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MN Spring Conference #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 18 16 34
2 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 23 28 51
3 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 23 42 65
4 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 35 46 81
5 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 63 39 102
6 Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 66 41 107
7 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 79 33 112
8 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 63 67 130
9 Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 78 67 145
10 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 70 87 157
11 Washburn High School Washburn High School Mixed 67 91 158
12 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 87 95 182
13 Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Jaguars 79 104 183
14 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 101 99 200
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 6 2 4 1 1 1 2 1 18 Max Sigel '22
Ana Stewart '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 3 2 6 3 4 1 2 23 Tryg Van Wyk '22
Bryce Lesinski '23
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 3 1 1 2 4 5 3 4 23 Dominik Moncur '25
Robert Jones '23
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 5 4 7 7 2 2 5 3 35 Wyatt Tait '23
Nina Chafee '23
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 1 7 DNF 3 9 7 9 12 63 Rakesh Dhiman '22
Andy Corbett '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 4 10 DSQ 5 8 3 8 10 63 Evy Engebretson '24
Max Barrett '25
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 13 12 6 12 5 6 4 8 66 Ethan Stohr '23
Sebastian Tisdell '24
Washburn High School Washburn High School Mixed 10 8 5 13 7 10 7 7 67 Alexandre Cholat '22
Natalie Richardson '23
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 8 5 9 4 12 DNS 12 5 70 Stonewall Anderson '26
William Carberry '26
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 11 9 10 8 11 8 10 11 78 Grady Van Ness '22
Alex Wicklund '23
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Jaguars 9 11 DNS 10 6 11 11 6 79 Virginia Higgins '22
Madeline Netzer '22
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 14 14 8 9 10 9 6 9 79 Sam Jackson '23
Martin Weiss '22
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 7 6 3 11 DNS DNS DNF DNS 87 Sam Fider '22
Helene Schroeder '22
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 12 13 11 14 13 12 13 13 101 Trey Brixius '23 [1-6]
Luke Evans '23 [7-8]
Luke Evans '23 [1-6]
Trey Brixius '23 [7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 2 1 1 3 1 3 2 3 16 Teddy Bower '26
David Acheson '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 5 5 2 2 6 6 1 28 Nigel Yu '24
Amelia Sulciner '24
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 5 6 3 5 3 2 5 4 33 Hunter Wheaton '23
Morgan Reeves '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 8 2 6 4 4 4 4 7 39 Sofia Sigel '24
Ray Taha '26
Brainerd High School Brainerd High School Warriors 6 4 7 6 5 7 1 5 41 Kristoffer Koop '24
Brandon Eberts '25
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 1 4 7 2 1 6 5 11 6 42 Rafael Zarzosa '23
Jack Karban '23
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 11 3 4 10 7 1 8 2 46 Lorenzo Good '25
Ben Padden '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 2 3 9 8 8 9 12 3 DNS 67 Paige Kurtenbach '23
Alyson Liu '24
Edina High School Edina High School Hornets 10 10 9 7 8 8 7 8 67 Alex Wyatt '27
Griffin Sack '23
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 9 11 12 13 12 10 10 10 87 Britta Lundeen-Hetland '25
Harper Lundeen-Hetland '27
Washburn High School Washburn High School Mixed DNS 12 13 11 13 9 9 9 91 Adi Narayan '26
Noah Redfearn '23
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 7 14 10 9 14 11 DNS DNS 95 Leif Rush '27
Kristaps Pelecis '26
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Red 12 8 11 12 11 DNS DNS DNS 99 No Show
Aiden Ide '25
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson Jaguars 13 13 14 14 10 13 12 DNS 104 Joseph Vaccaro '25
Owen Loken '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Red72167216721672167216721672167216
Bloomington JeffersonBloomington Jefferson Jaguars291291291291291291291291
Brainerd High SchoolBrainerd High School Warriors71937193719371937193719371937193
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets72277227722772277227722772277227
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed4141414141414141
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 172467246724672467246724672467246
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 21111111111111111
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans71947194719471947194719471947194
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers72287228722872287228722872287228
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans66986698669866986698669866986698
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Mixed72267226722672267226722672267226
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed2727272727272727
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 172477247724772477247724772477247
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 2292292292292292292292292

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Red72167216721672167216721672167216
Bloomington JeffersonBloomington Jefferson Jaguars291291291291291291291291
Brainerd High SchoolBrainerd High School Warriors71937193719371937193719371937193
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Hornets72277227722772277227722772277227
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed4141414141414141
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 172467246724672467246724672467246
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 21111111111111111
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans71947194719471947194719471947194
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers72287228722872287228722872287228
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans66986698669866986698669866986698
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Mixed72267226722672267226722672267226
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed2727272727272727
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 172477247724772477247724772477247
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy 2292292292292292292292292

Conditions — 05/07/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1012.0 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.8 kn
avg  ·  max 12.3 kn
Gusts to 23.5 kn
From SSE (147°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1012.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Edina/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M/Washburn: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.19
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.21 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Edina/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M/Washburn by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Edina/Southwest Senior/St. Paul Academy - M/Washburn, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →