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SSPP JV Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 8 11 19
2 North East River High School North East River High School Road Warriors 28 14 42
3 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 26 18 44
4 St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 39 29 68
5 Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 56 28 84
6 Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 40 51 91
7 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 55 47 102
8 Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 66 37 103
9 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 50 60 110
10 Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 52 64 116
11 Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 1 30 90 120
12 Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 2 41 79 120
13 Gunston Gunston Herons 64 61 125
14 Key School Key School Zags 75 51 126
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 1 1 1 1 3 8 Zander King '21
Cole Petrinko '21
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 2 2 3 8 3 8 26 Jon Weed '22
Emilie Orendorff '22
North East River High School North East River High School Road Warriors 4 4 4 7 8 1 28 Ian Ronald '21
Henry Stockman '22
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 1 3 9 8 2 4 4 30 Lauren O'Neill '20
Ellie Sekowski '19
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 7 3 5 5 14 5 39 Andrew Tollefson '22
No Show
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 6 6 9 4 9 6 40 Corbin Voorhes '21
Mary Macdonald '20
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 2 13 11 7 6 2 2 41 No Show
No Show
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 12 5 6 11 5 11 50 Douglas Patrick '20
No Show
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 5 7 2 13 12 13 52 Amy Christopherson '21
Ryleigh Kealy '21
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 10 14 12 3 6 10 55 Andrew Norris '20
Libby Schug '20
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 8 12 10 9 10 7 56 Josiah Chase '21
Asha Myers '22
Gunston Gunston Herons 9 8 13 12 13 9 64 Severin Schut '21 [1-6]
Owen Santora '21 [1-2]
Charles Shifrin '21 [3-6]
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 11 10 14 10 7 14 66 Michael Hinrichs '22
Addison Lisiewski '22
Key School Key School Zags 14 13 11 14 11 12 75 No Show
Marissa Loftus '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals 1 2 1 1 1 5 11 Teddy Cromwell '20
Hayden Lamb '20
North East River High School North East River High School Road Warriors 2 4 2 3 2 1 14 Skylor Sweet '22
Isabella Webb '21
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 4 1 4 2 4 3 18 Tyler Hughes '22
Jaclyn Kopernick '21
Annapolis High School Annapolis High School Panthers 3 5 8 4 6 2 28 Cole Canuel '22
Sam White '23
St. Mary's High School (MD) St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints 8 6 3 5 3 4 29 Cole Wiegand '21
William Donald '24
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers 6 3 5 7 9 7 37 Danny Pereira '21
Claire Woynerowski '22
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 5 9 6 9 10 8 47 Addison Musick '20
Conner Anderson '21
Key School Key School Zags 11 8 12 6 5 9 51 Jamie Cottage '23
Zipei Zheng '22
Kent Island High School Kent Island High School Buccaneers 12 7 11 8 7 6 51 Aliya Berger '20 [1-2]
Doug Macdonald '19 [3-6]
Katie Norman '19 [1-2]
Riley Van Liew '20 [3-4]
Aliya Berger '20 [5-6]
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 7 11 7 11 12 12 60 Zach Hammel '21 [1-4]
Ben Chitterling '21 [5-6]
No Show [1-4]
Gunston Gunston Herons 9 10 9 12 11 10 61 Helen Boone '21
Hannah Worth '21
Sts. Peter & Paul Sts. Peter & Paul Sabres 10 12 13 10 8 11 64 Ole Singelstad '21
Grady Turner '19
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 2 DNF 13 10 13 13 DNF 79 No Show
No Show
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 1 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 90 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers113355
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers224466
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins335577
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers557799
Key SchoolKey School Zags66881010
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders77991111
North East River High SchoolNorth East River High School Road Warriors8810101212
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres1212141422
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals9911111313
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons101012121414
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints1111131311
GunstonGunston Herons446688
Unregistered-MASSAUnregistered-MASSA Pirates 113131133
Unregistered-MASSAUnregistered-MASSA Pirates 214142244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Annapolis High SchoolAnnapolis High School Panthers224466
Archbishop SpaldingArchbishop Spalding Cavaliers335577
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins446688
Kent Island High SchoolKent Island High School Buccaneers66881010
Key SchoolKey School Zags77991111
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders8810101212
North East River High SchoolNorth East River High School Road Warriors9911111313
Sts. Peter & PaulSts. Peter & Paul Sabres13131133
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals101012121414
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons1111131311
St. Mary's High School (MD)St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints1212141422
GunstonGunston Herons557799
Unregistered-MASSAUnregistered-MASSA Pirates 114142244
Unregistered-MASSAUnregistered-MASSA Pirates 2113355

Conditions — 03/24/2019 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1020.3 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From SSW (199°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover58% Sunshine7.1 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1020.3 hPa Rain0.05 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at TAYC, Oxford: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at TAYC, Oxford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at TAYC, Oxford: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →