SEISA Fleet Race Championships

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 14 12 26
2 Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 9 30 39
3 Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 29 21 50
4 Isidore Newman School Isidore Newman School Greenies 31 19 50
5 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 27 36 63
6 Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 39 32 71
7 Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 48 47 95
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 9 James Brock '24
Vivian Heitkoetter '23
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 1 2 3 2 3 1 2 14 Hamilton Barclay '23
Kailey Warrior '23
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 6 5 2 3 4 3 4 27 Emily Threeton '22
Emily Williams '23
Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 3 4 4 4 2 4 DSQ 29 Matias Martin '23
Jack Cronan '25
Isidore Newman School Isidore Newman School Greenies 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 31 Ashley Alfortish '23
Jack Laurent '24
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 4 6 6 6 6 6 5 39 Devon Long '24 [1-4, 7]
Aidan Castle '25 [5-6]
C.T. Ilgenfritz '23 [1-4, 7]
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 48 Malachi Sheahan '23
Legend Joseph '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 2 1 1 1 4 2 1 12 Ava Anderson '23
Ava Anderson '23
Isidore Newman School Isidore Newman School Greenies 3 2 6 2 3 1 2 19 Ellie Menszer '22
Sullivan Reznik '30
Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 1 3 2 5 2 5 3 21 Scott Maher '23
Cole Gourley '25
Lake Travis High School Lake Travis High School Cavaliers 4 6 3 3 1 RAF 5 30 Ryder Getson '25
Laura Covington '24
Saint Stanislaus Saint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws 6 4 5 4 6 3 4 32 Ruston Breisacher '24 [1-3]
Jeremy Reddoch '23 [4-7]
Ashley Hilton '24 [1-3]
Lane Burroughs '24 [4-7]
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 5 5 4 7 5 4 6 36 Evie Barras '24 [1-2, 4-7]
Emerson Goodlett '24 [3]
Julia Poche '24 [1-2, 4-7]
Madelyn Oster '24 [3]
Ben Franklin High School Ben Franklin High School Falcons 7 7 7 6 7 6 7 47 Caleb Kaiser '25
Nolan Almeida '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2020 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Falcons3344556
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights4455667
Clear Lake High SchoolClear Lake High School Falcons5566778
Isidore Newman SchoolIsidore Newman School Greenies6677889
Lake Travis High SchoolLake Travis High School Cavaliers7788993
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws8899334
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions9933445

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Ben Franklin High SchoolBen Franklin High School Falcons3344556
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights4455667
Clear Lake High SchoolClear Lake High School Falcons5566778
Isidore Newman SchoolIsidore Newman School Greenies6677889
Lake Travis High SchoolLake Travis High School Cavaliers7788993
Saint StanislausSaint Stanislaus Rock-A-Chaws8899334
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions9933445

Conditions — 04/09/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 38%  ·  Pressure 1021.0 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From W (275°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity38% Pressure1021.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at New Orleans Yacht Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Orleans Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at New Orleans Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →