabel Dziuba '19 [1-4, 7-8, 10-18]
Matthew Elliott '20 [5-6, 9]
Lakers Varsity Jack Bull '19 [1, 3-4, 9-10, 15-16]
Nicole Millerman '19 [2, 5-6, 11-14, 17-18]
Jake Elsen '21 [7-8]		 Nicole Millerman '19 [1]
Jack Bull '19 [2, 7-8]
Jake Elsen '21 [3-6, 11-18]
Anthony Dziuba '21 [9-10]

Conditions — 05/11/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1016.7 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From NNE (22°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover87% Sunshine8.3 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1016.7 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn* · E 8 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Broadneck: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Broadneck by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Broadneck, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →