Herreshoff Qualifier - Barnstable

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 14 13 27
2 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 13 15 28
3 Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Varsity 19 22 41
4 Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 32 27 59
5 Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Raiders 31 31 62
6 Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 38 39 77
7 Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets 56 56 112
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 2 1 2 2 3 2 1 13 Mira Herlihy '23 [1-2, 7]
Eliza Corral '25 [3-6]
Camila Diaz '24 [1-4, 7]
Winter Vetrone '24 [5-6]
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 3 3 1 1 1 3 2 14 Emma Wang '23 [1-7]
Lilly Ladd '22 [1-4]
Tallulah Doeringer '24 [5-7]
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Varsity 1 2 3 5 2 1 5 19 Abby Wayne '23 [1-2]
Ellie Hyde '24 [3-7]
Charlotte Buehler '22 [1-2]
Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Raiders 6 5 5 4 4 4 3 31 Allison Nystrom '22 [1-4, 7]
Hannah Jensen '23 [5-6]
Camryn Johnson '24 [1-4, 7]
Molly Cahill '23 [5-6]
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 5 4 4 3 5 5 6 32 Jane Mathews '22
Caroline Meckel '24
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 4 6 6 6 6 6 4 38 Lyla Solway '24 [1-7]
Jocelyn Balinuas '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Nina Degregorio '24 [3-4, 7]
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 56 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 3 1 1 1 3 3 1 13 Jackie Ruggieri '23 [1-7]
Emma Zuccotti '22 [1-4]
Cate Anderson '22 [5-7]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 1 3 4 2 1 2 2 15 Lizzie Cochran '23 [1-3]
Maddi Koenig '24 [4-7]
Siena Adduci '23 [1-3]
Theo Binder '25 [4-7]
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Varsity 2 6 3 5 2 1 3 22 Kylie Craig '24 [1-7]
Caly Kuzdzal '24 [1-6]
Yasi Nee '25 [7]
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Falcons 6 2 2 4 4 5 4 27 Annie Depriest '22
Avery Spaulding '25
Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Raiders 5 4 5 3 5 4 5 31 Mary Sives '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Jordyn Johnson '23 [3-4]
Ellianna Ramos '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Jaye Fedele '23 [3-4]
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 39 Annabelle Brothers '23
Juliet Morse '23
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 56 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Barnstable HSBarnstable HS Raiders1122334
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Varsity2233445
Manchester/Essex RHSManchester/Essex RHS Hornets3344556
Marthas Vineyard RHSMarthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders4455667
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs5566771
Newton Country Day SchoolNewton Country Day School Falcons6677112
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves7711223

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Barnstable HSBarnstable HS Raiders1122334
Dover Sherborn RHSDover Sherborn RHS Varsity2233445
Manchester/Essex RHSManchester/Essex RHS Hornets3344556
Marthas Vineyard RHSMarthas Vineyard RHS Vineyarders4455667
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs5566771
Newton Country Day SchoolNewton Country Day School Falcons6677112
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves7711223
School / Team SkipperCrew
Barnstable HS Barnstable HS Allison Nystrom '22 [1-4, 7]
Hannah Jensen '23 [5-6]
Camryn Johnson '24 [1-4, 7]
Molly Cahill '23 [5-6]
Raiders Mary Sives '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Jordyn Johnson '23 [3-4]
Ellianna Ramos '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Jaye Fedele '23 [3-4]
Dover Sherborn RHS Dover Sherborn RHS Abby Wayne '23 [1-2]
Ellie Hyde '24 [3-7]
Charlotte Buehler '22 [1-2]
Varsity Kylie Craig '24 [1-7] Caly Kuzdzal '24 [1-6]
Yasi Nee '25 [7]
Manchester/Essex RHS Manchester/Essex RHS No Show No Show
Hornets No Show No Show
Marthas Vineyard RHS Marthas Vineyard RHS Lyla Solway '24 [1-7] Jocelyn Balinuas '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Nina Degregorio '24 [3-4, 7]
Vineyarders Annabelle Brothers '23 Juliet Morse '23
Milton Academy Milton Academy Emma Wang '23 [1-7] Lilly Ladd '22 [1-4]
Tallulah Doeringer '24 [5-7]
Mustangs Jackie Ruggieri '23 [1-7] Emma Zuccotti '22 [1-4]
Cate Anderson '22 [5-7]
Newton Country Day School Newton Country Day School Jane Mathews '22 Caroline Meckel '24
Falcons Annie Depriest '22 Avery Spaulding '25
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Mira Herlihy '23 [1-2, 7]
Eliza Corral '25 [3-6]
Camila Diaz '24 [1-4, 7]
Winter Vetrone '24 [5-6]
Seawolves Lizzie Cochran '23 [1-3]
Maddi Koenig '24 [4-7]
Siena Adduci '23 [1-3]
Theo Binder '25 [4-7]

Conditions — 05/21/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 89%  ·  Pressure 1016.1 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From SSW (202°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine6.4 hrs Humidity89% Pressure1016.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Barnstable HS: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.37 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Barnstable HS by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Barnstable HS: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →