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NWISA Fleet Race Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 29 15 44
2 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 25 23 48
3 Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 42 11 53
4 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 22 34 56
5 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 39 39 78
6 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 36 50 86
7 North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 35 55 90
8 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 46 44 90
9 Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 46 66 112
10 The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 47 69 116
11 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 54 68 122
12 Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 77 53 130
13 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 85 62 147
14 Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 71 77 148
15 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 79 76 155
16 Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 83 74 157
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 2 8 7 2 1 2 22 Barrett Lhamon '22
Ava Bergan '23
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 10 2 2 1 6 4 25 Ella Hubbard '22
Miles Kirkbride '22
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 1 3 6 3 8 8 29 Danny Juan '23
Nati Garcia-Bompadre '23
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 3 5 9 5 7 6 35 Nolan Loverich '22
Pearl Young '22
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 6 4 3 4 9 10 36 Thomas Buys '22
Ej Boilek '22
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 9 7 5 6 11 1 39 Zack Riccelli '23 [1-6]
Teddy Gao '23 [1-2]
Peter Schnell '22 [3-6]
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 8 6 16 7 2 3 42 Catie Vandervort '22 [1-6]
Phoebe Howe '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Sam Airhart '23 [3-4]
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 4 11 10 11 3 7 46 Willy Walden '24 [1-6]
Sophie Kunka '23 [1-4]
Hazel Windstorm '24 [5-6]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 7 1 1 16 5 16 46 Mike Rogge '23
Cole Stebbens '24
The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 11 9 4 8 10 5 47 Francesca Dougherty '25 [1-4]
Isabelle Mcnabb '22 [5-6]
Isabelle Mcnabb '22 [1-2]
Mia Mcnabb '24 [3-4]
Francesca Dougherty '25 [5-6]
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 5 10 8 10 12 9 54 Jacob Jones '23
Matthew Embick '23
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 14 15 14 13 4 11 71 Fergie Waag '24
Cassidy Reitman '25
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 16 12 13 9 14 13 77 Camryn Lee '24
Brent Hu '25
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 12 14 12 14 15 12 79 Cassius Tossavainen '22
Kirsha Khile '22
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 13 13 15 12 16 14 83 Robert Bloomfield '22
Ryan Solie '25
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 15 16 11 15 13 15 85 Ian Beatty '22
Mia Clarke '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Ballard High School Ballard High School Beavers 3 2 1 2 1 2 11 Dieter Creitz '25
Meimei Peterson '22
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Rough Riders 1 1 6 1 5 1 15 Jacob Posner '25
Levi Bailey '24
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 5 4 4 3 2 5 23 Charlie Snyder '24
Yuri Berebitsky '24
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 4 3 5 6 13 3 34 Gianna Dewey '23 [1-4]
Ben Stone '23 [5-6]
Jaya Wirth '23 [1-4]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 5 8 4 12 8 39 Teddy Gao '23 [1-4]
Peter Schnell '22 [5-6]
Feliz (Miguel) Gilpin-Moreno '23 [1-4]
Charlotte Yesser '23 [5-6]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 10 13 7 5 3 6 44 Bailey Logan '23
Katy Woo '24
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 13 6 9 7 4 11 50 Ryan Metz '22
Allison Bailey '23
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Tarriers 9 10 2 12 11 9 53 Jaden Unruh '22 [1-6]
Reed Kregenow '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Nate Cutting '25 [3-4]
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 6 16 11 9 6 7 55 Owen Burnett '24 [1-6]
Sharkey Mckay '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Logan Magallon '23 [3-4]
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Bayhawks 12 12 3 13 7 15 62 Maya Gray '22
Emma Moore '25
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Redhawks 7 8 14 16 9 12 66 Lhotse Rowell '24 [1-6]
Ava Butterfield '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Hazel Windstorm '24 [3-4]
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 8 11 13 10 16 10 68 Finn Deprez '25
Kelsea Cowart '25
The Downtown School The Downtown School Sockeye Salmon 11 14 16 14 10 4 69 Ryan Curtis '24 [1-6]
Mira Shupe '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Kermit Tonnes-Priddy '22 [3-4]
Capital High School Capital High School Cougars 16 7 12 11 15 13 74 Alijah Manzanares '25
Solomon Fitzgerald '22
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 14 15 15 8 8 16 76 Robert Mccarroll '22
Sofia Dunton '23
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Eagles 15 9 10 15 14 14 77 Kate Pauly '23
Ella Newton '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.200+0.20
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks112233
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans22332020
