MN Conference #1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 8 2 10
2 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 13 5 18
3 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 7 12 19
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 8 11 19
5 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 5 16 21
6 Washburn High School Washburn High School Mixed 15 11 26
7 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 2 26 28
8 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 24 7 31
9 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 21 18 39
10 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 19 21 40
11 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 15 26 41
12 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 19 26 45
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 1 1 2 Owen Harrod '22
Jack Colosi '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 3 2 5 Teddy Bower '26
Jordi Malaret '23
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 2 5 7 Patrick Levins '22
Matthew Fish '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 4 4 8 Nigel Yu '24
Bryce Lesinski '23
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 5 3 8 Wyatt Tait '23
Lorenzo Good '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 7 6 13 Evy Engebretson '24
Lauren Salmi '23
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 6 9 15 Hank Seum '23
Parker Ziegler '24
Washburn High School Washburn High School Mixed 8 7 15 Alexandre Cholat '22
Rose Pereira '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 9 10 19 Jack Wherry '23
David Acheson '24
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 11 8 19 Sam Fider '22
Helene Schroeder '22
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 10 11 21 Aiden Kennedy '25
Riviera Wock '22
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 12 12 24 Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25
Harper Lundeen-Hetland '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 1 1 2 No Show
No Show
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 2 3 5 Sofia Sigel '24
Parker Laing '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 5 2 7 Andrew Sabin '26
William Carberry '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 4 7 11 Gwyn Noller '25
Amelia Sulciner '24
Washburn High School Washburn High School Mixed 7 4 11 Grady Van Ness '22
Natalie Richardson '23
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 6 6 12 Stella Townshend '22
Ella Skeie '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 3 DNF 16 Jack Brellenthin '26
Libby Regan '24
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed DNF 5 18 Jack Karban '23
Aiden Ide '25
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 DNF 8 21 Max Barrett '25
Ray Taha '26
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs DNF DNF 26 Ella Wisely '23
Stella Demars '25
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers DNF DNS 26 Samantha Forgosh '22
Niamh Mcmahon '26
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers DNF DNF 26 Leif Rush '27
Kristaps Pelecis '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs11
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 144
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 255
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 122
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 233
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers66
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed77
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers88
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans99
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Mixed1010
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy1111
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears1212

Division B

Team1B2B
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs22
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 155
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 266
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 133
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 244
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers77
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed88
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers99
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans1010
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Mixed1111
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy1212
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears11

Conditions — 04/23/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 36%  ·  Pressure 1025.0 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From NW (322°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover35% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity36% Pressure1025.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Benilde St Margarets/Orono/Wayzata: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.22 ± 0.32)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Benilde St Margarets/Orono/Wayzata by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Benilde St Margarets/Orono/Wayzata: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →