MA High School State Champs

HostMIT Sailing Pavilion
Date06/01/2022
TypeState Championship
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Wellesley High School	Varsity	42	68	110
2	Winchester High School	Sachems	61	50	111
3	Sharon High School	Varsity	92	27	119
4	Duxbury High School	Dragons	80	55	135
5	Varsity	Varsity	86	72	158
6	Boston College High School	Eagles	106	71	177
7	Hingham High School	Hingham	92	87	179
8	Wolfpack	Wolfpack	84	112	196
9	Warriors	Warriors	83	142	225
10	Manchester/Essex RHS	Hornets	150	114	264
11	Falcons	Falcons	101	167	268
12	Devo Team 2	Devo Team 2	127	153	280
13	Devo Team 1	Devo Team 1	179	179	358
14	Rockets	Rockets	190	176	366

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	TOT	Sailors
Wellesley High School	Varsity	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	8	3	1	11	1	9	42	Jack Welburn '22 Brady Welburn '24
Winchester High School	Sachems	6	5	4	3	2	9	7	4	5	2	2	7	2	3	61	Carter Knight '23 Sean Morrison '23
Duxbury High School	Dragons	1	6	2	14	7	4	9	12	2	4	7	6	4	2	80	Madeline Koelbel '22 [1-14] Melena Amoratis '23 [1-4, 9-14] Harrison Vose '22 [5-8]
Warriors	Warriors	3	2	6	2	6	8	3	9	10	8	3	1	10	12	83
Wolfpack	Wolfpack	4	4	11	9	3	7	10	11	11	1	6	3	3	1	84
Varsity	Varsity	9	8	5	6	4	5	2	2	1	11	9	12	7	5	86
Hingham High School	Hingham	5	9	12	5	11	3	6	10	4	5	5	8	5	4	92	Sara Menesale '24 Ellie Smith '24
Sharon High School	Varsity	10	3	3	8	8	6	4	3	9	6	4	2	DSQ	11	92	Andrew Liu '23 [1-14] Isabella Cho '23 [1-10] Zander Lai '23 [11-14]
Falcons	Falcons	8	7	8	7	5	2	8	6	6	12	8	10	6	8	101
Boston College High School	Eagles	11	10	7	4	9	12	5	5	7	7	10	4	8	7	106	Thomas Rogers '23 Samuel Schuhwerk '23
Devo Team 2	Devo Team 2	7	11	9	11	10	11	11	8	3	9	11	9	11	6	127
Manchester/Essex RHS	Hornets	12	12	10	10	12	10	13	7	14	10	12	5	9	14	150	Ian Carlin '24 Matthew Graeter '25
Devo Team 1	Devo Team 1	13	13	13	13	13	13	12	13	12	13	13	13	12	13	179
Rockets	Rockets	14	14	14	12	14	14	DNS	DNS	13	14	14	14	13	10	190

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	R13	R14	TOT	Sailors
Sharon High School	Varsity	2	5	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	4	3	27	Henry Do '23 Akash Shah '23
Winchester High School	Sachems	1	4	7	2	6	3	2	3	4	6	4	1	1	6	50	Grant Garrett '24 Nate Morrissey '23
Duxbury High School	Dragons	10	2	3	3	4	5	3	4	6	3	1	5	2	4	55	Gavin Monaghan` '22 Greta Klein '22
Wellesley High School	Varsity	7	BKD	6	11	7	2	7	2	2	4	5	3	6	1	68	Zach Bender '24 Summer Mills '23
Boston College High School	Eagles	8	1	5	5	2	11	4	7	3	1	3	7	7	7	71	Porter Bell '22 [1-12] Andrew Engel '22 [13-14] Jeppe Nielsen '23 [1-12] Geary Brendan '22 [13-14]
Varsity	Varsity	4	6	2	4	9	4	6	6	5	5	12	4	3	2	72
Hingham High School	Hingham	6	3	4	6	3	8	8	5	8	7	7	8	5	9	87	Julia Scipione '25 Caroline O'Hara '25
Wolfpack	Wolfpack	3	9	9	10	8	6	5	8	7	9	9	6	13	10	112
Manchester/Essex RHS	Hornets	5	11	8	8	11	7	9	9	9	8	6	9	9	5	114	Ava Rizzico '24 Max Deery '27
Warriors	Warriors	9	8	12	7	10	10	10	11	10	12	11	11	10	11	142
Devo Team 2	Devo Team 2	11	10	10	12	13	12	11	10	13	11	10	10	12	8	153
Falcons	Falcons	12	13	13	14	12	9	14	DNS	11	10	8	12	11	13	167
Rockets	Rockets	DNS	DNS	DNS	13	5	13	12	12	14	14	14	14	8	12	176
Devo Team 1	Devo Team 1	13	12	11	9	14	DNS	13	13	12	13	13	13	14	14	179

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.140+0.14

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A	12A	13A	14A
Boston College High School Eagles	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7
Wolfpack Wolfpack	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8
Falcons Falcons	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9
Duxbury High School Dragons	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10
Hingham High School Hingham	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11
Warriors Warriors	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12
Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13
Rockets Rockets	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14
Sharon High School Varsity	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	1	1	2	2
Varsity Varsity	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	1	1	2	2	3	3
Devo Team 1 Devo Team 1	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	1	1
Devo Team 2 Devo Team 2	14	14	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6
Wellesley High School Varsity	12	12	13	13	14	14	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4
Winchester High School Sachems	13	13	14	14	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B	11B	12B	13B	14B
Boston College High School Eagles	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7
Wolfpack Wolfpack	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8
Falcons Falcons	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9
Duxbury High School Dragons	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10
Hingham High School Hingham	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11
Warriors Warriors	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12
Manchester/Essex RHS Hornets	7	7	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13
Rockets Rockets	8	8	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14
Sharon High School Varsity	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	1	1	2	2
Varsity Varsity	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	1	1	2	2	3	3
Devo Team 1 Devo Team 1	9	9	10	10	11	11	12	12	13	13	14	14	1	1
Devo Team 2 Devo Team 2	14	14	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6
Wellesley High School Varsity	12	12	13	13	14	14	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4
Winchester High School Sachems	13	13	14	14	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Boston College High School	Thomas Rogers '23	Samuel Schuhwerk '23
Eagles	Porter Bell '22 [1-12] Andrew Engel '22 [13-14]	Jeppe Nielsen '23 [1-12] Geary Brendan '22 [13-14]
Duxbury High School	Madeline Koelbel '22 [1-14]	Melena Amoratis '23 [1-4, 9-14] Harrison Vose '22 [5-8]
Dragons	Gavin Monaghan` '22	Greta Klein '22
Hingham High School	Sara Menesale '24	Ellie Smith '24
Hingham	Julia Scipione '25	Caroline O'Hara '25
Manchester/Essex RHS	Ian Carlin '24	Matthew Graeter '25
Hornets	Ava Rizzico '24	Max Deery '27
Sharon High School	Andrew Liu '23 [1-14]	Isabella Cho '23 [1-10] Zander Lai '23 [11-14]
Varsity	Henry Do '23	Akash Shah '23
Wellesley High School	Jack Welburn '22	Brady Welburn '24
Varsity	Zach Bender '24	Summer Mills '23
Winchester High School	Carter Knight '23	Sean Morrison '23
Sachems	Grant Garrett '24	Nate Morrissey '23

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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MA High School State Champs

Division A

Division B

From the notes