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers33202055
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks20205566
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars556677
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers667788
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides778899
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles88991010
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals9910101111
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish101011111212
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats111112121313
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears121213131414
Port Townsend High SchoolPort Townsend High School Redhawks131314141515
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders141415151616
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners1515161611
The Downtown SchoolThe Downtown School Sockeye Salmon16161122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks9910101111
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans101011111212
Ballard High SchoolBallard High School Beavers111112121313
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Bayhawks121213131414
Capital High SchoolCapital High School Cougars131314141515
Charles Wright AcademyCharles Wright Academy Tarriers141415151616
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides1515161611
Hood River Valley High SchoolHood River Valley High School Eagles16161122
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals112233
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish22332020
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats33202055
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears20205566
Port Townsend High SchoolPort Townsend High School Redhawks556677
Roosevelt High SchoolRoosevelt High School Rough Riders667788
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners778899
The Downtown SchoolThe Downtown School Sockeye Salmon88991010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Cassius Tossavainen '22 Kirsha Khile '22
Seahawks Robert Mccarroll '22 Sofia Dunton '23
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Barrett Lhamon '22 Ava Bergan '23
Spartans Gianna Dewey '23 [1-4]
Ben Stone '23 [5-6]		 Jaya Wirth '23 [1-4]
Ballard High School Ballard High School Catie Vandervort '22 [1-6] Phoebe Howe '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Sam Airhart '23 [3-4]
Beavers Dieter Creitz '25 Meimei Peterson '22
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Ian Beatty '22 Mia Clarke '24
Bayhawks Maya Gray '22 Emma Moore '25
Capital High School Capital High School Robert Bloomfield '22 Ryan Solie '25
Cougars Alijah Manzanares '25 Solomon Fitzgerald '22
Charles Wright Academy Charles Wright Academy Camryn Lee '24 Brent Hu '25
Tarriers Jaden Unruh '22 [1-6] Reed Kregenow '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Nate Cutting '25 [3-4]
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Jacob Jones '23 Matthew Embick '23
Tides Finn Deprez '25 Kelsea Cowart '25
Hood River Valley High School Hood River Valley High School Fergie Waag '24 Cassidy Reitman '25
Eagles Kate Pauly '23 Ella Newton '22
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Zack Riccelli '23 [1-6] Teddy Gao '23 [1-2]
Peter Schnell '22 [3-6]
Cardinals Teddy Gao '23 [1-4]
Peter Schnell '22 [5-6]		 Feliz (Miguel) Gilpin-Moreno '23 [1-4]
Charlotte Yesser '23 [5-6]
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Nolan Loverich '22 Pearl Young '22
Dogfish Owen Burnett '24 [1-6] Sharkey Mckay '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Logan Magallon '23 [3-4]
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Thomas Buys '22 Ej Boilek '22
Wildcats Ryan Metz '22 Allison Bailey '23
Olympia High School Olympia High School Ella Hubbard '22 Miles Kirkbride '22
Bears Charlie Snyder '24 Yuri Berebitsky '24
Port Townsend High School Port Townsend High School Willy Walden '24 [1-6] Sophie Kunka '23 [1-4]
Hazel Windstorm '24 [5-6]
Redhawks Lhotse Rowell '24 [1-6] Ava Butterfield '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Hazel Windstorm '24 [3-4]
Roosevelt High School Roosevelt High School Danny Juan '23 Nati Garcia-Bompadre '23
Rough Riders Jacob Posner '25 Levi Bailey '24
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mike Rogge '23 Cole Stebbens '24
Mariners Bailey Logan '23 Katy Woo '24
The Downtown School The Downtown School Francesca Dougherty '25 [1-4]
Isabelle Mcnabb '22 [5-6]		 Isabelle Mcnabb '22 [1-2]
Mia Mcnabb '24 [3-4]
Francesca Dougherty '25 [5-6]
Sockeye Salmon Ryan Curtis '24 [1-6] Mira Shupe '22 [1-2, 5-6]
Kermit Tonnes-Priddy '22 [3-4]

Conditions — 05/14/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1016.2 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 11.3 kn
Gusts to 26.2 kn
From SE (131°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover88% Sunshine5.4 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1016.2 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 4 kn · N 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Sehome: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.17)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.17 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 14% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sehome by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Sehome, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →